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PowerCell Sweden AB (SE:PCELL)
:PCELL

PowerCell Sweden AB (PCELL) AI Stock Analysis

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SE:PCELL

PowerCell Sweden AB

(PCELL)

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Neutral 46 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:46Neutral
Price Target:
kr20.50
▼(-27.56% Downside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:02/06/26
The score is held back primarily by weak financials (ongoing losses and negative operating/free cash flow, plus a 2025 revenue pullback) and bearish technicals (price far below key moving averages with negative momentum). The earnings call provides a partial offset with evidence of improved profitability (positive full-year EBITDA) and order momentum, but valuation remains constrained by negative earnings and no dividend support.
Positive Factors
Improved Profitability & Positive EBITDA
Delivering positive full‑year EBITDA and materially improved margins demonstrates management's ability to extract operating leverage and tighten cost control. This progress reduces reliance on short-term financing, supports a defendable breakeven near SEK 400m, and improves the durability of cash needs during scale-up.
Dominant Marine Market Position
An estimated 80–85% share in its marine addressable segment gives PowerCell a durable competitive moat in that niche. High share supports repeat orders, pricing leverage and industrialized production benefits, providing a reliable revenue backbone even as other verticals scale more slowly.
Supportive Balance Sheet & Lower Leverage
Low leverage, falling debt and sizable equity provide financial flexibility to fund R&D and commercialization while cash flows remain negative. This cushioning reduces near-term refinancing risk and gives management optionality to pursue project-backed growth without immediate distress financing.
Negative Factors
Negative Operating & Free Cash Flow
Persistent negative operating and free cash flow means the business still requires external funding or dilution to sustain operations and growth. Continued cash burn constrains the firm's ability to invest selectively, increases funding risk if capital markets tighten, and lengthens the timeline to self-sufficiency.
Top-line Volatility and 2025 Revenue Pullback
A ~11% revenue decline in 2025 combined with quarter-to-quarter order timing volatility undermines predictability. When single large orders swing results, capacity planning, cash flow forecasting and margin sustainability become harder, complicating the path to steady, scalable profitability.
Concentration in Long-cycle Marine & Early Power Scale
Heavy reliance on marine (2–3 year ship build cycles) delays revenue recognition and cash conversion, while power generation is early-stage with no large-volume wins yet. This concentration and timing mismatch increase execution risk and stretch the timeline for a stable, recurring revenue base.

PowerCell Sweden AB (PCELL) vs. iShares MSCI Sweden ETF (EWD)

PowerCell Sweden AB Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionPowerCell Sweden AB (publ) develops and produces fuel cells and fuel cell systems for automotive, marine, and stationary applications in Sweden and internationally. It offers PowerCell S2 based solutions that comprise PowerCell MS-30, a fuel cell system for battery-operated electric vehicles; PowerCell PS-5, a fuel cell system that is used for electricity generation, as well as an auxiliary power generator for telecom, traffic, building, and household applications; and PowerCell S2 fuel cell stack. The company also offers PowerCell S3 based solutions, including Powercell MS-100 for heavy-duty use applications; PowerCell megawatt solutions for marine and stationary applications; and PowerCell S3 fuel cell stack for stationary and mobile applications. In addition, it offers engineering services and zero emission solutions. The company was founded in 2008 and is based in Gothenburg, Sweden.
How the Company Makes MoneyPowerCell Sweden AB generates revenue primarily through the sale of its fuel cell products and systems. The company has established key revenue streams from direct sales of fuel cell stacks to automotive manufacturers and other commercial partners, as well as through long-term contracts for stationary power solutions. Additionally, PowerCell engages in research and development collaborations with various industries, which may provide funding and shared revenue opportunities. Strategic partnerships with major automotive and energy companies further enhance its market presence and potential earnings, as these alliances often involve joint ventures or technology licensing agreements that contribute to the company's financial growth.

PowerCell Sweden AB Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Feb 04, 2026
(Q4-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Apr 23, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call emphasized strengthened fundamentals: positive full-year EBITDA, material margin improvement, strong organic growth (24% FX-adjusted), successful product launches (marine and power-generation) and notable orders (SEK 43m methanol, SEK 12m + SEK 5m aviation). Management acknowledges quarter-level revenue timing volatility, a slightly lower top line than ambitions, a modest negative operating cash flow (‑SEK 10m), and market headwinds including cautious capital and China timing effects. On balance the company presented operational resilience, disciplined cost control, and clear strategies to protect earnings while remaining ready to scale, with more positives than negatives.
Q4-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Full-Year Positive EBITDA and Improved Margins
PowerCell delivered positive EBITDA for the first time for a full year, materially improved margins and strengthened its cash position, demonstrating operational discipline and industrial execution.
Strong Organic Revenue Growth (FX-Adjusted)
Reported full-year revenue growth was 15% YoY; adjusted for FX and extraordinary items the underlying organic growth was ~24% year-over-year.
Significant EBITDA Improvement
EBITDA improved versus prior year by SEK 79 million on an adjusted basis (after removing FX and extraordinary items), reflecting cost control and operational leverage.
Record Product & Commercial Milestones
Start of production and on-time customer deliveries for the MS225 marine systems with commissioning underway; successful market launch of the power generation platform with immediate traction.
Major Orders and Bookings
Secured a SEK 43 million methanol-to-power industrial order with a European shipyard; follow-on aviation order of SEK 12 million plus SEK 5 million in engineering services; multiple fourth-quarter orders building to SEK 95 million.
Strategic Partnerships and Market Access
Industrial collaboration with Bosch matured the offering and provides a strong sales channel (notably into China); field validation agreement secured with a U.S. data center for power generation applications.
Market Position in Marine
After the marine system introduction, PowerCell estimates a market share of ~80–85% in its marine addressable segment and identifies marine as a stable execution backbone.
Operational Resilience and Scale-readiness
Company emphasized an asset-light model and ability to protect breakeven (around SEK 400 million) while remaining ready to scale; added liquidity via a credit facility tied to customer projects.
Long-Term Value Creation Since 2020
Management highlighted a ~720% increase in value-generating revenue since 2020 (shift from throughput to industrialized, value-creating sales).
Negative Updates
Quarterly Revenue Timing Volatility
Q4 revenue was lower than Q4 last year due to order timing and distribution between quarters; company notes continued volatility where single orders can materially affect quarter-level results.
Full-Year Top Line Below Initial Expectations
While the year delivered organic growth and profitability, management acknowledged the top line was slightly lower than initially anticipated and below their ambition level.
Operating Cash Flow Slightly Negative
Operating cash flow for the year ended at approximately minus SEK 10 million, though management considers this an improvement and in line with guidance provided late in the year.
Extraordinary Items and Reorganizations Impact
Prior-year extraordinary positive items (~SEK 30m in 2024) and negative effects from 2025 reorganizations affected comparability; Q3 2025 included a reorganization charge impacting results.
Market Headwinds and Capital Discipline
Broader market challenges include cautious investor behavior, risk-averse capital on the sidelines, macro and geopolitical headwinds, and uneven market investment timing (notably China in H2 2025).
Power Generation Scale Still Early
Power generation platform has shown early traction but no large-volume orders yet; short-term revenue depends on product mix between marine (longer cycles) and power generation (shorter cycles).
Receivables / Delivery Milestones Remaining
Some deliveries and commissioning (e.g., Norwegian project) remain invoiced/paid in future periods, meaning near-term revenue and cash benefits are contingent on completion and milestone billing.
Segmentation / Reporting Confusion on Royalties/IP
A change in Bosch licensing terms led to a reclassification in Q4 (royalties/IP moved between service and IP lines), causing temporary confusion in segment reporting that management will clarify going forward.
Company Guidance
Management gave no formal 2026 revenue forecast but guided to protect and prioritize positive EBITDA and cash discipline while remaining ready to scale: they delivered positive full‑year EBITDA in 2025, proved a breakeven point around ~SEK 400m, and plan to defend that margin while pursuing growth; 2025 saw reported growth of 15% (24% organic ex‑FX), Q4 revenues of ~SEK 95m (versus SEK 144m in Q4 2024), an EBITDA year‑on‑year improvement of ~SEK 79m, operating cash flow ending at about –SEK 10m and added a project credit facility to strengthen liquidity. Key drivers for the 2026 high/low outcome are product mix (marine remains the backbone with an estimated 80–85% share after the marine platform launch, long ship build cycles of 2–3 years versus power generation orders that can be delivered in 2–3 months), commercialization road map (HTS expected around 2028), and signed commercial traction such as a SEK 43m methanol‑to‑power order and SEK 12m + SEK 5m aviation follow‑on, with management expecting a more “hockey‑stick” profile in 2026 but emphasizing industrial execution and fiscal discipline.

PowerCell Sweden AB Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Mixed fundamentals: revenue declined in 2025 (~11%) and the company remains loss-making with negative operating/net margins, while operating and free cash flow are still negative and free cash flow worsened in 2025. Offsetting this, gross margin improved strongly and the balance sheet is relatively supportive with low leverage and meaningful equity.
Income Statement
36
Negative
Revenue scaled meaningfully over the 2020–2025 period, but the most recent year (2025) shows a pullback in sales (down ~11%). Profitability remains the key issue: the company is still loss-making, with negative operating and net margins in 2025, though losses have narrowed versus 2024 and are far improved from 2020–2022 levels. Gross margin improved strongly in 2025, which is a positive signal on product economics, but operating expenses are still too high to support sustainable earnings.
Balance Sheet
62
Positive
The balance sheet looks comparatively supportive: leverage is low with debt-to-equity in the high single-digits in 2025, and debt has come down versus 2024. Equity remains sizable relative to the asset base, providing a cushion for ongoing investment. The main weakness is continued negative returns on equity driven by net losses, which can erode capital over time if profitability does not improve.
Cash Flow
28
Negative
Cash generation is weak: operating cash flow is negative in each year shown and remained negative in 2025, and free cash flow is also negative with a sharp deterioration in 2025 versus 2024. While cash burn improved materially from the very large outflows in 2022–2023, the business still isn’t self-funding. A mitigating point is that free cash flow is less negative than net income in recent years (i.e., non-cash charges help), but the underlying direction still implies ongoing funding needs.
BreakdownDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue384.96M334.28M310.29M244.69M159.76M
Gross Profit174.17M116.17M124.01M113.02M49.03M
EBITDA-22.94M-22.06M-27.23M-22.95M-44.04M
Net Income-29.53M-47.28M-62.96M-58.17M-75.08M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets597.94M662.44M425.11M473.95M521.33M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments78.82M218.92M70.81M196.86M332.51M
Total Debt31.43M73.82M28.14M31.46M37.22M
Total Liabilities211.41M248.74M149.68M141.07M137.88M
Stockholders Equity386.53M413.70M275.43M332.87M383.45M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-38.02M-65.27M-124.17M-138.31M-84.23M
Operating Cash Flow-10.08M-18.57M-95.69M-120.51M-66.34M
Investing Cash Flow-67.34M-46.54M-28.17M-24.39M-17.92M
Financing Cash Flow-57.37M224.69M-8.78M-8.46M-7.52M

PowerCell Sweden AB Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price28.30
Price Trends
50DMA
26.96
Negative
100DMA
32.27
Negative
200DMA
30.04
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-1.87
Negative
RSI
38.00
Neutral
STOCH
49.02
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For SE:PCELL, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 28.3 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 22.17, above the 50-day MA of 26.96, and below the 200-day MA of 30.04, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -1.87 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 38.00 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 49.02 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for SE:PCELL.

PowerCell Sweden AB Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
63
Neutral
$10.79B15.437.44%2.01%2.89%-14.66%
56
Neutral
kr128.21M-31.37-1.58%2.70%85.94%
52
Neutral
kr59.86M-9.41-15.25%-0.97%41.20%
48
Neutral
kr326.92M-11.05-57.89%91.07%
46
Neutral
kr1.21B-42.23-1.63%36.59%91.88%
46
Neutral
kr912.42M-12.11-40.77%11.85%6.39%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
SE:PCELL
PowerCell Sweden AB
22.00
-9.78
-30.77%
SE:BRILL
Brilliant Future AB
4.34
-0.16
-3.56%
SE:LEVEL
Nordic LEVEL Group AB Class B
0.63
>-0.01
-0.79%
SE:SALT.B
SaltX Technology Holding AB Class B
3.88
-0.77
-16.56%
SE:META
Metacon AB
0.30
0.17
132.31%
SE:FERRO
Ferroamp AB
3.01
0.25
8.94%

PowerCell Sweden AB Corporate Events

PowerCell Grows Sales and Margins in 2025 While Strengthening Position in Hydrogen Fuel Cell Markets
Feb 4, 2026

PowerCell Sweden AB reported full-year 2025 net sales growth of 15% to SEK 385m and a sharply improved gross margin of 45.2% despite remaining loss-making, with operating income at SEK -22.9m and net income at SEK -29.5m. The company’s fourth quarter was weaker, with sales down 34% and a return to operating losses, but operating cash flow turned positive in the quarter and the equity ratio stayed strong at 64.6%. Management is prioritizing reinvestment, with the board proposing no dividend for 2025, and the group secured several notable orders across marine, power generation and aerospace, including a SEK 43m methanol-to-power system for a European shipyard, a follow-up aerospace research order, and data-center validation projects, alongside joining the EU-funded GAMMA project and arranging an additional SEK 50m credit facility to support customer project financing. These moves underscore PowerCell’s strategy to deepen its position in hydrogen and fuel-cell markets while building a broader order base in key sectors, even as it works toward sustained profitability and navigates leadership changes with the current chairman stepping down in 2026.

The most recent analyst rating on (SE:PCELL) stock is a Hold with a SEK27.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on PowerCell Sweden AB stock, see the SE:PCELL Stock Forecast page.

PowerCell Sets Date for Q4 2025 Results and Webcast
Jan 28, 2026

PowerCell Sweden AB has announced that it will publish its fourth-quarter 2025 report on 4 February at 07:30 CET and will host an online presentation at 08:30 CET the same day. The results presentation, held in English, will be accessible via webcast and telephone conference, both including opportunities for investors and analysts to pose questions, underscoring the company’s efforts to maintain active communication with the market around its financial performance and strategic progress in hydrogen-electric solutions.

The most recent analyst rating on (SE:PCELL) stock is a Hold with a SEK27.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on PowerCell Sweden AB stock, see the SE:PCELL Stock Forecast page.

PowerCell to Supply 1 MW Fuel Cell System for EU Deep‑Sea Shipping Decarbonisation Project
Jan 16, 2026

PowerCell Sweden AB has joined the €17 million EU‑funded GAMMA project, a five‑year European initiative to decarbonise deep‑sea shipping by demonstrating climate‑neutral fuels and fuel cell‑based power generation on a 60,000 DWT bulk carrier. PowerCell will supply and integrate a 1 MW fuel cell power system that uses hydrogen produced onboard from green methanol and ammonia to replace fossil fuel auxiliary generators under real operating conditions, generating critical data on performance, safety and integration that could de‑risk wider adoption of hydrogen and fuel cells in ocean‑going vessels and strengthen the company’s position in the fast‑emerging market for zero‑emission maritime power.

The most recent analyst rating on (SE:PCELL) stock is a Hold with a SEK29.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on PowerCell Sweden AB stock, see the SE:PCELL Stock Forecast page.

PowerCell Wins SEK 12 Million Follow-Up Fuel-Cell Order for Aerospace Testing
Dec 30, 2025

PowerCell Sweden AB has secured a SEK 12 million follow-up order from a leading European aerospace research institute for four 100 kW modular fuel-cell systems, to be delivered in the first half of 2026 and used in an advanced test and validation platform for next-generation aviation propulsion. The repeat order underscores PowerCell’s strengthening position in the demanding aviation segment and supports the customer’s next development phase by enabling system-level validation of hydrogen and fuel-cell propulsion under realistic conditions, reinforcing the company’s role as a key technology partner as the aerospace ecosystem accelerates investment in zero-emission, long-range propulsion solutions beyond battery-electric capabilities.

The most recent analyst rating on (SE:PCELL) stock is a Hold with a SEK36.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on PowerCell Sweden AB stock, see the SE:PCELL Stock Forecast page.

PowerCell Wins First Order for New PS190 Fuel Cell System from Norway’s Enetech
Dec 23, 2025

PowerCell Sweden AB has secured the first commercial order for its new PS190 fuel cell system from Norwegian system integrator Enetech AS, with delivery scheduled for the first half of 2026. The PS190 will serve as the core of Enetech’s 190 kW mobile, fossil-free power generator, aimed at replacing conventional diesel generators in sectors such as construction, infrastructure, telecoms and data centers that require reliable, emission-free and mobile electricity. The order, which follows the recent launch of PowerCell’s Power Generation offering, underscores early market traction for the PS190 and strengthens PowerCell’s position in the emerging market for hydrogen-based, zero-emission off-grid power solutions, highlighting growing demand from customers looking to decarbonize without sacrificing performance or mobility.

The most recent analyst rating on (SE:PCELL) stock is a Hold with a SEK36.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on PowerCell Sweden AB stock, see the SE:PCELL Stock Forecast page.

PowerCell Chairman Magnus Jonsson to Step Down at 2026 AGM After Long Tenure
Dec 22, 2025

PowerCell Sweden AB announced that long‑serving Chairman of the Board Magnus Jonsson will not stand for re‑election at the company’s 2026 Annual General Meeting, ending a board tenure that began in 2012 and a chairmanship held since 2015. Jonsson will continue in his role until the AGM and support the Nomination Committee, which has been running a structured succession process and says it has made significant progress toward proposing a new chairman and full board slate well ahead of the 2026 meeting, signalling an orderly transition designed to preserve continuity in the company’s governance during a pivotal period for the hydrogen technology sector.

The most recent analyst rating on (SE:PCELL) stock is a Hold with a SEK36.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on PowerCell Sweden AB stock, see the SE:PCELL Stock Forecast page.

PowerCell Sweden Partners on Hydrogen-Powered Data Center Solutions
Dec 17, 2025

PowerCell Sweden AB has entered into an agreement with a leading US hydrogen-powered data center provider to supply two PS190 fuel cell power systems for field validation starting in Q1 2026. This partnership demonstrates PowerCell’s strategic focus on hydrogen as a complement to modern data center infrastructure, addressing grid constraints and growing power demands while advancing zero-emission power solutions and reliability for critical applications.

The most recent analyst rating on (SE:PCELL) stock is a Hold with a SEK36.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on PowerCell Sweden AB stock, see the SE:PCELL Stock Forecast page.

PowerCell Sweden AB Unveils Comprehensive Power Generation Portfolio
Nov 24, 2025

PowerCell Sweden AB has launched its new Power Generation portfolio, marking the company’s most extensive product introduction to date. This portfolio, developed in collaboration with Bosch, offers scalable, zero-emission power solutions for data centers, distributed energy, and backup power applications. The launch signifies PowerCell’s strategic expansion into the power generation market, leveraging its expertise in fuel cell technology to meet the growing demand for sustainable energy solutions.

The most recent analyst rating on (SE:PCELL) stock is a Hold with a SEK38.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on PowerCell Sweden AB stock, see the SE:PCELL Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Feb 06, 2026