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Birchcliff Energy (TSE:BIR)
TSX:BIR

Birchcliff Energy (BIR) AI Stock Analysis

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TSE:BIR

Birchcliff Energy

(TSX:BIR)

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Neutral 61 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:61Neutral
Price Target:
C$8.50
▲(8.01% Upside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:03/15/26
The score is driven primarily by a moderately solid but cyclical financial profile—positive recent net income, improved 2025 operating cash flow, and moderate leverage, offset by historically volatile profitability/free cash flow and rising debt versus 2022. Technicals are mildly supportive with the price above key averages, but near-term overbought signals cap upside. Valuation is less supportive due to a negative P/E and only a modest dividend yield.
Positive Factors
Focused upstream asset base
A concentrated E&P footprint in Alberta focused on natural gas, NGLs and condensate gives Birchcliff operational scale and geological expertise in its core plays. That concentrated asset base supports repeatable development workflows and lower per-well learning curves over a multi-month horizon.
Negative Factors
Rising absolute debt level
The increase in absolute debt levels since 2022 reduces financial flexibility and raises interest and refinancing exposure. Even with debt below equity, a multi-hundred-million dollar rise tightens covenants and limits capital allocation choices if commodity cash flows weaken over the coming months.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Focused upstream asset base
A concentrated E&P footprint in Alberta focused on natural gas, NGLs and condensate gives Birchcliff operational scale and geological expertise in its core plays. That concentrated asset base supports repeatable development workflows and lower per-well learning curves over a multi-month horizon.
Read all positive factors

Birchcliff Energy (BIR) vs. iShares MSCI Canada ETF (EWC)

Birchcliff Energy Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Birchcliff Energy Ltd., an intermediate oil and natural gas company, acquires, explores for, develops, and produces natural gas, light oil, condensate, and natural gas liquids in Western Canada. The company holds interests in the Montney/Doig reso...
How the Company Makes Money
Birchcliff Energy makes money by producing and selling hydrocarbons—primarily natural gas, along with NGLs and light oil/condensate—into commodity markets. Revenue is largely a function of (1) production volumes and product mix (gas vs. liquids), ...

Birchcliff Energy Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Fundamentals are sound but clearly cyclical: profitability and revenue are materially below the 2021–2022 peak, though net income remains positive (2023–2025). Balance sheet leverage is moderate with debt well below equity, but debt has risen notably since 2022. Cash flow is mixed—operating cash flow improved strongly in 2025, while free cash flow has been volatile and recently swung back to positive.
Income Statement
62
Positive
Balance Sheet
68
Positive
Cash Flow
57
Neutral
BreakdownDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue695.60M601.44M699.93M1.20B877.34M
Gross Profit162.77M309.52M406.52M922.45M616.53M
EBITDA384.50M358.45M268.88M1.09B648.14M
Net Income64.87M56.10M9.78M656.83M314.68M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets3.54B3.56B3.25B3.24B3.19B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments35.00K50.00K55.00K74.00K63.00K
Total Debt618.70M686.93M384.71M145.57M554.57M
Total Liabilities1.30B1.36B1.03B826.41M1.27B
Stockholders Equity2.24B2.20B2.23B2.41B1.92B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow98.23M-82.69M12.53M556.73M282.89M
Operating Cash Flow406.00M200.31M320.53M925.27M515.37M
Investing Cash Flow-313.56M-293.36M-338.86M-338.54M-247.38M
Financing Cash Flow-92.46M93.05M18.32M-586.73M-267.98M

Birchcliff Energy Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price7.87
Price Trends
50DMA
7.13
Positive
100DMA
7.18
Positive
200DMA
6.80
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.21
Negative
RSI
65.57
Neutral
STOCH
52.91
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:BIR, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 7.87 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 7.30, above the 50-day MA of 7.13, and above the 200-day MA of 6.80, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.21 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 65.57 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 52.91 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for TSE:BIR.

Birchcliff Energy Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
86
Outperform
C$2.59B5.035.77%8.48%-20.07%-53.33%
82
Outperform
C$3.14B14.5520.71%4.58%6.44%-6.74%
65
Neutral
$15.17B7.614.09%5.20%3.87%-62.32%
65
Neutral
C$2.95B-2.69-24.89%4.60%-2.32%70.14%
65
Neutral
C$2.89B27.148.82%7.05%2.52%-8.32%
61
Neutral
C$2.16B31.402.90%1.59%-9.76%374.65%
54
Neutral
C$1.99B36.953.19%27.84%28.87%
* Energy Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TSE:BIR
Birchcliff Energy
7.87
1.30
19.88%
TSE:AAV
Advantage Energy
11.95
1.11
10.24%
TSE:VET
Vermilion Energy
19.31
8.15
73.09%
TSE:HWX
Headwater Exploration
13.19
6.93
110.80%
TSE:FRU
Freehold Royalties
17.64
5.77
48.58%
TSE:PXT
Parex Resources
26.94
14.60
118.30%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Mar 15, 2026