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TV Asahi Holdings Corporation (JP:9409)
:9409

TV Asahi Holdings (9409) AI Stock Analysis

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JP:9409

TV Asahi Holdings

(9409)

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Neutral 64 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:64Neutral
Price Target:
¥3,831.00
▲(12.02% Upside)
TV Asahi Holdings' overall stock score is driven primarily by its strong financial performance, characterized by revenue growth and a solid balance sheet. However, the negative free cash flow and lack of strong technical momentum are concerns. The valuation is reasonable, offering moderate income potential through dividends.
Positive Factors
Very low leverage / strong balance sheet
Extremely low debt-to-equity provides durable financial flexibility, lowering solvency risk and enabling the company to fund programming, strategic investments, or weather advertising cyclicality without relying on expensive borrowing over the next several months.
Consistent revenue growth and improving profitability
Sustained revenue growth and rising profit margins indicate stable audience demand and better monetization of content. This trajectory supports cash generation and reinvestment capacity, reinforcing competitive position in broadcasting and content licensing over a 2–6 month horizon.
Diversified media value chain and content monetization
Owning production, distribution and secondary content channels creates multiple revenue streams beyond spot advertising. Licensing and video monetization can provide recurring, higher-margin income, cushioning core broadcast ad volatility and supporting long-term revenue resilience.
Negative Factors
Negative free cash flow
Negative free cash flow signals the company isn’t generating surplus cash after capex, limiting organic funding for growth, dividends or debt reduction. Unless operating cash conversion improves, reliance on reserves or external financing may be required within months.
Moderate operating margins; room for efficiency gains
Moderate margins constrain the firm’s ability to absorb ad revenue volatility or cost inflation. Without material margin expansion or higher-margin revenue growth, profitability and cash generation could be pressured during industry headwinds over the medium term.
Concentration in advertising revenue
Heavy reliance on broadcast advertising exposes earnings to cyclical ad spending and structural shifts to digital platforms. Although content monetization exists, the ad concentration is a persistent risk that can depress revenue and margins if advertiser demand weakens.

TV Asahi Holdings (9409) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)

TV Asahi Holdings Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionTV Asahi Holdings Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, engages in television (TV) broadcasting business in Japan and internationally. The company operates through TV Broadcasting Business, Internet Business, Shopping Business, and Other Businesses. It engages in the time sales, spot sales, program sales, BS/CS, and other sales activities; special programs and sports broadcast activities; and other businesses include internet-related businesses, TV shopping programs, and special events. The company also invests in motion pictures; and sells and leases equipment and DVDs. TV Asahi Holdings Corporation was founded in 1957 and is headquartered in Tokyo, Japan.
How the Company Makes MoneyTV Asahi generates revenue through multiple streams, primarily from advertising, subscription fees, and content sales. The advertising segment constitutes a substantial portion of its income, as the company sells commercial airtime during its broadcast programs to various advertisers. Additionally, TV Asahi earns revenue from subscriptions through its pay-TV services and streaming platforms. The company also monetizes its content by licensing television shows, films, and other media to domestic and international networks. Significant partnerships with advertisers, production studios, and distribution companies further enhance its revenue potential, while the company's ability to produce popular programming helps to maintain strong viewer engagement and advertising demand.

TV Asahi Holdings Financial Statement Overview

Summary
TV Asahi Holdings demonstrates strong revenue growth and profitability improvements, supported by a solid balance sheet with low leverage. However, the negative free cash flow indicates a need for better cash management strategies.
Income Statement
75
Positive
TV Asahi Holdings has demonstrated consistent revenue growth over the years, with a notable increase in gross profit margin from 24.91% in 2024 to 26.78% in 2025. The net profit margin also improved to 7.97% in 2025, indicating enhanced profitability. However, the EBIT and EBITDA margins, while improving, remain moderate, suggesting room for operational efficiency improvements.
Balance Sheet
80
Positive
The company maintains a strong balance sheet with a very low debt-to-equity ratio of 0.0067, reflecting minimal leverage and financial risk. The return on equity has improved to 5.79% in 2025, indicating better utilization of shareholder funds. The equity ratio remains robust, showcasing a stable financial position.
Cash Flow
60
Neutral
While operating cash flow has increased, the free cash flow is negative, indicating potential challenges in generating cash after capital expenditures. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is healthy, but the negative free cash flow to net income ratio highlights the need for better cash management.
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue326.95B324.06B307.90B304.57B298.28B264.56B
Gross Profit90.93B86.77B76.71B79.57B86.98B71.29B
EBITDA35.97B45.70B22.45B25.26B32.34B25.44B
Net Income27.28B25.82B17.14B16.60B21.00B12.60B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets553.39B559.56B520.43B495.12B498.81B473.74B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments57.93B63.75B71.02B76.48B80.06B55.50B
Total Debt20.85B2.98B1.60B1.44B2.49B2.83B
Total Liabilities101.83B111.71B96.86B100.36B105.59B97.64B
Stockholders Equity449.28B445.65B421.75B393.23B391.92B374.96B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow0.00-5.18B2.98B-2.35B22.76B-29.12B
Operating Cash Flow0.0026.52B19.11B15.30B30.13B20.60B
Investing Cash Flow0.00-32.50B-21.71B-25.01B7.63B-7.96B
Financing Cash Flow0.00-7.12B-5.82B-6.60B-4.56B-8.25B

TV Asahi Holdings Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price3420.00
Price Trends
50DMA
3383.60
Positive
100DMA
3295.10
Positive
200DMA
3021.61
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
60.75
Negative
RSI
66.54
Neutral
STOCH
77.20
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:9409, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 3420 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 3487.25, above the 50-day MA of 3383.60, and above the 200-day MA of 3021.61, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 60.75 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 66.54 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 77.20 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for JP:9409.

TV Asahi Holdings Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (60)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
73
Outperform
€637.84B30.157.53%1.67%0.97%12.23%
70
Outperform
¥986.70B17.365.45%1.30%4.55%-7.49%
69
Neutral
¥947.56B16.655.67%1.03%7.90%54.01%
69
Neutral
¥125.53B13.171.71%7.01%72.94%
64
Neutral
¥363.46B11.067.18%1.79%6.63%80.44%
60
Neutral
$48.67B4.58-11.27%4.14%2.83%-41.78%
45
Neutral
¥873.16B-41.53-1.72%1.40%-6.29%-141.32%
* Communication Services Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
JP:9409
TV Asahi Holdings
3,605.00
1,211.98
50.65%
JP:4676
Fuji Media Holdings
3,948.00
1,519.26
62.55%
JP:9404
Nippon Television Holdings
3,756.00
945.11
33.62%
JP:9412
SKY Perfect JSAT Holdings
2,325.00
1,429.97
159.77%
JP:9401
TBS HOLDINGS INC.
6,174.00
2,059.73
50.06%
JP:9413
TV Tokyo Holdings Corporation
4,625.00
1,488.98
47.48%

TV Asahi Holdings Corporate Events

TV Asahi Holdings Achieves Record Sales and Profits in First Half of FY2026
Nov 11, 2025

TV Asahi Holdings reported a strong performance for the first half of the fiscal year ending March 31, 2026, achieving record sales and profits. The TV broadcasting and internet businesses saw significant growth, driven by high viewer ratings and increased digital advertising revenue. However, the shopping and other business segments experienced declines. The company has revised its consolidated earnings forecast upward, indicating positive expectations for the fiscal year.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:9409) stock is a Hold with a Yen3354.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on TV Asahi Holdings stock, see the JP:9409 Stock Forecast page.

TV Asahi Holdings Reports Strong Financial Growth for H1 2025
Nov 11, 2025

TV Asahi Holdings Corporation reported a significant increase in its financial performance for the six months ending September 30, 2025, with net sales rising by 7.6% and operating profit surging by 140.9% compared to the previous year. This robust performance is indicative of the company’s strong market positioning and operational efficiency, potentially enhancing stakeholder confidence and solidifying its competitive edge in the media industry.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:9409) stock is a Hold with a Yen3354.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on TV Asahi Holdings stock, see the JP:9409 Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Nov 01, 2025