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Linde (LIN)
NASDAQ:LIN

Linde (LIN) AI Stock Analysis

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Linde

(NASDAQ:LIN)

77Outperform
Linde's overall stock score reflects its strong financial performance, characterized by robust revenue growth and profitability. The positive technical indicators and optimistic earnings call further support the stock's performance. However, the high P/E ratio suggests potential overvaluation, which slightly tempers the overall outlook.
Positive Factors
EPS Growth
LIN should see robust price/volumes, efficiency gains, new projects, and tailwinds from a normalized energy/power cost environment that should drive double-digit EPS growth for multiple years.
Market Stability
Healthcare, Food & Beverage, and Electronics customers, which make up a significant portion of gas sales, are normally stable.
Pricing Power
The company expects to pass-through inflation driven pricing in all regions, indicating pricing power.
Negative Factors
China Market Weakness
China remains weak especially on the industrial side given the over capacity issues across the board.
Tariffs Impact
The threat of broader tariffs likely hinders demand for packaged products in cyclical end markets such as manufacturing, energy, and metals & mining.
Trade Policy Uncertainty
Uncertainty surrounding protectionist trade policies likely slows the pace of project evaluation and scope discussions in 2025, and stalls a rebound in demand from the cyclical markets.

Linde (LIN) vs. S&P 500 (SPY)

Linde Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionLinde plc operates as an industrial gas and engineering company in North and South America, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, and the Asia Pacific. It offers atmospheric gases, including oxygen, nitrogen, argon, and rare gases; and process gases, such as carbon dioxide, helium, hydrogen, electronic gases, specialty gases, and acetylene. The company also designs and constructs turnkey process plants for third-party customers, as well as for the gas businesses in various locations, such as olefin, natural gas, air separation, hydrogen, and synthesis gas plants. It serves a range of industries, including healthcare, energy, manufacturing, food, beverage carbonation, fiber-optics, steel making, aerospace, chemicals, and water treatment. The company was founded in 1879 and is based in Woking, the United Kingdom.
How the Company Makes MoneyLinde makes money primarily through the production and distribution of industrial gases to a diverse range of end markets, including healthcare, manufacturing, and energy. The company operates through two main business segments: Gases and Engineering. The Gases segment generates revenue through the sale of gases and related equipment, offering on-site gas production, pipeline supply, and packaged gas. The Engineering segment designs and constructs large industrial plants, contributing to the company's revenue by leveraging its expertise in process technologies. Linde also capitalizes on long-term contracts and strategic partnerships, providing stability and growth opportunities. Additionally, the company invests in innovations like hydrogen energy solutions, which position it for future revenue expansion as global energy demands evolve.

Linde Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Linde exhibits strong financial health characterized by consistent revenue growth, high profitability, a balanced capital structure, and healthy cash flows. While the company has a stable leverage position, maintaining its cash flow growth will be crucial to sustain its financial strength in the competitive chemicals industry.
Income Statement
88
Very Positive
Linde has demonstrated strong financial performance with consistent revenue growth and improving profit margins. The Gross Profit Margin for 2024 is 48.06%, and the Net Profit Margin is 19.89%, both indicating high profitability. Revenue has grown steadily, and the EBIT Margin of 26.16% and EBITDA Margin of 38.63% further underscore operational efficiency.
Balance Sheet
75
Positive
Linde maintains a solid balance sheet with a moderate Debt-to-Equity Ratio of 0.57, reflecting manageable leverage. The company has a strong Equity Ratio of 47.52%, showing a stable financial structure. Return on Equity is robust at 17.23%, indicating efficient use of equity capital.
Cash Flow
82
Very Positive
Linde's cash flow position is strong, with a significant Free Cash Flow of $4.93 billion, though slightly down from the previous year. The Operating Cash Flow to Net Income Ratio of 1.43 suggests healthy cash generation relative to earnings. Free Cash Flow to Net Income Ratio stands at 0.75, indicating good cash conversion.
Breakdown
Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
33.01B32.85B33.36B30.79B27.24B
Gross Profit
15.86B15.36B13.91B13.25B11.86B
EBIT
8.63B8.02B5.37B4.98B3.32B
EBITDA
12.75B12.22B10.86B10.14B8.73B
Net Income Common Stockholders
6.57B6.20B4.15B3.83B2.50B
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
4.85B4.66B5.44B2.82B3.75B
Total Assets
80.15B80.81B79.66B81.61B88.23B
Total Debt
21.62B20.32B17.91B14.21B16.15B
Net Debt
16.77B15.65B12.48B11.38B12.40B
Total Liabilities
40.66B39.72B38.27B36.16B38.65B
Stockholders Equity
38.09B39.72B40.03B44.03B47.32B
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
4.93B5.52B5.69B6.64B4.03B
Operating Cash Flow
9.42B9.30B8.86B9.72B7.43B
Investing Cash Flow
-4.64B-4.67B-3.09B-3.01B-2.99B
Financing Cash Flow
-4.36B-5.40B-3.09B-7.59B-3.35B

Linde Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price437.96
Price Trends
50DMA
456.87
Negative
100DMA
446.56
Negative
200DMA
451.22
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
2.28
Negative
RSI
59.17
Neutral
STOCH
79.46
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For LIN, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 437.96 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 458.89, below the 50-day MA of 456.87, and below the 200-day MA of 451.22, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of 2.28 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 59.17 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 79.46 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for LIN.

Linde Risk Analysis

Linde disclosed 17 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Linde reported the most risks in the “Macro & Political” category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Linde Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (47)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
LILIN
77
Outperform
$207.12B32.1616.87%1.29%0.46%7.97%
ECECL
75
Outperform
$67.44B32.2625.14%1.03%2.75%54.39%
APAPD
69
Neutral
$58.62B15.3024.40%2.69%-3.12%64.53%
DDDD
65
Neutral
$24.75B35.383.12%2.62%2.64%80.37%
PPPPG
65
Neutral
$22.50B16.6219.13%2.71%-4.59%11.09%
LYLYB
59
Neutral
$18.75B13.9610.69%9.24%-1.46%-36.00%
47
Neutral
$2.36B-2.99-21.59%3.58%4.21%-28.30%
* Basic Materials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
LIN
Linde
437.96
-17.97
-3.94%
APD
Air Products and Chemicals
263.47
31.72
13.69%
ECL
Ecolab
237.77
13.19
5.87%
LYB
LyondellBasell
57.98
-39.71
-40.65%
PPG
PPG Industries
99.15
-37.74
-27.57%
DD
DuPont de Nemours
59.14
-15.72
-21.00%

Linde Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date: Feb 6, 2025 | % Change Since: -3.15% | Next Earnings Date: May 1, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call highlighted Linde's strong financial performance, sustainability achievements, and record backlog growth despite challenges such as significant foreign exchange headwinds and economic difficulties in EMEA and China. The company remains optimistic about its ability to continue delivering shareholder value.
Highlights
Sustainability Achievements
Linde increased its active low carbon and renewable energy consumption by 19% year-over-year, with over 40% of total power consumption now being low carbon based. Linde was also included in the Dow Jones Sustainability World Index for the 22nd consecutive year.
Financial Performance
Linde led the industry with a 25.9% ROC, EBIT margins increased by 190 basis points to 29.5%, and EPS rose by 10% despite FX headwinds, with $7 billion returned to shareholders.
Record Backlog and Growth
Linde ended the year with a backlog of more than $10 billion, including a record sale of gas backlog of $7 billion. This includes a significant $2 billion project win in Canada.
Small Onsite Contracts
Linde set a record for small onsite wins, signing 59 long-term agreements for a total of 64 plants.
Lowlights
Foreign Exchange Headwinds
Linde experienced a 4% FX translation headwind that impacted financial results, driven by a significant strengthening of the U.S. dollar.
EMEA Volume Decline
Volume growth was flat as contributions from the project backlog in the Americas and APAC offset lower base volumes in EMEA, primarily due to softer metals and mining volumes.
Economic Challenges in China
Linde does not expect a significant recovery in China for 2025, with industrial volumes expected to remain stable and flat, and metals and mining likely to be negative year-on-year.
Company Guidance
During the Linde Fourth Quarter and Full Year 2024 Earnings Teleconference, the company outlined its guidance for 2025, focusing on key financial metrics and strategic priorities. Linde plans to achieve 10-plus percent EPS growth, driven by a combination of capital allocation and management actions, despite facing a 4% FX translation headwind. The company reported a record $7 billion in backlog for the sale of gas projects and anticipates a 4% to 7% EPS growth, or 8% to 11% when excluding currency impacts. The guidance assumes a flat industrial production environment, with management actions expected to deliver margin expansion of 20 to 50 basis points. Additionally, Linde aims to reduce greenhouse gas emissions by 35% by 2035, and highlighted its commitment to sustainability, with over 40% of its power consumption now sourced from low carbon and renewable energy.

Linde Corporate Events

Executive/Board Changes
Linde Announces Retirement of Executive John Panikar
Neutral
Dec 2, 2024

John Panikar, former Executive Vice President-APAC at Linde plc, will retire on March 31, 2025, after 33 years of service. During his transition, he will maintain his salary and benefits while being eligible for a performance-based bonus. Post-retirement, Panikar will receive a severance package exceeding $1.4 million, along with COBRA health benefits. He will also adhere to non-disclosure and non-compete agreements, reflecting Linde’s structured approach to leadership transitions.

Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.