tiprankstipranks
Trending News
More News >
Guanajuato Silver Company Ltd. (TSE:GSVR)
:GSVR

Guanajuato Silver Company (GSVR) AI Stock Analysis

Compare
91 Followers

Top Page

TSE:GSVR

Guanajuato Silver Company

(GSVR)

Select Model
Select Model
Select Model
Neutral 46 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:46Neutral
Price Target:
C$0.76
▼(-3.21% Downside)
The score is held down primarily by weak financial fundamentals (ongoing losses, high leverage, and negative free cash flow despite improvement). Technicals provide partial support due to a strong uptrend and positive MACD, but extremely overbought RSI/Stoch increases near-term downside risk. Valuation remains unattractive/unclear due to a negative P/E and no dividend yield data.
Positive Factors
Existing infrastructure & district focus
GSVR’s strategy to revive historical Guanajuato districts and use existing infrastructure is a durable operational advantage. It lowers capital intensity and shortens development timelines versus greenfield builds, improving long-term project economics and allowing faster path to production and cash generation.
Improving margins and revenue trend
Sequential revenue growth with a material improvement in gross margin signals operational progress: either better recoveries, cost control, or improved metal realizations. Sustained margin uplift is a durable path toward turning mining operations profitable as volumes scale and fixed costs are absorbed.
Strengthening free cash flow trend
A large percentage improvement in free cash flow reflects meaningful progress in cash generation and operational efficiency. Continued FCF improvement provides a durable lever for funding development, reducing reliance on external capital and improving balance sheet resilience over months.
Negative Factors
High leverage
Material leverage creates lasting financial vulnerability for a resource developer exposed to commodity cycles. High debt levels constrain capital allocation, increase interest burden, and raise refinancing risk, limiting the company’s flexibility to fund development or withstand commodity price downturns.
Persistent unprofitability
Ongoing negative net and EBIT margins mean core operations do not yet generate sustainable profits. Persistent losses erode equity, hinder reinvestment and growth, and make the business dependent on external funding until margins and scale materially improve.
Weak cash conversion
Very low conversion of accounting income into operating cash and continued negative FCF indicate working capital or non-cash charges problems. This reduces the company’s ability to self-fund operations and service debt, posing a durable constraint on financial stability.

Guanajuato Silver Company (GSVR) vs. iShares MSCI Canada ETF (EWC)

Guanajuato Silver Company Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionGuanajuato Silver Company Ltd. engages in the acquisition, exploration, development, and evaluation of mineral assets in Canada and Mexico. The company primarily focuses on silver and gold properties. Its flagship project is the 100% owned the El Pinguico project located in Guanajuato, Mexico. The company was formerly known as Vangold Mining Corp. and changed its name to Guanajuato Silver Company Ltd. in June 2021. Guanajuato Silver Company Ltd. was incorporated in 1978 and is headquartered in Vancouver, Canada.
How the Company Makes MoneyGuanajuato Silver Company generates revenue primarily through the extraction and sale of silver and gold. The company's revenue model is built around mining operations, where it extracts precious metals from its properties and sells them in the global market. Key revenue streams include the sale of refined silver and gold, as well as potential by-products from mining operations. Additionally, GSVR may enter into partnerships with other mining companies or stakeholders, which can provide capital infusions or shared resources that contribute to its earnings. The company's focus on reviving historical mining sites allows it to capitalize on existing infrastructure, reducing operational costs and enhancing profitability.

Guanajuato Silver Company Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Financial performance is weak: despite modest TTM revenue growth (+5.33%) and improved gross margin (14.79%), the company remains unprofitable with negative net/EBIT margins. Leverage is high (debt-to-equity 2.28) and ROE is negative, while free cash flow growth is strong (+211.07%) but still negative with weak cash conversion (operating cash flow to net income 0.07).
Income Statement
45
Neutral
The company has shown some improvement in revenue growth, with a 5.33% increase in the TTM period. However, profitability remains a significant concern, as evidenced by negative net profit margins and EBIT margins. The gross profit margin has improved to 14.79% in the TTM, but the company is still operating at a loss, which impacts overall financial health.
Balance Sheet
40
Negative
The balance sheet reveals a high debt-to-equity ratio of 2.28 in the TTM, indicating significant leverage and potential financial risk. The return on equity is negative, reflecting ongoing losses. The equity ratio stands at 22.02%, suggesting a moderate level of equity financing relative to total assets.
Cash Flow
50
Neutral
Cash flow analysis shows a substantial improvement in free cash flow growth, with a 211.07% increase in the TTM. However, the company still faces challenges with negative free cash flow and a low operating cash flow to net income ratio of 0.07, indicating difficulties in converting income into cash.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue81.24M108.78M87.67M36.88M4.12M0.00
Gross Profit9.41M3.55M-15.63M-6.88M-2.23M-15.92K
EBITDA-589.25K1.63M-14.23M-13.71M-9.07M-2.18M
Net Income-16.39M-17.41M-42.32M-28.02M-13.40M-2.24M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets116.37M102.37M99.64M85.65M51.32M10.24M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments16.20M4.22M2.59M8.83M8.23M5.32M
Total Debt16.64M22.38M23.07M20.43M8.76M27.70K
Total Liabilities90.74M83.89M85.34M53.14M20.52M274.86K
Stockholders Equity25.62M18.47M14.30M32.51M30.80M9.97M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-2.90M-8.85M-15.06M-18.67M-15.34M-2.47M
Operating Cash Flow1.70M-3.43M-8.15M-15.06M-8.93M-2.07M
Investing Cash Flow-6.59M-7.56M-7.57M-11.85M-13.96M-1.03M
Financing Cash Flow18.68M18.60M6.52M27.13M27.12M7.88M

Guanajuato Silver Company Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price0.78
Price Trends
50DMA
0.68
Positive
100DMA
0.55
Positive
200DMA
0.41
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.04
Positive
RSI
49.02
Neutral
STOCH
8.73
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:GSVR, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 0.78 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 0.83, above the 50-day MA of 0.68, and above the 200-day MA of 0.41, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.04 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 49.02 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 8.73 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for TSE:GSVR.

Guanajuato Silver Company Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (55)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
74
Outperform
C$33.16B32.4711.27%0.88%25.04%
62
Neutral
C$15.04B179.323.44%0.12%88.70%
55
Neutral
$6.65B3.83-15.92%6.20%10.91%7.18%
52
Neutral
C$191.82M-60.44-5.64%13.33%
52
Neutral
C$136.45M-17.91-8.15%52.70%60.33%
50
Neutral
C$193.76M-12.85-26.99%49.02%
46
Neutral
C$550.05M-17.40-111.62%5.58%50.96%
* General Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TSE:GSVR
Guanajuato Silver Company
0.78
0.57
271.43%
TSE:AG
First Majestic Silver
30.61
22.31
268.97%
TSE:PAAS
Pan American Silver
78.57
43.63
124.88%
TSE:EXN
Excellon Resources
0.58
0.49
544.44%
TSE:SVE
Silver One Resources
0.66
0.42
169.39%
TSE:IPT
IMPACT Silver
0.42
0.19
86.67%

Guanajuato Silver Company Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Guanajuato Silver Unveils Record 2026 Drilling Plan After Solid 2025 Output
Positive
Jan 29, 2026

Guanajuato Silver plans a record drilling campaign for 2026, with more than 75,000 metres of infill and exploration drilling across its five producing Mexican mines and the Horcon exploration asset, marking increases of over 700% versus 2025 and more than 1,600% versus 2024. Management says the expanded program is aimed at converting and growing mineral resources, establishing initial reserves at all operations except Bolanitos, and de-risking mine plans for 2026 and 2027, supported by permitting work already under way for surface campaigns, while 2025 output from Bolanitos and the company’s other four mines totaled roughly 1.85 million ounces of silver, over 25,000 ounces of gold, and meaningful lead and zinc production, underscoring a growing production base that could benefit from the planned stepped-up drilling.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:GSVR) stock is a Hold with a C$0.96 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Guanajuato Silver Company stock, see the TSE:GSVR Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and Strategy
Guanajuato Silver Earns Spot on 2026 OTCQX Best 50 Ranking
Positive
Jan 22, 2026

Guanajuato Silver Company has been named to the 2026 OTCQX Best 50, recognizing it as one of the top-performing companies on the OTCQX Best Market based on 2025 total return and trading liquidity metrics. The accolade underscores the miner’s expanding profile among U.S. investors, highlighted by more than 300 million shares traded in the United States in 2025 and its strong volume presence on Canada’s TSX Venture Exchange, reinforcing its market visibility and potentially broadening its shareholder base as it continues to scale production from its Mexican operations.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:GSVR) stock is a Hold with a C$0.84 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Guanajuato Silver Company stock, see the TSE:GSVR Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyM&A Transactions
Guanajuato Silver Closes US$50 Million Acquisition of Bolanitos Mine in Mexico
Positive
Jan 15, 2026

Guanajuato Silver has closed the acquisition of the Bolanitos gold-silver mine in Guanajuato, Mexico, from Endeavour Silver for total consideration of up to US$50 million, including US$40 million paid at closing in a mix of cash and shares and up to US$10 million in contingent payments tied to silver-equivalent production milestones. Bolanitos becomes the company’s fifth producing mine and brings a 1,600-tonne-per-day flotation plant that is currently under-utilized, allowing Guanajuato Silver to reconfigure its Guanajuato district into a more efficient hub-and-spoke processing model by directing ore from nearby San Ignacio to Bolanitos, a move expected to enhance throughput, recoveries, and overall operating economics while deepening Endeavour’s role as a strategic shareholder under a new investor rights agreement.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:GSVR) stock is a Hold with a C$0.74 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Guanajuato Silver Company stock, see the TSE:GSVR Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyM&A Transactions
Guanajuato Silver Wins TSXV Conditional Nod for Transformative Bolanitos Mine Deal
Positive
Dec 22, 2025

Guanajuato Silver Company has received conditional approval from the TSX Venture Exchange to proceed with its acquisition of the Bolanitos gold-silver mine in Guanajuato, Mexico, from Endeavour Silver. Management describes the deal as transformative, expecting Bolanitos to become the company’s most significant operation and indicating that closing remains on track for January 2026, a move that would further consolidate Guanajuato Silver’s footprint and scale in the Mexican precious metals mining sector.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:GSVR) stock is a Hold with a C$0.63 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Guanajuato Silver Company stock, see the TSE:GSVR Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyLegal ProceedingsM&A Transactions
Guanajuato Silver Optimizes Operations Ahead of Bolanitos Acquisition
Neutral
Dec 4, 2025

Guanajuato Silver Company Ltd. is optimizing its mining operations in the Guanajuato area as it prepares to close the acquisition of the Bolanitos gold-silver mine from Endeavour Silver Corp. This includes realigning mineral-transport routes and temporarily closing the Cata processing plant to maximize the utilization of its other facilities. The acquisition is expected to enhance the company’s operational efficiency and cost-effectiveness. Additionally, Guanajuato Silver is addressing a legal challenge from NucTech Mexico regarding compensation for mineral sorting equipment, with plans to appeal a court ruling requiring payment of damages.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:GSVR) stock is a Buy with a C$0.70 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Guanajuato Silver Company stock, see the TSE:GSVR Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Guanajuato Silver Reports Strong Q3 2025 Financial Growth and Operational Investments
Positive
Nov 28, 2025

Guanajuato Silver Company Ltd. reported a significant improvement in its financial position for Q3 2025, with a working capital increase of $11.3 million and positive cash flows from operations totaling over $3 million for the first nine months of the year. The company achieved a production of 457,525 silver-equivalent ounces and made substantial capital investments aimed at boosting operational efficiency and long-term production capabilities. These developments indicate a strategic shift towards enhanced financial health and operational growth, positioning the company for sustained success in the mining sector.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:GSVR) stock is a Hold with a C$0.44 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Guanajuato Silver Company stock, see the TSE:GSVR Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyM&A Transactions
Guanajuato Silver Expands with Acquisition of Bolanitos Mine
Positive
Nov 24, 2025

Guanajuato Silver Company Ltd. has entered into an agreement to acquire the Bolanitos gold-silver mine in Guanajuato, Mexico, from Endeavour Silver Corp. for up to $50 million. This acquisition will expand the company’s resource base and production capabilities, making Bolanitos its fifth producing mine in Mexico. The integration of the San Ignacio Mine into the Bolanitos Mines Complex is expected to improve economics and extend mine life by reducing transportation costs and increasing mill utilization. Additionally, the acquisition includes the historic Cebada mine, which the company plans to reactivate as a key exploration and development project. This strategic move aims to strengthen Guanajuato Silver’s position as a mid-tier precious metals producer in Mexico.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:GSVR) stock is a Hold with a C$0.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Guanajuato Silver Company stock, see the TSE:GSVR Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jan 24, 2026