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Fairfax Financial Holdings (TSE:FFH)
TSX:FFH

Fairfax Financial Holdings (FFH) AI Stock Analysis

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Fairfax Financial Holdings

(TSX:FFH)

73Outperform
Fairfax Financial Holdings shows a strong financial foundation with impressive profitability and cash flow metrics. The earnings call further confirmed robust results and growth prospects. However, technical indicators suggest caution due to current bearish trends. Valuation metrics present an opportunity, given the low P/E ratio. Despite challenges like unrealized bond losses and catastrophe impacts, the overall outlook remains positive.

Fairfax Financial Holdings (FFH) vs. S&P 500 (SPY)

Fairfax Financial Holdings Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionFairfax Financial Holdings Limited is a Canadian holding company engaged in property and casualty insurance, reinsurance, and investment management. Headquartered in Toronto, Ontario, the company operates through a network of subsidiaries, providing a comprehensive range of insurance products and services across various sectors. Fairfax is known for its disciplined underwriting approach and value-oriented investment philosophy, focusing on long-term growth and stability.
How the Company Makes MoneyFairfax Financial Holdings generates revenue primarily through its insurance and reinsurance operations, along with investment income. The company's insurance subsidiaries underwrite property and casualty risks, collecting premiums from policyholders. These premiums constitute a significant portion of Fairfax's revenue. The reinsurance segment involves assuming risk from other insurance companies in exchange for premiums, further diversifying revenue streams. Investment income is another critical revenue source, as Fairfax invests in a diversified portfolio of equities, fixed-income securities, and alternative investments. The company's investment strategy, led by seasoned professionals, aims to achieve superior returns while managing risk. Strategic acquisitions and partnerships in the insurance and investment sectors also contribute to Fairfax's earnings, allowing for expansion and increased market presence.

Fairfax Financial Holdings Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Fairfax Financial Holdings showcases robust profitability and effective leverage management within the insurance industry. Despite strong current metrics in profitability and cash flow, the historical volatility in revenue and cash flow suggests a need for cautious management.
Income Statement
75
Positive
Fairfax Financial Holdings demonstrates strong profitability with a TTM net profit margin of 13.89% and a gross profit margin exceeding revenue, indicating operational efficiency. The revenue growth rate is volatile, and the net income has fluctuated significantly over the years. Recent EBIT and EBITDA margins suggest effective cost management, though past periods show instability.
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
The company's balance sheet reveals a moderate debt-to-equity ratio of 0.45, indicating reasonable leverage within the insurance industry. The equity ratio stands at 24.9%, reflecting a solid equity base. However, fluctuations in stockholders' equity and total debt levels highlight potential volatility in financial stability.
Cash Flow
65
Positive
Cash flow analysis shows significant improvement in free cash flow, with a free cash flow growth rate of 788.95% TTM. The operating cash flow to net income ratio of 1.05 indicates effective cash conversion, but historical volatility and past negative cash flows suggest potential liquidity challenges.
Breakdown
TTMDec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020Dec 2019
Income StatementTotal Revenue
29.16B31.83B25.82B25.80B19.79B21.18B
Gross Profit
30.71B25.80B25.82B25.80B19.79B21.18B
EBIT
3.97B31.40B1.34B-1.03B-4.29B-3.27B
EBITDA
2.93B6.09B2.03B-100.50M1.47B3.32B
Net Income Common Stockholders
4.05B4.38B1.15B3.40B37.40M2.00B
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
7.31B7.96B11.70B25.34B16.30B10.63B
Total Assets
64.37B91.99B92.13B86.65B74.05B70.51B
Total Debt
6.48B10.80B9.32B7.75B8.81B8.73B
Net Debt
1.37B5.04B-2.38B-17.59B-7.49B4.40B
Total Liabilities
47.01B64.28B71.79B65.33B56.53B52.60B
Stockholders Equity
13.11B22.95B16.68B16.39B13.86B14.38B
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
3.81B-553.50M-4.84B6.29B-133.50M1.04B
Operating Cash Flow
4.25B-39.40M-4.42B6.64B139.80M1.36B
Investing Cash Flow
-781.60M92.00M384.80M1.84B-46.80M-1.20B
Financing Cash Flow
-1.35B-1.07B-1.29B-1.19B436.90M-837.40M

Fairfax Financial Holdings Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price1945.23
Price Trends
50DMA
1999.33
Negative
100DMA
1944.83
Positive
200DMA
1762.28
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-4.97
Positive
RSI
38.64
Neutral
STOCH
17.71
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:FFH, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 1945.23 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 2034.05, below the 50-day MA of 1999.33, and above the 200-day MA of 1762.28, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -4.97 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 38.64 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 17.71 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for TSE:FFH.

Fairfax Financial Holdings Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (64)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
TSIFC
78
Outperform
C$50.72B23.4613.38%1.70%5.02%77.36%
TSMFC
75
Outperform
C$71.15B14.4511.03%4.09%7.64%9.22%
TSFFH
73
Outperform
$43.79B8.2716.48%1.14%13.82%-6.68%
TSSLF
72
Outperform
$44.64B14.9012.87%4.39%-12.72%-0.16%
TSPOW
71
Outperform
C$30.88B14.6510.36%4.67%30.81%-2.47%
TSGWO
69
Neutral
C$48.55B12.6815.52%4.34%-2.40%42.24%
64
Neutral
$13.81B10.539.19%4.25%17.27%-7.62%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TSE:FFH
Fairfax Financial Holdings
1,945.23
468.11
31.69%
TSE:SLF
Sun Life Financial
78.78
7.63
10.72%
TSE:MFC
Manulife Financial
42.06
10.69
34.06%
TSE:GWO
Great-West Lifeco
51.13
10.61
26.18%
TSE:IFC
Intact Financial Corporation
284.26
62.68
28.29%
TSE:POW
Power Corp of Canada
48.22
11.29
30.57%

Fairfax Financial Holdings Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date: Feb 13, 2025 | % Change Since: -2.74% | Next Earnings Date: May 1, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call presented a strong financial performance with record earnings and underwriting income, alongside significant growth in premiums and book value per share. However, the company faced challenges from currency fluctuations, unrealized bond losses due to rising interest rates, and significant catastrophe losses from wildfires.
Highlights
Record Underwriting Income and Earnings
Fairfax earned $3.9 billion after taxes with record underwriting income of $1.8 billion and record interest and dividend income of $2.5 billion.
Significant Growth in Book Value Per Share
Book value per share increased by 14.5%, adjusted for a $15 dividend, to $1,060.
Strong Premium Growth
Insurance and reinsurance operations wrote $32.5 billion of gross premium in 2024, an all-time high, up 12.6% versus 2023.
Favorable Reserve Development
For the 18th consecutive year, the company recorded favorable reserve development of $594 million, providing a benefit of 2.4 points on the combined ratio.
Investment Performance
Fairfax's investment return for 2024 was 6.7%, driven by increased interest and dividend income, strong share of profits of associates, and net gains on equities.
Lowlights
Currency Losses Impact
A loss of $477 million in other comprehensive income due to currency losses was reported, primarily from the strengthening of the U.S. dollar.
Unrealized Bond Losses
Unrealized losses on the bond portfolio totaled $731 million, driven by rising interest rates.
Catastrophe Losses
Fourth quarter catastrophe losses were significant, with fires in Southern California resulting in estimated net losses of $500 million to $750 million.
Company Guidance
During the 2024 year-end results call, Fairfax reported impressive financial metrics, including a $3.9 billion net income after taxes, record underwriting income of $1.8 billion, and interest and dividend income of $2.5 billion. The company's book value per share rose by 14.5% to $1,060, adjusted for a $15 dividend. The insurance and reinsurance operations wrote $32.5 billion in gross premiums, marking a 12.6% increase from 2023. Fairfax's combined ratio for the year was 92.7%, with an underwriting profit of $1.8 billion, despite $1.1 billion in catastrophe losses. The investment portfolio yielded a return of 6.7%, despite $731 million in unrealized bond losses due to rising interest rates. The company also highlighted significant acquisitions, including Sleep Country Canada and Peak Achievement, and noted a strong position for future growth in international markets.

Fairfax Financial Holdings Corporate Events

Dividends
Fairfax Financial Announces Quarterly Dividends for Preferred Shares
Neutral
Mar 3, 2025

Fairfax Financial Holdings Limited has announced the declaration of quarterly dividends for its series of preferred shares, with specific dividend amounts and payment dates provided. Additionally, the company has set the quarterly dividend rates for its floating rate preferred shares for the upcoming period. This announcement reflects Fairfax’s ongoing financial strategies and commitments to its shareholders, potentially impacting investor perceptions and market positioning.

Stock BuybackBusiness Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Fairfax Financial Holdings Achieves Record Underwriting Profit Amid Decreased Net Earnings for 2024
Neutral
Feb 13, 2025

Fairfax Financial Holdings reported a net earnings decrease to $3,874.9 million for 2024 from $4,381.8 million in 2023, despite achieving a record underwriting profit of $1.8 billion and a consolidated combined ratio of 92.7%. The company’s property and casualty operations reported strong performance with adjusted operating income of $4.8 billion. Premium growth was fueled by the acquisition of Gulf Insurance, contributing significantly to the annual figures. However, unrealized foreign currency losses impacted comprehensive income, and the company undertook significant share repurchases. Fairfax ended the year with a robust financial position, including $2.5 billion in cash and investments, underscoring its strategic focus on financial stability.

Fairfax Financial Pledges $1 Million for California Wildfire Relief
Jan 15, 2025

Fairfax Financial Holdings Limited has announced a donation of US$1 million to the American Red Cross to aid the relief efforts for the recent wildfires in Southern California. This contribution underscores Fairfax’s commitment to supporting communities in distress, reflecting its broader corporate responsibility ethos and potentially enhancing its stakeholder relations by demonstrating solidarity with affected residents.

Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.