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Draganfly Inc (TSE:DPRO)
:DPRO

Draganfly (DPRO) AI Stock Analysis

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Draganfly

(NASDAQ:DPRO)

51Neutral
Draganfly's stock score is weighed down by significant financial challenges such as stagnant revenue and persistent losses. However, the company's strategic partnerships, recent board appointments, and operational advancements offer optimism for future growth, balancing the technical and valuation concerns.
Positive Factors
Government Policy
The U.S. government is considering the ban of drones from partially state-backed China-based company DJI, which could unlock considerable demand for qualified competitors like DPRO.
Production Capacity
The company has successfully increased production capacity, putting the business in a more favorable position to win larger production contracts in the future.
Valuation
DPRO trades at 0.4x 2025E revenue vs. a small/microcap peer average of 2.0x, indicating an attractive valuation.
Negative Factors
Competition
High levels of industry competition from peers with much greater resources pose a risk to the company.
EBITDA Performance
Lower than expected revenue and lower gross margin and higher operating expense all resulted in an adj. EBITDA loss of C$3.4M, below the C$2.9M loss estimate.
Revenue Performance
4Q24 revenue was C$1.6M, below the C$2.0M estimate and down sequentially from C$1.9M in 3Q24.

Draganfly (DPRO) vs. S&P 500 (SPY)

Draganfly Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionDraganfly Inc. (DPRO) is a prominent developer and manufacturer of cutting-edge drone technology and solutions. The company operates within the aerospace and defense sectors, providing an array of drone products and services that include advanced unmanned aerial vehicles (UAVs), drone software, and artificial intelligence-driven data solutions. Draganfly's offerings are utilized across various industries, including public safety, agriculture, industrial inspections, and environmental monitoring, positioning it as a leader in drone innovation and application.
How the Company Makes MoneyDraganfly makes money through the sale of its UAV products and the provision of related services. The company's key revenue streams include the direct sale of drones to commercial, governmental, and law enforcement clients, as well as the licensing of its proprietary drone software and AI technologies. Additionally, Draganfly generates income through service agreements, which involve the deployment of its drones for specific projects such as surveillance, mapping, and environmental assessments. Strategic partnerships with technology firms and government agencies also contribute to Draganfly's earnings by expanding its market reach and application scope.

Draganfly Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Draganfly's financial performance faces challenges with declining revenues and persistent losses. Despite a modest improvement in equity position, operational inefficiencies and cash flow deficits remain significant issues.
Income Statement
35
Negative
The income statement shows a declining revenue trend with a decrease from $6.55M in 2023 to $5.86M in TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months). Gross profit margin also fell significantly, while the net profit margin remains negative, indicating persistent losses. The EBIT and EBITDA margins reflect operational inefficiencies, and the company has yet to achieve profitability.
Balance Sheet
45
Neutral
The balance sheet reveals moderate debt levels with a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.12 in TTM. However, the equity ratio has improved to 51.1%, suggesting a stronger equity base relative to assets compared to previous periods. Despite these improvements, the company’s low return on equity and declining asset base pose concerns.
Cash Flow
40
Negative
The cash flow statement indicates negative free cash flow, although there is a minor improvement from the previous year. Operating cash flow remains negative, highlighting ongoing cash burn in operations. The operating cash flow to net income ratio suggests cash flow challenges, with heavy reliance on financing activities for liquidity.
Breakdown
TTMDec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020Dec 2019
Income StatementTotal Revenue
5.86M6.55M7.61M7.05M4.36M1.38M
Gross Profit
1.14M2.06M790.67K2.64M1.76M1.16M
EBIT
-13.80M-22.39M-26.15M-22.30M-7.12M-3.34M
EBITDA
-13.38M-21.85M-26.88M-18.97M-7.87M-3.29M
Net Income Common Stockholders
-13.34M-23.61M-29.16M-13.16M-9.39M-11.27M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
101.79K3.09M7.89M23.08M1.98M2.43M
Total Assets
504.82K8.33M14.64M42.11M7.10M3.22M
Total Debt
2.05M875.08K465.21K582.44K256.04K136.07K
Net Debt
1.95M-2.22M-7.43M-22.49M-1.73M-2.29M
Total Liabilities
4.64M7.92M3.60M7.19M3.25M1.03M
Stockholders Equity
-4.13M407.72K11.04M34.93M3.85M2.19M
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
-9.41M-19.26M-16.43M-22.22M-5.16M-3.98M
Operating Cash Flow
-9.26M-18.77M-16.35M-22.00M-5.14M-3.89M
Investing Cash Flow
-30.68K-379.58K768.65K-3.31M516.42K-27.75K
Financing Cash Flow
10.83M14.45M-48.10K46.27M4.17M6.27M

Draganfly Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price3.64
Price Trends
50DMA
3.76
Negative
100DMA
4.55
Negative
200DMA
3.33
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.10
Negative
RSI
51.21
Neutral
STOCH
92.03
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:DPRO, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 3.64 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 3.59, below the 50-day MA of 3.76, and above the 200-day MA of 3.33, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.10 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 51.21 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 92.03 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for TSE:DPRO.

Draganfly Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
63
Neutral
$4.14B11.235.47%215.40%4.10%-8.63%
51
Neutral
C$19.43M-572.74%0.09%68.46%
TSRPX
48
Neutral
C$35.08M-151.65%-56.27%
TSFLT
44
Neutral
C$73.29M-53.83%484.19%-10.68%
TSUAV
27
Underperform
C$1.80M
15.84%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TSE:DPRO
Draganfly
3.64
3.27
883.78%
TSE:FLT
Drone Delivery Canada
0.16
-0.05
-26.19%
TSE:UAV
Global UAV Technologies Ltd
0.77
0.62
413.33%
TSE:RPX
Red Pine Exploration
0.12
-0.08
-40.00%

Draganfly Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date: Mar 27, 2025 | % Change Since: -16.70% | Next Earnings Date: May 13, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
Draganfly's earnings call reflected significant growth in certain areas, particularly in Q4 revenue and strategic partnerships, but was offset by ongoing comprehensive losses and margin decreases. The company has managed to secure notable board members and FAA waivers, indicating strong future potential, though financial challenges remain.
Highlights
Q4 Revenue Surge
Q4 revenue increased by 76% year-over-year, indicating strong growth and an ability to meet market demand after increasing capacity.
FAA Waivers and Medical Delivery Program
Received FAA waivers to operate over moving vehicles in Boston for a medical delivery program with Mass Brigham General, showcasing leadership in drone delivery services.
NDAA-Compliant FlexForce FPV System
Successfully launched the NDAA-compliant FlexForce FPV system, which is now operational in theaters, highlighting improved product offerings.
Significant Board Appointments
Former Acting Secretary of Defense Chris Miller and former Chief of Staff of the White House Andy Card have joined the Board, enhancing leadership and governance.
Increase in Cash Balance
Cash balance increased to $6.25 million from $3.1 million, improving liquidity and financial stability.
Lowlights
Comprehensive Losses
Total comprehensive loss for the year was $14.06 million, although an improvement from last year's $23.7 million loss.
Gross Margin Decrease
Adjusted gross margin decreased from 36.5% to 30.9% year-over-year, attributed to inventory write-downs and changes in product sales mix.
Quarter-over-Quarter Revenue Decline
Q4 revenue decreased by 14% compared to Q3, mainly due to lower product sales.
Operational Capacity Constraints
Revenue growth was constrained earlier in the year due to capacity limits, which were only addressed towards the end of Q3.
Company Guidance
During the Draganfly earnings call for Q4 and the full year of 2024, the company provided several key financial metrics. The annual revenue was reported at $6.56 million, with a gross profit of $1.39 million, resulting in a gross margin of 21.3%, adjusted to just under 31% after accounting for noncash write-downs. The cash balance at the end of the year stood at $6.25 million. The company highlighted a 76% year-over-year increase in Q4 revenue, although annual revenue remained flat due to capacity constraints. The comprehensive loss for the year was $14.06 million, a significant improvement from the previous year's loss of $23.7 million. Draganfly also mentioned receiving FAA waivers for operations in Boston and introduced several new board members, including former high-profile government officials. The company expressed optimism about future growth and profitability within the next 18 to 24 months.

Draganfly Corporate Events

Product-Related AnnouncementsBusiness Operations and Strategy
Draganfly Partners with SafeLane Global for Landmine Mapping Drones
Positive
Apr 10, 2025

Draganfly Inc. has entered into a multi-year agreement with SafeLane Global, becoming the preferred provider of landmine mapping drones and aerial survey services. This partnership, which includes the first Ukraine landmine aerial survey contract, aims to enhance the speed, accuracy, and safety of explosive threat detection and removal operations, positioning Draganfly as a significant player in the defense and humanitarian sectors.

Spark’s Take on TSE:DPRO Stock

According to Spark, TipRanks’ AI Analyst, TSE:DPRO is a Neutral.

Draganfly’s stock score is primarily weighed down by significant financial challenges, including stagnant revenue and persistent losses. Technical indicators suggest a bearish trend, and the company’s valuation remains unattractive due to negative earnings. However, strategic partnerships and board appointments offer some optimism for future growth.

To see Spark’s full report on TSE:DPRO stock, click here.

Product-Related AnnouncementsBusiness Operations and Strategy
Draganfly Partners with Balko Technologies for Advanced LiDAR Drone Solutions
Positive
Apr 9, 2025

Draganfly Inc. has entered into an agreement with Balko Technologies to integrate advanced modular LiDAR drone solutions, marking a significant expansion in their product offerings. This partnership positions Draganfly as the primary UAS provider for Balko, enhancing their reach across North America and providing customers with advanced aerial mapping and data collection tools. The collaboration is expected to expand access to cutting-edge drone technology for industrial, energy, and environmental monitoring applications, with multiple orders already placed for the Draganfly Commander 3XL paired with Balko’s Connectiv LiDAR sensor.

Spark’s Take on TSE:DPRO Stock

According to Spark, TipRanks’ AI Analyst, TSE:DPRO is a Neutral.

Draganfly’s overall score reflects significant financial challenges including stagnant revenue and persistent losses, which are the most pressing issues. Technical indicators suggest a bearish trend. While strategic partnerships and board appointments offer optimism, the company’s valuation remains unattractive due to negative earnings.

To see Spark’s full report on TSE:DPRO stock, click here.

Executive/Board ChangesPrivate Placements and FinancingBusiness Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Draganfly Reports Revenue Growth and Strategic Initiatives in 2024
Neutral
Mar 27, 2025

Draganfly Inc. reported a 76% year-over-year increase in fourth-quarter revenue, with total 2024 revenue showing a modest rise due to late-year demand fulfillment in the military and public safety sectors. Despite a decrease in gross profit and comprehensive losses, the company is advancing its strategic initiatives, including a $3.76 million direct offering to support growth and production scaling. Draganfly is also enhancing its industry positioning through successful proof-of-concept drone delivery projects, participation in UAV events, and leadership updates, including the appointment of Andy Card to its Advisory Board.

Shareholder MeetingsBusiness Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Draganfly Announces Shareholder Update Call for March 27, 2025
Neutral
Mar 26, 2025

Draganfly Inc. announced a shareholder update call scheduled for March 27, 2025, where CEO Cameron Chell will discuss the company’s 2024 milestones and 2025 outlook. CFO Paul Sun will present the Q4 2024 financial results and a full-year review, highlighting the company’s strategic initiatives and financial performance.

Executive/Board ChangesBusiness Operations and Strategy
Draganfly Appoints Former U.S. Secretary of Defense to Board
Positive
Mar 20, 2025

Draganfly Inc. has announced the appointment of Christopher C. Miller, former Acting U.S. Secretary of Defense, to its Board of Directors. Miller’s extensive experience in defense and intelligence is expected to guide Draganfly’s strategic initiatives in the government, defense, and aerospace sectors, strengthening its position as a leader in North American-made drone solutions for defense, law enforcement, and public safety.

Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.