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Pandox AB (SE:PNDX.B)
:PNDX.B

Pandox AB (PNDX.B) AI Stock Analysis

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SE:PNDX.B

Pandox AB

(PNDX.B)

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Outperform 70 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:70Outperform
Price Target:
kr220.00
▲(10.00% Upside)
Action:UpgradedDate:02/07/26
The score is supported by a clear technical uptrend and reasonable valuation. The main constraint is financial risk: earnings have been cyclical/volatile and leverage has risen, with cash flow modest relative to debt despite recent improvement.
Positive Factors
Revenue Growth
Consistent revenue growth indicates a strong market position and effective business model, supporting long-term financial stability.
Operational Efficiency
Strong operational efficiency through healthy margins suggests effective cost management and robust business operations.
Stable Balance Sheet
A stable balance sheet with moderate leverage supports financial resilience and the ability to invest in growth opportunities.
Negative Factors
Declining Net Profit Margins
Decreasing net profit margins could indicate rising costs or inefficiencies, potentially impacting long-term profitability.
Cash Flow Challenges
Cash flow challenges may limit the company's ability to fund operations and growth, affecting financial health over time.
Negative Free Cash Flow Growth
Negative free cash flow growth suggests potential issues in cash generation, which could hinder future investments and expansion.

Pandox AB (PNDX.B) vs. iShares MSCI Sweden ETF (EWD)

Pandox AB Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionPandox AB (publ) owns, operates, and leases hotel properties. The company operates through Property Management and Operator Activities segments. As of March 11, 2022, it operated 157 hotels with approximately 35,500 hotel rooms in 15 countries. The company was founded in 1932 and is based in Stockholm, Sweden.
How the Company Makes MoneyPandox AB generates revenue through multiple channels, with the primary revenue streams being rental income from leased hotels and management fees from operated properties. The company enters into long-term lease agreements with hotel operators, which provide a stable and predictable income source. Additionally, Pandox earns management fees from hotels it operates directly, which are typically based on a percentage of revenue or profit. The company also engages in property development and refurbishment projects, enhancing the value of its portfolio and generating additional income through increased property valuations. Strategic partnerships with well-known hotel brands and operators further bolster its revenue potential by attracting a diverse range of guests and optimizing occupancy rates across its properties.

Pandox AB Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Recent profitability and growth are strong (2025 revenue +246.9% with very high margins), and operating/free cash flow improved in 2025. Offsetting this, results have been volatile across years and leverage increased meaningfully (debt-to-equity ~1.68), with cash flow relatively light versus total debt.
Income Statement
78
Positive
Profitability is strong in the most recent years, with 2025 showing solid revenue growth (+246.9%) and very high margins (gross margin ~56.5%, operating margin ~53.4%, net margin ~42.0%). Results also improved meaningfully from 2024 as net income nearly doubled. However, earnings have been volatile across the cycle (losses in 2020 and 2023, unusually high margins in 2022), which reduces confidence in the durability of peak profitability.
Balance Sheet
62
Positive
The balance sheet is asset-backed (total assets ~111.9B in 2025) with equity of ~33.7B, but leverage is meaningful and rising: debt to equity increased to ~1.68 in 2025 from ~1.15 in 2024 as total debt stepped up to ~56.8B. Returns on equity improved in 2025 (~9.3%) versus 2024 (~5.0%), yet the higher debt load increases sensitivity to hotel demand swings and financing conditions.
Cash Flow
55
Neutral
Cash generation is positive and improving, with 2025 operating cash flow of ~3.1B and free cash flow of ~2.0B (strong rebound versus 2024’s ~0.8B). Free cash flow covers about two-thirds of 2025 net income (~65%), which is reasonable. Offsetting this, cash flow is relatively light versus the debt balance (2025 operating cash flow is only ~15% of total debt), and historical free cash flow was negative in 2020–2021, highlighting cyclicality.
BreakdownDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue7.47B7.14B6.88B5.65B3.27B
Gross Profit4.22B3.85B3.62B3.10B1.73B
EBITDA4.32B3.96B1.87B4.36B1.46B
Net Income3.14B1.69B-585.00M4.22B610.00M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets111.89B80.69B73.21B75.22B66.80B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments1.19B1.29B769.00M1.63B1.59B
Total Debt53.05B38.70B35.63B37.09B35.66B
Total Liabilities77.92B46.99B43.48B44.28B41.38B
Stockholders Equity33.73B33.53B29.57B30.73B25.21B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow2.01B802.00M1.27B1.04B-479.00M
Operating Cash Flow3.10B1.83B2.19B2.38B430.00M
Investing Cash Flow-16.88B-4.12B-1.48B-1.64B-1.52B
Financing Cash Flow13.76B2.70B-1.70B-806.00M93.00M

Pandox AB Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price200.00
Price Trends
50DMA
194.44
Negative
100DMA
192.81
Negative
200DMA
182.20
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-1.88
Positive
RSI
43.14
Neutral
STOCH
49.91
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For SE:PNDX.B, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 200 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 191.79, above the 50-day MA of 194.44, and above the 200-day MA of 182.20, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -1.88 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 43.14 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 49.91 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for SE:PNDX.B.

Pandox AB Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (55)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
70
Outperform
kr36.47B12.586.23%2.15%2.86%
70
Outperform
kr24.38B29.653.94%2.27%1.72%
67
Neutral
kr27.30B12.649.74%3.60%5.18%349.60%
63
Neutral
kr25.17B-74.62-0.92%2.39%-3.46%
58
Neutral
kr20.52B25.453.82%2.20%-1.77%1579.70%
55
Neutral
$6.65B3.83-15.92%6.20%10.91%7.18%
53
Neutral
kr18.09B33.5721.87%5.28%1.45%34.85%
* General Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
SE:PNDX.B
Pandox AB
187.40
11.66
6.63%
SE:FABG
Fabege AB
80.00
-0.05
-0.06%
SE:HUFV.A
Hufvudstaden AB
125.40
11.71
10.30%
SE:WIHL
Wihlborgs Fastigheter AB
88.80
-5.28
-5.61%
SE:ATRLJ.B
Atrium Ljungberg AB Class B
32.09
-1.35
-4.04%
SE:SHOT
Scandic Hotels Group AB
84.10
7.20
9.36%

Pandox AB Corporate Events

Pandox Lifts Earnings and Asset Value on Dalata Deal Despite Higher Leverage
Feb 5, 2026

Pandox AB closed 2025 with solid operational growth and a transformative acquisition, underscoring its strategy of expanding its hotel property portfolio in Europe. In the fourth quarter, revenue from leases rose 22% and net operating income from both leases and own operations increased strongly, while headline EBITDA dipped slightly due to substantial transaction and financing costs tied to the acquisition of Dalata Hotel Group plc; adjusted for these one-offs, EBITDA and cash earnings showed robust double-digit growth. For the full year, total revenue and net operating income increased, profit nearly doubled to SEK 3.2 billion driven in part by an acquisition gain of SEK 1.6 billion from Dalata, and EPRA NRV per share grew 7.3% adjusted for dividends, with the property portfolio’s market value climbing 20%. The Dalata deal, which adds 31 investment properties in Ireland and the UK and is reported as if the related hotel operating platform divestment to Scandic were already completed, significantly boosts net asset value and reinforces Pandox’s position in the European hotel real estate market, albeit at the cost of higher leverage, with loan-to-value rising to 52.7% and net debt/EBITDA to 11.8x. The board proposes a higher dividend of SEK 4.50 per share, and management notes that exposure to the financially distressed Revo Hospitality Group in Germany is expected to have only a limited impact, signalling confidence in cash flows despite a slightly weaker interest coverage ratio of 2.6x.

The most recent analyst rating on ($SE:PNDX.B) stock is a Hold with a SEK201.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Pandox AB stock, see the SE:PNDX.B Stock Forecast page.

Pandox Completes EUR 19 Million Divestment of Crowne Plaza Antwerp
Feb 2, 2026

Pandox AB has completed the previously announced divestment of the Crowne Plaza Antwerp hotel, including both the property and operating business, for approximately EUR 19 million. The 262-room hotel, which generated around EUR 11 million in revenue in 2024 and was reported within Pandox’s Own Operations segment, will now leave the group’s portfolio, marking a continued reshaping of its asset base and revenue mix as the company refines its focus on core holdings and leasing model.

The most recent analyst rating on ($SE:PNDX.B) stock is a Hold with a SEK201.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Pandox AB stock, see the SE:PNDX.B Stock Forecast page.

Pandox Sets Date for 2025 Year-End Report and Market Briefing
Jan 22, 2026

Pandox AB will publish its year-end report for the period January–December 2025 on 5 February 2026, followed by a webcasted telephone conference where management will present the results and take questions from investors and analysts. The event will also feature independent market presentations by STR International and Benchmarking Alliance on international and Nordic hotel market data, underscoring Pandox’s emphasis on transparency and providing stakeholders with broader industry context around the company’s performance.

The most recent analyst rating on ($SE:PNDX.B) stock is a Hold with a SEK201.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Pandox AB stock, see the SE:PNDX.B Stock Forecast page.

Pandox Plays Down Impact of German Tenant Revo’s Insolvency
Jan 20, 2026

Pandox AB has moved to address tenant risk in Germany after Revo Hospitality Group, formerly HR Group and one of its German tenants, entered a self-administration procedure under the German Insolvency Act following rapid expansion. The Swedish hotel property owner emphasized that its exposure is limited to leases on nine German hotels with 1,859 rooms—around 4% of its total room stock—primarily branded Dorint and Mercure, and backed by bank guarantees equal to a year’s rent. Pandox is already evaluating alternative options for these assets, including finding new tenants or operating the hotels itself during any transition, and currently expects only limited financial impact and no change to the properties’ valuations, underscoring the resilience of its portfolio and business model for stakeholders.

The most recent analyst rating on ($SE:PNDX.B) stock is a Hold with a SEK201.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Pandox AB stock, see the SE:PNDX.B Stock Forecast page.

Pandox AB Announces Capital Markets Day in London
Dec 8, 2025

Pandox AB has announced a Capital Markets Day event scheduled for May 5, 2026, in London, United Kingdom. The event will include presentations and a tour of hotel properties, including those recently acquired from the Dalata portfolio. This event highlights Pandox’s strategic focus on expanding its presence in the hotel property market and engaging with stakeholders to showcase its portfolio and future growth plans.

The most recent analyst rating on ($SE:PNDX.B) stock is a Hold with a SEK205.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Pandox AB stock, see the SE:PNDX.B Stock Forecast page.

Pandox AB to Divest Crowne Plaza Antwerp for Strategic Reinvestment
Dec 2, 2025

Pandox AB has announced the divestment of Crowne Plaza Antwerp in Belgium for approximately MEUR 19, with the transaction expected to close in February 2026. This strategic move is aimed at reallocating capital towards investments with higher returns, as the current land lease expires in 2042 and offers limited development opportunities within Pandox’s business model.

The most recent analyst rating on ($SE:PNDX.B) stock is a Hold with a SEK205.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Pandox AB stock, see the SE:PNDX.B Stock Forecast page.

Pandox Celebrates 30 Years of Hotel Market Day with Future-Focused Theme
Nov 18, 2025

Pandox is celebrating the 30th anniversary of its Hotel Market Day, an event that has become a key forum for industry leaders to discuss past developments and future drivers in the hotel market. This year’s theme, ’30 years passed, 30 years forward,’ emphasizes both historical insights and future challenges, fostering a collaborative environment for generating new ideas and understanding within the hotel industry.

The most recent analyst rating on ($SE:PNDX.B) stock is a Hold with a SEK190.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Pandox AB stock, see the SE:PNDX.B Stock Forecast page.

Pandox AB Completes Strategic Acquisition of Dalata Hotel Group
Nov 10, 2025

Pandox AB has completed the acquisition of Dalata Hotel Group plc, strengthening its position as a leading hotel property owner in Europe. The acquisition, valued at approximately MEUR 1,700, enhances Pandox’s market presence in the UK and Ireland and is expected to significantly boost rental income and cash earnings. The transaction involves a strategic partnership with Scandic Hotel Group, which will operate the acquired properties under long-term leases. This move is anticipated to create substantial value for Pandox and its stakeholders, with an increase in earnings and net asset value.

The most recent analyst rating on ($SE:PNDX.B) stock is a Hold with a SEK190.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Pandox AB stock, see the SE:PNDX.B Stock Forecast page.

Pandox AB Completes Acquisition of Dalata Hotel Group
Nov 7, 2025

Pandox AB has successfully completed the acquisition of Dalata Hotel Group plc through a scheme of arrangement, with the transaction becoming effective on November 7, 2025. This acquisition is expected to enhance Pandox’s market position in the hotel industry by expanding its portfolio and operational capabilities, with the cancellation of Dalata’s shares on Euronext Dublin and the London Stock Exchange anticipated shortly after the completion.

The most recent analyst rating on ($SE:PNDX.B) stock is a Hold with a SEK190.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Pandox AB stock, see the SE:PNDX.B Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Feb 07, 2026