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Graycliff Exploration (TSE:GRAY)
:GRAY

Graycliff Exploration (GRAY) AI Stock Analysis

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TSE:GRAY

Graycliff Exploration

(GRAY)

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Neutral 52 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:52Neutral
Price Target:
C$0.15
▼(-5.00% Downside)
The score is held down primarily by weak financial performance (no revenue, ongoing losses, and negative equity), which raises funding and solvency risk. Technicals are the main offset, with a clear uptrend and positive momentum. Valuation contributes modestly negatively due to unprofitability and no dividend support.
Positive Factors
Improving cash burn and EBIT
Reduced cash burn and materially improved EBIT in 2024 extend operational runway and show management tightened costs. This durable improvement lowers near-term financing pressure, enabling the company to advance exploration programs and better position for partner-funded transactions.
Modest absolute debt levels
Very low absolute debt limits fixed interest obligations and preserves flexibility for a junior explorer. With minimal leverage, more of any new capital can be allocated to exploration or restructuring, reducing insolvency risk from debt servicing while the company pursues project value creation.
Multiple monetization paths for projects
As a typical exploration-stage model, the ability to option properties, form JVs, or secure royalties provides structurally diverse routes to de‑risk projects and obtain partner-funded drilling. These enduring pathways can convert exploration upside into non-dilutive or less-dilutive capital.
Negative Factors
No revenue and persistent operating losses
The absence of operating revenue and ongoing losses mean the company cannot self-fund operations or project advancement. Over the medium term this forces continual capital raises or partner deals, increasing execution risk and making long-term project development dependent on external financing.
Negative shareholders' equity
Negative equity is a structural solvency concern that limits access to credit, may trigger covenant or counterparty issues, and undermines investor confidence. Persistently negative net worth raises the likelihood of dilutive financing, asset sales, or constrained strategic options over the coming months.
Ongoing reliance on external funding
Dependence on equity financings or partner funding is inherent and ongoing. This structural funding reliance increases dilution and execution timing risk, and makes exploration progress sensitive to capital market conditions and partner appetite, limiting independent project advancement.

Graycliff Exploration (GRAY) vs. iShares MSCI Canada ETF (EWC)

Graycliff Exploration Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionGraycliff Exploration Limited engages in the acquisition, exploration, development, and extraction of natural resources in Canada. It explores for gold and precious metals. The company holds 100% interest in the Shakespeare gold project comprise 68 claims located in Ontario. Graycliff Exploration Limited was incorporated in 2016 and is headquartered in Vancouver, Canada.
How the Company Makes MoneyGraycliff Exploration makes money through the exploration and development of mineral properties, primarily focusing on gold. The company's revenue model involves identifying promising mineral sites, conducting exploration activities to assess the potential and value of these sites, and then either developing them into operational mines or selling the exploration rights to larger mining companies. Key revenue streams include the sale of mineral rights, potential future production revenues from developed projects, and equity financing. The company may also enter into joint ventures or partnerships with other mining or exploration companies to share costs and risks, thereby enhancing its revenue potential.

Graycliff Exploration Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Fundamentals remain weak: no revenue across periods, ongoing operating losses, and negative shareholders’ equity (solvency risk). Offsetting positives include a material improvement in EBIT and a sharply reduced cash burn in 2024, but the business still appears reliant on external funding.
Income Statement
6
Very Negative
The company has reported no revenue across all periods provided, while operating losses remain persistent. Losses have narrowed materially from 2021–2022 levels (EBIT improved from -4.9M in 2021 to -261K in 2024), but profitability is still firmly negative and there is no demonstrated path to self-funding operations through revenue generation.
Balance Sheet
12
Very Negative
The balance sheet has weakened significantly, with shareholders’ equity turning negative by 2023 and deteriorating further in 2024 (-379K), which is a major solvency red flag. Debt is modest in absolute dollars (78K in 2024), but negative equity limits financial flexibility and can increase reliance on external funding; total assets also declined sharply versus earlier years, signaling a smaller capital base.
Cash Flow
18
Very Negative
Cash burn remains ongoing, with operating cash flow and free cash flow negative each year, but the magnitude has improved substantially in the most recent year (operating cash flow -54K in 2024 vs. -285K in 2023 and much larger burns in 2021–2022). This improving trajectory is a positive, though cash generation is still insufficient and continued funding needs remain likely absent revenue.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue0.000.000.000.000.000.00
Gross Profit-8.72K-17.45K-17.45K-10.18K0.000.00
EBITDA-256.47K-261.12K-507.59K-2.25M-4.89M-1.90M
Net Income-230.04K-225.75K-744.99K-2.26M-4.81M-1.89M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets6.63K58.34K111.14K591.61K2.18M1.13M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments3.24K9.29K38.03K347.60K1.59M1.03M
Total Debt7.65K77.90K69.62K82.34K0.00432.40K
Total Liabilities435.76K437.24K264.29K119.77K63.45K642.61K
Stockholders Equity-429.14K-378.90K-153.15K471.83K2.11M486.38K
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow1.93K-53.75K-285.32K-1.80M-3.29M-640.51K
Operating Cash Flow1.93K-53.75K-285.32K-1.80M-3.29M-640.51K
Investing Cash Flow25.0025.00K307.31K445.54K-752.85K0.00
Financing Cash Flow-23.03K0.00-24.24K557.14K3.86M1.24M

Graycliff Exploration Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price0.16
Price Trends
50DMA
0.15
Positive
100DMA
0.12
Positive
200DMA
0.10
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
<0.01
Negative
RSI
54.17
Neutral
STOCH
62.50
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:GRAY, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 0.16 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 0.16, above the 50-day MA of 0.15, and above the 200-day MA of 0.10, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of <0.01 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 54.17 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 62.50 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for TSE:GRAY.

Graycliff Exploration Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
61
Neutral
$10.43B7.12-0.05%2.87%2.86%-36.73%
52
Neutral
C$770.43K-5.4244.88%
43
Neutral
C$1.14M-1.38-22.84%67.32%
31
Underperform
C$456.21K-0.59-175.80%13.78%
* Basic Materials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TSE:GRAY
Graycliff Exploration
0.18
0.11
191.67%
TSE:KLM
Kermode Resources
0.01
0.00
0.00%
TSE:STW
Stockworks Gold
0.11
-0.19
-63.21%
TSE:PURR
Panther Minerals
0.46
-0.74
-61.63%
TSE:METL
Metalite Resources
0.21
0.01
5.53%
TSE:AUL.H
Aurelius Minerals
0.02
0.00
0.00%

Graycliff Exploration Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and Financing
Graycliff Exploration Raises $440,000, Restructures Debt and Adds 17% Shareholder in Private Placement
Positive
Jan 22, 2026

Graycliff Exploration Limited has closed a private placement raising $440,000 through the issuance of 4.4 million common shares, combining $113,000 in new equity financing with $327,000 in debt settlements, with proceeds earmarked for general corporate and working capital purposes. The transaction, which involved insiders subscribing for 2.22 million shares under related-party exemptions and carries a four-month-plus-one-day hold period, is intended to shore up the company’s challenged financial position as it advances exploration at its Shakespeare gold project; the financing also brings new significant shareholder Arndt Roehlig to a roughly 17% stake, underscoring a reshaping of the junior explorer’s capital structure and insider ownership profile.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:GRAY) stock is a Hold with a C$0.16 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Graycliff Exploration stock, see the TSE:GRAY Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board ChangesPrivate Placements and Financing
Graycliff Exploration Names New CEO and Launches $440,000 Private Placement
Positive
Dec 29, 2025

Graycliff Exploration Limited has appointed Arndt Roehlig as its new president, chief executive officer and director, leveraging his decades of experience raising capital and managing Canadian public companies in the resource and technology sectors, while former CEO James Macintosh moves into the role of chairman. At the same time, the company is seeking to strengthen its balance sheet through a non-brokered private placement of up to 4.4 million common shares at $0.10 each, for potential gross proceeds of $440,000 earmarked for general corporate and working capital purposes, with the financing subject to regulatory approvals and signaling an effort to support ongoing exploration and corporate activities at its Shakespeare gold project.

Business Operations and StrategyStock Split
Graycliff Exploration Announces Share Consolidation
Neutral
Nov 18, 2025

Graycliff Exploration Limited has announced a share consolidation, reducing its outstanding common shares from approximately 17.6 million to 4.4 million. This strategic move, pending approval from the Canadian Securities Exchange, aims to streamline the company’s share structure without changing its name or stock symbol, potentially impacting its market positioning and shareholder value.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jan 21, 2026