Energy Infrastructure Projects
We are involved in a number of energy infrastructure projects in various stages of development and construction, which subject us to numerous risks. Success in developing each project depends on, among other things:
?our financial condition and cash flows and other factors that impact our ability to invest sufficient funds in the project, including for preliminary activities conducted before we determine whether the project is feasible or economically attractive ?project assessment and design and our ability to foresee and incorporate new and developing trends and technologies in the energy industry, such as our pursuit of projects and design solutions to help enable our and our customers' climate goals ?our ability to reach a final investment decision or meet other milestones, which may be influenced by external factors outside our control, including the global economy and energy and financial markets, actions by regulators, achieving necessary internal and external approvals, and many of the other factors described in this risk factor ?negotiation of satisfactory EPC agreements and renegotiation in the event of delays in final investment decisions or failures to meet other specified deadlines ?identification of suitable partners, customers, suppliers and other necessary counterparties ?progressing relationships from MOUs, HOAs or similar arrangements, which are non-binding, to execution of binding, definitive agreements and participation in the project ?negotiation and maintenance of satisfactory equity, purchase, sale, supply, transportation and other appropriate commercial agreements, and satisfaction of any conditions to effectiveness of such agreements, including reaching a positive final investment decision within agreed timelines ?timely receipt and maintenance of required governmental permits, licenses and other authorizations under terms we find reasonable ?our project partners', contractors', equipment providers' and other vendors' and counterparties' willingness and financial or other ability to make their required investments or fulfill their contractual commitments on a timely basis ?timely, satisfactory and on-budget completion of construction, which could be negatively affected by engineering problems, work stoppages, unavailability or increased costs of materials, equipment, labor and commodities due to inflation or supply chain or other issues, and a variety of other factors, many of which we discuss above under "Risks Related to All Sempra Businesses – Operational Risks" and elsewhere in this risk factor ?implementation of new or changes to existing laws or regulations that impact our infrastructure or the energy sector generally ?obtaining satisfactory financing for the project, particularly when inflation and interest rates are rising ?the absence of hidden defects on or inherited environmental liabilities for the site of the project ?fast and cost-effective resolution of any litigation or unsettled property rights affecting the project ?geopolitical events and other uncertainties
Any failures with respect to the above factors or other factors material to any particular project could involve additional costs, otherwise negatively affect our ability to successfully complete the project and force us to impair or write off amounts we have invested in the project. If we are unable to complete a development project, if we experience delays, or if construction, financing or other project costs exceed our estimated budgets and we are required to make additional capital contributions, we may not receive an adequate or any return on our investment and other resources expended on the project and our results of operations, financial condition, cash flows and/or prospects could be materially adversely affected.
The operation of existing facilities and any future projects we complete involves many risks, including the potential for unforeseen design flaws, engineering challenges, or the breakdown for other reasons of facilities, equipment or processes; labor disputes; fuel interruption; environmental contamination; increasing regulatory requirements, including from regulations aiming to reduce GHG emissions; and the other operational risks that we discuss above under "Risks Related to All Sempra Businesses – Operational Risks." Any of these events could lead to our facilities being idle for an extended period of time or operating below expected levels, which may result in lost revenues or increased expenses, including higher maintenance costs and penalties. Any such occurrence could materially adversely affect our results of operations, financial condition, cash flows and/or prospects.
LNG Export Projects
In addition to the risks described above that are applicable to all our energy infrastructure projects, we are exposed to additional risks in connection with our LNG export projects, including the ECA LNG Phase 1 project and PA LNG Phase 1 project under construction and our potential development of additional LNG export facilities. We discuss our LNG export projects in "Part II – Item 7. MD&A – Capital Resources and Liquidity – Sempra Infrastructure." Each of these projects faces numerous risks. Our ability to reach a final investment decision for each project and, if a positive decision is made and a project is completed, the overall success of the project depend in part on global energy markets. In general, depressed natural gas and LNG prices in the markets we intend to serve could reduce the pricing and cost advantages of exporting domestically produced natural gas and LNG, which could lead to decreased demand. In addition, global oil prices and their associated current and forward projections could reduce demand for natural gas and LNG in some sectors. Although demand for natural gas is currently strong due to increased recognition of the importance of energy security and climate aims, a reduction in natural gas demand could also occur from higher penetration of alternative fuels in new power generation, reduced economic activity in general, or as a result of calls by some to limit or eliminate global reliance on natural gas. Both the U.S. and Mexico will hold federal elections in 2024 and LNG exports face increased political scrutiny in connection with these elections. Moreover, because LNG projects take a number of years to develop and construct, it is difficult to match current and expected demand with the projected supply from projects under development. Additionally, shifts in U.S. and foreign energy policy could impact supply, demand and other matters critical to LNG projects, such as permitting and other approval processes. The current Administration has temporarily paused LNG export approvals while the DOE reviews the economic and environmental analyses it uses to evaluate LNG export applications to non-FTA countries, and the DOE has recently implemented changes to its approach to requests for extensions of time to commence LNG exports under existing non-FTA approvals. These actions, as well as other market factors such as oil prices, could delay or hamper the development of U.S. LNG export facilities and make LNG projects in other parts of the world more feasible and competitive with LNG projects in North America, thus increasing supply and competition for global LNG demand. Any of these occurrences could impact competition and prospects for developing LNG export projects and negatively affect the performance and prospects of any of our projects that are or become operational.
Our projects may face distinct disadvantages relative to some LNG projects being pursued by other project developers, including:
?The proposed Cameron LNG Phase 2 project is subject to certain restrictions and conditions under the financing agreements for the Cameron LNG Phase 1 facility and requires unanimous consent of all JV members, including with respect to the equity investment obligations of each partner. We may not be able to satisfy the conditions under the financing agreements, receive members' consent or obtain the extension of our non-FTA approval, in which case our ability to develop the Cameron LNG Phase 2 project would be jeopardized.
?The ECA LNG projects under construction and in development are subject to ongoing land and permit disputes that could obstruct efforts to find or maintain suitable partners, customers and financing arrangements and hinder or halt construction and, if the projects are completed, operations. We discuss these risks below and under "Risks Related to Sempra Infrastructure – Legal and Regulatory Risks." In addition, the Mexican regulatory process and overlay of U.S. regulation for natural gas exports to LNG facilities in Mexico are not well developed, which, among other factors, contributed to delays in obtaining a necessary permit from the Mexican government for the ECA LNG Phase 1 project and could cause similar delays or other hurdles in the future and lead to difficulties finding or maintaining suitable partners, customers and financing arrangements. Further, while we do not expect the construction or operation of the ECA LNG Phase 1 project to disrupt operations at the ECA Regas Facility, we expect construction of the proposed ECA LNG Phase 2 project would conflict with the current operations at the ECA Regas Facility, which currently has long-term regasification contracts for 100% of the regasification facility's capacity through 2028. This makes the decisions on whether, when and how to pursue the proposed ECA LNG Phase 2 project dependent in part on whether the investment in this project would, over the long term, be more beneficial financially than continuing to supply regasification services under our existing contracts. In addition, the Baja California region does not have extensive sources of natural gas, and our development opportunities in Mexico, including the proposed ECA LNG Phase 2 project, would require significant upgrades in natural gas transportation infrastructure that would be costly and time-consuming.
?The PA LNG Phase 1 project under construction and the PA LNG Phase 2 project in development are located at a greenfield site and therefore are subject to disadvantages relative to projects being constructed or developed at brownfield sites, including increased time and costs to develop and construct the projects. Additionally, in February 2020, Sempra Infrastructure filed an application with the DOE to permit LNG produced from the proposed PA LNG Phase 2 project to be exported to all current and future FTA and non-FTA countries. We do not expect the DOE to act on this application until after the conclusion of the temporary pause on the DOE's LNG export approvals.
Development of these or any other LNG export projects will depend on the expansion of our existing pipeline interconnections or the ability to permit and construct new pipeline facilities, each of which may require us to enter into additional pipeline interconnection agreements with third-party pipelines, which may not be possible on commercially reasonable terms or at all.
The capital requirements for our LNG export projects can be significant, even if we ultimately decide not to make a positive final investment decision. In addition, our proposed facilities may not be completed in accordance with estimated timelines or budgets or at all as a result of the above or other factors, and delays, cost overruns or our inability to complete one or more of these projects could have a material adverse effect on our results of operations, financial condition, cash flows and/or prospects.
Financing Arrangements
We are and may continue to become involved in various financing arrangements with respect to our energy infrastructure projects, including guarantees, indemnities and loans. These arrangements could expose us to additional risks, including exposure to losses upon the occurrence of certain events related to the development, construction, operation or financing of the applicable projects, which could have a material adverse effect on our future results of operations, financial condition, cash flows and/or prospects.