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Resmed Inc (RMD)
NYSE:RMD

Resmed (RMD) AI Stock Analysis

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RMD

Resmed

(NYSE:RMD)

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Outperform 80 (OpenAI - 5.2)
,
Outperform 80 (OpenAI - 5.2)
,
Outperform 80 (OpenAI - 5.2)
,
Outperform 80 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:80Outperform
Price Target:
$265.00
▲(13.49% Upside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:01/30/26
The score is driven primarily by strong financial performance (high margins, low leverage, and robust free cash flow) and a favorable earnings call emphasizing margin progress, clear FY26 operating targets, and substantial capital returns. Offsetting factors are a premium valuation (P/E ~26) with a low yield and only moderate technical momentum.
Positive Factors
High profitability and margins
ResMed's elevated gross (~60%) and net (~27%) margins are durable advantages driven by product mix, manufacturing scale and productivity. High margins support reinvestment, R&D and shareholder returns, providing resilience if top-line growth softens and enabling sustained cash conversion.
Robust cash generation and low leverage
Consistent operating cash flow and near‑parity free cash flow to earnings underpin financial flexibility. Low net leverage (debt-to-equity ~0.14 and net cash position) supports ongoing buybacks, dividends and capex for distribution/manufacturing expansion without straining the balance sheet.
Recurring consumables and connected SaaS
Recurring demand for masks/accessories plus SaaS digital platforms increases customer lifetime value and stabilizes revenue. The installed device base and connected care tools drive repeat consumable purchases and stickier provider relationships, supporting durable, higher-margin recurring revenue.
Negative Factors
Slowing top-line growth
Revenue growth has decelerated from prior double-digit expansion to modest single digits, increasing reliance on margin gains and buybacks to drive EPS. If end‑market demand or resupply cadence weakens, sustaining earnings growth will require sustained margin improvement or successful new-product adoption.
Rising SG&A and acquisition-related costs
Higher SG&A, partly tied to the VirtuOx acquisition and increased marketing, compresses operating leverage. If revenue growth stays moderate, sustained elevated SG&A could reduce free cash flow conversion and make it harder to expand operating profit without further productivity gains or cost control.
Dependence on external demand drivers and competition
ResMed's growth outlook depends partly on external factors (GLP-1 trends, primary care adoption, wearables) and channel dynamics. Potential re-entry by large competitors could pressure pricing, share and margins, making execution and differentiation critical to preserve durable growth and profitability.

Resmed (RMD) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Resmed Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionResMed Inc. develops, manufactures, distributes, and markets medical devices and cloud-based software applications for the healthcare markets. The company operates in two segments, Sleep and Respiratory Care, and Software as a Service. It offers various products and solutions for a range of respiratory disorders, including technologies to be applied in medical and consumer products, ventilation devices, diagnostic products, mask systems for use in the hospital and home, headgear and other accessories, dental devices, and cloud-based software informatics solutions to manage patient outcomes, as well as provides customer and business processes. The company also provides AirView, a cloud-based system that enables remote monitoring and changing of patients' device settings; myAir, a personalized therapy management application for patients with sleep apnea that provides support, education, and troubleshooting tools for increased patient engagement and improved compliance; U-Sleep, a compliance monitoring solution that enables home medical equipment (HME)to streamline their sleep programs; connectivity module and propeller solutions; and Propeller portal. It offers out-of-hospital software solution, such as Brightree business management software and service solutions to providers of HME, pharmacy, home infusion, orthotics, and prosthetics services; MatrixCare care management and related ancillary solutions to senior living, skilled nursing, life plan communities, home health, home care, and hospice organizations, as well as related accountable care organizations; and HEALTHCAREfirst that offers electronic health record, software, billing and coding services, and analytics for home health and hospice agencies. The company markets its products primarily to sleep clinics, home healthcare dealers, and hospitals through a network of distributors and direct sales force in approximately 140 countries. ResMed Inc. was founded in 1989 and is headquartered in San Diego, California.
How the Company Makes MoneyResMed makes money primarily by selling sleep and respiratory care products and by providing software-as-a-service (SaaS) and related digital health services. 1) Device and mask/accessory sales (core revenue stream): - Flow generators and ventilators: ResMed generates revenue from the sale of sleep therapy devices (e.g., CPAP and bilevel PAP machines) and respiratory devices (including certain ventilators). These are sold through distribution channels such as home medical equipment (HME) providers, durable medical equipment (DME) providers, sleep clinics, and hospital systems, depending on product type and geography. - Masks and accessories (recurring/consumable revenue): A significant portion of revenue is driven by ongoing replacement of patient interfaces and consumables (masks, cushions, headgear, tubing, filters, humidifier tubs, etc.). Because these components wear out and are replaced on a regular cadence, they tend to provide more repeat purchase behavior than the underlying devices. 2) Software and digital health services (SaaS / subscription-like revenue): - ResMed earns revenue from cloud-based platforms and connected care solutions that support patient setup, monitoring, compliance/adherence tracking, and workflow/billing operations for providers. These offerings are typically sold to healthcare providers, HMEs/DMEs, and other care delivery organizations, often under subscription, usage-based, or contract arrangements depending on the product and customer. - Connectivity and data services can increase the value of the installed device base by enabling remote monitoring and ongoing therapy management, supporting customer retention and adding higher-margin recurring revenue alongside hardware. 3) Channel, payer, and therapy-adherence dynamics that support earnings: - In many markets, sleep therapy equipment is reimbursed by insurers or government payers when medical criteria are met; provider customers (e.g., HMEs/DMEs) purchase ResMed equipment to fulfill prescriptions. ResMed’s revenue is realized through sales to these channel customers rather than directly from most patients. - Adherence and long-term therapy usage can influence reorder rates for masks/accessories and the utilization of provider software tools, indirectly supporting repeat demand. 4) Partnerships and ecosystem factors: - ResMed’s earnings are influenced by relationships with HMEs/DMEs, sleep labs, hospital systems, and clinicians who prescribe and set up therapy, as well as by integration/compatibility with provider workflows and health IT systems. Specific partnership terms or named partners not broadly disclosed are null.

Resmed Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Revenue by Segment
Revenue by Segment
Breaks down overall revenue into specific business segments, providing insight into which parts of the company are performing well and contributing most to the bottom line.
Chart InsightsResMed's Sleep and Breathing Health Products segment shows consistent growth, with a notable acceleration since 2023. The latest earnings call highlights a 9% revenue increase, driven by strong device and mask sales, particularly in the U.S. and Latin America. The Residential Care Software segment, while growing, faces challenges in senior living and long-term care. Strategic investments in R&D and a new distribution facility aim to sustain growth. However, increased tax rates and restructuring charges present potential headwinds. Overall, ResMed is focused on expanding its mask portfolio and enhancing global market presence.
Data provided by:The Fly

Resmed Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Jan 29, 2026
(Q2-2026)
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% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Apr 23, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call emphasized multiple strong operational and financial wins: double-digit headline revenue growth, expanded margins driven by supply-chain productivity, robust device and mask growth, healthy cash generation, continued innovation (new fabric masks, first FDA-cleared AI feature), and a sizable capital return program. Headwinds were present but generally moderate: SG&A growth (partly acquisition-related), a modest tax-rate headwind from global minimum tax, a small restructuring charge, and some lumpiness in ex-U.S. device comps and certain RCS verticals. On balance the highlights materially outweigh the lowlights, reflecting continued execution, margin expansion and strong cash returns to shareholders.
Q2-2026 Updates
Positive Updates
Revenue Growth
Group revenue of $1.42 billion, up 11% headline and 9% on a constant currency basis versus the prior-year quarter.
Earnings and Profitability
GAAP diluted EPS increased 16%; net income up 15%; operating profit rose 19% with operating margin improving to 36.3% of revenue (from 34% prior year).
Product and Category Performance
Global device sales increased ~11% (constant currency) and masks, accessories & other increased ~14% globally; U.S. masks/accessories grew ~16%; Europe/Asia/ROW masks/accessories grew 8% (constant currency).
Gross Margin Expansion and Supply Chain Gains
Reported gross margin was 32.3% for the quarter, up 110 basis points year-over-year and 30 basis points sequentially; management highlighted supply chain-driven productivity delivering 310 basis points of year-over-year gross margin improvement as a key driver.
Cash Generation and Balance Sheet Strength
Cash flow from operations of $340 million in the quarter; cash balance $1.4 billion; gross debt $664 million and net cash of $753 million; ~$1.5 billion available under revolver.
Capital Return to Shareholders
Returned $263 million to shareholders in the quarter via dividend and $175 million in share repurchases (704k shares); Board declared quarterly dividend of $0.60 per share; share repurchase program increased to >$600 million for FY2026.
R&D, Innovation and New Product Launches
Continued R&D investment (R&D ~6.4% of revenue this quarter, guided 6–7% FY); launched F30i Comfort and F30i Clear fabric masks with positive early feedback and ongoing rollouts.
AI and Digital Health Advances
Limited beta of Comfort Match (AI-enabled comfort setting recommender within myAir) — cited as ResMed's first FDA-cleared AI-enabled medical device aimed at improving short- and long-term adherence.
Clinical Education and Provider Engagement
Continuing Medical Education (CME) programs completed nearly 60,000 times (a 50% increase from the prior quarter) with 77% of provider survey respondents saying they intend to change clinical practice based on training.
Real-World Evidence Supporting Demand Tailwind
Claims analysis covering ~1.95 million patients: patients with both a GLP-1 and CPAP script were 10–11% more likely to start CPAP; 3% more likely to have a resupply event at 1 year and ~6.2% more likely at 3 years, indicating higher initiation and longer-term engagement.
Manufacturing and Distribution Expansion
Signed lease and started construction on a new U.S. distribution center in Indiana (on track for calendar 2027 opening) and expanded Calabasas plant to double U.S. manufacturing capacity — targeted to enable shipping to ~90% of U.S. customers in <2 business days.
Negative Updates
RCS / Residential Care Software Headwinds
Residential Care Software revenue grew 5% (constant currency) but performance was partially offset by ongoing challenges in the senior living and long-term care verticals.
SG&A Growth Outpacing Revenue (Headline)
SG&A increased 15% on a headline basis (12% constant currency) and SG&A as a percentage of revenue rose to 19.6% from 18.8% prior year; part of the increase attributed to VirtuOx acquisition and promotional/marketing investments.
Effective Tax Rate Increase
Effective tax rate increased to 21.1% from 18% (prior year) primarily due to global minimum tax legislation; FY2026 tax rate estimated at 21–23%, representing a headwind to net margins.
One-Time Restructuring Charge
Recorded a $6 million restructuring-related charge in the quarter for global workforce planning (treated as a non-GAAP adjustment).
Working Capital Pressure
Strong operating results were partially offset by increases in working capital, which reduced operating cash flow conversion in the quarter.
Ex-U.S. Device Growth Moderation and Lumpy Comparables
Devices growth in Europe/Asia/ROW was ~5% (constant currency); management noted lumpy comps (e.g., prior-year elevated Japan purchases) and variability across markets.
Dependence on External Demand Drivers and Competitive Uncertainty
Management highlighted reliance on external demand drivers (GLP-1 medicines, wearables, PCP education) to expand the funnel and noted uncertainty around potential competitor re-entries (e.g., Philips), creating execution and competitive risk despite current confidence.
Currency and One-Time Reporting Notes
Foreign exchange benefited revenue by ~ $25 million and EPS by ~$0.04 in Q2, indicating some sensitivity to FX; transcript included an inconsistent gross margin FY guidance figure that may reflect reporting nuances.
Company Guidance
ResMed provided several forward-looking metrics: for fiscal 2026 management now expects gross margin of 62%–63% (subject to currency), SG&A to run about 19%–20% of revenue and R&D about 6%–7% of revenue, and an effective tax rate of 21%–23%; the company plans more than $600 million of share repurchases in FY26 (Q2 buyback ~$175M and a declared quarterly dividend of $0.60/share), expects to maintain mid‑single‑digit growth in its RCS business through the March and June quarters while targeting a return to sustainable high‑single‑digit revenue growth and double‑digit operating profit growth in FY27, is pursuing ongoing gross‑margin productivity initiatives (310 bps YoY improvement in Q2 and a challenge to deliver double‑digit bps improvement annually through 2030), and noted a $6M restructuring charge treated as non‑GAAP.

Resmed Financial Statement Overview

Summary
High-quality fundamentals: strong profitability (TTM gross margin ~60%, net margin ~27%), conservative and improving leverage (TTM debt-to-equity ~0.14) with strong ROE (~25%), and robust cash generation (TTM FCF ~1.8B) with healthy earnings conversion. The key constraint is slower recent top-line growth (TTM revenue growth ~2.7%), increasing reliance on maintaining margin strength.
Income Statement
88
Very Positive
Profitability is a clear strength: TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) gross margin is ~60% and net margin is ~27%, with operating profitability also strong. Earnings have expanded meaningfully versus prior years (net margin up from ~21–22% in FY2023–FY2024). The main weakness is growth: TTM revenue growth is modest (~2.7%) and is well below the double-digit pace seen in earlier years, indicating a slower top-line trajectory despite strong margins.
Balance Sheet
90
Very Positive
Balance sheet looks conservative and improving: leverage is low with TTM debt-to-equity around 0.14 (down materially from ~0.38 in FY2023), supporting financial flexibility. Shareholders’ equity has grown steadily, and returns remain strong (TTM return on equity ~25%). Key watch item is that returns are high partly because profitability is elevated; if margins normalize, ROE could soften, but current leverage leaves ample cushion.
Cash Flow
86
Very Positive
Cash generation is robust: TTM operating cash flow (~$1.9B) and free cash flow (~$1.8B) are strong, with free cash flow running close to reported earnings (~94% of net income), suggesting solid earnings quality. Cash flow coverage of earnings is healthy (operating cash flow to net income ~1.5x). The main drawback is volatility in growth rates across years (including prior periods of negative free cash flow growth), even though recent trends are positive.
BreakdownTTMJun 2025Jun 2024Jun 2023Jun 2022Jun 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue5.40B5.15B4.69B4.22B3.58B3.20B
Gross Profit3.29B3.05B2.66B2.36B2.02B1.84B
EBITDA2.07B1.91B1.53B1.36B1.18B1.10B
Net Income1.49B1.40B1.02B897.56M779.44M474.50M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets8.50B8.17B6.87B6.75B5.10B4.73B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments1.43B1.21B238.36M227.89M273.71M295.28M
Total Debt1.00B851.81M873.93M1.58B917.55M793.72M
Total Liabilities2.18B2.21B2.01B2.62B1.74B1.84B
Stockholders Equity6.32B5.97B4.86B4.13B3.36B2.89B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow1.79B1.66B1.29B559.30M195.11M619.89M
Operating Cash Flow1.91B1.75B1.40B693.30M351.15M736.72M
Investing Cash Flow-269.02M-200.04M-269.78M-1.16B-229.92M-158.46M
Financing Cash Flow-796.58M-606.25M-1.12B422.87M-128.36M-764.63M

Resmed Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price233.50
Price Trends
50DMA
253.79
Negative
100DMA
251.49
Negative
200DMA
259.39
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-6.06
Positive
RSI
33.01
Neutral
STOCH
6.43
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For RMD, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 233.5 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 250.15, below the 50-day MA of 253.79, and below the 200-day MA of 259.39, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -6.06 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 33.01 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 6.43 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for RMD.

Resmed Risk Analysis

Resmed disclosed 38 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Resmed reported the most risks in the "Legal & Regulatory" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Resmed Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (51)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
80
Outperform
$34.02B22.4724.81%0.92%9.36%29.56%
72
Outperform
$17.24B40.2916.68%0.32%4.90%-0.26%
68
Neutral
$46.03B28.466.93%2.13%8.23%-2.04%
66
Neutral
$16.75B23.3411.01%1.74%-25.29%
63
Neutral
$9.19B-45.07-17.21%-16.03%-813.48%
51
Neutral
$7.86B-0.30-43.30%2.27%22.53%-2.21%
47
Neutral
$9.07B-13.78%2.75%-21.20%-325.40%
* Healthcare Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
RMD
Resmed
233.50
14.36
6.55%
BAX
Baxter International
17.62
-15.37
-46.59%
BDX
Becton Dickinson
161.64
-16.38
-9.20%
HOLX
Hologic
75.05
14.04
23.01%
MASI
Masimo
175.97
6.47
3.82%
WST
West Pharmaceutical Services
239.42
12.71
5.61%

Resmed Corporate Events

DividendsFinancial Disclosures
ResMed Announces Dividend and Strong Quarterly Earnings Growth
Positive
Jan 29, 2026

On January 29, 2026, Resmed’s board declared a quarterly cash dividend of US$0.60 per share, payable March 19, 2026, to shareholders of record on February 12, 2026, with payments made in U.S. dollars for NYSE-listed common stock and in Australian dollars for CHESS Depositary Instrument holders on the ASX, reflecting the 10:1 CDI-to-share ratio and a temporary waiver to defer stock-to-CDI conversions around the ex-dividend date. On the same day, the company reported strong results for the quarter ended December 31, 2025, with revenue up 11% to US$1.42 billion (9% in constant currency), gross margin expanding to 61.8%, income from operations rising 18%, and diluted EPS increasing 15% to US$2.68, underpinned by robust demand for its sleep and respiratory devices, growing contribution from its digital health platform, and solid cash generation, reinforcing its positioning for continued investment-led yet profitable growth in the second half of fiscal 2026.

The most recent analyst rating on (RMD) stock is a Buy with a $300.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Resmed stock, see the RMD Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jan 30, 2026