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Leaf Mobile Inc (TSE:EAGR)
:EAGR

Leaf Mobile Inc (EAGR) AI Stock Analysis

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Leaf Mobile Inc

(OTC:EAGR)

Rating:48Neutral
Price Target:
Leaf Mobile Inc's stock score is primarily affected by its financial challenges, including declining revenues and profitability issues. The technical analysis indicates a bearish trend, and valuation metrics highlight significant concerns due to unprofitability. While the recent corporate event is a positive development, it is not enough to significantly alter the overall risk profile.
Positive Factors
Financial Flexibility
With C$8.3M of cash on the balance sheet, up nearly 60.0% from year-end 2023 levels, the company has the flexibility to increase marketing spend, driving customer acquisition, if warranted.
Revenue Growth
New games and game features expected to drive accelerating revenue growth from current levels.
Share Repurchase
The company also continues to repurchase EAGR shares, which is viewed as a vote of confidence in the business.
Negative Factors
Marketing Spend Impact
Increased marketing spend should result in increasing revenue beginning in 3Q24.
Profitability Targets
A forward EV/revenue multiple of 0.6x for a cash-generating business with adj. EBITDA margins approaching 25.0% in 2025 offers an attractive risk-reward for investors.
Revenue Growth Timeline
The return to more meaningful revenue growth in 2025 is seen as an inflection point, which should begin to attract new investors to undervalued EAGR shares.

Leaf Mobile Inc (EAGR) vs. iShares MSCI Canada ETF (EWC)

Leaf Mobile Inc Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionLeaf Mobile Inc (EAGR) is a leading mobile game company specializing in the development and publishing of free-to-play mobile games. The company operates primarily in the mobile gaming sector, offering a diverse portfolio of entertaining games that cater to various audiences. Leaf Mobile Inc focuses on creating engaging and immersive gaming experiences, leveraging innovative game mechanics and high-quality graphics to attract and retain users.
How the Company Makes MoneyLeaf Mobile Inc generates revenue primarily through a free-to-play model, which includes in-app purchases and advertising. Players can download and play the games for free, but they have the option to purchase virtual goods or currency to enhance their gaming experience. This microtransaction model is a significant revenue stream, as it encourages user spending on game enhancements, character upgrades, and customizations. Additionally, the company monetizes its games through in-game advertisements, partnering with ad networks to display ads to users. These ads can be in the form of banners, interstitials, or rewarded video ads, where users can earn in-game rewards by watching advertisements. Strategic partnerships with other gaming companies and platforms also contribute to Leaf Mobile's revenue, expanding their distribution channels and user base.

Leaf Mobile Inc Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 13, 2025
(Q3-2024)
|
% Change Since: -4.55%|
Next Earnings Date:Aug 19, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call reflects a largely positive sentiment, with multiple highlights including revenue growth, profitable game launches, increased cash reserves, and strategic partnerships. The only notable lowlight was the impact of share buybacks on cash reserves, which is seen as a strategic investment by the company.
Q3-2024 Updates
Positive Updates
Revenue Growth
Achieved a top line revenue of $21.4 million, marking a 3% growth year-over-year and a 4% growth quarter-over-quarter.
Positive Impact of Power Rangers Mighty Force
The launch of Power Rangers Mighty Force led to an increase in daily active users and positive revenue-to-user acquisition spend ratio, making it the highest-ARPDAU game in the portfolio.
Increased Cash Balance and Profitability
Ended Q3 with $8.3 million in cash, an 11% increase from Q2, and achieved eighth consecutive quarter of net profit over $2.5 million.
Strong Season Pass Revenue
Increased the cadence of season passes, resulting in a 40% increase in revenue across several games.
Successful Cross-Platform Event
The Intergalactic Friendship Day crossover event led to significant organic traffic increase and was one of the top-performing ARPDAU events.
Entry into Epic Games Store
Partnership with Epic Games Store to offer games with a favorable revenue-sharing model, promising to boost revenue.
Expansion of RuPaul's Drag Race Franchise
Announcement of RuPaul's Drag Race Match Queen, showing promising player retention and building on the previous success.
Negative Updates
Share Buyback Impact on Cash Balance
Spent over $2 million on share buybacks, which impacted the cash balance although the company sees it as a strategic move.
Company Guidance
During the Q3 2024 earnings call for East Side Games Group, the company reported a top-line revenue of $21.4 million, marking a 3% year-over-year and 4% quarter-over-quarter growth, alongside an adjusted EBITDA of $2.56 million with a 12% margin. The company maintained robust metrics, including an average daily active user count of 236,000, a stickiness rate of 24%, and an ARPDAU of $0.99. The quarter also saw the launch of Power Rangers Mighty Force, which quickly became the highest-ARPDAU game in their portfolio. East Side Games ended the quarter with an $8.3 million cash balance, a significant increase from the previous quarter, and continued its share buyback program, purchasing over 2 million shares at an average price of $0.66. The company announced strategic initiatives like launching on the Epic Games Store and the development of new games, including RuPaul's Drag Race Match Queen, set for release in early 2025.

Leaf Mobile Inc Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Leaf Mobile Inc demonstrates a mixed financial performance with strengths in operational efficiency and capital structure. However, declining revenues, profitability challenges, and inconsistent cash flow generation highlight potential risks. The company's lack of debt is a positive aspect, yet achieving stable revenue growth and profitability remains critical for future success.
Income Statement
45
Neutral
Leaf Mobile Inc experienced fluctuating revenues with a negative trajectory, as seen in the TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) data showing a decline from the previous year. Gross profit margin remains relatively healthy, yet net profit margin is negative, indicating challenges in achieving profitability. The EBITDA margin suggests some operational efficiency improvements, but overall earnings remain under pressure.
Balance Sheet
65
Positive
The balance sheet is relatively stable with no debt, which is a positive aspect. However, a declining equity base and a decrease in total assets highlight potential risks. Return on equity remains negative, reflecting challenges in generating shareholder returns. The equity ratio is strong, indicating a solid capital structure.
Cash Flow
55
Neutral
Cash flow from operations shows improvement, yet free cash flow growth is inconsistent. The free cash flow to net income ratio is positive, which indicates cash generation capacity, but operating cash flow to net income is volatile. This inconsistency in cash flow generation could pose challenges for future investments.
Breakdown
Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
83.12M86.98M116.28M93.19M31.09M
Gross Profit
50.77M54.33M59.71M59.91M2.02M
EBIT
-492.65K979.33K-7.84M-3.23M-5.30M
EBITDA
9.25M12.11M22.76M4.70M20.45M
Net Income Common Stockholders
-925.21K86.67K10.76M-1.88M-4.34M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
7.55M5.24M5.71M9.24M7.20M
Total Assets
62.57M69.46M80.25M82.35M21.01M
Total Debt
0.000.00870.00K131.20K305.59K
Net Debt
-7.55M-5.24M-4.79M-9.11M-6.90M
Total Liabilities
15.71M20.57M31.73M58.31M10.19M
Stockholders Equity
46.86M48.88M48.52M24.03M10.82M
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
4.18M912.05K5.91M-86.22K2.29M
Operating Cash Flow
8.38M1.57M10.02M1.02M2.37M
Investing Cash Flow
-4.21M-660.94K-4.12M8.02M1.11M
Financing Cash Flow
-1.86M-1.33M-9.49M-4.21M3.69M

Leaf Mobile Inc Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price0.42
Price Trends
50DMA
0.40
Positive
100DMA
0.43
Negative
200DMA
0.55
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
<0.01
Positive
RSI
51.84
Neutral
STOCH
57.56
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:EAGR, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 0.42 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 0.42, above the 50-day MA of 0.40, and below the 200-day MA of 0.55, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of <0.01 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 51.84 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 57.56 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for TSE:EAGR.

Leaf Mobile Inc Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
TSSCR
77
Outperform
C$6.75B9.5212.43%3.81%796.07%-35.52%
TSYOO
71
Outperform
C$5.31M9.7754.59%2.87%
63
Neutral
C$36.11M22.3615.79%7.31%
61
Neutral
$14.56B5.82-4.02%6.41%2.72%-31.67%
TSTGO
50
Neutral
C$23.84M-170.20%0.38%7.22%
48
Neutral
C$34.25M9.66-6.91%-4.44%-638.10%
40
Underperform
$7.96M-105.94%-61.29%12.95%
* Communication Services Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TSE:EAGR
Leaf Mobile Inc
0.42
-0.40
-48.78%
TSE:YOO
Yangaroo
0.09
0.05
112.50%
TSE:SCR
Strathcona Resources
31.50
1.10
3.62%
TSE:TGO
TeraGo Inc.
1.19
-0.76
-38.97%
TSE:KDOZ
Kidoz Inc
0.28
0.07
33.33%
TSE:EGLX
Enthusiast Gaming Holdings
0.05
-0.09
-62.96%

Leaf Mobile Inc Corporate Events

Product-Related AnnouncementsBusiness Operations and Strategy
East Side Games Group Launches ‘RuPaul’s Drag Race Match Queen’
Positive
Apr 24, 2025

East Side Games Group has announced a new collaboration with World of Wonder to launch ‘RuPaul’s Drag Race Match Queen,’ a match-3 mobile game inspired by the world of drag. The game, which follows the success of ‘RuPaul’s Drag Race Superstar,’ offers players the chance to unlock exclusive rewards through a Community Rewards Challenge. This launch is expected to strengthen ESGG’s position in the mobile gaming market by leveraging the popular RuPaul’s Drag Race brand, potentially attracting a wide audience and increasing engagement through unique gameplay and regular updates.

Spark’s Take on TSE:EAGR Stock

According to Spark, TipRanks’ AI Analyst, TSE:EAGR is a Neutral.

Leaf Mobile Inc’s stock score reflects challenges in financial performance, evidenced by declining revenues and profitability issues despite a solid capital structure. Technical analysis points to a bearish trend, further weighing on the score. The negative P/E ratio highlights valuation concerns, as the company struggles with unprofitability. Overall, the stock presents significant risks, with limited positive indicators to counterbalance these challenges.

To see Spark’s full report on TSE:EAGR stock, click here.

Financial Disclosures
East Side Games Group to Release Q4 2024 Financial Results
Neutral
Mar 17, 2025

East Side Games Group announced that it will release its financial results for the fourth quarter and year ending December 31, 2024, on March 24, 2025. This announcement could provide insights into the company’s operational performance and future business outlook, potentially impacting its market positioning and stakeholder interests.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.