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MSP Recovery (MSPR)
NASDAQ:MSPR
US Market

MSP Recovery (MSPR) AI Stock Analysis

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MSP Recovery

(NASDAQ:MSPR)

Rating:40Neutral
Price Target:
$1.50
▼(-0.66%Downside)
MSP Recovery's overall stock score is driven by significant financial instability, as reflected in its poor financial performance and valuation. The technical analysis shows a bearish trend, and recent corporate events indicate financial distress, reinforcing the overall risk profile of the stock.

MSP Recovery (MSPR) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

MSP Recovery Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionMSP Recovery (MSPR) is a healthcare-focused company specializing in the recovery of improperly paid insurance claims for Medicare, Medicaid, commercial, and secondary payers. The company leverages data analytics and technology to identify and recover funds from incorrect payments, aiming to optimize the financial processes within the healthcare sector.
How the Company Makes MoneyMSP Recovery makes money primarily by identifying and recovering improperly paid insurance claims on behalf of its clients, which include healthcare providers and insurers. The company operates on a contingency fee basis, meaning it earns a percentage of the funds recovered from these claims. MSP Recovery uses sophisticated data mining and analytical tools to detect discrepancies in payments and negotiate settlements, thereby securing revenue through successful recoveries. Additionally, partnerships with healthcare organizations and insurers enhance its ability to access claim data and expand its recovery operations.

MSP Recovery Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 14, 2025
(Q1-2024)
|
% Change Since: -20.94%|
Next Earnings Date:Aug 07, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call highlighted LifeWallet's successful settlements and increased claims recovery income, demonstrating progress in its core business model. However, the company also reported a significant operating loss, primarily due to noncash items. Overall, while there are substantial achievements, the financial results reflect ongoing challenges.
Q1-2024 Updates
Positive Updates
Successful Settlements with Insurers
LifeWallet achieved two comprehensive settlements with multiple property and casualty insurers, resolving claims and establishing a process for future claims. The settlements include provisions for data sharing and a 5-year agreement for binding mediation of Medicare claim liens.
Increased Claims Recovery Income
The company generated claims recovery income of $6 million in Q1 2024, up from $3.5 million in Q1 2023, indicating progress in its recovery strategies.
Expansion of Data Collaboration
LifeWallet entered into a tri-party data collaboration agreement with Palantir Technologies and 28 affiliated settling counterparties to enhance its ability to reconcile Medicare liabilities.
Liquidity and Financial Flexibility
LifeWallet extended its obligations with Virage, Nomura, and Yorkville to 2025, and secured a working capital credit facility with an additional $14 million borrowing capacity.
Negative Updates
Significant Operating Loss
LifeWallet reported an operating loss of $130 million for Q1 2024, with 93% attributed to noncash items such as claims amortization expense.
Intangible Asset Decrease
Total assets decreased by $124 million from December 31, 2023, primarily due to the amortization of intangible assets.
Company Guidance
During the LifeWallet First Quarter 2024 earnings call, the company provided guidance highlighting significant achievements and financial metrics. LifeWallet reached two comprehensive settlements with property and casualty insurers, which included agreements to provide 10 years of historical data and to collaboratively resolve future Medicare claims. These settlements resulted in claims recovery income of $6 million for Q1 2024, an increase from the $3.5 million reported in Q1 2023. The company reported a total operating loss of $130 million, primarily driven by non-cash items, with an adjusted operating loss of $8.7 million after excluding claims amortization expenses. LifeWallet's total assets were valued at $3 billion, with liabilities amounting to $1.8 billion. The company has extended various obligations to 2025 and secured additional liquidity through a working capital credit facility and a Yorkville standby equity purchase agreement, ensuring its ability to meet cash obligations over the next year.

MSP Recovery Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Overall, MSP Recovery faces significant financial challenges with declining profitability, high leverage, and cash flow constraints. While there is some revenue growth, it is overshadowed by substantial ongoing losses. The balance sheet shows a high debt burden, and cash flows are insufficient to support operations, indicating a need for strategic improvements to stabilize and improve financial health.
Income Statement
25
Negative
The company shows a troubling trend with declining revenues and consistently negative profit margins. The TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) report revealed a gross profit margin of -2188.71%, a net profit margin of -906.35%, and an EBIT margin of -5002.15%. Additionally, the revenue growth rate between 2023 and 2024 was 39.35%, indicating revenue growth, but this is overshadowed by significant losses in profitability. The EBITDA margin improved to 66.15% in the TTM, yet the overall profitability remains a concern.
Balance Sheet
30
Negative
The company exhibits high leverage with a debt-to-equity ratio of 2.54 in the TTM period. The equity ratio has improved to 10.78%, indicating some financial stability, but return on equity remains negative at -32.41%, reflecting ongoing challenges in generating shareholder value. The balance sheet is burdened by substantial liabilities, limiting financial flexibility.
Cash Flow
20
Very Negative
The cash flow situation is concerning, with a negative free cash flow growth rate of 31.94% from 2023 to 2024. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is 0.27, reflecting difficulties in converting income to cash. Furthermore, the free cash flow to net income ratio at 0.30 indicates insufficient cash flow relative to net losses, raising liquidity concerns.
Breakdown
TTMDec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
10.73M7.71M23.42M14.63M13.89M
Gross Profit
-235.06M5.56M21.37M14.44M13.71M
EBIT
-537.02M-559.87M-331.48M-7.17M-3.33M
EBITDA
71.02M-69.22M-13.54M-5.52M-2.97M
Net Income Common Stockholders
-97.32M-56.35M-7.42M-33.09M-24.25M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
11.88M11.63M3.66M1.66M11.88M
Total Assets
17.84M3.16B3.42B104.01M17.84M
Total Debt
0.00679.33M324.25M106.81M24.04M
Net Debt
-11.88M667.70M320.59M105.14M12.16M
Total Liabilities
42.13M1.74B1.23B255.41M133.69M
Stockholders Equity
-120.18M272.39M109.69M-155.76M-120.18M
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
-28.90M-42.47M-86.32M1.62M-344.00K
Operating Cash Flow
-26.34M-40.02M-80.64M2.25M-14.00K
Investing Cash Flow
-2.56M7.56M-5.68M-2.01M986.00K
Financing Cash Flow
26.99M29.02M99.73M-10.46M9.61M

MSP Recovery Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price1.51
Price Trends
50DMA
1.69
Negative
100DMA
1.89
Negative
200DMA
2.58
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.12
Negative
RSI
46.76
Neutral
STOCH
66.02
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For MSPR, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 1.51 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 1.55, below the 50-day MA of 1.69, and below the 200-day MA of 2.58, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.12 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 46.76 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 66.02 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for MSPR.

MSP Recovery Risk Analysis

MSP Recovery disclosed 95 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. MSP Recovery reported the most risks in the “Finance & Corporate” category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

MSP Recovery Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (54)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
65
Neutral
$16.06M-25.29%26.67%44.02%
54
Neutral
$5.28B3.29-45.38%2.80%16.77%-0.08%
48
Neutral
$10.18M-52.79%82.77%-87.95%
40
Neutral
$10.96M-458.99%34.74%-53.67%
34
Underperform
$8.01M-126.03%-100.00%-27.44%
* Healthcare Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
MSPR
MSP Recovery
1.50
-15.97
-91.41%
PRPO
Precipio
11.37
5.68
99.82%
IMRN
Immuron
1.70
-0.60
-26.09%
TSBX
Turnstone Biologics Corp.
0.35
-2.31
-86.84%

MSP Recovery Corporate Events

Private Placements and FinancingBusiness Operations and Strategy
MSP Recovery Lowers Floor Price in Yorkville SEPA
Negative
Jun 5, 2025

On June 5, 2025, MSP Recovery and Yorkville agreed to lower the Floor Price under the Yorkville SEPA from $3.75 to $1.00. Hazel and Virage expressed willingness to negotiate additional working-capital funding to support the company’s ongoing claim servicing, which could impact MSP Recovery’s financial operations and stakeholder interests.

Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.