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Tokyu Corporation (JP:9005)
:9005

Tokyu (9005) AI Stock Analysis

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JP

Tokyu

(OTC:9005)

Rating:74Outperform
Price Target:
¥1,932.00
▲(12.29%Upside)
Tokyu is well-positioned financially with strong revenue and profit growth, though technical indicators suggest potential short-term weakness. The valuation is fair, reflecting steady investor sentiment.

Tokyu (9005) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)

Tokyu Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionTokyu Corporation is a prominent Japanese conglomerate engaged primarily in the transportation and real estate sectors. Established in 1922, the company operates an extensive network of railway lines in the Greater Tokyo Area, serving millions of passengers daily. In addition to its core rail operations, Tokyu is heavily involved in real estate development, including commercial properties, residential projects, and retail spaces. The group also extends its services to hospitality, education, and senior living, reflecting a diversified portfolio aimed at enhancing urban lifestyles.
How the Company Makes MoneyTokyu Corporation generates revenue through several key streams. The primary source of income comes from its transportation services, particularly its rail operations, which include passenger fares and related activities such as station retail. The real estate segment is another significant contributor, with income derived from leasing commercial and residential properties, property sales, and development projects. Retail operations, which include department stores and shopping centers, add to the revenue through sales and rental income. Additionally, Tokyu's hotel and resort operations generate earnings from accommodation and hospitality services. Strategic partnerships and joint ventures, especially in real estate and urban development, further bolster its financial performance.

Tokyu Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 14, 2025
(Q2-2024)
|
% Change Since: -2.36%|
Next Earnings Date:Aug 07, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call highlighted strong financial performance with significant year-on-year growth in revenue and profits. Positive results were seen across multiple segments, and the company presented an improved full-year forecast. New projects and developments are on track, and there were notable achievements in the hotel sector and ESG initiatives. However, some challenges remain, such as lower commuter usage on the Shin-Yokohama Line and risks from rising construction costs.
Q2-2024 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Year-on-Year Growth in Q2 FY 2023
Operating revenue was JPY 483.4 billion, up JPY 48.7 billion year-on-year. Operating profit rose by JPY 23.7 billion, and profit attributable to owners of parent increased by JPY 16.5 billion.
Positive Performance Across Segments
Transportation segment saw an increase of JPY 13.7 million in operating revenue. Real Estate and Hotel and Resort segments also achieved growth, with profits up JPY 4.7 billion and JPY 4.1 billion, respectively.
Improved Full Year Forecast
Operating profit for FY 2023 is forecasted to be JPY 85 billion, up JPY 7 billion from the August forecast. Profit attributable to owners of parent is expected to be JPY 54 billion, up JPY 9 billion.
Successful New Projects and Developments
The Tokyu Kabukicho Tower saw over 3 million visitors, and the Shin-Yokohama Line reached about 70% of its passenger target. New development projects in Shibuya and other areas are progressing as planned.
Record High ADR in Hotel Sector
Percentage of foreign guests in Shibuya area hotels reached 74.5%, with ADR achieving record high levels.
Significant ESG Achievements
Achieved a 38% reduction in CO2 emissions compared to FY 2019. All Tokyu Railways lines now use 100% renewable energy.
Negative Updates
Lower Than Expected Commuter Usage on Shin-Yokohama Line
Although the new line reached 70% of its passenger target, commuter usage has not yet met expectations, requiring time for public awareness and demand generation.
Challenges from Rising Construction Costs
Sharp increases in construction costs pose a risk to the profitability of development projects, although it could benefit existing leasing portfolios if competing projects are canceled or delayed.
Company Guidance
During the earnings call for Tokyu Corporation's second quarter of FY 2024, President Horie provided comprehensive guidance on financial performance and forecasts. The company reported operating revenue of JPY 483.4 billion and an operating profit of JPY 45.5 billion, with profits attributable to owners at JPY 35 billion, showing significant year-on-year increases of JPY 48.7 billion, JPY 23.7 billion, and JPY 16.5 billion, respectively. For the full year FY 2023, Tokyu Corporation forecasts operating revenue of JPY 1.0395 trillion, operating profit of JPY 85 billion, and profit attributable to owners of JPY 54 billion, reflecting an upward revision from earlier predictions. Key segments like Transportation and Real Estate saw notable improvements, with the Transportation sector alone revising its operating profit forecast up by JPY 7 billion due to increased fares and reduced power costs. The company also highlighted initiatives in urban development and sustainability, emphasizing a 38% reduction in CO2 emissions compared to FY 2019, and plans for a cyclical reinvestment strategy designed to enhance the value and competitiveness of areas along Tokyu lines. Additionally, Tokyu Corporation announced a year-end dividend of JPY 10, raising the annual dividend to JPY 17.5 per share.

Tokyu Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Tokyu's financial performance is strong, with consistent revenue and profit growth, improving margins, and effective cash flow management. While the debt level is considerable, it is balanced by a strong equity base and robust cash flows, positioning the company well for future growth.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
Tokyu's income statement shows strong financial performance with consistent revenue growth and improving profit margins. The gross profit margin has been improving over the years, indicating efficient cost management. The net profit margin has also shown a positive trajectory, reflecting enhanced bottom-line profitability. Both EBIT and EBITDA margins are solid, highlighting operational efficiency. The overall revenue growth rate is robust, especially considering the recovery from previous downturns.
Balance Sheet
78
Positive
Tokyu maintains a solid balance sheet with a healthy equity ratio, reflecting a strong capital base. The debt-to-equity ratio is reasonable, suggesting manageable leverage levels. Return on Equity (ROE) has improved significantly, indicating effective use of shareholders' equity to generate profits. However, the company has a substantial debt load, which could pose risks if not managed carefully.
Cash Flow
80
Positive
Tokyu's cash flow statement is strong, with consistent operating cash flow generation. Free cash flow has shown positive growth, indicating good cash management after capital expenditures. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is solid, suggesting that reported profits are well-supported by cash flows. The company has successfully turned around its free cash flow situation over the years, reflecting improved financial health.
BreakdownTTMMar 2025Mar 2024Mar 2023Mar 2022Mar 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue1.09T1.05T1.04T931.29B879.11B935.93B
Gross Profit350.76B334.43B321.66B262.42B239.77B188.49B
EBITDA183.14B202.98B189.54B127.58B115.74B41.20B
Net Income82.31B79.68B63.76B26.00B8.78B-56.23B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets2.64T2.70T2.65T2.61T2.48T2.48T
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments55.36B62.13B43.35B69.34B52.27B45.96B
Total Debt1.25T1.29T1.26T1.29T1.20T1.18T
Total Liabilities1.78T1.83T1.82T1.83T1.73T1.72T
Stockholders Equity812.69B827.98B789.25B740.62B702.97B702.35B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow0.0024.56B28.47B-56.94B-24.82B-27.34B
Operating Cash Flow0.00155.10B145.33B95.40B85.58B85.89B
Investing Cash Flow0.00-113.73B-101.00B-154.43B-78.81B-115.19B
Financing Cash Flow0.00-25.53B-71.96B74.61B-1.37B17.18B

Tokyu Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price1720.50
Price Trends
50DMA
1739.01
Negative
100DMA
1729.77
Negative
200DMA
1757.78
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-7.70
Negative
RSI
50.08
Neutral
STOCH
51.81
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:9005, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 1720.5 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 1720.90, below the 50-day MA of 1739.01, and below the 200-day MA of 1757.78, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -7.70 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 50.08 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 51.81 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for JP:9005.

Tokyu Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (67)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
74
Outperform
$1.04T12.769.70%1.51%1.65%26.99%
74
Outperform
¥517.18B12.3210.29%2.23%8.57%40.46%
74
Outperform
¥330.73B8.608.38%2.39%6.94%26.27%
71
Outperform
$807.91B15.548.71%2.73%3.56%-2.54%
68
Neutral
€233.05B6.4711.92%2.09%3.71%64.27%
67
Neutral
¥253.98B13.046.57%2.83%5.07%-11.36%
66
Neutral
$3.67T127.722.60%0.84%6.08%-35.70%
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
JP:9005
Tokyu
1,720.50
-1.91
-0.11%
JP:8242
H2O Retailing Corporation
1,910.50
-583.30
-23.39%
JP:3099
Isetan Mitsukoshi Holdings
2,213.00
-873.47
-28.30%
JP:8267
AEON Co
4,289.00
915.37
27.13%
JP:8233
Takashimaya Company
1,086.00
-388.56
-26.35%
JP:3086
J FRONT RETAILING Co
1,975.00
100.50
5.36%

Tokyu Corporate Events

Tokyu Corporation Adjusts Convertible Bond Conversion Prices Following Dividend Approval
Jun 27, 2025

Tokyu Corporation has announced an adjustment to the conversion price of its Zero Coupon Convertible Bonds due in 2028 and 2030, effective from April 1, 2025. This adjustment follows the payment of an extraordinary dividend, approved at the company’s general meeting, which impacts the conversion terms of the bonds, potentially affecting stakeholders’ investment strategies.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:9005) stock is a Buy with a Yen2000.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Tokyu stock, see the JP:9005 Stock Forecast page.

Tokyu Corporation Reports Increased Profits and Dividends for FY 2025
May 30, 2025

Tokyu Corporation reported a steady increase in its financial performance for the fiscal year ending March 31, 2025, with operating revenue rising by 1.7% and operating profit by 9.0% compared to the previous year. The company also announced an increase in annual dividends, reflecting its strong financial position and commitment to returning value to shareholders.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:9005) stock is a Buy with a Yen2000.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Tokyu stock, see the JP:9005 Stock Forecast page.

Tokyu Corporation Increases Year-End Dividend for Fiscal Year 2025
May 14, 2025

Tokyu Corporation announced an increase in its year-end dividend for the fiscal year ending March 31, 2025, raising it to 13.00 yen per share, up from the previous forecast of 12.00 yen. This decision aligns with the company’s policy of maintaining a 30% dividend payout ratio over the medium to long term and reflects its commitment to providing stable and increasing dividends based on its operating results.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:9005) stock is a Buy with a Yen2000.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Tokyu stock, see the JP:9005 Stock Forecast page.

Tokyu Corporation Reports Strong Financial Performance for FY 2025
May 14, 2025

Tokyu Corporation reported a year-on-year increase in its financial performance for the fiscal year ending March 31, 2025, with operating revenue rising by 1.7% and profit attributable to owners of the parent increasing by 24.6%. The company also announced an increase in annual dividends per share, reflecting its improved financial health and commitment to returning value to shareholders.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:9005) stock is a Buy with a Yen2000.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Tokyu stock, see the JP:9005 Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jun 13, 2025