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Kyivstar Group (KYIV)
NASDAQ:KYIV
US Market

Kyivstar Group (KYIV) AI Stock Analysis

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KYIV

Kyivstar Group

(NASDAQ:KYIV)

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Neutral 67 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:67Neutral
Price Target:
$13.00
▲(7.08% Upside)
Kyivstar Group's strong financial performance and positive technical indicators are offset by a poor valuation due to a negative P/E ratio and lack of dividend yield. The stock benefits from strong momentum and operational efficiency, but the valuation concerns weigh heavily on the overall score.
Positive Factors
High Profitability Margins
Sustained high EBIT and net margins indicate strong unit economics and effective cost control across Kyivstar’s services. Durable margins provide cash to reinvest in network, digital services and resilience projects, supporting long-term competitiveness and ability to fund growth without heavy external financing.
Balanced Capital Structure
Manageable leverage and nearly half of capital funded by equity point to financial flexibility. A moderate D/E allows Kyivstar to invest in infrastructure while preserving credit capacity, reducing refinancing risk and enabling disciplined capital deployment amid Ukraine’s uncertain macro backdrop.
Strategic Satellite Connectivity
Partnership with Starlink creates a durable competitive advantage in network resilience and coverage, especially in underserved or conflict-affected regions. This unique connectivity offering strengthens subscriber stickiness, expands serviceable market and positions Kyivstar as a critical national communications provider.
Negative Factors
Anomalous Growth Metrics
Growth metrics labeled 'Infinity' reflect missing prior-period baselines or one-off comparatives, undermining trend reliability. This complicates forecasting and weakens confidence in sustainability of reported jumps, making it harder to model recurring revenue trajectories and investment returns.
Large One-time Listing Expense
A sizable $162m listing charge materially reduced near-term reported earnings and retained earnings. Though non-recurring, it constrains distributable capital and temporarily alters leverage/coverage metrics, potentially limiting short-term investment capacity or dividend prospects while balance sheet adjusts.
5G Rollout Constrained by Conflict
Geopolitical and security constraints delay nationwide 5G deployment, limiting near-to-medium term monetization of higher-value services. This slows the pace of network modernization, reduces potential ARPU upside from 5G use cases and creates regional disparities in service quality and revenue growth.

Kyivstar Group (KYIV) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Kyivstar Group Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionKyivstar Group Ltd. is a holding company that, through its subsidiaries, delivers a broad range of mobile and fixed-line services. Its offerings include 4G connectivity, big data analytics, cloud services, cybersecurity solutions, and digital television. The Company operates in Ukraine and the United Arab Emirates.
How the Company Makes MoneyKyivstar generates revenue primarily through its mobile telecommunications services, which include voice calls, SMS, and mobile data plans. The company offers various pricing models, including prepaid and postpaid subscriptions, which cater to different customer segments. Additionally, Kyivstar earns income from fixed-line services and broadband internet. Other revenue streams include value-added services such as mobile banking, entertainment, and digital content. The company also engages in strategic partnerships with international and local firms to enhance its service offerings and expand its customer base, contributing to its overall earnings. Furthermore, the growing demand for internet services and digital solutions in Ukraine has positively impacted Kyivstar's revenue growth over the years.

Kyivstar Group Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Kyivstar Group exhibits strong financial health with high profitability and efficient cash flow management. The company maintains a balanced capital structure with manageable leverage. While revenue and free cash flow growth rates are marked as 'Infinity', indicating significant improvements, these metrics should be interpreted cautiously due to potential anomalies from previous periods.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
Kyivstar Group shows strong profitability with a high net profit margin of 30.79% and a robust EBIT margin of 46.68% for 2024. The revenue growth rate is marked as 'Infinity' due to a lack of previous period revenue data, indicating a significant increase from a low base. The company demonstrates excellent operational efficiency with an EBITDA margin of 64.42%.
Balance Sheet
75
Positive
The balance sheet reflects a stable financial position with a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.83, indicating manageable leverage. The return on equity is strong at 26.20%, showcasing effective use of equity to generate profits. The equity ratio stands at 48.88%, suggesting a balanced capital structure.
Cash Flow
70
Positive
Kyivstar Group's cash flow analysis reveals a positive free cash flow to net income ratio of 42.33%, indicating efficient cash generation relative to net income. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is 48.48%, reflecting solid cash flow management. The free cash flow growth rate is marked as 'Infinity', suggesting a substantial increase from a previous low base.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022
Income Statement
Total Revenue539.00M919.00M915.00M0.00
Gross Profit488.00M590.00M611.00M0.00
EBITDA301.14M592.00M604.00M-19.39K
Net Income128.14M283.00M281.00M-19.39K
Balance Sheet
Total Assets1.34B2.21B1.98B181.96K
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments58.02M467.00M294.00M100.00
Total Debt649.26M894.00M898.00M93.15K
Total Liabilities1.00B1.13B1.10B223.84K
Stockholders Equity337.87M1.08B887.00M-41.88K
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow73.09M182.00M270.00M0.00
Operating Cash Flow127.09M430.00M413.00M0.00
Investing Cash Flow-295.15M-132.00M-327.00M0.00
Financing Cash Flow202.71M-37.00M-88.00M100.00

Kyivstar Group Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price12.14
Price Trends
50DMA
13.20
Negative
100DMA
12.69
Negative
200DMA
12.09
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.38
Positive
RSI
37.00
Neutral
STOCH
11.45
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For KYIV, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 12.14 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 12.92, below the 50-day MA of 13.20, and above the 200-day MA of 12.09, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.38 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 37.00 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 11.45 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for KYIV.

Kyivstar Group Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (60)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
67
Neutral
$2.80B-42.66
60
Neutral
$48.67B4.58-11.27%4.14%2.83%-41.78%
* Communication Services Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
KYIV
Kyivstar Group
12.14
1.83
17.75%
DMYY
dMY Squared Technology Group, Inc. Class A
12.45
1.86
17.56%
FORL
Four Leaf Acquisition Corporation Class A
11.76
0.66
5.95%
QETA
Quetta Acquisition Corp.
11.51
0.90
8.48%

Kyivstar Group Corporate Events

Kyivstar Group Reports Financial Results for September 2025
Nov 24, 2025

On November 24, 2025, Kyivstar Group Ltd. released its unaudited interim condensed consolidated financial statements for the three and nine months ending September 30, 2025. The company reported a revenue increase to $836 million for the nine-month period, up from $669 million in the previous year, despite incurring a significant listing expense of $162 million. The financial results indicate a profit of $34 million for the nine-month period, reflecting the company’s resilience and strategic positioning in the market.

The most recent analyst rating on (KYIV) stock is a Hold with a $13.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Kyivstar Group stock, see the KYIV Stock Forecast page.

Kyivstar Group Reports Strong Q3 Growth and Strategic Advances
Nov 10, 2025

On November 10, 2025, Kyivstar Group Ltd. announced its third-quarter financial results, reporting a 20.9% year-over-year increase in total revenue to UAH 12.3 billion and a 21.5% rise in EBITDA to UAH 7.1 billion. The company highlighted its strong digital growth, with digital services now contributing nearly 12% of its revenues, driven by the consolidation of Uklon. Kyivstar’s strategic initiatives included listing on the NASDAQ, conducting Ukraine’s first Starlink Direct to Cell network test, and developing a national large language model in partnership with Ukraine’s Ministry of Digital Transformation.

The most recent analyst rating on (KYIV) stock is a Buy with a $17.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Kyivstar Group stock, see the KYIV Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Nov 26, 2025