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Denison Mines (TSE:DML)
TSX:DML

Denison Mines (DML) AI Stock Analysis

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Denison Mines

(TSX:DML)

47Neutral
Denison Mines' financial struggles with profitability and cash flow overshadow its strong equity base. Technical indicators point to a downtrend, with high beta indicating risk. Valuation concerns persist due to negative earnings. However, recent corporate events involving strategic board changes and project advancements provide a potential upside, somewhat improving the outlook.
Positive Factors
Financial Strength
Denison has one of the strongest balance sheets for funding its relatively modest capital requirements.
Industry Developments
Most recent developments have been positive for uranium, including announcements of another wave of new nuclear reactors in China and an agreement to restart Three Mile Island in the U.S.
Valuation
Denison now offers one of the most attractive P/NPV's at 0.9x with clear near-term catalysts.
Negative Factors
Project Timeline
The company targets first production in 2027/2028, which could see upside to estimates.

Denison Mines (DML) vs. S&P 500 (SPY)

Denison Mines Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionDenison Mines Corp. engages in the acquisition, exploration, development, extraction, processing, selling of, and investing in uranium properties in Canada. Its flagship project is the 95% interest owned Wheeler River uranium project located in the Athabasca Basin region in northern Saskatchewan. The company was formerly known as International Uranium Corporation and changed its name to Denison Mines Corp. in December 2006. Denison Mines Corp. was founded in 1997 and is headquartered in Toronto, Canada.
How the Company Makes MoneyDenison Mines makes money primarily through the exploration and development of uranium properties. Its key revenue streams include the sale of uranium concentrates produced from its mining operations, strategic partnerships, and joint ventures with other mining companies. The company also generates income through royalties and management services related to its investments in other uranium projects. Additionally, Denison Mines may earn revenue from strategic divestments of certain assets or stakes in projects when deemed beneficial. The company's focus on innovative mining techniques and strategic alliances enhances its ability to maximize resource extraction and revenue generation.

Denison Mines Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Denison Mines is experiencing significant financial challenges. The income statement shows declining revenues and profitability, with negative margins indicating operational inefficiencies. The balance sheet remains stable due to strong equity and no debt, but profitability issues are evident. Cash flow analysis reveals negative operating and free cash flow, highlighting ongoing financial strain.
Income Statement
27
Negative
Denison Mines has experienced a significant decline in revenue and profitability. The TTM data shows a negative gross profit margin, net profit margin, and EBIT margin, indicating operational inefficiencies and substantial losses. Revenue growth is negative, reflecting a sharp downturn compared to previous periods. These factors suggest financial instability and challenges in revenue generation.
Balance Sheet
45
Neutral
Denison Mines maintains a strong equity position with zero total debt, resulting in a favorable debt-to-equity ratio. However, the company's return on equity has turned negative in the TTM period due to considerable net losses, marking a decline in profitability. The equity ratio remains strong, suggesting a stable financial structure despite profitability concerns.
Cash Flow
30
Negative
The cash flow analysis reveals a negative operating cash flow and free cash flow, highlighting ongoing cash challenges. The operating cash flow to net income and free cash flow to net income ratios reflect inefficiencies in converting income into cash. The negative free cash flow growth rate further underscores the financial strain.
Breakdown
TTMDec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020Dec 2019
Income StatementTotal Revenue
-2.64M1.85M16.95M20.00M14.42M15.55M
Gross Profit
-13.67M-2.04M5.57M7.38M4.09M1.32M
EBIT
-43.91M-48.90M-39.33M-23.62M-18.04M-24.31M
EBITDA
-67.14M97.27M18.81M21.68M-10.89M-15.60M
Net Income Common Stockholders
-27.14M90.38M14.35M18.98M-16.28M-18.14M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
13.27M141.45M58.94M78.44M41.65M8.19M
Total Assets
904.79M726.60M515.80M510.28M320.69M300.00M
Total Debt
19.22M417.00K576.00K508.00K615.00K1.00M
Net Debt
5.94M-130.64M-50.34M-63.49M-24.38M-7.19M
Total Liabilities
149.66M84.82M79.78M113.59M93.41M89.85M
Stockholders Equity
755.13M641.78M436.02M396.69M227.28M210.15M
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
-44.13M-33.90M-35.01M-22.48M-13.76M-19.73M
Operating Cash Flow
-37.23M-30.67M-28.14M-21.25M-13.48M-18.80M
Investing Cash Flow
8.38M-719.00K-6.76M-99.00M305.00K-921.00K
Financing Cash Flow
73.00M111.18M20.96M159.82M30.51M4.71M

Denison Mines Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price1.82
Price Trends
50DMA
2.13
Negative
100DMA
2.54
Negative
200DMA
2.56
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.08
Negative
RSI
32.56
Neutral
STOCH
8.44
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:DML, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 1.82 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 1.93, below the 50-day MA of 2.13, and below the 200-day MA of 2.56, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.08 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 32.56 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 8.44 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for TSE:DML.

Denison Mines Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (57)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
57
Neutral
$7.56B4.34-4.83%6.50%-0.19%-64.60%
TSDML
47
Neutral
$1.54B33.39-4.64%
TSFSY
45
Neutral
C$99.02M-12.23%54.70%
TSLAM
28
Underperform
C$162.11M-6.64%-34.39%
* Energy Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TSE:DML
Denison Mines
1.82
-1.05
-36.59%
CCJ
Cameco
40.84
-7.48
-15.48%
URG
UR-Energy
0.68
-1.01
-59.76%
TSE:FSY
Forsys Metals
0.56
-0.38
-40.43%
TSE:LAM
Laramide Resources
0.65
-0.08
-10.96%
NXE
NexGen Energy
4.64
-3.19
-40.74%

Denison Mines Corporate Events

Financial DisclosuresRegulatory Filings and Compliance
Denison Mines Files 2024 Annual Report, Strengthening Regulatory Compliance
Positive
Mar 28, 2025

Denison Mines Corp. announced the filing of its 2024 Annual Report on Form 40-F with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission, which includes comprehensive financial and operational details for the year. This filing is a critical step for Denison, as it underscores the company’s ongoing commitment to transparency and regulatory compliance, potentially enhancing its credibility and attractiveness to investors and stakeholders in the uranium sector.

Executive/Board ChangesBusiness Operations and Strategy
Denison Mines Strengthens Board with Strategic Appointments
Positive
Mar 20, 2025

Denison Mines Corp. has appointed Ken Hartwick, former CEO of Ontario Power Generation, and Jinsu Baik, a senior manager from Korea Hydro Nuclear Power, to its Board of Directors. These appointments are expected to enhance the board’s expertise in nuclear power generation and support Denison’s strategic initiatives, including the execution and marketing of its Phoenix project. The changes follow the retirement of long-serving director Brian Edgar, who contributed significantly to the company’s strategic direction and governance.

Business Operations and StrategyRegulatory Filings and Compliance
Denison Mines Advances Phoenix Project Amid Strong Uranium Market
Positive
Mar 14, 2025

Denison Mines Corp. has made significant progress in advancing its Phoenix In-Situ Recovery project, with regulatory approvals potentially allowing construction to begin in early 2026 and production by 2028. The company has secured agreements with local communities, progressed engineering efforts, and is preparing for mining restarts and exploration collaborations, positioning itself well in the evolving uranium market.

Business Operations and StrategyRegulatory Filings and Compliance
Denison Mines Advances Wheeler River Project with CNSC Hearing Schedule
Positive
Feb 27, 2025

Denison Mines Corp. announced the Canadian Nuclear Safety Commission has scheduled public hearings for the Wheeler River Uranium Project, marking the final step in federal approval for the project’s Environmental Assessment and Licence. This development reduces uncertainty in the project’s timeline, allowing Denison to plan for construction of the Phoenix In-Situ Recovery project, with potential commencement in early 2026 and first production by 2028. The announcement follows key regulatory milestones achieved in 2024, indicating strong support from CNSC staff for the project’s advancement.

Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.