We are subject to national, local and overseas environmental laws and regulations, including increasing pressure to reduce emission of carbon dioxide from our electricity generation activities as well as our natural resource development endeavors overseas. Our operations could expose us to the risk of substantial liability relating to environmental, health and safety issues, such as those resulting from the discharge of pollutants and carbon dioxide into the environment and the handling, storage and disposal of hazardous materials. We may be responsible for the investigation and remediation of environmental conditions at current or former operational sites. We may also be subject to related liabilities (including liabilities for environmental damage, third party property damage or personal injury) resulting from lawsuits brought by governments or private litigants. In the course of our operations, hazardous wastes may be generated, disposed of or treated at third party-owned or -operated sites. If those sites become contaminated, we could also be held responsible for the cost of investigation and remediation of such sites for any related liabilities, as well as for civil or criminal fines or penalties.
We intend to fully comply with our environmental obligations. However, our environmental measures, including the use of, or replacement with, environmentally friendly but more expensive parts and equipment and budgeting capital expenditures for the installation or modification of such facilities, may result in increased operating costs and liquidity requirement. The actual cost of installation, replacement, modification and/or operation of such equipment and related liquidity requirement may depend on a variety of factors that are beyond our control. There is no assurance that we will continue to be in material compliance with legal or regulatory requirements or satisfy social norms and expectations in the future in relation to the environment, including in respect of climate change.
In recent years, partly driven by growing public awareness and sensitivity toward climate change and other environmental issues as well as in an effort to capture the economic and social potential associated with renewable energy and "new energy"-related industries (such as smart grids, energy storage systems and electrical vehicles, among others), the Government has introduced and implemented a number of new measures designed to reduce greenhouse gas emission, minimize environmental damage and spur related business opportunities. Some key examples of such Government initiatives pertinent to our and our generation subsidiaries' operations are as follows:
- Greenhouse Gas Emission Trading System, Related Emission Reduction Targets and the Greenhouse Gas Reduction Roadmap.
¡ In accordance with the Act on Allocation and Trading of Greenhouse Gas Emission Allowances, enacted in March 2013, the Government is currently in the process of implementing a greenhouse gas emission trading system under which the Government will allocate the amount of permitted greenhouse gas emission to companies by industry and a company whose business emits more carbon than the permitted amount is required to purchase the right to emit more carbon through the Korea Stock Exchange. The categories of allowances traded include the Korean Allowance Unit (KAU), which is the emissions allowance allocated to applicable companies by the Government; Korean Credit Unit (KCU), which is a tradable unit converted from external carbon offset certifications including the Korean Offset Credit; and Korean Offset Credit (KOC), which is the verified carbon offset credit obtained by companies for reducing carbon emissions through absorption or otherwise. The greenhouse gas emission trading system is expected to be implemented in three stages. During the first phase (2015 to 2017), the Government set up and conducted a test run of the trading system to ensure its smooth operation, allocating the greenhouse gas emission allowances free of charge. In July 2018, the Government released the allocation plan for the second phase (2018 to 2020), during which 97% of the greenhouse gas emission allowances may be allocated free of charge, with 3% allocated through an auction. During the third phase (2021 to 2025), the Government plans to expand the scale of the system with aggressive greenhouse gas emission reduction targets and allocating 10% of the greenhouse gas emission allowances through an auction.
¡ In December 2016, the Government announced the Climate Change Response Initiatives and the 2030 National Greenhouse Gas Reduction Roadmap, which set forth the greenhouse gas emission trading system as one of the primary means to reach the emission and greenhouse gas reduction targets of the policies. The Second Climate Change Response Initiative was adopted in October 2019, which sets forth a national target of greenhouse gas level as 536 million tons in the aggregate, representing a 37% reduction from the base case projection of greenhouse gas in 2030 and a 24.4% reduction as compared to the emission amount in 2017. In the electricity conversion sector, greenhouse gas reduction of 24 million tons (with a potential additional reduction of 34 million tons) from the base case projection of greenhouse gas level in 2030 is requested by 2030, and our business is classified as part of this sector. The additional potential reduction amount will be confirmed prior to the finalization of the Government's 2020 Nationally Determined Contributions (NDCs). Adhering to such emission and greenhouse gas reduction requirement may result in significant additional compliance costs. For example, the daily market price of the KAUs traded through the Korea Exchange was Won 8,640 per ton in early 2015, and the price has increased continuously thereafter, reaching its peak price at Won 40,900 per ton on December 23, 2019. We cannot predict how the price of the KAUs will fluctuate over time, and such volatility may adversely affect our results of operation, financial condition and cash flows.
- Regulation of Coal-Fired Generation Units. As a measure to address the high level of particulate matter pollution, the Government temporarily suspended the operations of eight coal-fired generation units that are 30 years or older throughout the month of June 2017. Subsequently, in July 2017, two of these units were shut down completely and one unit switched fuel from coal to wood pallets. One of these units stopped its operation in January 2019 for switching fuel to wood pallets. As part of the Comprehensive Measures against Particulate Matter and the Eighth Basic Plan, announced by the Government in September 2017 and December 2017, respectively, the Government set forth the following policy directions relating to coal-fired generation units: (i) two coal-fired generation units scheduled for construction and four existing coal-fired generation units shall convert to LNG fuel use, (ii) in principle, construction of new coal-fired generation units shall not be planned, (iii) seven of the coal-fired generation units that are 30 years or older will be shut down on an accelerated schedule, (iv) beginning in 2018, coal-fired generation units that are 30 years or older shall temporarily cease operations from March through June of each year, (v) coal-fired generation units shall be put through comprehensive functional and environmental upgrades and (vi) coal-fired generation units shall be subject to emission standards that came into effect in January 2019 that are twice as more rigorous than the previous standards. In October 2018, the Government introduced a pilot regulation to lower the output of 35 coal-fired generation units to approximately 80% of their capacity that emit more than a certain amount of particulate matter. The regulation was formally implemented in January 2019, targeting 40 coal-fired power plants with high emissions of particulate matter. From March to June 2019, the scope expanded to cover 60 units in total. In addition, coal-fired generation units originally scheduled for preventive maintenance during the second half of 2019 were required to undertake such maintenance earlier in the spring of 2019. In November 2019, the Government pursued a reduction of coal-fired generation units in order to implement the Special Measures to Respond to the High Concentration Period (December to February) of Particulate Matter. During this period, 8 to 15 coal-fired generation units that require preventive maintenance or are otherwise older units were first shut down, with a maximum of 49 coal-fired generation units subject to a cap of 80% on the output within the remaining reserve capacity range. As a result, the particulate matter emission was reduced by 2,503 tons, approximately 39% decrease compared to the same period during the previous year. We plan to continue to participate in the effort to reduce the particulate matter emissions from coal-fired generation units, not only during the winter but also during the spring. For example, in March 2020, we suspended the operations of between 21 and 28 coal power generation plants and imposed a cap of 80% on the output of up to 37 coal-fired generation units. Additionally, the Government adjusted the schedule to close down two decrepit coal-fired generation units (Boryeong #1 and #2), which will shut down around December 2020. Additionally, other coal-fired generation units, Samchunpo #1 and #2, will shut down around April 2020 and Honam #1 and #2 units by January 2021. While such measures may be subject to change, we expect to incur significant costs of complying with such measures, including in connection with more stringent particulate matter pollution regulations, retrofitting and overall replacement of environmental facilities.
- Coal and LNG Consumption Taxes. In January 2014, largely based on policy considerations of tax equity among different fuel types as well as environmental concerns, the Ministry of Economy and Finance announced that, effective July 1, 2014, consumption tax will apply to bituminous coal, which previously was not subject to consumption tax unlike other fuel types such as LNG or bunker oil. Pursuant to the amended Individual Consumption Tax Act effective as of April 1, 2019, which involved an increase of the unit tax rate for coal by Won 10 per kilogram across the board, the base tax rate (which is subject to certain adjustments) is Won 46 per kilogram for bituminous coal; however, due to concerns on the potential adverse effect on industrial activities, the applicable tax rate is applied differently based on the net heat generation amount. The currently applicable tax rate for bituminous coal is Won 43 per kilogram for net heat generation of less than 5,000 kilocalories, Won 46 per kilogram for net heat generation of 5,000 to 5,500 kilocalories and Won 49 per kilogram for net heat generation of 5,500 kilocalories or more. In contrast, the consumption tax and surcharge on importation of LNG decreased by Won 48 and Won 20.4 per kilogram, respectively, which came into effect in April 2019. The currently applicable consumption tax rate and surcharge on importation of LNG are Won 12 and Won 3.8 per kilogram, respectively. We expect an increase in our overall fuel costs, as bituminous coal currently represents the largest fuel type for our electricity generation, while the decrease in consumption tax and surcharge on importation of LNG will result in a decrease of our power purchase cost.
- Renewable Portfolio Standard. Under this program, each of our generation subsidiaries is required to generate a specified percentage of total electricity to be generated by such generation subsidiary in a given year in the form of renewable energy or, in case of a shortfall, purchase a corresponding amount of a Renewable Energy Certificate (a form of renewable energy credit) from other generation companies whose renewable energy generation surpass such percentage. The target percentage was 3.5% in 2016, 4.0% in 2017, 5.0% in 2018, 6.0% in 2019, 7.0% in 2020 and will incrementally increase to 10.0% by 2023. Fines are to be levied on any subsidiary that fails to do so in the prescribed timeline. In 2018, all six of our generation subsidiaries met the target through renewable energy generation and/or the purchase of a Renewable Energy Certificate. Compliance by our generation subsidiaries of the 2019 target is currently under evaluation, and if any generation subsidiary is found to have failed to meet the target for 2019 or for subsequent years, such generation subsidiary may become subject to fines. Additionally, as the target percentage is subject to change, changes to the target percentage may result in additional expenses for our generation subsidiaries.
- Renewable Energy 3020 Plan. In December 2017, the Ministry of Trade, Industry and Energy announced the Renewable Energy 3020 Plan, an initiative to increase the generation and use of renewable energy on a nationwide basis. The Government plans to increase the required percentage of total electricity to be generated from renewable energy sources from 7% in 2016 to 10.5% and 20% by 2022 and 2030, respectively. Moreover, the Government plans to increase the domestic renewable energy generation capacity to 63.8 gigawatts by 2030 through the expansion of solar and wind power generation capacities to 36.5 gigawatts and 17.7 gigawatts, respectively, by 2030.
- New Energy Industry Fund. In January 2016, the Ministry of Trade, Industry and Energy announced an initiative to promote the new energy industry by creating the New Energy Industry Fund, which is made up of funds sponsored by government-affiliated energy companies. We contributed Won 500 billion to the funds in 2016. The purpose of these funds is to invest in substantially all frontiers of the new energy industry, including renewable energy, energy storage systems, electric vehicles, small-sized self-sustaining electricity generation grids known as "micro-grids", among others, as well as invest in start-up companies, ventures, small- to medium-sized enterprise and project businesses that engage in these businesses but have not previously attracted sufficient capital from the private sector.
- Environmental and safety considerations in electricity supply and demand planning. In March 2017, the Electric Utility Act was amended to the effect that starting in June 2017, future national planning for electricity supply and demand in Korea should consider the environmental and safety impacts of such planning. Accordingly, the costs related to environmental and safety impacts, such as the desulfurization costs, have been reflected in our variable cost of generating electricity since August 2019. In December 2019, the Regulation on the Operation of the Electricity Market was revised, under which the specific plans of the Cost Evaluation Committee (defined below) to reflect the cost of greenhouse gas emission allowances will be finalized within two years of such revision.
Complying with these Government initiatives and operating programs in furtherance thereof has involved and will likely continue to involve significant costs and resources on our part, which may adversely affect our results of operation, financial condition and cash flows. For example, we have spent approximately Won 710 billion for the greenhouse gas emission allowances in 2019, compared to Won 53 billion in 2018, and we anticipate that such cost will continue to increase in 2020 and thereafter. Further, as we are required to supply increasing amount of renewable energy, we expect that the environmental-related risks will continue to increase. We may not be able to pass on the increased cost to customers at a sufficient level or on a timely basis. Further, we and our generation subsidiaries could also become subject to substantial fines and other forms of penalties for non-compliance. There is no assurance that, particularly given the wide-ranging policy priorities for the Government, it will in fact raise the electricity tariff to a level sufficient to fully cover additional costs associated with implementing and operating these programs and otherwise complying with these programs, do so on a timely basis or at all. If the Government does not do so or provide us and our generation subsidiaries with other forms of assistance to offset the costs involved, our results of operation, financial condition and cash flows may be materially and adversely affected.
See Item 4.B. "Business Overview-Environmental Programs."