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Palmer Square Capital BDC Inc. (PSBD)
NYSE:PSBD
US Market

Palmer Square Capital BDC Inc. (PSBD) AI Stock Analysis

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Palmer Square Capital BDC Inc.

(NYSE:PSBD)

51Neutral
Palmer Square Capital BDC Inc. is experiencing significant financial challenges, particularly with negative cash flows and inconsistent profitability, which weigh heavily on its overall score. While technical indicators suggest a bearish sentiment, the stock's low valuation and high dividend yield provide some upside potential. The recent earnings call highlights both opportunities and risks, with strong capital deployment countered by dividend reductions and asset losses. The company's ability to manage these challenges will be critical in determining future performance.
Positive Factors
Credit and Earnings
Credit remains strong, core earnings support supplemental dividends, and the portfolio yield improved.
Investment Strategy
PSBD's unique strategy of investing across the liquid and private markets can generate attractive risk-adjusted returns.
Negative Factors
Dividend Reduction
Lower base rates plus spread pressure drove PSBD to reduce the quarterly core dividend by 14%.
Profitability
Palmer Square reported core profitability was weaker than expected, and the core dividend was reset lower.

Palmer Square Capital BDC Inc. (PSBD) vs. S&P 500 (SPY)

Palmer Square Capital BDC Inc. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionPalmer Square Capital BDC, Inc. engages in the provision of investment funds. It lends and invests in corporate debt securities of companies. The company was founded in 2019 and is headquartered in Mission Woods, KS.
How the Company Makes MoneyPalmer Square Capital BDC Inc. generates revenue primarily through interest income from its debt investments in middle-market companies. The company invests in various forms of debt, including senior secured loans, subordinated debt, and mezzanine financing, which provide a steady stream of interest payments. Additionally, PSBD may earn income from equity investments in portfolio companies if they appreciate in value or generate dividends. The company's earnings are influenced by its ability to identify attractive investment opportunities, effectively manage credit risk, and maintain strong relationships with its portfolio companies.

Palmer Square Capital BDC Inc. Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Palmer Square Capital BDC Inc. faces significant challenges with inconsistent revenue and profitability, potentially due to market volatility or operational inefficiencies. The balance sheet remains relatively stable with no debt, reducing financial risk, but changes in stockholders' equity and assets suggest some instability. Negative cash flows are a critical concern, indicating potential liquidity issues.
Income Statement
42
Neutral
Palmer Square Capital BDC Inc. has experienced significant volatility in its revenue and profitability. The company showed a negative revenue growth rate from the previous year, indicating a challenging environment. The gross profit margin is stable, but the net profit margin is inconsistent, highlighting volatility in core operations. EBIT and EBITDA margins have been highly negative, which could indicate operational inefficiencies or restructuring costs.
Balance Sheet
55
Neutral
The balance sheet shows a moderate equity ratio, suggesting a balanced capital structure with a manageable level of leverage. The company has eliminated its total debt, significantly reducing financial risk. However, fluctuations in stockholders' equity and total assets over the years highlight potential instability. The return on equity is positive, reflecting some efficiency in generating profits from shareholders' investments.
Cash Flow
37
Negative
The cash flow statement indicates a challenging situation with a significant decline in operating cash flow. Free cash flow has also turned negative, raising concerns about the company's ability to generate cash internally. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is negative, reflecting inefficiencies in converting income into cash. The company has relied on financing to support cash flow, which might not be sustainable in the long term.
Breakdown
Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
52.31M109.18M-72.84M20.92M24.45M
Gross Profit
52.31M101.82M-81.99M13.52M19.49M
EBIT
-211.34M-7.03M-74.48M19.06M31.47M
EBITDA
0.00152.32M0.0027.68M31.47M
Net Income Common Stockholders
47.67M107.84M-74.48M19.06M26.73M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
2.77M65.88M1.65M1.09M682.58K
Total Assets
1.43B1.12B1.06B1.22B667.49M
Total Debt
0.00641.83M641.31M649.91M393.15M
Net Debt
-2.77M-2.12M639.66M648.82M392.47M
Total Liabilities
893.20M659.86M694.01M764.49M414.35M
Stockholders Equity
537.84M461.96M363.44M452.80M253.14M
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
-200.60M57.12M25.11M-438.01M16.19M
Operating Cash Flow
-200.60M57.12M25.11M-438.01M16.19M
Investing Cash Flow
0.00-26.65M35.40M-519.55M-586.26M
Financing Cash Flow
201.25M-30.00M-24.56M438.42M570.75M

Palmer Square Capital BDC Inc. Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price12.75
Price Trends
50DMA
14.01
Negative
100DMA
14.57
Negative
200DMA
14.79
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.35
Negative
RSI
41.15
Neutral
STOCH
31.03
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For PSBD, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 12.75 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 13.07, below the 50-day MA of 14.01, and below the 200-day MA of 14.79, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.35 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 41.15 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 31.03 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for PSBD.

Palmer Square Capital BDC Inc. Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (55)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
71
Outperform
$514.62M7.2914.74%6.87%-8.68%-3.76%
SASAR
68
Neutral
$348.04M9.689.28%12.20%-24.05%28.25%
SCSCM
64
Neutral
$377.08M7.4113.29%12.05%17.67%128.48%
58
Neutral
$534.51M15.933.99%14.29%2.30%-63.97%
55
Neutral
$4.17B-1.48-15.12%5.19%17.18%-44.55%
51
Neutral
$415.80M8.729.54%12.71%14.82%-63.91%
47
Neutral
$422.47M25.913.28%14.53%-66.59%
* General Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
PSBD
Palmer Square Capital BDC Inc.
12.75
-1.95
-13.27%
GAIN
Gladstone Investment
13.97
1.36
10.79%
PNNT
Pennantpark Investment
6.47
0.20
3.19%
SAR
Saratoga Investment
24.26
3.61
17.48%
SCM
Stellus Capital
13.27
0.65
5.15%
CION
CION Investment Corp
10.08
0.05
0.50%

Palmer Square Capital BDC Inc. Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date: Feb 27, 2025 | % Change Since: -14.26% | Next Earnings Date: May 7, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call presented a mix of positive and negative aspects. While the company demonstrated strong capital deployment, a successful IPO, and maintained an attractive dividend yield, there were challenges such as a reduction in dividends, net realized and unrealized losses, and a decrease in NAV per share.
Highlights
Strong Capital Deployment
During the fourth quarter, Palmer Square Capital BDC deployed $171.8 million of capital, contributing to a total net investment income of $14.8 million.
Successful IPO and Market Positioning
Palmer Square Capital BDC successfully launched its IPO in January 2024, becoming the only publicly-traded BDC with a portfolio spanning both broadly syndicated public debt and large private credit investments, offering enhanced transparency.
Attractive Dividend Yield
As of December 31, 2024, Palmer Square Capital BDC provided an annualized dividend yield of 11.6% on a portfolio focused on first lien, floating rate liquid loans.
Low Nonaccruals and PIK Income
The portfolio had only 0.08% of fair value in nonaccrual loans and approximately 1.96% of total investment income from PIK income, both well below industry averages.
Lowlights
Dividend Reduction
The Board decided to recalibrate the base dividend, lowering it to $0.36 beginning in the first quarter of 2025 to address rate cuts and support NAV stability.
Net Realized and Unrealized Losses
In the fourth quarter of 2024, the company experienced total net realized and unrealized losses of $2.9 million, compared to gains of $6.6 million in the same period of 2023.
NAV Per Share Decrease
Net Asset Value (NAV) per share decreased to $16.50 at the end of the fourth quarter from $16.61 at the end of the third quarter of 2024.
Company Guidance
During the call, Palmer Square Capital BDC provided guidance emphasizing their solid performance in the fourth quarter and full year of 2024, highlighting key metrics and strategic focuses. The company deployed $171.8 million of capital in the fourth quarter, generating total and net investment income of $34.9 million and $14.8 million, respectively, with a net investment income of $0.45 per share. They declared a $0.48 per share dividend, inclusive of a $0.06 supplemental distribution. Notably, Palmer Square Capital BDC reported a January 31 NAV per share of $16.70, showcasing their unique transparency in monthly NAV disclosure. The portfolio's fair value reached approximately $1.41 billion, with a focus on maintaining high credit quality and diversification across 38 industries. They also recalibrated their base dividend to $0.36 for the first quarter of 2025, reflecting a strategic approach to market conditions and future opportunities. Despite facing an evolving macroeconomic landscape with spread tightening and interest rate volatility, the company remains confident in their ability to navigate these challenges by leveraging their experience in both broadly syndicated public debt and large private credit investments.

Palmer Square Capital BDC Inc. Corporate Events

DividendsBusiness Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Palmer Square Capital BDC Reports Q4 2024 Results
Neutral
Feb 28, 2025

Palmer Square Capital BDC Inc. announced its financial results for the fourth quarter and full year 2024, reporting a total investment income of $34.9 million for the quarter, an increase from the previous year. Despite a decrease in net investment income per share, the company declared a first quarter 2025 base dividend of $0.36 per share, with a supplemental dividend expected in March. The company maintained a disciplined investment strategy amidst market uncertainties, focusing on liquid and private credit investments, which it believes will continue to deliver attractive returns while maintaining credit quality.

Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.