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Munters Group AB (SE:MTRS)
:MTRS

Munters Group AB (MTRS) AI Stock Analysis

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SE:MTRS

Munters Group AB

(MTRS)

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Neutral 55 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:55Neutral
Price Target:
kr202.00
▲(11.23% Upside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:01/31/26
The score is held back primarily by 2025 financial deterioration (margin and net income compression) alongside rising leverage, which increases risk if profitability does not rebound. Technicals are moderately positive with the price above key moving averages, while valuation is a major negative due to an extremely high P/E and low yield. The latest earnings call adds support via strong backlog/order visibility and guidance for improved 2026 margins, but near-term execution and tariff/transition headwinds remain.
Positive Factors
Record order intake and expanded backlog
A materially larger backlog and record order intake provide durable revenue visibility and smooth future invoicing, reducing near-term demand risk. Backlog growth supports multi-quarter revenue conversion and underpins management's guidance for sharply higher 2026 invoicing, especially for Data Center demand.
Production capacity expansion (U.S. localization)
Localizing production and adding a test lab strengthens supply-chain resilience and reduces tariff exposure long-term. Built capacity for ~50% growth materially increases scalable throughput, enabling faster conversion of backlog into revenue and improving gross-margin capture as fixed costs leverage up.
FoodTech recurring revenue and ARR growth
A SaaS-like FoodTech revenue stream with low churn and high ARR growth adds stable, high‑visibility recurring revenue and margin resilience. Over time, subscription and software-led sales reduce cyclicality, improve lifetime value, and provide predictable cash flows to support investment and deleveraging.
Negative Factors
Rising leverage and weakened balance sheet
Higher debt-to-equity reduces financial flexibility and raises refinancing and covenant risk if margins don't rebound. With leverage approaching ~2.9x on an enterprise basis and above stated ambition, any sustained profit weakness would constrain capex, acquisitions, or dividend policy over multiple quarters.
2025 revenue decline and margin compression
Material margin and net income compression erodes earnings power and cash conversion, making deleveraging and reinvestment harder. If structural cost pressures or mix shifts persist, restoring prior margin profiles will require sustained operational gains and higher-volume recovery across segments.
Tariffs, AirTech underutilization and transition costs
Tariff exposure and underused AirTech capacity create recurring margin vulnerability until U.S. production and efficiency programs fully offset impacts. Transition-related one-offs and product-mix shifts can persist across quarters, delaying margin recovery and pressuring cash generation needed to pay down elevated debt.

Munters Group AB (MTRS) vs. iShares MSCI Sweden ETF (EWD)

Munters Group AB Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionMunters Group AB (publ) provides climate solutions for customers in Sweden and internationally. It offers air intakes/air inlets, combined temperature and humidity control products, dehumidifiers, heat exchangers, mass transfer solutions and equipment, pollution control and VOC abatements, climate and irrigation controllers for agriculture, coolers and humidifiers, fans and light traps, heaters, and mist eliminators. The company also provides installation support, start-up and commissioning, service agreement and maintenance, training, and rental solutions, as well as rotor performance check, reconditioning and repair, spare parts, controls upgrade, rotor replacement, munters rotor energy recovery, and fan motor upgrade services. It serves agriculture, automotive, battery dry rooms, chemical processing, construction, data centers, defense and aerospace, electronics, food and beverage, general industry/production, greenhouse, healthcare, pharmaceutical, power generation and distribution, recreation and leisure, shipbuilding and marine, steel, temporary structures, and water and wastewater; oil, gas, and petroleum; pulp, paper, and printing; and storage, preservation, and archives industries. Munters Group AB (publ) was founded in 1955 and is headquartered in Kista, Sweden.
How the Company Makes MoneyMunters Group AB generates revenue through the sale of its products and services within its two main sectors: AirTech and FoodTech. The company makes money by offering a range of climate control solutions that cater to specific industry needs, which include high-margin equipment sales and service contracts for maintenance and support. Key revenue streams include direct sales of climate control systems, installation services, and ongoing customer support and maintenance contracts. Additionally, Munters benefits from strategic partnerships with manufacturers and distributors in various sectors, enhancing its market reach and enabling access to new customer bases. The company's commitment to innovation and sustainability also positions it favorably in the growing market for energy-efficient solutions, further contributing to its earnings.

Munters Group AB Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Jan 29, 2026
(Q4-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Apr 28, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call presents a constructive long-term outlook driven by record order intake, a materially expanded backlog, significant capacity build-out (including U.S. production), strong cash flow and clear operational improvement programs. Short-term results were negatively affected by temporary factors — tariffs, AirTech underutilization, product transitions and acquisition-related one-offs — which depressed quarterly margins and net income. Management positions these as transitory impacts and expects margin recovery and materially higher invoicing in 2026, particularly in H2, supported by backlog and ramping U.S. production.
Q4-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Record Order Intake and Backlog Growth
Order intake increased by +191% (organically ~200%) in the quarter, reaching SEK 9.2 billion in total orders (with SEK 5.7 billion announced pre-report); order backlog increased 53% (currency-adjusted ~80%), supporting strong future invoicing.
Exceptional Data Center Demand
Data Center Technology delivered an extraordinary quarter (book-to-bill ~7x), driven by AI-related investments and broad customer demand, with ~95% of DCT orders in the Americas.
Strong Future Invoicing Visibility
Management expects at least a +30% (and up to +40%) increase in Data Center invoicing in 2026 driven by backlog and ramping production capacity.
Production Capacity Built for Growth
Company reports capacity to handle ~50% more orders, with a new Virginia production facility and test lab coming online (test lab up and running in Q2) to localize U.S. production.
Solid Full-Year Net Sales and Margin
Full-year net sales grew +8% (currency-adjusted +15% noted by management) with an adjusted EBITA margin of ~12.7% for the year.
Strong Cash Flow and Working Capital Discipline
Q4 delivered strong operating cash flow supported by operating working capital improvements (operating working capital / net sales at ~7.3%), enabling acquisition-related payments and debt management.
FoodTech Transformation and Recurring Revenue Growth
FoodTech is now fully digital/software-driven with low churn (~2%) and ARR expected to grow 20-30% year-over-year over time; margins remain strong despite quarter fluctuations.
Operational Improvement Programs
AirTech efficiency programs expected to deliver SEK 100 million in 2026 and a second program targeting SEK 250–300 million run rate by year-end, with phased savings already beginning to accrue.
Innovation Momentum
Innovation 'vitality index' exceeds 50%; product R&D and new media/AI-enabled controls are positioned to deliver significant energy-efficiency gains (10–20% per improvement area, up to ~40% combined).
Negative Updates
Q4 Revenue Decline and Lower Quarterly Margin
Net sales in Q4 declined ~8% (flat currency-adjusted) and adjusted EBITA margin fell to 10% in the quarter (Q3 was 13.5%), reflecting near-term weakness.
Tariff Headwinds Impacting Margins
Temporary tariffs reduced Data Center margins by ~4% in the quarter; management expects most of this impact to diminish after Q1 but some residual effects remain until U.S. production fully ramps.
AirTech Underutilization and Volume Weakness
AirTech suffered lower volumes and under-absorption—partly due to a weaker battery market and regionally adverse mix (EMEA weaker)—contributing roughly ~2 percentage points negative to margin in the quarter.
Items Affecting Comparability and One-Off Charges
Q4 items affecting comparability totaled SEK 174 million (including SEK 98 million contingent consideration for acquisitions and SEK 77 million restructuring related to AirTech); full-year acquisition-related considerations approached SEK 200 million.
Net Income Decline and Leverage Above Long-Term Ambition
Net income declined for the quarter and full year due to lower operating earnings and the increased one-offs; leverage rose to ~2.9x (above the 1.5–2.5 ambition), driven partly by lease liabilities and strategic investments.
Product Mix and Transition Costs
Transitioning products (e.g., ramping chiller production) and temporary product-mix shifts reduced margins in the short term; moving products in/out of the DCT system also generated transition costs.
Concentration and Lumpy Order Intake Risk
DCT order concentration in the Americas (high share of orders) and the inherently lumpy nature of data-center orders create short-term predictability risk despite strong backlog.
Sustainability Footprint Increase
Scope 1 and 2 emissions increased ~3% and Scope 3 emission intensity rose ~19% in 2025, highlighting an area requiring continued focus versus decarbonization targets.
FoodTech Near-Term Softness in Software Orders
FoodTech saw an organic decline in the quarter driven by lower software orders (partly seasonal), offset somewhat by controller growth.
Company Guidance
Munters guided to a positive net‑sales growth and a record invoicing year in 2026 with stronger margins in H2 (after Q1) as tariff headwinds in Data Center (≈4% hit in Q4) diminish and AirTech efficiency measures begin to take effect; the Data Center backlog supports at least a 30% uplift in invoicing (could be up to 40%), DCT book‑to‑bill in Q4 was ~7x and total Q4 orders were SEK 9.2bn (SEK 5.7bn pre‑announced), overall book‑to‑bill 1.6 and backlog up 53% (80% FX‑adj), Munters expects DCT margins to move into the high‑teens over time, chiller production and the Virginia test lab come fully online around Q2, overall capacity can handle ~50% more growth, AirTech programs target SEK 100m savings this year plus a SEK 250–300m run‑rate by year‑end, Q4 adj. EBITA was 10% (FY 2025 adj. EBITA 12.7%), operating working capital/net sales 7.3%, leverage ~2.9 (ambition 1.5–2.5), CapEx for 2026 broadly in line with 2025 (quarterly CapEx ratio 7%, FY 5.8%), FoodTech ARR growth guided at ~20–30% y/y with churn ~2% or below, and the Board proposes SEK 1.6 dividend per share.

Munters Group AB Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Income statement weakness in 2025 is a key drag (revenue -5% and sharp margin compression with net margin ~0.7% vs ~6.3% in 2024). Balance sheet risk increased as leverage rose (debt-to-equity ~1.93 vs ~1.29), reducing flexibility. Cash flow is comparatively supportive with improved free cash flow (+6.8%) and solid operating cash flow, but debt coverage remains limited, making a profit rebound important.
Income Statement
58
Neutral
Revenue scaled up materially from 2020–2024, but 2025 revenue contracted (-5.0%) and profitability weakened sharply. EBIT and EBITDA margins stepped down in 2025 versus 2024 (EBIT margin ~8.4% vs ~12.0%; EBITDA margin ~13.5% vs ~16.2%), and net margin fell to ~0.7% (from ~6.3%), signaling either one-off charges and/or meaningful cost pressure. Positives include historically solid gross margins (~31–34%) and strong profit levels through 2024, but the 2025 earnings drop is a clear near-term red flag.
Balance Sheet
46
Neutral
Leverage increased materially: debt-to-equity rose to ~1.93 in 2025 from ~1.29 in 2024 (and <1.0 in 2022), reducing financial flexibility. Equity also declined in 2025 while total debt rose, which is directionally unfavorable. While the company has maintained meaningful equity and asset scale, the trend is toward higher balance-sheet risk, especially paired with the 2025 profit compression.
Cash Flow
63
Positive
Cash generation remains a relative strength: free cash flow improved in 2025 (+6.8%) and stays solid in absolute terms (988M) with operating cash flow of 1.58B. However, cash conversion looks weaker versus the past—free cash flow is ~62.5% of net income in 2025 (down from ~77.8% in 2020), and operating cash flow covers only ~0.24x of total debt, implying debt paydown capacity is limited without sustained cash flow strength. Overall, cash flow quality is decent, but leverage makes consistency more important.
BreakdownDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue14.71B15.45B13.93B10.39B7.35B
Gross Profit4.62B5.32B4.42B3.02B2.35B
EBITDA1.98B2.50B2.08B1.24B1.03B
Net Income106.00M973.00M784.00M577.00M513.00M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets19.73B21.98B16.73B15.42B10.74B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments1.49B1.53B1.53B914.00M674.00M
Total Debt9.38B7.60B5.85B4.50B2.75B
Total Liabilities14.86B16.07B11.47B10.11B6.38B
Stockholders Equity4.86B5.89B5.26B5.30B4.36B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow988.00M1.31B396.00M233.00M177.00M
Operating Cash Flow1.58B2.37B1.07B772.00M519.00M
Investing Cash Flow-1.01B-2.87B-1.42B-1.33B-341.00M
Financing Cash Flow-471.00M467.00M1.01B743.00M-503.00M

Munters Group AB Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price181.60
Price Trends
50DMA
179.26
Positive
100DMA
164.86
Positive
200DMA
147.56
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
1.88
Positive
RSI
47.90
Neutral
STOCH
37.26
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For SE:MTRS, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 181.6 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 188.21, above the 50-day MA of 179.26, and above the 200-day MA of 147.56, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 1.88 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 47.90 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 37.26 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for SE:MTRS.

Munters Group AB Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
68
Neutral
kr21.46B35.4415.33%1.03%-1.37%14.78%
66
Neutral
kr17.08B25.4111.96%1.55%2.11%13.90%
63
Neutral
$10.79B15.437.44%2.01%2.89%-14.66%
61
Neutral
kr13.35B22.159.59%2.09%-1.74%26.36%
57
Neutral
kr12.90B17.547.36%2.61%-1.96%-19.69%
55
Neutral
kr33.15B326.3313.34%0.93%4.97%-65.71%
54
Neutral
kr5.17B19.002.41%2.05%-11.66%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
SE:MTRS
Munters Group AB
181.50
58.50
47.55%
SE:LIAB
Lindab International AB
165.30
-19.93
-10.76%
SE:SYSR
Systemair AB
82.10
6.08
8.00%
SE:ALIG
Alimak Group AB
124.40
-11.38
-8.38%
SE:BUFAB
Bufab AB
112.74
26.13
30.18%
SE:NMAN
Nederman Holding AB
147.20
-63.18
-30.03%

Munters Group AB Corporate Events

Munters Books Record Orders on Surging Data Center Demand but Margins Come Under Pressure
Jan 29, 2026

Munters reported a year of record order intake in 2025, driven primarily by explosive growth in its Data Center Technologies division and supported by solid demand in FoodTech, while AirTech saw weaker volumes amid a softer battery market and cautious U.S. investment sentiment. Despite an 85% jump in full-year orders and a 53% increase in order backlog, net sales grew a more modest 8% and profitability deteriorated, with adjusted EBITA margin falling to 12.7% as temporary tariffs in DCT, underutilized factories, dual-site costs and currency headwinds weighed on earnings; net income declined 41% and leverage ticked up to 2.9x. Management highlighted strong operating cash flow, improved working capital efficiency, and ongoing cost-saving programs in AirTech expected to deliver up to MSEK 250–300 in additional savings by end-2026, positioning the group for historically high turnover in 2026, particularly in the second half. The board has proposed maintaining a dividend of SEK 1.60 per share, equivalent to 53% of net income from continuing operations, underscoring confidence in Munters’ financial position despite near-term margin pressure and the operational transition in its fast-growing data center segment.

The most recent analyst rating on (SE:MTRS) stock is a Buy with a SEK200.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Munters Group AB stock, see the SE:MTRS Stock Forecast page.

Munters Secures Record SEK 2.1 Billion US Data Center Cooling Orders
Dec 31, 2025

Munters’ Data Center Technologies business has secured record orders worth approximately SEK 2.1 billion from a US colocation data center customer for chilled water computer room air handlers, coolant distribution units and Geoclima Circlemiser chillers, with production in its US facilities and deliveries scheduled across multiple data centers between late 2026 and early 2028. The deal underscores Munters’ strengthening position in the fast-growing data center cooling market, validates its strategy to offer complete chilled water systems following the Geoclima acquisition, and highlights customer confidence in the company’s ability to scale and manage complex, large‑scale projects, reinforcing its shift from niche excellence toward broader technology leadership in thermal management.

The most recent analyst rating on (SE:MTRS) stock is a Buy with a SEK200.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Munters Group AB stock, see the SE:MTRS Stock Forecast page.

Munters Secures Major Chiller Order for US Data Center
Dec 11, 2025

Munters Group AB’s Data Center Technologies division has secured a significant order worth approximately 840 MSEK for Geoclima Circlemiser chillers from a new colocation data center customer in the US. This order, set for delivery between Q4 2026 and Q1 2027, highlights the growing demand for efficient cooling systems in AI data centers and positions Munters to capitalize on this trend with its expanded production capacity in Virginia, US.

The most recent analyst rating on (SE:MTRS) stock is a Buy with a SEK189.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Munters Group AB stock, see the SE:MTRS Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jan 31, 2026