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CCL Industries Inc Class B (TSE:CCL.B)
TSX:CCL.B

CCL Industries (CCL.B) AI Stock Analysis

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TSE:CCL.B

CCL Industries

(TSX:CCL.B)

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Outperform 73 (OpenAI - 5.2)
,
Outperform 73 (OpenAI - 5.2)
,
Outperform 73 (OpenAI - 5.2)
,
Outperform 73 (OpenAI - 5.2)
,
Outperform 73 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:73Outperform
Price Target:
C$93.00
▲(11.24% Upside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:02/27/26
The score is driven primarily by strong financial performance (healthy margins, accelerating TTM growth, and reasonable leverage), supported by positive technical trend and momentum. This is tempered by only fair cash conversion and a moderate valuation with a modest dividend yield.
Positive Factors
Operating & EBITDA Margins
Sustained mid-teens operating margins and ~20% EBITDA show durable pricing power and cost control across label, film and security segments. These margins support reinvestment, resilience through cycles and the ability to fund higher-value product development and customer service.
Accelerating Revenue Growth
A marked acceleration in TTM revenue growth signals stronger underlying demand and successful pricing or share gains across CCL's global end markets. Sustained top-line momentum improves economies of scale, supports margin retention and strengthens long-term customer relationships.
Reasonable Leverage & Strong ROE
Moderate leverage (D/E ~0.47) with a ~15% ROE indicates efficient capital deployment and financial flexibility. This balance-sheet posture supports investment in capacity, M&A or working-capital needs without excessive solvency risk, preserving strategic optionality.
Negative Factors
Mixed Cash Conversion
FFO/earnings conversion is uneven: FCF covers ~66% of net income and operating cash sits well below EBITDA. Persistent working-capital drag or below-the-line cash items can constrain free cash for buybacks, dividends or capex and increase sensitivity to cycle changes.
Net Margin Compression
A decline in net margin despite stable operating profitability suggests rising below-the-line costs (interest, tax, non-op items). If persistent, this reduces retained earnings and free cash, limiting financial flexibility and returns to shareholders over the medium term.
EPS Growth Weakness
Negative EPS growth indicates earnings per share have declined recently, which may reflect dilution, margin pressure, or non-operational headwinds. Continued EPS weakness can limit reinvestment capacity and signals that profit gains haven't fully translated to shareholder-level earnings.

CCL Industries (CCL.B) vs. iShares MSCI Canada ETF (EWC)

CCL Industries Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionCCL Industries Inc. engages in manufacture and sale of labels, and provides media and software solutions. It operates through four segments: CCL, Avery, Checkpoint, and Innovia. The CCL segment offers pressure sensitive and extruded film materials for decorative, instructional, security, and functional applications in the consumer packaging, healthcare, chemicals, consumer durables, electronic device, and automotive markets. This segment also provides extruded and labeled plastic tubes, aluminum aerosols and specialty bottles, folded instructional leaflets, precision decorated and die cut components, electronic displays, polymer banknote substrate, and other complementary products and services. The Avery segment offers printable media products, including address and shipping labels, marketing and product identification labels, indexes and dividers, business cards, and name badges supported by customized software solutions; and organizational products, such as binders, sheet protectors, and writing instruments. This segment also provides direct to consumer digitally imaged media products, such as labels, business cards, name badges, and family oriented identification labels supported by unique web-enabled e-commerce URLs. The Checkpoint segment offers technology-driven loss-prevention, inventory management, and labelling solutions, including radio frequency and radio-frequency identification solutions to retail and apparel industries. The Innovia segment provides specialty, high-performance, multi-layer, and surface engineered biaxially oriented polypropylene films for pressure sensitive label materials, flexible packaging, and consumer packaged goods industries. It operates in Canada, the United States, Puerto Rico, Latin America, Europe, Asia, Africa, and Australia. The company was founded in 1951 and is headquartered in Toronto, Canada.
How the Company Makes MoneyCCL Industries makes money primarily by manufacturing and selling labels, packaging materials, and related specialty products and services to brand owners and retailers. A major revenue stream is the production of pressure-sensitive and specialty labels (e.g., decorative, functional, and information labels) that are typically ordered by consumer and healthcare brands for use on finished goods; revenue is generated per unit produced under customer supply agreements and ongoing replenishment programs tied to customers’ product volumes. Through its Avery division, CCL earns revenue from the sale of office, home, and consumer labeling products (such as printable labels and related products) distributed through retail and commercial channels. Through Checkpoint, the company generates revenue from retail loss-prevention and merchandise visibility solutions, including RFID and electronic article surveillance (EAS) components (e.g., tags/labels) and related systems sold to retailers and brand owners; recurring demand can be driven by ongoing tag/label consumption in addition to equipment and solution sales. Innovia contributes by selling specialty packaging films used in label and packaging applications, with revenue linked to film volumes and mix. CCL Secure contributes by selling secure identification and authentication products (e.g., security printing and related materials/solutions) where revenue is generated from the manufacture of specialized, higher-value secure items. Across the portfolio, earnings are influenced by manufacturing scale, long-term customer relationships with multinational brand owners, product mix (higher value-added specialty labels/films/security products), raw material input costs, and global production footprint that supports local supply for large customers.

CCL Industries Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 13, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:May 13, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call reflected a balanced outlook with notable achievements in sales growth, improved cash flow, and shareholder returns, contrasted by challenges such as increased tax rates, tariff impacts, and net debt rise. Despite these challenges, the company maintains a strong position in the market.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Sales and Operating Income Growth
Sales increased by 4.8% reaching $1.9 billion compared to the previous year's $1.8 billion, with a 5% increase in operating income excluding foreign currency effects.
Improved Free Cash Flow
Free cash flow from operations was $226 million in Q2 2025, significantly up from $118.8 million in Q2 2024, driven by improved earnings and reduced capital expenditures.
Shareholder Returns
The company repurchased approximately 1.3 million shares for $100 million and announced a 10.3% increase in annual dividends, returning a total of $312.1 million to shareholders in 2025.
Strong Segment Performance
CCL segment saw 4.7% organic growth, with strong performance in the HPC business and CCL Design. Innovia showed strong performance in the Americas and improved results in the U.K.
Negative Updates
High Effective Tax Rate
The effective tax rate increased to 25.3% in Q2 2025, up from 18.8% in Q2 2024, impacting net earnings.
Impact of Tariffs
Tariffs affected Avery and Checkpoint segments, with approximately $4 million impact on Avery due to high China content and $1 million on Checkpoint due to Chinese imports.
Net Debt Increase
Net debt rose by $15 million to $1.63 billion as of June 30, 2025, due to higher total debt outstanding.
German Plant Start-up Costs
$3.8 million loss incurred due to start-up costs at the German plant, with limited revenues expected until 2026.
Company Guidance
In CCL Industries' second quarter of 2025 investor update, the company reported a 4.8% increase in sales, reaching $1.9 billion, driven by 2% organic growth, 1% acquisition-related growth, and a 1.8% positive impact from currency translation. Operating income rose by 5% to $322.1 million, excluding currency effects. Notably, net earnings were $213.1 million, down from $279.5 million the previous year, primarily due to a $78.1 million noncash revaluation gain in 2024. Excluding this gain, net earnings were $201.4 million, highlighting a 6.9% increase in net income for the first half of 2025. The company's effective tax rate increased to 25.3% from 18.8% in the prior year, excluding the revaluation gain. EBITDA grew 6%, and free cash flow from operations surged to $226 million from $118.8 million. The company reported a slight increase in net debt to $1.63 billion, maintaining a strong balance sheet with a leverage ratio of 1.04x. Adjusted earnings per Class B share increased by 8% to $1.22, supported by improved operating income, favorable currency translation, and reduced net finance costs. CCL Industries returned $312.1 million to shareholders, through share repurchases and dividends, and plans $485 million in capital expenditure for 2025.

CCL Industries Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Strong fundamentals overall: solid profitability (about 15% operating margin and ~20% EBITDA margin) and sharply improved TTM revenue growth. Balance sheet leverage appears reasonable (debt-to-equity ~0.47) with attractive ROE (~15%). Offsetting factors include a modest net margin decline versus 2024 and mixed cash conversion (FCF ~two-thirds of net income; OCF meaningfully below EBITDA).
Income Statement
78
Positive
TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) results show solid profitability with gross margin near 30% and operating profitability remaining strong (about 15% operating margin and ~20% EBITDA margin). Revenue growth accelerated sharply in TTM versus the prior annual period, signaling strong demand and/or effective pricing. A key weakness is that net margin slipped versus 2024 (TTM ~10.7% vs. 2024 ~11.6%), suggesting some pressure from below-the-line items even as operating performance improved.
Balance Sheet
74
Positive
Leverage looks reasonable and stable for the industry, with debt-to-equity around ~0.47 in TTM (broadly in line with recent years and improved versus 2020). Equity has grown steadily alongside assets, supporting balance sheet flexibility. Return on equity remains attractive (~15% in TTM), though it is down modestly from 2024, implying profitability did not keep pace with the expanding equity base.
Cash Flow
70
Positive
Cash generation is healthy, with operating cash flow and free cash flow both rising in TTM and free cash flow up strongly versus the prior year. However, cash conversion is a bit mixed: free cash flow covers only about two-thirds of net income in TTM, and operating cash flow is meaningfully below EBITDA, indicating working-capital and/or cash tax/interest headwinds. Overall cash flow quality is good but not pristine.
BreakdownDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue7.66B7.25B6.65B6.38B5.73B
Gross Profit2.30B2.14B1.91B1.72B1.59B
EBITDA1.62B1.43B1.27B1.18B1.13B
Net Income802.40M843.10M530.20M622.70M599.10M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets10.10B9.86B8.92B8.66B7.63B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments998.20M828.70M774.20M839.50M602.10M
Total Debt2.41B2.45B2.28B2.36B1.85B
Total Liabilities4.46B4.58B4.30B4.40B3.88B
Stockholders Equity5.64B5.28B4.62B4.27B3.75B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow863.20M601.90M541.70M545.60M514.90M
Operating Cash Flow1.30B1.06B1.00B992.80M838.70M
Investing Cash Flow-437.70M-600.30M-768.00M-706.60M-541.30M
Financing Cash Flow-709.50M-424.30M-295.20M-72.60M-370.00M

CCL Industries Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price83.60
Price Trends
50DMA
86.57
Negative
100DMA
84.92
Negative
200DMA
81.63
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.80
Positive
RSI
38.84
Neutral
STOCH
15.68
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:CCL.B, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 83.6 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 87.92, below the 50-day MA of 86.57, and above the 200-day MA of 81.63, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.80 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 38.84 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 15.68 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for TSE:CCL.B.

CCL Industries Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
77
Outperform
C$2.62B14.2210.45%7.11%3.19%-0.26%
73
Outperform
C$14.49B18.8814.55%1.46%7.12%17.15%
69
Neutral
C$1.97B16.267.69%8.22%-2.45%44.20%
65
Neutral
C$89.02M7.4910.80%19.66%-4.69%
61
Neutral
$18.38B12.79-2.54%3.03%1.52%-15.83%
60
Neutral
C$314.60M18.4110.96%
53
Neutral
C$1.09B18.011.16%3.90%3.50%
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TSE:CCL.B
CCL Industries
83.60
12.69
17.90%
TSE:RIC
Richards Packaging
27.94
1.68
6.39%
TSE:SXP
Supremex
3.65
0.33
9.91%
TSE:TCL.B
Transcontinental Inc. Class B
25.00
8.23
49.03%
TSE:WPK
Winpak
44.60
5.16
13.08%
TSE:CAS
Cascades
10.74
1.10
11.35%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Feb 27, 2026