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Nolato AB Class B (SE:NOLA.B)
:NOLA.B

Nolato AB (NOLA.B) AI Stock Analysis

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SE:NOLA.B

Nolato AB

(NOLA.B)

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Neutral 58 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:58Neutral
Price Target:
kr54.00
▼(-11.76% Downside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:02/08/26
The score is held back mainly by the sharp deterioration in 2025 cash conversion and clear bearish technical trend signals. Offsetting factors include improved profitability and manageable leverage, plus a constructive earnings-call outlook (margin progress and actions to address near-term headwinds), with valuation and dividend providing moderate support.
Positive Factors
Medical segment scale & margin
Medical Solutions being 58% of group with currency-adjusted growth and mid-teens margins creates a durable, higher-margin revenue base. Global expansions (Hungary, Poland, Malaysia) deepen customer proximity and capacity, supporting long-term demand capture and pricing power in healthcare markets.
Improving profitability and ROCE
Meaningful margin improvement and higher ROCE reflect better cost control, mix and operational leverage. Sustained margin expansion increases internal cash generation potential and resilience to cyclical revenue weakness, supporting reinvestment and strategic options over the medium term.
Conservative leverage and M&A capacity
A modest debt-to-equity ratio and improved returns imply a conservative capital structure. Management explicitly highlights capacity for M&A, indicating financial flexibility to pursue strategic bolt-ons that can strengthen capabilities or market share without overleveraging the business.
Negative Factors
Weak cash conversion
A sharp decline in operating cash flow and zero free cash flow materially weakens financial flexibility. With operating cash covering only ~0.14x of net income, working-capital strain and episodic cash volatility raise risk for capex funding, dividends and M&A execution if the trend persists.
Stagnant revenue momentum
Consistently weak top-line momentum despite margin gains limits sustainable operating scale. Without renewed organic growth or successful M&A, margin improvements may be insufficient to drive durable earnings growth, making the business reliant on cost measures and pricing that can face competitive resistance.
Input-cost and start-up exposure
Exposure to precious-metal price swings in Engineered materials and recurring start-up costs for new capacity reduce margin predictability. Timing of price pass-through and ramp-up inefficiencies can persist, adding structural volatility to margins and complicating cashflow and planning over the next several quarters.

Nolato AB (NOLA.B) vs. iShares MSCI Sweden ETF (EWD)

Nolato AB Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionNolato AB (publ) develops, manufactures, and sells plastic, silicone, and thermoplastic elastomer products for medical technology, pharmaceutical, consumer electronics, telecom, automotive, and other industrial sectors in North America, Sweden, Asia, and other Europe region. The company offers consumables and reusable labware for clinical, chemical, forensic, research, and industrial testing laboratories; manufactures pipette tips, deep-well plates, microtubes, and PCR products; assemblies and post-processing services; and products for primary pharmaceutical packaging, as well as for solids, creams, and ophthalmic and customized production solutions. It designs, develops, and produces advanced components, subsystems, and ready-packaged electronics products, such as laser applications and ceramics, fitness trackers, loudspeaker systems, thermostats, webcams, and vaporiser heating products; automotive products; EMI shielding, thermal interface materials, and silicone sealing and damping solutions; and supplies plastic components and assemblies for food processing equipment, such as coffee machines and blenders. The company was formerly known as Nordiska Latexfabriken i Torekov AB and changed its name to Nolato AB (publ) in 1982. Nolato AB (publ) was incorporated in 1938 and is headquartered in Torekov, Sweden.
How the Company Makes MoneyNolato AB generates revenue through multiple key streams, primarily by manufacturing and supplying high-quality products to the medical and industrial sectors. The medical segment contributes significantly to the company's earnings, as Nolato produces critical components and devices for healthcare applications, including surgical instruments and drug delivery systems. The industrial segment includes a variety of applications, such as automotive parts and consumer products. Additionally, Nolato benefits from long-term contracts and strategic partnerships with leading companies in the healthcare and industrial markets, which provide a stable revenue base. The company also invests in innovation and sustainability, enabling it to command premium pricing for its advanced products and services.

Nolato AB Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Feb 05, 2026
(Q4-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:May 06, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call conveyed a broadly positive strategic and financial picture for the full year—sales growth, a double-digit increase in operating profit for the year, improved margins, higher EPS, a larger dividend, strong cash generation, improved ROCE and notable sustainability achievements. Near-term Q4-specific headwinds (currency effects, start-up costs, year-end volume weakness and volatile precious metal prices) weighed on quarterly results and will partially carry into Q1 2026, but management characterized these as temporary and actionable (pricing adjustments, ongoing ramp-ups, and planned expansions). Overall, the highlights (annual profitability and margin improvement, medical growth, sustainability milestones and financial strength enabling M&A) outweigh the temporary lowlights.
Q4-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Q4 Sales Growth (Currency-Adjusted)
Net sales of SEK 2.272 billion in Q4, representing approximately 2% growth adjusted for currency headwinds (company-stated).
Full-Year Sales and Profitability Improvement
Full-year 2025 sales close to SEK 9.5 billion, +2% adjusted for currency. Operating profit increased 11% for the year and EBITA margin improved to 11.3% from 9.9% (increase of 1.4 percentage points).
Earnings Per Share and Dividend
Earnings per share of SEK 2.88 for 2025. Dividend proposal increased to SEK 1.70 per share from SEK 1.50, with a payout ratio of 59% (down from 61%).
Medical Solutions Growth and Scale
Medical Solutions delivered just above SEK 1.3 billion in Q4 sales, +5% adjusted for currency, and now represents 58% of group sales. Medical margin at 11.6% (up 0.4 percentage points vs 2024). Ongoing expansions in Hungary, Poland and Malaysia support global growth.
Engineered Solutions — Materials Performance
Engineered Solutions sales near SEK 1 billion in Q4 (42% of group sales). Materials subsegment grew ~10% adjusted for currency, and the Engineered business area margin improved to 9.9% from 9.2%.
Strong Cash Generation and Capital Discipline
Operating cash flow of SEK 310 million in the quarter. Q4 CapEx was SEK 146 million; full-year 2026 CapEx guidance set at SEK 650–700 million (around SEK 100 million remaining for the Hungarian project).
Return on Capital Employed
Return on capital employed (ROCE) improved to 14.2% for the full year 2025, indicating stronger capital efficiency.
Sustainability Milestones
Scope 1 & 2 emissions reduced by 96% vs base year (2021) — well ahead of the 70% 2030 target. Scope 3 upstream emissions reduced by 30% vs base year (vs 25% target). Net-zero 2045 target approved by SBTi.
Negative Updates
Q4 EBITA Slightly Below Prior Year and Currency Headwinds
Operating profit (EBITA) in Q4 was SEK 236 million vs SEK 240 million prior year; reported currency headwinds were sizable (management cited ~6% and CFO cited 7%), negatively impacting reported results and representing an accelerating negative effect (approx. SEK 14 million in Q4).
Temporary Margin Pressure from Start-up Costs
Temporary higher costs related to multiple production start-ups in the U.S. negatively impacted margins (medical margin hit by ~0.5 percentage points). Management expects some of these costs to persist into Q1 2026.
Volume Weakness and Year-End Holiday Impact
Sequentially weaker volumes during Christmas holidays led to lower quarter volumes (notably in Engineered Hygiene), contributing to margin declines and no material catch-up expected in Q1 (Q1 expected to be a normalized quarter rather than a rebound).
Precious Metal Price Volatility Impacting Materials
Sharp increases in silver/precious metal prices in Q4 significantly pressured the materials margin; management estimates the materials/metal issue was the larger part of a ~1.0 percentage point negative impact on the Engineered business area. Some recovery expected but pricing remains dynamic and timing of pass-through causes short-term pain.
Higher Group Costs and M&A-Related Expenses
Group costs were elevated in Q4 and M&A activities contributed to additional costs (delta of about SEK 10 million vs Q3). Management cited a temporary negative effect across items of SEK 25–30 million compared to Q3.
Engineered Solutions Slight Decline (Currency-Adjusted)
Engineered Solutions reported approximately a 1% decrease in sales adjusted for currency in Q4, impacted by inventory adjustments and lower volumes in some subsegments.
Company Guidance
Management guided that Q4 sales were just shy of SEK 2.3bn (net sales SEK 2,272m) with ~2% currency-adjusted growth but a 7% FX headwind, EBITA of SEK 236m (vs SEK 240m) and an EBITA margin of 10.4% for the quarter (FY margin 11.3% vs 9.9% in 2024, +1.4pp), noting full‑year 2025 sales close to SEK 9.5bn, EPS SEK 2.88, a proposed dividend of SEK 1.70 (payout 59% vs 61%), and a strong balance sheet enabling M&A; Medical Solutions (58% of group) delivered just above SEK 1.3bn (+5% adj.) with an 11.6% margin (+0.4pp) while Engineered (42% of group) was close to SEK 1bn with materials up ~10% adj. but a 100bp negative hit (largely from silver pricing and customer shutdowns); temporary headwinds (US start‑up costs ~‑0.5pp on medical, lower year‑end volumes, higher precious metal costs) reduced Q4 by ~SEK 25–30m vs Q3 and will partly carry into Q1, which management expects to be a more normalized quarter as pricing actions take effect; cash flow from operations was SEK 310m, Q4 CapEx SEK 146m, FY2026 CapEx guided SEK 650–700m (≈SEK 100m remaining for Hungary), ROCE 14.2%, and sustainability progress includes a 96% reduction in Scope 1–2 and 30% reduction in upstream Scope 3 (base year 2021) with a science‑based Net‑Zero 2045 approval.

Nolato AB Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Profitability improved in 2025 with higher margins and better ROE, and leverage remains manageable. However, revenue momentum is weak and 2025 cash generation deteriorated sharply (operating cash flow dropped materially and free cash flow fell to zero), making cash conversion the key risk.
Income Statement
72
Positive
Profitability rebounded meaningfully versus 2023, with 2025 showing stronger gross and operating margins and higher net income, despite revenue being essentially flat to down (2025 revenue growth -1.149% after modest growth in 2024). Net profit margin improved to ~8.2% in 2025 from ~6.8% in 2024 and ~4.6% in 2023, indicating better cost control/mix. The key weakness is the lack of consistent top-line momentum since 2022 and a multi-year step-down from the stronger 2020–2021 earnings profile.
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
Leverage looks manageable, with debt-to-equity around 0.34 in 2025 (improved vs. 2023 ~0.36 and well below 2020 ~0.58), suggesting a more conservative capital structure over time. Returns on equity have improved (2025 ~14.0% vs. 2024 ~11.5% and 2023 ~8.4%), supporting balance-sheet quality. Offsetting this, equity declined in 2025 versus 2024, and total debt increased in 2025 versus 2024, which reduces flexibility if the recent revenue softness persists.
Cash Flow
34
Negative
Cash generation deteriorated sharply in 2025: operating cash flow fell to 310M from 1,377M in 2024, and free cash flow dropped to 0 (vs. 742M in 2024). Cash conversion also weakened materially, with operating cash flow covering only ~0.14x of net income in 2025 (vs. ~0.72x in 2024), suggesting working-capital pressure and/or higher cash costs. While prior years show the business can generate solid free cash flow (notably 2024 and 2020), the latest year introduces elevated volatility and execution risk.
BreakdownDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue9.46B9.66B9.55B10.77B11.61B
Gross Profit1.73B1.61B1.34B1.43B1.82B
EBITDA1.59B1.51B1.28B1.48B1.92B
Net Income777.00M658.00M435.00M697.00M1.16B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets9.28B9.69B9.30B10.01B10.05B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments482.00M672.00M688.00M1.01B1.45B
Total Debt1.86B1.53B1.88B2.03B1.79B
Total Liabilities3.75B3.95B4.13B4.62B5.29B
Stockholders Equity5.53B5.74B5.17B5.39B4.77B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow0.00742.00M355.00M-49.00M446.00M
Operating Cash Flow310.00M1.38B781.00M406.00M1.23B
Investing Cash Flow-146.00M-636.00M-444.00M-451.00M-782.00M
Financing Cash Flow-206.00M-798.00M-631.00M-487.00M-634.00M

Nolato AB Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price61.20
Price Trends
50DMA
54.93
Negative
100DMA
57.70
Negative
200DMA
58.11
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-1.33
Negative
RSI
34.63
Neutral
STOCH
18.27
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For SE:NOLA.B, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 61.2 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 50.94, above the 50-day MA of 54.93, and above the 200-day MA of 58.11, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -1.33 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 34.63 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 18.27 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for SE:NOLA.B.

Nolato AB Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (51)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
64
Neutral
kr7.21B37.4315.16%11.30%-14.49%
63
Neutral
kr13.81B30.214.54%17.13%
61
Neutral
kr17.18B34.627.24%0.46%5.14%236.75%
58
Neutral
kr13.31B21.4314.22%2.48%0.40%38.42%
54
Neutral
kr22.01B546.383.08%4.25%-0.90%-70.95%
51
Neutral
$7.86B-0.30-43.30%2.27%22.53%-2.21%
49
Neutral
kr12.42B-3.703.34%0.80%-1.29%
* Healthcare Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
SE:NOLA.B
Nolato AB
49.40
-9.74
-16.47%
SE:EKTA.B
Elekta AB
57.60
2.75
5.02%
SE:VITR
Vitrolife AB
91.70
-77.35
-45.76%
SE:ALIF.B
AddLife AB
140.90
-7.90
-5.31%
SE:MCAP
MedCap AB
478.00
102.50
27.30%
SE:VIMIAN
Vimian Group AB
26.26
-12.59
-32.41%

Nolato AB Corporate Events

Nolato Lifts Profitability in 2025 as Medical Solutions Drives Growth and M&A Ambitions
Feb 5, 2026

Nolato reported stable fourth-quarter 2025 performance in a challenging market, with currency-adjusted sales up 2% and an improved EBITA margin of 10.4%, even as reported sales and profit after tax declined slightly year on year. For the full year, the group delivered an 11% increase in operating profit to SEK 1,065 million and lifted its EBITA margin to 11.3%, supported by strategic price and cost measures, stronger profitability, and a solid balance sheet that saw net financial liabilities at 0.5 times EBITDA and a proposed dividend increase to SEK 1.70 per share. Growth is being driven primarily by the Medical Solutions segment, which now accounts for 58% of group revenues and is benefiting from ongoing capacity expansions in Europe and Asia, while Engineered Solutions showed margin improvement despite mixed volumes across consumer electronics, hygiene and other markets. Management highlighted that the company’s strong financial position underpins an intensified M&A agenda and continued investments in new materials and technologies, aimed at reinforcing Nolato’s global positioning and enabling profitable growth through both organic expansion and acquisitions.

The most recent analyst rating on ($SE:NOLA.B) stock is a Buy with a SEK69.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Nolato AB stock, see the SE:NOLA.B Stock Forecast page.

Nolato Updates Share and Vote Count After Executive Warrant Exercise
Jan 30, 2026

Nolato AB has slightly increased its share capital and voting rights following the subscription of 3,862 Class B shares under a warrant-based incentive program for senior executives approved in 2022. As of 30 January 2026, the company now has a total of 269,380,942 shares and 517,726,942 votes, divided into 27,594,000 Class A shares with 10 votes each and 241,786,942 Class B shares with one vote each, a minor dilution that reflects ongoing use of long-term incentives to align management interests with shareholders.

The most recent analyst rating on ($SE:NOLA.B) stock is a Buy with a SEK69.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Nolato AB stock, see the SE:NOLA.B Stock Forecast page.

Nolato Strengthens Board with Proposed Appointments of Industrial Veterans Saltin and Malmvik
Jan 29, 2026

Nolato’s nomination committee has proposed industrial executive Gunilla Saltin and Axel Johnson International CEO Martin Malmvik as new members of the board, while current director Åsa Hedin has declined re-election. Saltin brings more than 25 years of international experience in the pulp, paper and steel industries with a strong focus on transformation, investment and sustainability, and Malmvik adds a track record in acquisitions, commercial development and operational leadership in global industrial businesses. The proposals, to be voted on at the annual general meeting scheduled for 6 May 2026 in Grevie, Sweden, underscore Nolato’s efforts to strengthen its governance with seasoned leaders in sustainability, M&A and industrial development, potentially supporting the group’s continued expansion and strategic positioning across its global polymer-based solutions markets.

The most recent analyst rating on ($SE:NOLA.B) stock is a Buy with a SEK69.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Nolato AB stock, see the SE:NOLA.B Stock Forecast page.

Nolato Schedules Webcast to Present 2025 Year-End Results
Jan 29, 2026

Nolato AB will publish its year-end report for 2025 on Thursday, 5 February at 2:00 p.m. CET and will follow it with an English-language webcast conference call at 2:45 p.m. CET, where President and CEO Christer Wahlquist and CFO Per-Ola Holmström will present the results and answer investor and analyst questions. The company will make the presentation materials, as well as a recording and transcript of the webcast, available on its website, underscoring its focus on transparency and engagement with the capital market ahead of a key financial disclosure.

The most recent analyst rating on ($SE:NOLA.B) stock is a Buy with a SEK69.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Nolato AB stock, see the SE:NOLA.B Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Feb 08, 2026