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Nordic Iron Ore AB (SE:NIO)
:NIO

Nordic Iron Ore AB (NIO) AI Stock Analysis

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SE:NIO

Nordic Iron Ore AB

(NIO)

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Neutral 44 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:44Neutral
Price Target:
kr4.00
▼(-22.78% Downside)
The score is primarily held down by weak financial performance (no TTM revenue, ongoing losses, and negative operating/free cash flow). Technicals are neutral with only mild positive momentum and mixed moving-average positioning, while valuation is constrained by a negative P/E and lack of dividend yield data.
Positive Factors
Low Financial Leverage
Very low leverage materially reduces near-term solvency and refinancing risk for a capital-intensive developer. That balance-sheet conservatism provides durable optionality to fund permitting, studies and early works without immediate debt pressure over the next 2–6 months.
Equity-Funded Asset Base
A substantial equity cushion and asset base give the company meaningful financial flexibility to advance project development. This supports capital-intensive milestones (studies, permits, early works) and reduces the chance of distress-driven asset sales in the medium term.
Clear Project Development Focus
A focused strategy on advancing iron ore assets toward production aligns the company with a structurally important commodity for steelmaking. This project-development orientation preserves long-term optionality to capture offtake, partners and value upon successful permitting and technical delivery.
Negative Factors
No Revenue and Ongoing Losses
The absence of operating revenue and recurring large losses is a fundamental constraint on self-funding. Without revenue, the company must rely on external capital to progress projects, increasing the likelihood of dilution, delayed timelines or scaled-back development over the coming months.
Persistent Cash Burn
Sustained negative operating and free cash flow evidences ongoing cash burn that pressures liquidity for a pre-revenue miner. This structural cash outflow trend requires recurring financing or asset monetization, which can slow project progress and raise execution risk.
Negative Returns on Equity
Negative ROE shows the existing capital base is not generating returns, undermining long-term shareholder value creation. Even with a strong equity cushion, persistently poor returns signal that operational performance or capital-allocation changes are required to achieve profitable production.

Nordic Iron Ore AB (NIO) vs. iShares MSCI Sweden ETF (EWD)

Nordic Iron Ore AB Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionNordic Iron Ore AB (publ) engages in the exploration, development, and mining of iron-ore deposits in Västerbergslagen, Sweden. Its products include fines, sinter, pellets, and lump ore. The company also explores for apatite, lanthanum, gold, and copper deposits. Its exploitation concessions include Blötbergsgruvan K No. 1, Blötbergsgruvan K No. 2, Håksbergsgruvan K No. 1, and Southern Väsman field K No. 1, as well as exploration permit, including Ludvikafältet No. 1 and Blötberget No. 4 located in Ludvika. The company was founded in 2008 and is headquartered in Danderyd, Sweden.
How the Company Makes MoneyNordic Iron Ore AB generates revenue primarily through the extraction, processing, and sale of iron ore. The company capitalizes on its strategically located iron ore deposits in Sweden, which are rich in high-grade mineral content. Once extracted, the iron ore is processed into various products, such as iron ore concentrate, which are then sold to steel manufacturers and other industrial clients globally. The company's revenue streams are bolstered by its strategic partnerships with logistics and transportation firms, ensuring efficient distribution of its products to international markets. Additionally, NIO benefits from favorable market conditions in the steel industry, as demand for high-quality iron ore supports its pricing strategy and revenue growth.

Nordic Iron Ore AB Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Overall financial profile is weak: the income statement shows no TTM revenue and continued losses (TTM EBIT -23.7M, net income -21.8M), and cash flow is persistently negative (TTM operating cash flow -6.2M, free cash flow -6.7M). The main offset is a conservatively levered balance sheet (debt-to-equity ~0.007; equity ~258.4M), which lowers near-term solvency risk but does not resolve execution/funding risk without revenue.
Income Statement
12
Very Negative
TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) results show no revenue and continued losses (gross profit -3.8M, EBIT -23.7M, net income -21.8M). Annual history is also consistently loss-making (net losses each year from 2020–2024), with the TTM loss deeper than 2024, indicating profitability has not stabilized. A key weakness is the lack of operating revenue to offset cost structure; a modest positive EBIT in 2022 appears non-recurring given the return to negative EBIT thereafter.
Balance Sheet
62
Positive
The balance sheet looks conservatively levered: TTM debt-to-equity is ~0.007 with total debt ~1.7M against equity ~258.4M, indicating limited financial leverage risk. Assets (TTM ~275.6M) are largely equity-funded, providing flexibility. The primary weakness is returns: return on equity is negative across all periods (TTM ~-8.2%), reflecting that the capital base is not currently generating profits despite the strong equity position.
Cash Flow
18
Very Negative
Cash generation is weak with persistent cash burn: TTM operating cash flow is -6.2M and free cash flow is -6.7M, and free cash flow growth is sharply negative versus the prior period. While free cash flow is roughly in line with net loss (TTM free cash flow to net income ~1.08), this mainly reflects losses being matched by cash outflows rather than strong cash conversion. The main risk is ongoing negative operating and free cash flow without revenue, which can pressure liquidity over time.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue0.000.000.000.000.001.00K
Gross Profit-3.84M-196.00K-176.00K-760.00K-423.00K1.00K
EBITDA-17.85M-12.52M-11.06M-8.63M-7.82M-7.48M
Net Income-21.77M-15.20M-12.93M-10.47M-8.84M-9.74M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets275.55M281.90M170.51M169.95M165.77M164.91M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments65.00M111.70M866.00K2.72M2.81M5.20M
Total Debt1.69M1.84M31.91M21.74M7.56M7.80M
Total Liabilities17.16M8.25M38.38M24.88M10.23M11.16M
Stockholders Equity258.38M273.64M132.13M145.07M155.54M153.75M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-6.66M-12.06M-8.34M-13.34M-12.63M-12.77M
Operating Cash Flow-6.18M-11.81M-8.29M-8.38M-9.11M-11.52M
Investing Cash Flow-34.72M-3.65M-2.06M-4.96M-3.53M-1.25M
Financing Cash Flow0.00126.30M8.50M13.25M10.25M5.00M

Nordic Iron Ore AB Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price5.18
Price Trends
50DMA
5.18
Negative
100DMA
5.14
Negative
200DMA
4.68
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.24
Positive
RSI
31.13
Neutral
STOCH
23.22
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For SE:NIO, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 5.18 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 5.22, below the 50-day MA of 5.18, and above the 200-day MA of 4.68, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.24 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 31.13 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 23.22 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for SE:NIO.

Nordic Iron Ore AB Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
61
Neutral
$10.43B7.12-0.05%2.87%2.86%-36.73%
44
Neutral
kr281.17M-12.91-8.06%-9.05%
* Basic Materials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
SE:NIO
Nordic Iron Ore AB
4.14
-0.66
-13.75%
DE:BGA1
BE Group AB
2.33
-1.06
-31.19%
DE:5KP
Copperstone Resources AB Class B
1.76
0.30
20.91%
DE:NC4
Nexam Chemical Holding AB
0.18
-0.13
-40.65%
DE:9QY0
Arctic Minerals AB
0.94
0.80
567.86%
SE:GRANGX
Grangex AB
53.70
42.40
375.22%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jan 23, 2026