Birchcliff Energy (TSE:BIR)
TSX:BIR
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Birchcliff Energy
(TSX:BIR)
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Rating:67Neutral
Price Target:
C$7.00
▲(19.86% Upside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:05/15/26
The score is driven primarily by solid financial footing (manageable leverage and improved TTM cash flow) and favorable valuation (low P/E with a modest dividend). Offsetting these positives, technicals are mixed with softer longer-term trend signals and slightly negative momentum, while fundamentals remain cyclical with inconsistent revenue, margins, and free cash flow.
Positive Factors
Manageable Leverage
Debt at ~0.28x equity and declining total debt versus 2024 indicate structural balance-sheet flexibility. A stronger equity base and lower leverage improve resilience to commodity cycles, supporting capital allocation, debt reduction, or opportunistic investments over months.
Negative Factors
Cyclical Earnings Profile
Material volatility in revenue, margins and FCF reduces predictability of cash available for reinvestment or returns. For an upstream E&P, this cyclicality forces conservative capital planning and can limit consistent dividend or growth strategies across commodity cycles.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Manageable Leverage
Debt at ~0.28x equity and declining total debt versus 2024 indicate structural balance-sheet flexibility. A stronger equity base and lower leverage improve resilience to commodity cycles, supporting capital allocation, debt reduction, or opportunistic investments over months.
Read all positive factors
Birchcliff Energy (BIR) vs. iShares MSCI Canada ETF (EWC)
Market Cap
C$1.81B
Dividend Yield1.59%
Average Volume (3M)2.07M
Price to Earnings (P/E)7.5
Beta (1Y)0.29
Revenue Growth11.96%
EPS Growth-50.40%
CountryCA
Employees231
SectorEnergy
Sector Strength52
IndustryOil & Gas Exploration & Production
Share Statistics
EPS (TTM)0.25
Shares Outstanding274,881,040
10 Day Avg. Volume2,146,110
30 Day Avg. Volume2,069,490
Financial Highlights & Ratios
PEG Ratio2.20
Price to Book (P/B)0.91
Price to Sales (P/S)2.93
P/FCF Ratio20.74
Enterprise Value/Market CapN/A
Enterprise Value/RevenueN/A
Enterprise Value/Gross ProfitN/A
Enterprise Value/EbitdaN/A
Forecast
1Y Price Target
C$8.00Price Target Upside36.99% Upside
Rating ConsensusModerate Buy
Number of Analyst Covering3
EPS Forecast (FY)0.71
Revenue Forecast (FY)C$842.07M
Birchcliff Energy Business Overview & Revenue Model
Company Description
Birchcliff Energy Ltd., an intermediate oil and natural gas company, acquires, explores for, develops, and produces natural gas, light oil, condensate, and natural gas liquids in Western Canada. The company holds interests in the Montney/Doig reso...
How the Company Makes Money
Birchcliff Energy makes money by producing and selling hydrocarbons—primarily natural gas, along with NGLs and light oil/condensate—into commodity markets. Revenue is largely a function of (1) production volumes and product mix (gas vs. liquids), ...
Birchcliff Energy Financial Statement Overview
Summary
Income Statement
62
Positive
Balance Sheet
72
Positive
Cash Flow
70
Positive
| Breakdown | TTM | Dec 2025 | Dec 2024 | Dec 2023 | Dec 2022 | Dec 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Income Statement | ||||||
| Total Revenue | 720.41M | 695.60M | 601.44M | 699.93M | 1.20B | 877.34M |
| Gross Profit | 314.71M | 162.77M | 309.52M | 406.52M | 922.45M | 616.53M |
| EBITDA | 370.17M | 384.50M | 358.45M | 268.88M | 1.09B | 648.14M |
| Net Income | 69.11M | 64.87M | 56.10M | 9.78M | 656.83M | 314.68M |
Balance Sheet | ||||||
| Total Assets | 3.48B | 3.54B | 3.56B | 3.25B | 3.24B | 3.19B |
| Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments | 80.00K | 35.00K | 50.00K | 55.00K | 74.00K | 63.00K |
| Total Debt | 534.21M | 618.70M | 686.93M | 384.71M | 145.57M | 554.57M |
| Total Liabilities | 1.17B | 1.30B | 1.36B | 1.03B | 826.41M | 1.27B |
| Stockholders Equity | 2.31B | 2.24B | 2.20B | 2.23B | 2.41B | 1.92B |
Cash Flow | ||||||
| Free Cash Flow | 200.65M | 98.23M | -82.69M | 12.53M | 556.73M | 282.89M |
| Operating Cash Flow | 432.69M | 406.00M | 200.31M | 320.53M | 925.27M | 515.37M |
| Investing Cash Flow | -309.80M | -313.56M | -293.36M | -338.86M | -338.54M | -247.38M |
| Financing Cash Flow | -122.89M | -92.46M | 93.05M | 18.32M | -586.73M | -267.98M |
Birchcliff Energy Technical Analysis
Negative
5.84
Price Trends
6.93
Negative
7.12
Negative
6.74
Negative
Market Momentum
-0.35
Positive
28.13
Positive
12.34
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:BIR, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 5.84 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 6.86, below the 50-day MA of 6.93, and below the 200-day MA of 6.74, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.35 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 28.13 is Positive, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 12.34 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for TSE:BIR.
Birchcliff Energy Peers Comparison
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)
Name | Overall Rating | Market Cap | P/E Ratio | ROE | Dividend Yield | Revenue Growth | EPS Growth |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
78 Outperform | C$3.16B | 21.48 | 18.54% | 4.58% | -3.35% | -30.86% | |
73 Outperform | C$2.92B | 20.28 | 8.82% | 7.05% | -7.99% | -44.67% | |
71 Outperform | C$2.60B | 104.50 | 13.39% | 8.48% | -14.73% | 123.98% | |
67 Neutral | C$1.81B | 7.50 | 2.90% | 1.59% | 11.96% | -50.40% | |
65 Neutral | $15.17B | 7.61 | 4.09% | 5.20% | 3.87% | -62.32% | |
61 Neutral | C$1.69B | 15.88 | 6.59% | ― | 11.26% | ― | |
60 Neutral | C$2.69B | -5.03 | -33.68% | 4.60% | -7.04% | -2448.68% |
* Energy Sector Average
TSE:BIR
Birchcliff Energy
6.59
0.19
3.00%
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10.05
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17.62
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96.37%
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13.30
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122.74%
TSE:FRU
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55.26%
TSE:PXT
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27.11
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130.51%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Disclaimer
This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.