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Tokyu Corporation (JP:9005)
:9005

Tokyu (9005) AI Stock Analysis

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JP:9005

Tokyu

(9005)

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Neutral 65 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:65Neutral
Price Target:
¥1,895.00
▲(3.58% Upside)
Tokyu's strong financial performance is the most significant factor, demonstrating robust growth and stability. However, technical analysis indicates bearish momentum, which poses a risk. Valuation is fair, offering moderate income potential. The absence of earnings call and corporate events data limits further insights.

Tokyu (9005) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)

Tokyu Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionTokyu Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the transportation, real estate, life services, and hotel and resort businesses in Japan and internationally. It is involved in railway, bus, and airport operations; real estate sales, leasing, and management activities; department store, chain store, shopping center, advertising, imaging, and CATV operations; and hotel and golf course operations. Tokyu Corporation was founded in 1918 and is headquartered in Tokyo, Japan.
How the Company Makes MoneyTokyu generates revenue through multiple streams, with the largest portion coming from its railway operations, which include passenger fares from its extensive train and bus services. Additionally, the company earns money from real estate activities, including leasing and selling properties developed in urban areas, as well as from retail operations in its shopping centers and commercial facilities. The company also has partnerships with various local and regional businesses that enhance its service offerings and customer engagement. Furthermore, Tokyu benefits from tourism-related income through its leisure services, including hotels and entertainment facilities, which attract both domestic and international visitors.

Tokyu Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 08, 2024
(Q2-2024)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 18, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call highlighted strong financial performance with significant year-on-year growth in revenue and profits. Positive results were seen across multiple segments, and the company presented an improved full-year forecast. New projects and developments are on track, and there were notable achievements in the hotel sector and ESG initiatives. However, some challenges remain, such as lower commuter usage on the Shin-Yokohama Line and risks from rising construction costs.
Q2-2024 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Year-on-Year Growth in Q2 FY 2023
Operating revenue was JPY 483.4 billion, up JPY 48.7 billion year-on-year. Operating profit rose by JPY 23.7 billion, and profit attributable to owners of parent increased by JPY 16.5 billion.
Positive Performance Across Segments
Transportation segment saw an increase of JPY 13.7 million in operating revenue. Real Estate and Hotel and Resort segments also achieved growth, with profits up JPY 4.7 billion and JPY 4.1 billion, respectively.
Improved Full Year Forecast
Operating profit for FY 2023 is forecasted to be JPY 85 billion, up JPY 7 billion from the August forecast. Profit attributable to owners of parent is expected to be JPY 54 billion, up JPY 9 billion.
Successful New Projects and Developments
The Tokyu Kabukicho Tower saw over 3 million visitors, and the Shin-Yokohama Line reached about 70% of its passenger target. New development projects in Shibuya and other areas are progressing as planned.
Record High ADR in Hotel Sector
Percentage of foreign guests in Shibuya area hotels reached 74.5%, with ADR achieving record high levels.
Significant ESG Achievements
Achieved a 38% reduction in CO2 emissions compared to FY 2019. All Tokyu Railways lines now use 100% renewable energy.
Negative Updates
Lower Than Expected Commuter Usage on Shin-Yokohama Line
Although the new line reached 70% of its passenger target, commuter usage has not yet met expectations, requiring time for public awareness and demand generation.
Challenges from Rising Construction Costs
Sharp increases in construction costs pose a risk to the profitability of development projects, although it could benefit existing leasing portfolios if competing projects are canceled or delayed.
Company Guidance
During the earnings call for Tokyu Corporation's second quarter of FY 2024, President Horie provided comprehensive guidance on financial performance and forecasts. The company reported operating revenue of JPY 483.4 billion and an operating profit of JPY 45.5 billion, with profits attributable to owners at JPY 35 billion, showing significant year-on-year increases of JPY 48.7 billion, JPY 23.7 billion, and JPY 16.5 billion, respectively. For the full year FY 2023, Tokyu Corporation forecasts operating revenue of JPY 1.0395 trillion, operating profit of JPY 85 billion, and profit attributable to owners of JPY 54 billion, reflecting an upward revision from earlier predictions. Key segments like Transportation and Real Estate saw notable improvements, with the Transportation sector alone revising its operating profit forecast up by JPY 7 billion due to increased fares and reduced power costs. The company also highlighted initiatives in urban development and sustainability, emphasizing a 38% reduction in CO2 emissions compared to FY 2019, and plans for a cyclical reinvestment strategy designed to enhance the value and competitiveness of areas along Tokyu lines. Additionally, Tokyu Corporation announced a year-end dividend of JPY 10, raising the annual dividend to JPY 17.5 per share.

Tokyu Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Tokyu exhibits strong financial health with consistent revenue and profit growth, improved margins, and effective cash flow management. The balance sheet is solid, though the debt level is noteworthy, it is balanced against a strong equity base and robust cash flows.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
Tokyu's income statement shows strong financial performance with consistent revenue growth and improving profit margins. The gross profit margin has been improving over the years, indicating efficient cost management. The net profit margin has also shown a positive trajectory, reflecting enhanced bottom-line profitability. Both EBIT and EBITDA margins are solid, highlighting operational efficiency. The overall revenue growth rate is robust, especially considering the recovery from previous downturns.
Balance Sheet
78
Positive
Tokyu maintains a solid balance sheet with a healthy equity ratio, reflecting a strong capital base. The debt-to-equity ratio is reasonable, suggesting manageable leverage levels. Return on Equity (ROE) has improved significantly, indicating effective use of shareholders' equity to generate profits. However, the company has a substantial debt load, which could pose risks if not managed carefully.
Cash Flow
80
Positive
Tokyu's cash flow statement is strong, with consistent operating cash flow generation. Free cash flow has shown positive growth, indicating good cash management after capital expenditures. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is solid, suggesting that reported profits are well-supported by cash flows. The company has successfully turned around its free cash flow situation over the years, reflecting improved financial health.
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue1.04T1.05T1.04T931.29B879.11B935.93B
Gross Profit328.23B334.43B321.66B262.42B239.77B188.49B
EBITDA188.86B202.98B189.54B132.86B119.58B41.20B
Net Income75.18B79.68B63.76B26.00B8.78B-56.23B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets2.68T2.70T2.65T2.61T2.48T2.48T
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments42.85B62.13B43.35B69.34B52.27B45.96B
Total Debt1.29T1.29T1.26T1.29T1.20T1.18T
Total Liabilities1.80T1.83T1.82T1.83T1.73T1.72T
Stockholders Equity840.55B827.98B789.25B740.62B702.97B702.35B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow0.0024.56B28.47B-56.94B-24.82B-27.34B
Operating Cash Flow0.00155.10B145.33B95.40B85.58B85.89B
Investing Cash Flow0.00-113.73B-101.00B-154.43B-78.81B-115.19B
Financing Cash Flow0.00-25.25B-71.96B74.61B-1.37B17.18B

Tokyu Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price1829.50
Price Trends
50DMA
1763.50
Positive
100DMA
1796.88
Positive
200DMA
1754.26
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
13.19
Negative
RSI
57.59
Neutral
STOCH
76.96
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:9005, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 1829.5 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 1798.87, above the 50-day MA of 1763.50, and above the 200-day MA of 1754.26, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 13.19 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 57.59 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 76.96 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for JP:9005.

Tokyu Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
71
Outperform
¥497.47B11.998.54%1.84%0.42%20.25%
70
Outperform
¥6.73T229.172.27%0.52%4.92%1.25%
66
Neutral
¥255.19B17.224.97%2.01%2.00%-68.35%
65
Neutral
$1.10T12.149.25%1.48%-2.86%14.93%
65
Neutral
¥815.20B14.849.37%2.59%-1.22%-10.82%
64
Neutral
¥577.68B18.247.58%2.58%6.52%-31.67%
61
Neutral
$18.38B12.79-2.54%3.03%1.52%-15.83%
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
JP:9005
Tokyu
1,829.50
184.21
11.20%
JP:8267
AEON Co
2,474.00
1,275.56
106.44%
JP:3099
Isetan Mitsukoshi Holdings
2,314.50
-146.01
-5.93%
JP:3086
J FRONT RETAILING Co
2,214.00
273.02
14.07%
JP:8233
Takashimaya Company
1,634.00
427.54
35.44%
JP:8242
H2O Retailing Corporation
2,092.00
-82.36
-3.79%

Tokyu Corporate Events

Tokyu Corporation Announces Strategic Share Buyback
Dec 5, 2025

Tokyu Corporation has announced a share buyback, acquiring 237,500 common shares valued at over 403 million yen between November 1 and November 30, 2025. This move is part of a larger resolution to buy back up to 6.5 million shares, aiming to strengthen shareholder value and optimize capital structure.

Tokyu Corporation Reports Resilient First Half Financial Results
Nov 28, 2025

Tokyu Corporation reported its financial results for the first half of the fiscal year ending March 31, 2026, showing a slight decline in operating revenue and profit compared to the previous year. Despite this, the company saw an increase in ordinary profit and profit attributable to owners of the parent, indicating resilience in its core operations. The company has also announced an increase in its dividend per share, reflecting confidence in its financial stability and commitment to returning value to shareholders.

Tokyu Corporation Expands into Australian Urban Development
Nov 25, 2025

Tokyu Corporation has announced its decision to invest in Two Rocks Green Estate Pty. Ltd., a move that will see the company participate in urban development projects in Western Australia. This strategic investment will result in Two Rocks Green Estate becoming a specified subsidiary of Tokyu, with the company holding a 100% stake. The investment is expected to have a minor impact on Tokyu’s consolidated business results for the fiscal year ending March 31, 2026.

Tokyu Corporation Revises Full-Year Financial Forecasts Upward
Nov 11, 2025

Tokyu Corporation has revised its full-year consolidated results forecasts for the fiscal year ending March 31, 2026, due to strong performance in the first half of the year. The revised forecasts show an increase in operating revenue, operating profit, ordinary profit, and profit attributable to owners of the parent, indicating a positive outlook for the company’s financial performance.

Tokyu Corporation Reports Mixed Financial Results for First Half of Fiscal Year 2026
Nov 11, 2025

Tokyu Corporation reported a slight decrease in operating revenue by 1.2% to ¥518,986 million for the first half of the fiscal year ending March 2026, compared to the previous year. Despite this, the company saw a 13.7% increase in profit attributable to owners, reaching ¥56,236 million, indicating a strong financial position with increased dividends per share forecasted for the full fiscal year.

Tokyu Corporation Reports Train Collision and Service Disruption
Oct 7, 2025

Tokyu Corporation reported a train collision and derailment at Kajigaya Station on the Den-en-toshi Line, impacting operations significantly. The incident, which occurred on October 5, 2025, resulted in the suspension of services and affected over 652,000 passengers. While no casualties were reported, the cause of the accident is under investigation, and the company is evaluating the financial implications for the fiscal year ending March 2026.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Oct 03, 2025