We are subject throughout the world to comprehensive and constantly evolving laws, regulations and policies. We expect the extent of the legal and regulatory requirements affecting our business and our costs of compliance to continue to increase significantly in the future. In Europe and the United States, for example, significant governmental regulation is driven by environmental, fuel economy, vehicle safety and noise emission concerns. Evolving regulatory requirements could significantly affect our product development plans and may limit the number and types of cars we sell and where we sell them, which may affect our revenue. Governmental regulations may increase the costs we incur to design, develop and produce our cars and may affect our product portfolio. Regulation may also result in a change in the character or performance characteristics of our cars which may render them less appealing to our clients. We anticipate that the number and extent of these regulations, and their effect on our cost structure and product line-up, will increase significantly in the future.
Current European legislation limits fleet average greenhouse gas emissions for new passenger cars. Due to our small volume manufacturer ("SVM") status we benefit from a derogation from the existing emissions requirement and we are instead required to meet, by 2021, alternative targets for our fleet of EU-registered vehicles. Despite global shipments exceeding 10,000 vehicles in 2019, Ferrari still qualifies as an SVM under EU regulations, since its total number of registered vehicles in the EU per year is less than 10,000 vehicles. On July, 14, 2021, the European Commission published a proposal to amend the EU 2019/631, which, among other things, would repeal from 2030 the derogation granted to SMVs. If the proposed amendment is confirmed in the final rule, this may have a significant effect on our costs.
Switzerland has historically adopted the targets approved by the European Commission. On November 24, 2021, the Swiss Federal Council amended the CO2 emission regulations for cars and vans and starting from January 1, 2022 the vehicles of niche and small volume manufacturers will have to meet the same CO2 emission targets as those of large volume manufacturers. This change in legislation is expected to result in additional costs for Ferrari, either through penalties or the purchase of emissions credits from other manufacturers.
In the United States, the U.S. Environmental Protection Agency ("EPA") and the National Highway Traffic Safety Administration ("NHTSA") have set the federal standards for passenger cars and light trucks to meet certain combined average greenhouse gas ("GHG") and fuel economy ("CAFE") levels and more stringent standards have been prescribed for model years 2017 through 2025. Since Ferrari is considered to be an SVM under EPA GHG regulations (as it produces less than 5,000 vehicles per model year for the US market), we expect to benefit from a derogation from currently applicable standards. We also petitioned the EPA for alternative standards for the model years 2017-2021 and 2022-2025, which are aligned to our technical and economic capabilities. On June 25, 2020, the EPA Administrator signed the final determination for alternative GHG standards for SVMs for model years 2017 through 2021 and issued final alternative GHG standards for us and other SVMs. In September 2016 we petitioned the NHTSA for recognition as an independent manufacturer of less than 10,000 vehicles produced globally and we proposed alternative CAFE standards for model years 2017, 2018 and 2019. Then, in December, 2017, we amended the petition by proposing alternative CAFE standards for model years 2016, 2017 and 2018 instead, covering also the 2016 model year. In 2019, our global production exceeded 10,000 vehicles, and therefore we are no longer considered an SVM by the NHTSA for the model year 2019. We previously purchased the CAFE credits needed to fulfill this deficit. On July 15, 2020, we submitted to the NHTSA a petition for an exemption from the CAFE standards for the model year 2020. We proceeded with this submission because, although Ferrari originally intended to produce more than 10,000 vehicles in 2020, actual production was lower than 10,000 vehicles as a result of the COVID-19 pandemic and the related shutdown of our production facilities. Therefore, since we met the NHTSA definition of SVM, we have requested an alternative fleet average GHG standard for model year 2020. The NHTSA has confirmed that it will not send a shortfall letter to Ferrari requiring payment of CAFE civil penalties or the application of CAFE credits with regard to model year 2020 until the NHTSA has ruled on Ferrari's petitions for an alternative standard. If our petitions are rejected, we will not be able to benefit from the more favorable CAFE standard levels which we have petitioned for and this may require us to purchase additional CAFE credits in order to comply with applicable CAFE standards. In 2021, our global production exceeded 10,000 vehicles again, and therefore we are no longer considered SVM by the NHTSA for the model year 2021. We already purchased the CAFE credits needed to fulfill our 2021 deficit. We expect to adopt the same approach in the coming years.
In the United States, considerable uncertainty is associated with emissions regulations in light of changing policies under the past and newly appointed administration. New regulations are in the process of being developed, and many existing and potential regulatory initiatives are subject to review by federal or state agencies or the courts. On March, 31, 2020, the
NHTSA and the EPA issued the final Safer Affordable Fuel-Efficient (SAFE) Vehicles Rule (the "SAFE Vehicles Rule") setting CAFE and carbon dioxide emissions standards for model years 2021-2026 passenger cars and light trucks. Under the SAFE Vehicles Rule, the overall stringency of the federal standards is significantly reduced from the levels previously set: the final rule will increase stringency of CAFE and CO2 emissions standards by 1.5 percent each year through model year 2026, as compared with the previous standards issued in 2012, which would have required annual increases of approximately 5 percent. In May 2021, the NHTSA issued a notice of proposed rulemaking proposing to fully repeal the regulatory text and appendices promulgated in the SAFE Vehicles Rule. In August 2021, the EPA published a notice of proposed rulemaking proposing to strengthen federal GHG emissions standards for passenger cars and light trucks by setting stringent requirements for reductions from model years 2023-2026. Consistent with the EPA approach, in September 2021, NHTSA published a notice of proposed rulemaking proposing revised fuel economy standards for passenger cars and light trucks for model years 2024-2026. The EPA and the NHTSA did not propose any changes to the regulations regarding SVM status or alternative standards.
In the state of California (which has been granted special authority under the Clean Air Act to set its own vehicle emission standards), the California Air Resources Board ("CARB") has enacted regulations under which manufacturers of vehicles for model years 2012-2025 which are in compliance with the EPA greenhouse gas emissions regulations are also deemed to be in compliance with California's greenhouse gas emission regulations (the so-called "deemed to comply" option). On December 12, 2018 the CARB amended its existing regulations to clarify that the "deemed-to-comply" provision would not be available for model years 2021-2025 if the EPA standards for those years were altered via an amendment of federal regulations. On September 19, 2019, the NHTSA and the EPA established the "One National Program" for fuel economy regulation, announcing the EPA's decision to withdraw California's waiver of preemption under the Clean Air Act, and by affirming the NHTSA's authority to set nationally applicable regulatory standards under the preemption provisions of the Energy Policy and Conservation Act (EPCA). California and other states, along with the cities of Los Angeles and New York, initiated litigation to challenge this final rule. Several environmental groups have also challenged such final rule. Ferrari currently avails itself of the "deemed-to-comply" provision to comply with CARB greenhouse gas emissions regulations. Therefore, depending on future developments, it may be necessary to also petition the CARB for SVM alternative standards and to increase the number of tests to be performed in order to follow the CARB specific procedures.
In addition, we are subject to legislation relating to the emission of other air pollutants such as, among others, the EU "Euro 6" standards and Real Driving Emissions (RDE) standards, the "Tier 3" Motor Vehicle Emission and Fuel Standards issued by the EPA, and the Zero Emission Vehicle regulation in California, which are subject to similar derogations for SVMs. In March 2020, the European Commission launched a public consultation on its roadmap outlining the policy options that it could pursue in revising the emission standards for light and heavy duty vehicles (Euro 7). This initiative is part of the European Green Deal, advocating the European automotive industry's role as a leader in the global transition to zero-emission vehicles. More stringent air pollutant emissions standards for combustion engine vehicles are expected to be set by early 2022.
Depending on the future regulatory developments, the technological solutions required to ensure Euro 7 compliance may affect customers' expectations on performance, sound and driving experience. The European Commission is also expected to assess and evaluate the current noise emissions limits, with the risk of more stringent thresholds.
In relation to the safety legislation framework, in 2016, the NHTSA published guidelines for driver distraction, for which rulemaking activities have not progressed since early 2017. The costs of compliance associated with these and similar rulemaking may be substantial.
Other governments around the world, such as those in Canada, South Korea, China and certain Middle Eastern countries are also creating new policies to address these issues which could be even more stringent than the U.S. or European requirements. As in the United States and Europe, these government policies if applied to us could significantly affect our product development plans. In China, for example, Stage IV fuel consumption regulation targeted a national average fuel consumption of 5.0L/100km by 2020, and the Stage V regulation, issued on December 31, 2019, targets a national average fuel consumption of 4.0 l/100km by 2025. In addition to the fuel consumption target on the entire fleet, the Chinese regulation GB 19578-2021 sets specific fuel consumption limits on model types. Currently, this standard is only applicable to domestic cars, as it is not adopted by the China Certification and Accreditation Administration (CNCA). If this regulation were also applied to importers, considering the current Ferrari portfolio, only the plug-in hybrid models would be compliant.
In response to severe air quality issues in Beijing and other major Chinese cities, in 2016 the Chinese government published a more stringent emissions program (National 6), providing two different levels of stringency effective starting from 2020. Moreover, several autonomous Chinese regions and municipalities have implemented the requirements of the
National 6 program even ahead of the mandated deadlines. During 2020, the Chinese Vehicle Emission Control Center (VECC) launched the "Pre-study on Next Stage Emission Standards for Light Duty Vehicles", an ongoing research project expected to be finalized in a more stringent emission program in the coming years. Depending on the future regulatory developments, the technological solutions required to ensure the compliance may affect customers' expectations on performance, sound and driving experience.
We have lost our status as an SVM for NHSTA in 2019, because our global production exceeded 10,000 vehicles, but we have not lost our SVM status for EU CO2 regulations or for EPA GHG regulations in the United States. We could lose our status as an SVM in the EU, the United States and other countries if we do not continue to meet all of the necessary eligibility criteria under applicable regulations as they evolve, not only in relation to volumes but also in relation to the conditions of operational independence. In order to meet these criteria we may need to modify our growth plans or other operations. Furthermore, even if we continue to benefit from derogations as an SVM, we will be subject to alternative standards that the regulators deem appropriate for our technical and economic capabilities and such alternative standards may be significantly more stringent than those currently applicable to us.
Under these existing regulations, as well as new or stricter rules or policies, we could be subject to sizable civil penalties or have to restrict or modify product offerings drastically to remain in compliance. We may have to incur substantial capital expenditures and research and development expenditures to upgrade products and manufacturing facilities, which would have an impact on our cost of production and results of operation. For a description of the regulation referred to in the paragraphs above please see "Item 4.B. Business Overview-Regulatory Matters".
In the future, the advent of self-driving technology may result in regulatory changes that we cannot predict but may include limitations or bans on human driving in specific areas. In 2020 the European Commission issued its new digital strategy policies, which represent a priority in the European Commission's regulatory agenda. Although no regulations have been issued in this regard, the European Commission has showed a determination to strengthen Europe's digital sovereignty and role as a standard setter, with a clear focus on data, technology, and infrastructure.
Similarly, driving bans on combustion engine vehicles could be imposed, particularly in metropolitan areas, as a result of progress in electric and hybrid technology. On September 23, 2020, the Governor of California issued an executive order requiring that all in-state sales of new passenger vehicles be zero-emission by 2035. The CARB is developing regulations to implement such executive order. During 2021, the state of Washington also moved ahead with legislation that could phase out sales of non-zero-emission vehicles by 2030. In November 2020, the UK Prime Minister, the Transport Secretary and the Business Secretary announced, in the context of the 10-Point Plan for a Green Industrial Revolution, the end of the sale of new petrol and diesel cars in the United Kingdom by 2030. This will put the United Kingdom on course to be the first G7 country to decarbonize cars and vans. Any further similar developments in the future may adversely affect the demand for our cars and our business.
In September 2017, the Chinese government issued the Administrative Measures on CAFC (Corporate Average Fuel Consumption) and NEV (New Energy Vehicle) Credits. This regulation establishes mandatory CAFC requirements, while providing additional flexibilities for SVMs (defined as manufacturers with less than 2,000 units imported in China per year) that achieve a certain minimum CAFC yearly improvement rate. Following the adoption of the Stage V fuel consumption regulation, an update to the Administrative Measures on CAFC and NEV credits was published in June 2020. The Administrative Measures have been extended to 2023. Because our CAFC is expected to exceed the regulatory ceiling, we will be required to purchase NEV credits. There is no assurance that an adequate market for NEV credits will develop in China and if we are not able to secure sufficient NEV credits this may adversely affect our business in China.
Several others regulations are also emerging to take into account the non-exhaust emissions such as brake particulate emissions and the environmental impact of the electric and hybrid vehicles components, with a particular focus on batteries and waste batteries.
To comply with current and future environmental rules in all markets in which we sell our cars, we may have to incur substantial capital expenditure and research and development expenditure to upgrade products and manufacturing facilities, which would have an impact on our cost of production and results of operations.