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Prothena (PRTA)
NASDAQ:PRTA

Prothena (PRTA) AI Stock Analysis

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Prothena

(NASDAQ:PRTA)

47Neutral
Prothena faces significant challenges, particularly in financial performance with ongoing losses and cash flow issues. While its strategic partnerships and robust pipeline offer potential, the dependency on clinical trial successes and recent technical weakness suggest caution. Its valuation metrics further reinforce a cautious approach due to negative earnings and lack of dividends.
Positive Factors
Efficacy of Birtamimab
Birtamimab might lead to a 50% reduction in mortality in the Mayo Stage four patients.
Management Confidence
Management highlighted their confidence in a positive readout based on the VITAL phase 3 data showing a 59% reduction in risk of mortality with birtamimab in the Mayo Stage IV subgroup.
Negative Factors
Challenges in Amyloidosis Diagnosis
Amyloidosis remains a difficult to diagnose disease given that no single imaging, blood, or urine test is diagnostic for this disorder and that the presenting symptoms often mimic those of more common disorders.

Prothena (PRTA) vs. S&P 500 (SPY)

Prothena Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionProthena Corporation plc (PRTA) is a clinical-stage biotechnology company focused on the discovery and development of novel protein immunotherapies. The company operates primarily in the healthcare sector, with a specialization in neuroscience and rare peripheral amyloid diseases. Prothena's core products and services revolve around its proprietary pipeline of therapeutic antibodies targeting diseases such as AL amyloidosis, Parkinson's disease, and Alzheimer's disease.
How the Company Makes MoneyProthena makes money through a combination of collaborations, licensing agreements, and milestone payments related to its research and development efforts. The company enters into strategic partnerships with larger pharmaceutical companies to co-develop and commercialize its drug candidates. These partnerships typically involve upfront payments and funding for research and development activities. Additionally, Prothena may receive milestone payments upon achieving specific clinical, regulatory, and sales targets. Given the nature of the biotechnology industry, the company's revenue is heavily dependent on the successful development and commercialization of its therapeutic candidates, as well as its ability to secure favorable partnership agreements.

Prothena Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Prothena's financials reflect a company in transition, with revenue growth overshadowed by persistent profitability challenges. Despite a healthy equity position, cash flow issues and negative returns on equity highlight the need for strategic adjustments to enhance financial performance and operational efficiency.
Income Statement
40
Negative
Prothena has shown inconsistent revenue growth, with a significant increase in the most recent year but previously declining revenue. The gross profit margin is positive, yet the company has consistently reported negative net income, resulting in negative net profit and EBIT margins. These suggest ongoing operational challenges and profitability issues.
Balance Sheet
60
Neutral
The company maintains a solid equity base relative to its liabilities, resulting in a low debt-to-equity ratio. However, the negative return on equity indicates that the company is not currently generating profits from its shareholders' investment. The equity ratio remains strong, supporting financial stability.
Cash Flow
50
Neutral
Prothena faced challenges in generating positive operating cash flow, with negative free cash flow indicating a reliance on external financing. The ratio of operating cash flow to net income highlights operational inefficiencies, while fluctuations in free cash flow growth suggest inconsistent cash management.
Breakdown
Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
135.16M91.37M53.91M200.58M853.00K
Gross Profit
135.16M-129.20M47.16M118.29M-74.03M
EBIT
-154.56M-191.04M-131.56M71.97M-112.73M
EBITDA
-154.56M-190.11M-131.56M71.97M-111.22M
Net Income Common Stockholders
-122.31M-147.03M-116.95M66.97M-111.14M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
471.39M618.83M710.41M579.09M295.38M
Total Assets
547.11M696.38M758.03M609.37M332.98M
Total Debt
10.84M11.84M6.47M12.33M17.84M
Net Debt
-460.55M-607.00M-703.93M-566.77M-277.54M
Total Liabilities
60.18M135.02M135.99M143.32M148.97M
Stockholders Equity
486.93M561.37M622.04M466.04M184.01M
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
-150.35M-136.72M-109.28M92.03M-80.56M
Operating Cash Flow
-150.05M-133.91M-108.82M92.61M-80.36M
Investing Cash Flow
-298.00K-2.77M-464.00K-575.00K-196.00K
Financing Cash Flow
1.55M45.10M241.46M190.33M215.00K

Prothena Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price14.60
Price Trends
50DMA
14.46
Negative
100DMA
15.05
Negative
200DMA
17.95
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
0.04
Positive
RSI
42.73
Neutral
STOCH
34.86
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For PRTA, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 14.6 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 14.69, above the 50-day MA of 14.46, and below the 200-day MA of 17.95, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of 0.04 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 42.73 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 34.86 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for PRTA.

Prothena Risk Analysis

Prothena disclosed 62 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Prothena reported the most risks in the “Tech & Innovation” category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Prothena Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (49)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
79
Outperform
$2.87B12.6438.89%31.85%
69
Neutral
$22.06B13.4810.36%-1.60%39.71%
49
Neutral
$5.12B-93.03%-10.48%-18.79%
49
Neutral
$6.90B-0.08-53.01%2.43%24.84%-3.06%
49
Neutral
$30.17B-414.62%22.97%38.54%
47
Neutral
$785.60M-23.34%47.92%17.84%
43
Neutral
$446.97M-63.37%-52.30%27.13%
* Healthcare Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
PRTA
Prothena
13.75
-13.79
-50.07%
ACAD
ACADIA Pharmaceuticals
17.19
-2.79
-13.96%
ALNY
Alnylam Pharma
238.74
92.09
62.80%
BIIB
Biogen
143.66
-83.70
-36.81%
IONS
Ionis Pharmaceuticals
33.03
-10.14
-23.49%
SAGE
SAGE Therapeutics
7.40
-12.95
-63.64%

Prothena Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date: Feb 20, 2025 | % Change Since: -4.26% | Next Earnings Date: May 7, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call presents a balanced outlook for Prothena. While there are significant opportunities for growth through its robust portfolio and strategic partnerships, challenges remain, particularly with the dependency on future clinical trial successes and the narrow miss in prasinezumab's statistical significance.
Highlights
Robust Portfolio and Strategic Partnerships
Prothena has a robust portfolio with four wholly-owned and four partnered programs across various stages of clinical development, allowing strategic collaborations to advance treatments while maintaining financial benefits.
Birtamimab's Commercial Potential
Birtamimab represents a significant multi-billion dollar global commercial opportunity as the first potential treatment for AL amyloidosis with demonstrated early survival benefit.
Partnerships with Major Pharmaceutical Companies
Collaborations with companies like Roche, Novo Nordisk, and Bristol Myers Squibb enhance the development of prasinezumab, coramitug, and BMS-986446, advancing them as potential transformative treatments.
Strong Financial Position
Prothena ended 2024 with $472.2 million in cash, cash equivalents, and restricted cash, maintaining a simple capital structure with zero debt.
Lowlights
Prasinezumab Narrowly Misses Statistical Significance
In the Phase 2b PADOVA study for early Parkinson's disease, prasinezumab showed potential but narrowly missed statistical significance with a p-value of 0.0657.
High Dependency on Future Clinical Success
Financial guidance for 2025 is heavily reliant on the success of upcoming clinical trials, with a projected net loss between $197 million and $205 million.
Company Guidance
During the Prothena Biosciences Fourth Quarter and Full Year 2024 Financial Results Conference Call, the company provided guidance for 2025, highlighting several key metrics. Prothena expects full-year 2025 net cash used in operating and investing activities to range between $168 million and $175 million, anticipating a year-end cash balance of approximately $301 million. The projected net loss for 2025 is estimated to be between $197 million and $205 million, inclusive of an estimated $41 million in non-cash share-based compensation expense. As of December 31, 2024, Prothena reported $472.2 million in cash, cash equivalents, and restricted cash, and as of February 20, 2025, the company had approximately 53.8 million ordinary shares outstanding. The company emphasized that it maintains a simple capital structure with zero debt.
Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.