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Bear Creek Mining Corporation (TSE:BCM)
:BCM

Bear Creek Mining (BCM) AI Stock Analysis

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TSE:BCM

Bear Creek Mining

(BCM)

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Neutral 51 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:51Neutral
Price Target:
C$0.66
▲(32.60% Upside)
Bear Creek Mining's overall stock score is primarily impacted by its poor financial performance, with persistent losses and high leverage posing significant risks. While technical indicators show some positive momentum, the negative valuation metrics further weigh down the score. Strategic improvements are essential for enhancing financial health and investor confidence.
Positive Factors
Revenue Growth Momentum
Sustained TTM revenue growth of ~30% indicates stronger product/asset uptake and market access. Over a 2-6 month horizon, continued top-line expansion can support scale economics, improve negotiating power for contracts and financing, and underpin a pathway to eventual profitability if costs are controlled.
Improving Free Cash Flow
A 120% improvement in free cash flow growth signals meaningful progress converting operations and investments into cash. Durably higher FCF enhances liquidity, reduces immediate financing needs, and can fund development, working capital or debt service over the medium term if the trend persists.
Advanced-stage Peruvian Assets
Holding advanced-stage silver and gold projects in Peru reduces exploration risk versus early-stage juniors. These assets shorten time-to-production and benefit from established mining infrastructure and industry expertise, improving the company's structural ability to convert resources into sustained future cash flow.
Negative Factors
High Financial Leverage
Very high leverage and negative equity create persistent solvency and refinancing risk. Over 2-6 months this limits flexibility to fund development, increases likelihood of restrictive covenants, and raises the cost and availability of new capital, constraining strategic options.
Structural Unprofitability
Deeply negative gross and net margins reflect fundamental cost or pricing deficiencies. Without structural margin recovery, losses will continue to erode capital and require external funding. Persistent unprofitability is a durable risk to viability absent operational turnaround or sustained commodity price shifts.
Negative Operating Cash Flow
Negative operating cash flow indicates core operations are not generating sufficient cash, forcing reliance on non-operational sources. This undermines sustainable cash generation, complicates debt servicing and reinvestment, and is a lasting constraint until operating cash conversion improves.

Bear Creek Mining (BCM) vs. iShares MSCI Canada ETF (EWC)

Bear Creek Mining Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionBear Creek Mining Corporation engages in the acquisition, exploration, and development of precious and base metal properties in Peru. The company explores for silver, lead, zinc, and gold deposits. Its flagship property is the Corani property that consists of 13 mineral concessions covering an area of approximately 6,500 hectares located to the southeast of Cusco, Peru. Bear Creek Mining Corporation was incorporated in 1999 and is headquartered in Vancouver, Canada.
How the Company Makes MoneyBear Creek Mining generates revenue primarily through the extraction and sale of metals, particularly silver and gold, from its mining operations. The company earns money by selling these metals to various markets, including industrial customers and precious metals investors. Key revenue streams include direct sales from its mining projects, royalties from mineral rights, and potentially strategic partnerships with other mining companies for joint ventures or resource sharing. Additionally, BCM's financial performance can be influenced by metal prices in the global market, operational efficiencies, and the successful exploration and development of new mining projects, which can lead to increased production and sales.

Bear Creek Mining Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Bear Creek Mining faces significant financial challenges across all verticals. The income statement reflects ongoing losses and negative margins, while the balance sheet shows high leverage and poor returns on equity. Cash flow analysis indicates weak cash generation, exacerbating financial instability. The company needs to address operational inefficiencies, improve cost management, and restructure its capital to enhance financial health and sustainability.
Income Statement
Bear Creek Mining's income statement shows a challenging financial position with negative margins across the board. The TTM data indicates a gross profit margin of -3.04% and a net profit margin of -60.03%, reflecting significant losses. Despite a revenue growth rate of 5.65% in the TTM, the company struggles with profitability as evidenced by negative EBIT and EBITDA margins. The consistent negative margins suggest ongoing operational inefficiencies and cost management issues.
Balance Sheet
The balance sheet reveals a high debt-to-equity ratio of 8.75 in the TTM, indicating substantial leverage and potential financial risk. Return on equity is deeply negative at -233.92%, highlighting the company's inability to generate returns for shareholders. The equity ratio stands at 5.24%, suggesting a low proportion of equity financing relative to total assets. These metrics point to financial instability and a need for improved capital structure management.
Cash Flow
Cash flow analysis shows negative free cash flow growth of -6.70% in the TTM, indicating declining cash generation capabilities. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is 0.07, suggesting weak cash flow relative to net losses. The free cash flow to net income ratio is -1.01, further emphasizing cash flow challenges. Overall, the cash flow position is concerning, with limited cash generation to support operations and debt obligations.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue106.91M103.74M89.15M61.04M0.000.00
Gross Profit-18.90M3.15M-12.26M123.00K-32.00K-33.00K
EBITDA-44.02M-27.57M10.95M803.00K-21.15M-12.65M
Net Income-98.78M-66.82M-38.98M-22.60M-22.00M-11.04M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets223.29M180.29M241.11M275.15M121.92M117.96M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments3.23M6.72M3.92M3.50M24.20M20.58M
Total Debt132.99M73.05M61.41M25.30M447.00K659.00K
Total Liabilities254.09M156.15M154.71M160.99M11.34M13.09M
Stockholders Equity-30.81M24.14M86.40M114.17M110.58M104.87M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-17.82M2.91M-17.60M-24.69M-20.92M-14.17M
Operating Cash Flow-4.74M15.49M-1.46M-10.72M-18.14M-11.01M
Investing Cash Flow-14.22M-10.62M-16.40M-16.61M-3.01M8.15M
Financing Cash Flow12.62M-2.08M18.34M6.71M24.52M12.30M

Bear Creek Mining Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price0.50
Price Trends
50DMA
0.47
Positive
100DMA
0.44
Positive
200DMA
0.32
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.05
Negative
RSI
61.02
Neutral
STOCH
62.00
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:BCM, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 0.5 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 0.58, above the 50-day MA of 0.47, and above the 200-day MA of 0.32, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.05 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 61.02 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 62.00 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for TSE:BCM.

Bear Creek Mining Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
61
Neutral
$10.43B7.12-0.05%2.87%2.86%-36.73%
57
Neutral
C$175.43M-19.85-50.60%-235.10%
52
Neutral
C$45.39M-15.2942.57%
52
Neutral
C$41.29M-31.69-1.67%
51
Neutral
C$189.11M-1.38-525.71%-4.16%-66.82%
45
Neutral
C$271.39M-90.00-6.09%8.28%87.46%
42
Neutral
C$202.62M-13.83-46.38%19.55%
* Basic Materials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TSE:BCM
Bear Creek Mining
0.65
0.27
71.05%
TSE:BHS
Bayhorse Silver
0.13
0.07
100.00%
TSE:EMO
Emerita Resources
0.70
-0.42
-37.50%
TSE:AGX
Silver X Mining
0.99
0.79
395.00%
TSE:GRSL
GR Silver Mining
0.41
0.22
118.92%
TSE:SLV
Silver Dollar Resources
0.58
0.30
110.91%

Bear Creek Mining Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyM&A Transactions
Highlander Silver and Bear Creek Mining to Merge, Forming Growth-Focused Silver Producer
Positive
Dec 19, 2025

Highlander Silver Corp. and Bear Creek Mining Corporation have agreed to merge via a plan of arrangement, creating a combined, silver-focused company anchored by Highlander’s high-grade San Luis gold-silver project in Peru and Bear Creek’s Corani silver project, one of the largest primary silver deposits globally. The new entity, led by Highlander’s management and backed by prominent institutional and strategic shareholders, will also include the Mercedes gold-silver mine in Mexico and a strong, debt-free balance sheet, enhancing its capacity to advance multiple projects, address Bear Creek’s prior liquidity and debt challenges, and position the group as a leading growth platform in the silver space with substantial exploration and development upside in South America and Mexico.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:BCM) stock is a Hold with a C$0.49 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Bear Creek Mining stock, see the TSE:BCM Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyM&A Transactions
Bear Creek Mining Sells Tassa Project to Focus on Core Assets
Positive
Dec 11, 2025

Bear Creek Mining Corporation has announced the sale of its 100% interest in the non-core Tassa Project in southern Peru to Colque Holding Pty Ltd for US$3.5 million, payable over 30 months. This transaction allows Bear Creek to focus on its core assets and secure both immediate and potential long-term value through a net smelter return royalty on minerals produced from Tassa, enhancing its strategic positioning in the mining sector.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:BCM) stock is a Hold with a C$0.48 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Bear Creek Mining stock, see the TSE:BCM Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Bear Creek Mining Faces Operational Challenges in Q3 2025
Negative
Nov 11, 2025

Bear Creek Mining reported a Q3 2025 loss of $30.8 million, primarily due to non-cash items affecting its financials. The company’s production was impacted by operational challenges at its Mercedes mine, including ventilation issues and a development deficit. Despite these setbacks, Bear Creek is actively pursuing a strategic review to enhance value and optimize resources.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:BCM) stock is a Hold with a C$0.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Bear Creek Mining stock, see the TSE:BCM Stock Forecast page.

Financial DisclosuresPrivate Placements and Financing
Bear Creek Mining Draws Additional Funds Amid Financial Pressures
Negative
Oct 9, 2025

Bear Creek Mining Corporation has drawn down US$1.2 million under its 2025 Sandstorm Note, with a total of US$5.4 million drawn to date out of a maximum US$6.5 million. The funds will be used for general working capital purposes. The company faces a working capital deficiency of US$91.7 million as of June 30, 2025, and is under pressure to achieve sufficient operating results and cash flow from its Mercedes mine to continue as a going concern.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:BCM) stock is a Buy with a C$1.25 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Bear Creek Mining stock, see the TSE:BCM Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Dec 20, 2025