Birchcliff Energy (TSE:BIR)
TSX:BIR
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Birchcliff Energy
(TSX:BIR)
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Rating:61Neutral
Price Target:
C$6.00
▲(2.74% Upside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:03/15/26
The score is driven primarily by a moderately solid but cyclical financial profile—positive recent net income, improved 2025 operating cash flow, and moderate leverage, offset by historically volatile profitability/free cash flow and rising debt versus 2022. Technicals are mildly supportive with the price above key averages, but near-term overbought signals cap upside. Valuation is less supportive due to a negative P/E and only a modest dividend yield.
Positive Factors
Balance sheet solidity
Birchcliff's balance sheet shows industry-appropriate resilience: equity remains sizable and debt-to-equity has historically been low (recently ~0.17–0.31). This provides durable financial flexibility to fund operations, access capital, and absorb commodity shocks over months.
Negative Factors
Rising debt trend
A multifold increase in nominal debt since 2022 reduces financial flexibility and raises refinancing and interest-rate risk. Higher leverage narrows capacity for growth capex or distributions and makes the company more vulnerable to prolonged commodity price weakness over the medium term.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Balance sheet solidity
Birchcliff's balance sheet shows industry-appropriate resilience: equity remains sizable and debt-to-equity has historically been low (recently ~0.17–0.31). This provides durable financial flexibility to fund operations, access capital, and absorb commodity shocks over months.
Read all positive factors
Birchcliff Energy (BIR) vs. iShares MSCI Canada ETF (EWC)
Market Cap
C$1.61B
Dividend Yield1.59%
Average Volume (3M)2.07M
Price to Earnings (P/E)31.4
Beta (1Y)0.33
Revenue Growth-9.76%
EPS Growth374.65%
CountryCA
Employees231
SectorEnergy
Sector Strength52
IndustryOil & Gas Exploration & Production
Share Statistics
EPS (TTM)0.10
Shares Outstanding274,881,040
10 Day Avg. Volume2,146,110
30 Day Avg. Volume2,069,490
Financial Highlights & Ratios
PEG Ratio2.20
Price to Book (P/B)0.91
Price to Sales (P/S)2.93
P/FCF Ratio20.74
Enterprise Value/Market CapN/A
Enterprise Value/RevenueN/A
Enterprise Value/Gross ProfitN/A
Enterprise Value/EbitdaN/A
Forecast
1Y Price Target
C$8.13Price Target Upside39.13% Upside
Rating ConsensusModerate Buy
Number of Analyst Covering4
EPS Forecast (FY)0.45
Revenue Forecast (FY)C$842.00M
Birchcliff Energy Business Overview & Revenue Model
Company Description
Birchcliff Energy Ltd., an intermediate oil and natural gas company, acquires, explores for, develops, and produces natural gas, light oil, condensate, and natural gas liquids in Western Canada. The company holds interests in the Montney/Doig reso...
How the Company Makes Money
Birchcliff Energy makes money by producing and selling hydrocarbons—primarily natural gas, along with NGLs and light oil/condensate—into commodity markets. Revenue is largely a function of (1) production volumes and product mix (gas vs. liquids), ...
Birchcliff Energy Financial Statement Overview
Summary
Income Statement
62
Positive
Balance Sheet
68
Positive
Cash Flow
57
Neutral
| Breakdown | Dec 2025 | Dec 2024 | Dec 2023 | Dec 2022 | Dec 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Income Statement | |||||
| Total Revenue | 695.60M | 601.44M | 699.93M | 1.20B | 877.34M |
| Gross Profit | 162.77M | 309.52M | 406.52M | 922.45M | 616.53M |
| EBITDA | 384.50M | 358.45M | 268.88M | 1.09B | 648.14M |
| Net Income | 64.87M | 56.10M | 9.78M | 656.83M | 314.68M |
Balance Sheet | |||||
| Total Assets | 3.54B | 3.56B | 3.25B | 3.24B | 3.19B |
| Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments | 35.00K | 50.00K | 55.00K | 74.00K | 63.00K |
| Total Debt | 618.70M | 686.93M | 384.71M | 145.57M | 554.57M |
| Total Liabilities | 1.30B | 1.36B | 1.03B | 826.41M | 1.27B |
| Stockholders Equity | 2.24B | 2.20B | 2.23B | 2.41B | 1.92B |
Cash Flow | |||||
| Free Cash Flow | 98.23M | -82.69M | 12.53M | 556.73M | 282.89M |
| Operating Cash Flow | 406.00M | 200.31M | 320.53M | 925.27M | 515.37M |
| Investing Cash Flow | -313.56M | -293.36M | -338.86M | -338.54M | -247.38M |
| Financing Cash Flow | -92.46M | 93.05M | 18.32M | -586.73M | -267.98M |
Birchcliff Energy Technical Analysis
Negative
5.84
Price Trends
6.93
Negative
7.12
Negative
6.74
Negative
Market Momentum
-0.35
Positive
28.13
Positive
12.34
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:BIR, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 5.84 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 6.86, below the 50-day MA of 6.93, and below the 200-day MA of 6.74, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.35 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 28.13 is Positive, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 12.34 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for TSE:BIR.
Birchcliff Energy Peers Comparison
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)
Name | Overall Rating | Market Cap | P/E Ratio | ROE | Dividend Yield | Revenue Growth | EPS Growth |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
86 Outperform | C$2.61B | 5.03 | 13.39% | 8.48% | -20.07% | -53.33% | |
82 Outperform | C$2.98B | 14.55 | 20.71% | 4.58% | 6.44% | -6.74% | |
65 Neutral | $15.17B | 7.61 | 4.09% | 5.20% | 3.87% | -62.32% | |
65 Neutral | C$2.61B | -2.69 | -24.89% | 4.60% | -2.32% | 70.14% | |
65 Neutral | C$2.86B | 27.14 | 8.82% | 7.05% | 2.52% | -8.32% | |
61 Neutral | C$1.61B | 31.40 | 2.90% | 1.59% | -9.76% | 374.65% | |
51 Neutral | C$1.61B | 36.95 | 3.19% | ― | 27.84% | 28.87% |
* Energy Sector Average
TSE:BIR
Birchcliff Energy
5.87
-0.06
-0.94%
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Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Disclaimer
This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.