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Dream Industrl REIT (TSE:DIR.UN)
TSX:DIR.UN

Dream Industrl REIT (DIR.UN) AI Stock Analysis

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Dream Industrl REIT

(TSX:DIR.UN)

73Outperform
Dream Industrial REIT's overall stock score reflects its solid financial performance and attractive valuation. The company's strong revenue growth, profitability, and prudent management are key strengths. Technical analysis indicators suggest some caution due to mixed signals and weak momentum. The attractive dividend yield adds to the overall appeal, making the stock a decent option for income-oriented investors, despite some concerns regarding increased leverage and market challenges in specific regions.
Positive Factors
Earnings Growth
DIR is forecasting an SP-NOI growth range of 6-8%, which is expected to translate into earnings growth of 6-9%.
Operational Performance
Funds from operations per diluted unit increased by 4.1% year-over-year, slightly above consensus expectations.
Revenue Growth
Dream Industrial REIT is well positioned to continue growing revenue as leases expire due to the gap between in-place and market rental rates.
Negative Factors
Debt Management
Interest expense is expected to rise further over the next year due to refinancing debt at market rates.
Occupancy
Same-property occupancy dropped 260 basis points year-over-year, leading to moderated growth in same-property net operating income.
Vacancy and Rent Growth
The pace of organic growth continues to moderate due to a rise in vacancy, although same-property rent growth remains healthy.

Dream Industrl REIT (DIR.UN) vs. S&P 500 (SPY)

Dream Industrl REIT Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionDream Industrial REIT is an unincorporated, open-ended real estate investment trust. As at September 30, 2020, Dream Industrial REIT owns and operates a portfolio of 266 industrial properties comprising approximately 26.6 million square feet of gross leasable area in key markets across North America and a growing presence in strong European industrial markets. Dream Industrial REIT's objective is to continue to grow and upgrade the quality of its portfolio and to provide attractive overall returns to its unitholders.
How the Company Makes MoneyDream Industrial REIT generates revenue primarily through leasing its industrial properties to a diverse range of tenants, including logistics companies, manufacturers, and retailers. The company's revenue model is based on collecting rental income from these tenants under long-term lease agreements. Additionally, Dream Industrial REIT seeks to enhance its earnings through property acquisitions, developments, and proactive asset management, which may include capital improvements and lease renewals. Strategic partnerships and joint ventures also play a significant role in expanding its portfolio and optimizing returns. The trust's earnings are further supported by its focus on maintaining high occupancy rates and leveraging its scale to achieve operational efficiencies.

Dream Industrl REIT Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Dream Industrial REIT exhibits a solid financial position characterized by significant revenue growth, strong profitability, and prudent financial management. While the balance sheet reflects increasing leverage, the company maintains a substantial equity base and sufficient cash flow to manage its obligations. Continued focus on maintaining profitability and managing debt levels will be key to sustaining its financial health.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
The company demonstrates strong financial performance with a consistent increase in revenue over the years. The gross profit margin is robust, and the net profit margin has shown improvement, indicating efficient cost management. However, the absence of EBIT data in the latest year is a minor concern. Overall, the income statement reflects a positive growth trajectory and strong profitability.
Balance Sheet
78
Positive
Dream Industrial REIT maintains a healthy balance sheet with a stable equity base. The debt-to-equity ratio is reasonable, suggesting manageable leverage relative to equity. The equity ratio indicates a strong asset base supported by equity. However, the increasing total debt over the years warrants monitoring to ensure continued solvency and financial stability.
Cash Flow
82
Very Positive
The company shows a positive trend in operating cash flow, which supports net income effectively. Free cash flow has also grown, reflecting efficient capital management. Despite fluctuations in capital expenditures, the company has managed to sustain positive free cash flow, which is crucial for ongoing investments and debt servicing.
Breakdown
Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
466.22M443.11M369.57M289.81M235.95M
Gross Profit
355.43M339.69M281.59M217.90M168.88M
EBIT
0.00303.52M287.18M232.24M148.46M
EBITDA
348.53M169.78M290.26M234.02M148.48M
Net Income Common Stockholders
259.61M104.30M705.88M608.35M200.14M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
80.28M49.92M83.80M164.01M254.94M
Total Assets
8.12B7.86B7.28B6.05B3.52B
Total Debt
2.98B2.86B2.42B2.06B1.26B
Net Debt
2.90B2.81B2.34B1.89B1.01B
Total Liabilities
3.39B3.28B2.83B2.55B1.62B
Stockholders Equity
4.73B4.57B4.45B3.50B1.90B
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
151.31M115.84M70.78M128.14M127.95M
Operating Cash Flow
295.73M302.39M218.39M174.10M135.08M
Investing Cash Flow
-113.74M-689.44M-780.36M-1.76B-644.31M
Financing Cash Flow
-151.96M356.52M487.95M1.50B317.16M

Dream Industrl REIT Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price11.38
Price Trends
50DMA
11.66
Negative
100DMA
11.90
Negative
200DMA
12.48
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.07
Positive
RSI
42.16
Neutral
STOCH
19.78
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:DIR.UN, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 11.38 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 11.61, below the 50-day MA of 11.66, and below the 200-day MA of 12.48, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.07 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 42.16 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 19.78 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for TSE:DIR.UN.

Dream Industrl REIT Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
79
Outperform
C$4.17B11.706.55%4.91%9.19%166.98%
73
Outperform
C$3.32B12.675.58%6.15%7.62%139.80%
73
Outperform
C$414.62M16.724.61%7.46%5.99%20.38%
63
Neutral
C$2.62B-2.29%6.01%-6.92%-310.05%
61
Neutral
$4.70B17.65-3.00%11.43%5.99%-19.07%
56
Neutral
C$70.65M-16.65%0.73%-2.12%-287.56%
* Real Estate Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TSE:DIR.UN
Dream Industrl REIT
11.38
-1.10
-8.81%
TSE:GRT.UN
Granite Real Estate
66.99
-6.30
-8.60%
TSE:HR.UN
H&R Real Estate ate Staple
10.05
1.64
19.50%
TSE:MR.UN
Melcor REIT
5.45
2.51
85.37%
TSE:PLZ.UN
Plaza Retail REIT
3.77
0.45
13.55%
ARESF
Artis Real Estate Investment
5.40
1.10
25.58%

Dream Industrl REIT Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date: Feb 18, 2025 | % Change Since: -2.57% | Next Earnings Date: May 6, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
Dream Industrial REIT demonstrated strong leasing activity and financial growth, particularly in North America, with significant progress in development and capital recycling initiatives. However, challenges in unplanned lease terminations and specific market fluctuations, particularly in Europe and Montreal, temper the overall positive outlook.
Highlights
Record Lease Signing Volume
Dream Industrial REIT signed over 7.3 million square feet of leases in 2024, surpassing 2023's total leasing volume. The leasing momentum continued into Q1 2025 with close to 2 million square feet of new leases signed or in advanced negotiations.
Increased In-Place Rents and NOI Growth
Average in-place rents increased by 7% in 2024, contributing to comparative properties NOI growth of 4.6% for the full year.
Development Pipeline Progress
Substantial completion of four development projects at an average expected yield on cost of 6.3%, adding 1.6 million square feet of high-quality space.
Solid Financial Performance
Reported diluted FFO per unit of $0.26 for Q4 2024, a 5.8% increase from the prior year, with a full-year increase of 2%.
Successful Capital Recycling Program
Completed $261 million of acquisitions and $140 million of dispositions, with subsequent acquisitions of $400 million in the Dream Summit venture.
Strong Occupancy Rates
In-place and committed occupancy stood at 95.8% at year-end, with a 30 basis points increase from the prior quarter and a healthy 75% tenant retention ratio.
Lowlights
Unplanned Lease Terminations
Faced challenges with 600,000 square feet of unplanned lease terminations during the year.
Montreal Market Challenges
Montreal market experienced several quarters of negative absorption, though vacancy rates have started to level off.
European Market Fluctuations
Slightly lower rental spreads of 5.6% in Europe compared to prior periods, partially due to a mix of renewals and new leases.
Company Guidance
During the Dream Industrial REIT Fourth Quarter Conference Call for fiscal year 2024, held on February 19, 2025, the company provided a comprehensive guidance for the coming quarters. Dream Industrial REIT achieved a reduction in net debt-to-EBITDA from 7.7 times last year to 7 times in 2024. Despite dealing with 600,000 square feet of unplanned lease terminations, they experienced a growth in FFO per unit and free cash flow for the fourth consecutive year. The average in-place rents increased by 7% in 2024, contributing to a 4.6% growth in comparative properties NOI. The company signed over 7.3 million square feet of leases in 2024, with in-place and committed occupancy reaching 95.8% by year-end. Dream Industrial REIT also completed $261 million in acquisitions and $140 million in dispositions. For 2025, they anticipate CPNOI growth of 6% to 8% and FFO per unit growth of 6% to 9%, with expectations for continued robust performance into 2026. The company remains focused on enhancing its portfolio through strategic initiatives, including a growing development pipeline and value-add projects like solar and data center conversions.

Dream Industrl REIT Corporate Events

Dividends
Dream Industrial REIT Announces March 2025 Distribution
Positive
Mar 20, 2025

Dream Industrial REIT announced its March 2025 monthly distribution of 5.833 cents per Unit, payable on April 15, 2025, to unitholders of record as of March 31, 2025. This announcement reflects the company’s commitment to providing secure distributions and highlights its strong financial position, supported by a high-quality portfolio and an investment-grade balance sheet.

Dividends
Dream Industrial REIT Announces February 2025 Distribution
Positive
Feb 19, 2025

Dream Industrial REIT has announced its February 2025 monthly distribution of 5.833 cents per unit, payable on March 14, 2025, to unitholders of record as of February 28, 2025. This announcement reflects the company’s focus on providing secure and consistent returns to its unitholders, supported by its high-quality portfolio and investment-grade balance sheet.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Dream Industrial REIT Reports Strong Year-End Financial Performance
Positive
Feb 19, 2025

Dream Industrial REIT reported strong financial results for Q4 2024 and the year-end, with a notable increase in diluted funds from operations per unit and net rental income. The company successfully signed over 7.3 million square feet of new leases and renewals, demonstrating robust leasing activity. The Trust also completed significant acquisitions and development projects, enhancing its portfolio with additional industrial space, which suggests a positive outlook for stakeholders.

Financial Disclosures
Dream Industrial REIT to Announce Q4 2024 Financial Results
Neutral
Jan 27, 2025

Dream Industrial REIT announced it will release its Q4 2024 financial results on February 18, 2025, followed by a conference call and webcast on February 19. This release could provide insights into the company’s performance and future outlook, impacting stakeholders’ perspectives on its market positioning and operational strategy.

DividendsBusiness Operations and Strategy
Dream Industrial REIT Declares January 2025 Distribution
Positive
Jan 22, 2025

Dream Industrial REIT announced its January 2025 monthly distribution of 5.833 cents per unit, amounting to 70 cents annualized. This distribution will be payable on February 14, 2025, to unitholders of record as of January 31, 2025. This announcement underscores the trust’s commitment to delivering secure distributions and enhancing stakeholder value through its strategically located and diversified industrial portfolio.

Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.