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Caldwell Partners (TSE:CWL)
TSX:CWL
Canadian Market

Caldwell (CWL) AI Stock Analysis

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TSE:CWL

Caldwell

(TSX:CWL)

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Outperform 73 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:73Outperform
Price Target:
C$1.00
▲(0.00% Upside)
The score is driven primarily by improving financial performance: a return to profitability, strong free cash flow, and a de-risked balance sheet. Technicals add support with an established uptrend and positive momentum indicators, while valuation is reasonable (P/E ~11.6 with a modest dividend) but not a standout catalyst.
Positive Factors
De-risked balance sheet
Low leverage and a meaningful equity cushion reduce bankruptcy and refinancing risk in cyclical oilfield services. This balance-sheet strength supports multi-cycle resilience, preserves capital flexibility for R&D or selective acquisitions, and enables sustained investment through downcycles.
Strong cash generation and FCF conversion
High free-cash-flow conversion indicates earnings reliably translate into cash, enabling durable reinvestment in product development, maintenance of service capabilities, and optional debt paydown or shareholder returns. This cash generation underpins long-term operational stability.
Return to profitability and revenue growth
Re-establishing positive operating and net income after a downturn indicates recovery in core demand and improved operational control. Sustained profitability allows the firm to rebuild reserves, fund R&D and service capabilities, and pursue strategic initiatives over multiple quarters.
Negative Factors
Cyclicality and volatile cash flows
Pronounced cash-flow volatility reflects dependence on upstream activity and lumpy project timing. Over time this can force reactive capital decisions, constrain consistent capex and R&D spending, and increase the likelihood of cost cuts or balance-sheet actions during downturns.
Thin margins and below-peak returns
Modest ROE and compressed operating/net margins limit the company's ability to self-fund growth and absorb cost inflation. Persistently thin margins reduce competitive slack, making it harder to invest in differentiation or withstand pricing pressure from larger equipment suppliers.
Upstream sector demand sensitivity
Concentrated exposure to upstream oil and gas ties revenue to capital spending cycles and commodity prices. Structural demand swings produce lumpy order books and longer visibility gaps, complicating capacity planning and risking underutilized manufacturing or service teams during extended downturns.

Caldwell (CWL) vs. iShares MSCI Canada ETF (EWC)

Caldwell Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionThe Caldwell Partners International Inc. provides candidate research and sourcing services in Canada, the United States, and the United Kingdom. It also offers retained executive search and Caldwell analytics solutions, and on-demand talent acquisition augmentation solutions, as well as professional search services. In addition, the company offers Agile talent solutions, such as blockchain, cybersecurity, diversity and inclusion, and value creation advisory. It serves to real estate, consumer, commercial banking, academic, non-profit, social enterprise, culture, retail, e-commerce, financial services, industrial, insurance, life science, healthcare, private equity, venture capital, professional services, and technology sectors. The company was founded in 1970 and is headquartered in Toronto, Canada.
How the Company Makes MoneyCaldwell generates revenue through multiple streams, primarily from the sale of its precision tools and equipment to manufacturers across various sectors. The company's key revenue streams include direct sales of cutting tools, tool holders, and custom-engineered solutions. Additionally, Caldwell may engage in service contracts and maintenance agreements with clients, providing ongoing support and upgrades for their tooling systems. Significant partnerships with major industrial players and distributors enhance Caldwell's market reach and contribute to its earnings. The company's emphasis on research and development also allows it to introduce new products that cater to evolving industry needs, thereby driving sales growth.

Caldwell Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Caldwell demonstrates solid financial performance with improvements in revenue growth and cash flow generation. The company maintains a strong balance sheet with low leverage, though profitability margins are under pressure.
Income Statement
64
Positive
Caldwell's income statement shows a positive revenue growth rate of 9.9% in the latest year, indicating a recovery from previous declines. The gross profit margin improved to 21.3%, reflecting efficient cost management. However, the net profit margin decreased to 2.5%, suggesting increased expenses or lower pricing power. The EBIT and EBITDA margins have also declined, indicating potential operational challenges.
Balance Sheet
73
Positive
The balance sheet reflects a stable financial position with a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.20, indicating low leverage and financial risk. The return on equity is 7.3%, showing moderate profitability. The equity ratio is 42.5%, suggesting a strong equity base relative to assets, which enhances financial stability.
Cash Flow
78
Positive
Caldwell's cash flow statement shows a significant improvement in free cash flow growth at 180.1%, indicating enhanced cash generation capabilities. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is 1.42, suggesting efficient cash conversion. The free cash flow to net income ratio of 1.26 further supports strong cash flow management.
BreakdownDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue104.06M87.15M96.93M156.16M119.77M
Gross Profit22.21M17.69M16.22M34.65M29.12M
EBITDA5.91M9.03M-10.37M13.70M8.30M
Net Income2.56M4.19M-11.30M8.18M4.52M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets82.35M68.75M84.64M91.29M87.13M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments20.56M19.63M22.05M35.67M29.21M
Total Debt7.17M6.50M21.80M22.14M10.60M
Total Liabilities47.38M36.63M56.92M56.22M61.38M
Stockholders Equity34.97M32.13M27.72M35.06M25.75M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow3.24M772.00K-11.39M6.63M24.52M
Operating Cash Flow3.63M1.23M-11.22M7.10M24.88M
Investing Cash Flow-4.83M-1.67M-3.60M-1.92M-3.92M
Financing Cash Flow-2.07M-1.91M664.00K499.00K-5.93M

Caldwell Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price1.00
Price Trends
50DMA
0.91
Positive
100DMA
0.80
Positive
200DMA
0.77
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.02
Positive
RSI
56.65
Neutral
STOCH
22.22
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:CWL, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 1 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 1.02, above the 50-day MA of 0.91, and above the 200-day MA of 0.77, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.02 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 56.65 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 22.22 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for TSE:CWL.

Caldwell Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
73
Outperform
C$30.03M11.221.88%1.72%3.96%
63
Neutral
$10.79B15.437.44%2.01%2.89%-14.66%
53
Neutral
C$46.64M-81.61-1.07%9.30%-151.79%
52
Neutral
C$22.35M18.373.19%0.38%
47
Neutral
C$15.41M-38.06-2.57%-1.50%-180.73%
45
Neutral
C$42.92M273.260.25%4.92%-1.00%-71.94%
43
Neutral
C$45.75M-4.36-2067.79%-48.39%9.17%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TSE:CWL
Caldwell
1.03
-0.13
-11.51%
TSE:AEP
Atlas Engineered Products Ltd
0.71
-0.54
-43.20%
TSE:DYA
dynaCERT
0.10
-0.08
-45.71%
TSE:REKO
Reko International
4.48
0.80
21.74%
TSE:TLA
Titan Logix
0.59
-0.11
-15.71%
TSE:SECU
SSC Security Services
2.35
-0.12
-4.86%

Caldwell Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyDividendsFinancial Disclosures
Caldwell Delivers Strong Q1 2026 Growth as Dubai Expansion Costs Temper Profit
Positive
Jan 7, 2026

Caldwell Partners reported strong first-quarter fiscal 2026 results, with consolidated professional fees rising to $29.1 million from $21.2 million a year earlier and revenue climbing to $29.3 million, driving gross profit to $5.9 million and operating profit to $0.9 million. Net earnings improved to $0.6 million, or $0.020 per share, as robust client hiring demand and increased executive search activity supported growth, despite higher costs of sales and share-based compensation expenses. Management highlighted that profitability was tempered by startup costs tied to launching a new Dubai office, including legal, administrative, recruiting and integration expenses for new partners, investments aimed at extending the firm’s global footprint and supporting long-term growth. The company also reported stronger executive search bookings versus the prior year and reiterated its focus on selective partner hiring, disciplined cost control, and capital return to shareholders, underscored by the declaration of a quarterly dividend of $0.01 per common share.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:CWL) stock is a Hold with a C$1.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Caldwell stock, see the TSE:CWL Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyDividendsFinancial Disclosures
Caldwell Reports Strong Fiscal 2025 Results and Boosts Dividend
Positive
Nov 21, 2025

Caldwell Partners International Inc. reported a strong financial performance for the fourth quarter and full fiscal year 2025, with significant increases in professional fees and revenues. The company experienced a 44% rise in professional fees for Caldwell and a 28% increase for IQTalent, reflecting higher partner productivity and client activity. This growth, despite economic uncertainties, has led to a 300% increase in the quarterly dividend, showcasing the company’s confidence in its business outlook and cash-flow strength. The focus on growth, operational efficiency, and disciplined capital allocation is expected to continue driving profitable performance and delivering sustained value to shareholders.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:CWL) stock is a Hold with a C$0.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Caldwell stock, see the TSE:CWL Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jan 10, 2026