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Graycliff Exploration (TSE:GRAY)
:GRAY

Graycliff Exploration (GRAY) AI Stock Analysis

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TSE:GRAY

Graycliff Exploration

(GRAY)

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Neutral 41 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:41Neutral
Price Target:
C$0.12
▼(-22.50% Downside)
The score is driven primarily by weak financial performance (no revenue, ongoing losses, and negative equity), partially offset by improving loss and cash-burn trends. Technicals are mixed but lean weak in the near term, and valuation is penalized due to losses (negative P/E) with no dividend data to support returns.
Positive Factors
Reduced cash burn
A meaningful reduction in operating cash burn materially extends the company’s runway versus prior years. Over a multi-month horizon this lowers near-term refinancing pressure, improving odds of funding ongoing exploration and hitting technical milestones before additional equity raises.
Material EBIT improvement
Sharp narrowing of operating losses signals stronger cost discipline and more efficient operations. If sustained, improved EBIT reduces the pace of capital depletion, making the business more resilient and enhancing prospects for completing exploration programs with less dilution.
Established exploration monetization model
As an exploration-stage firm, the company has durable, industry-standard paths to fund programs and realize value via equity raises, JV/option deals or royalties. These structural mechanisms allow project advancement without immediate production revenue, supporting long-term project optionality.
Negative Factors
Negative shareholders' equity
Negative equity is a persistent solvency concern that constrains financing flexibility and increases counterparty and lender risk. Over months this can limit access to non-dilutive capital, raise cost of capital, and heighten dependence on equity issuance or partner-funded structures.
No reported revenue
Absence of operating revenue means the business lacks recurring cash inflows and remains fully dependent on capital markets or transactional monetization. This structurally increases execution risk: project economics and shareholder returns hinge on exploration success or third-party deals.
Ongoing operating losses
Persistent negative earnings, despite improvement, continue to erode capital and necessitate external funding. Over a 2–6 month horizon this implies likely dilution or JV dependence to finance programs, limiting strategic optionality and pressuring long-term sustainability if trends reverse.

Graycliff Exploration (GRAY) vs. iShares MSCI Canada ETF (EWC)

Graycliff Exploration Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionGraycliff Exploration Limited engages in the acquisition, exploration, development, and extraction of natural resources in Canada. It explores for gold and precious metals. The company holds 100% interest in the Shakespeare gold project comprise 68 claims located in Ontario. Graycliff Exploration Limited was incorporated in 2016 and is headquartered in Vancouver, Canada.
How the Company Makes MoneyGraycliff Exploration makes money through the exploration and development of mineral properties, primarily focusing on gold. The company's revenue model involves identifying promising mineral sites, conducting exploration activities to assess the potential and value of these sites, and then either developing them into operational mines or selling the exploration rights to larger mining companies. Key revenue streams include the sale of mineral rights, potential future production revenues from developed projects, and equity financing. The company may also enter into joint ventures or partnerships with other mining or exploration companies to share costs and risks, thereby enhancing its revenue potential.

Graycliff Exploration Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Graycliff Exploration faces severe financial challenges with no revenue generation, heavy losses, and negative equity. The balance sheet shows high liabilities, and cash flows indicate persistent cash burn. These factors suggest a high-risk profile with an urgent need for financial restructuring.
Income Statement
Graycliff Exploration has consistently reported zero revenue over the past years, indicating a lack of operational income. The company has experienced significant net losses, with narrowing negative EBIT and EBITDA margins. This consistent lack of revenue and profitability signals financial distress in its operations.
Balance Sheet
The company's financial stability is concerning, with negative stockholders' equity indicating more liabilities than assets. The debt-to-equity ratio is not meaningful due to negative equity, and the trend shows increasing liabilities. Overall, this reflects a weak financial position and high leverage risk.
Cash Flow
Graycliff Exploration's cash flow statements reveal negative operating cash flows consistently, highlighting continuing cash burn. Free cash flow remains negative, although there has been some reduction in outflows. The cash flow situation suggests ongoing struggles to cover operational expenses.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue0.000.000.000.000.000.00
Gross Profit-8.72K-17.45K-17.45K-10.18K0.000.00
EBITDA-256.47K-261.12K-507.59K-2.25M-4.89M-1.90M
Net Income-230.04K-225.75K-744.99K-2.26M-4.81M-1.89M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets6.63K58.34K111.14K591.61K2.18M1.13M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments3.24K9.29K38.03K347.60K1.59M1.03M
Total Debt7.65K77.90K69.62K82.34K0.00432.40K
Total Liabilities435.76K437.24K264.29K119.77K63.45K642.61K
Stockholders Equity-429.14K-378.90K-153.15K471.83K2.11M486.38K
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow1.96K-53.75K-285.32K-1.80M-3.29M-640.51K
Operating Cash Flow1.96K-53.75K-285.32K-1.80M-3.29M-640.51K
Investing Cash Flow25.0025.00K307.31K445.54K-752.85K0.00
Financing Cash Flow-23.05K0.00-24.24K557.14K3.86M1.24M

Graycliff Exploration Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price0.16
Price Trends
50DMA
0.14
Negative
100DMA
0.11
Positive
200DMA
0.10
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
<0.01
Positive
RSI
44.55
Neutral
STOCH
25.25
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:GRAY, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 0.16 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 0.16, above the 50-day MA of 0.14, and above the 200-day MA of 0.10, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of <0.01 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 44.55 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 25.25 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for TSE:GRAY.

Graycliff Exploration Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
61
Neutral
$10.43B7.12-0.05%2.87%2.86%-36.73%
53
Neutral
C$1.31M-1.3792.44%
50
Neutral
C$3.99M4.21
41
Neutral
C$572.32K-4.0244.88%
* Basic Materials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TSE:GRAY
Graycliff Exploration
0.13
0.07
116.67%
TSE:NEWD
Newfoundland Discovery Corp
0.14
0.05
55.56%
TSE:NXS
Nexus Gold
0.28
-0.10
-26.67%
TSE:CRPC
Critical Reagent Processing
0.09
-0.06
-39.60%
TSE:METL
Metalite Resources
0.23
0.08
54.36%
TSE:ACM
DeepRock Minerals
0.67
0.47
235.00%

Graycliff Exploration Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board ChangesPrivate Placements and Financing
Graycliff Exploration Names New CEO and Launches $440,000 Private Placement
Positive
Dec 29, 2025

Graycliff Exploration Limited has appointed Arndt Roehlig as its new president, chief executive officer and director, leveraging his decades of experience raising capital and managing Canadian public companies in the resource and technology sectors, while former CEO James Macintosh moves into the role of chairman. At the same time, the company is seeking to strengthen its balance sheet through a non-brokered private placement of up to 4.4 million common shares at $0.10 each, for potential gross proceeds of $440,000 earmarked for general corporate and working capital purposes, with the financing subject to regulatory approvals and signaling an effort to support ongoing exploration and corporate activities at its Shakespeare gold project.

Business Operations and StrategyStock Split
Graycliff Exploration Announces Share Consolidation
Neutral
Nov 18, 2025

Graycliff Exploration Limited has announced a share consolidation, reducing its outstanding common shares from approximately 17.6 million to 4.4 million. This strategic move, pending approval from the Canadian Securities Exchange, aims to streamline the company’s share structure without changing its name or stock symbol, potentially impacting its market positioning and shareholder value.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jan 09, 2026