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AOKI Holdings, Inc. (JP:8214)
:8214
Japanese Market

AOKI Holdings, Inc. (8214) AI Stock Analysis

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JP:8214

AOKI Holdings, Inc.

(8214)

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Outperform 72 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:72Outperform
Price Target:
¥2,093.00
▲(15.57% Upside)
AOKI Holdings, Inc. demonstrates strong financial performance with consistent revenue growth and robust cash flow, which are the most significant factors in its overall score. The valuation is attractive due to a reasonable P/E ratio and high dividend yield. However, technical indicators suggest a bearish trend, which slightly offsets the positive financial and valuation aspects.
Positive Factors
Cash Flow Strength
Robust and rising operating and free cash flow provide durable internal funding for capex, store remodels, and debt reduction. Strong cash generation supports reinvestment and resilience across cycles, reducing reliance on external financing and enabling strategic long-term initiatives.
Improving Leverage
Material reduction in leverage and a stable ~60% equity ratio strengthen financial flexibility. Lower D/E reduces interest burden and bankruptcy risk, giving management capacity to pursue growth or weather downturns while maintaining access to capital markets on better terms.
Top-line and Margin Progress
Sustained revenue expansion with improving gross and net margins indicates effective pricing, cost control, and scale benefits. This structural profit improvement enhances cash conversion and reinvestment capacity, supporting longer-term competitiveness and shareholder returns.
Negative Factors
Moderate Operating Margins
Modest operating margins suggest limited operational leverage and potential inefficiencies in restaurant/hospitality operations. Without structural margin expansion, profit growth may lag revenue gains and constrain cash available for strategic investments or sustained dividend increases.
Residual Debt Risk
Although leverage improved, meaningful remaining debt raises refinancing and interest-rate exposure risk. In a prolonged downturn or cost shock, servicing that debt could pressure cash flow, limit flexibility for capex or M&A, and require more aggressive deleveraging actions.
Modest Return on Equity
A mid-single-digit ROE, while improving, implies limited capital efficiency versus higher-return peers. Persistently modest ROE can cap long-term shareholder value creation unless management accelerates margin expansion, improves asset turns, or reallocates capital to higher-return initiatives.

AOKI Holdings, Inc. (8214) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)

AOKI Holdings, Inc. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionAOKI Holdings Inc. engages in the fashion, anniversary and bridal, entertainment, and real estate leasing businesses in Japan. It creates and sells apparel for men and women, as well as business apparel and casual clothing under the AOKI and ORIHICA brand names; and operates apparel store that offers casual clothing of big sizes for men and women under the Size MAX name. The company also operates wedding halls and guesthouse-style halls for ceremonies and receptions, as well as offers related products and services. In addition, it operates and manages KAIKATSU CLUB café complexes; COTE D'AZUR karaoke facilities; and FiT24 fitness and training facilities. The company was founded in 1958 and is headquartered in Yokohama, Japan.
How the Company Makes MoneyAOKI Holdings generates revenue predominantly through its restaurant operations, where it earns money from food and beverage sales. The company operates numerous restaurant chains, each contributing to its overall revenue through direct sales to customers. Key revenue streams include dine-in services, takeout, and catering services. Additionally, AOKI may benefit from partnerships with suppliers and distributors for food products, enhancing its supply chain efficiency and cost management. Seasonal promotions, loyalty programs, and marketing strategies also play a crucial role in driving customer traffic and increasing sales, further contributing to the company's earnings.

AOKI Holdings, Inc. Financial Statement Overview

Summary
AOKI Holdings, Inc. presents a solid financial profile with consistent revenue and profit growth, improved leverage ratios, and strong cash flow generation. Despite some areas for improvement in operational efficiency and debt management, the company is well-positioned within the Apparel - Retail industry.
Income Statement
75
Positive
AOKI Holdings, Inc. has shown consistent revenue growth over the past few years, with a notable increase from ¥154.9 billion in 2022 to ¥192.7 billion in 2025. The gross profit margin has improved from 38.5% in 2021 to 41.9% in 2025, indicating better cost control. The net profit margin has also improved significantly to 5.0% in 2025 from negative figures in 2021, reflecting enhanced profitability. However, EBIT and EBITDA margins remain moderate, suggesting room for operational efficiency improvements.
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
The company's debt-to-equity ratio has improved from 0.55 in 2021 to 0.29 in 2025, indicating better leverage management. Return on Equity (ROE) has also shown a positive trend, rising to 6.7% in 2025, reflecting improved profitability. The equity ratio has remained stable around 60%, ensuring a strong capital structure. However, the total debt, while decreasing, still represents a significant portion of the company's liabilities, posing a potential risk if not managed properly.
Cash Flow
80
Positive
AOKI Holdings has demonstrated strong cash flow performance, with operating cash flow increasing from ¥4.35 billion in 2021 to ¥21.7 billion in 2025. Free cash flow has also grown significantly, reflecting effective capital expenditure management. The free cash flow to net income ratio indicates healthy cash generation relative to earnings. The company’s ability to generate consistent free cash flow provides a solid foundation for future investments and debt repayment.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue193.54B192.69B187.72B176.17B154.92B143.17B
Gross Profit81.62B80.69B76.93B69.56B59.64B48.36B
EBITDA24.22B24.20B22.44B17.35B15.25B-1.88B
Net Income9.26B9.57B7.57B5.63B2.56B-11.93B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets215.68B232.98B236.33B233.42B233.01B237.26B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments23.88B34.88B35.66B38.30B37.94B29.94B
Total Debt29.71B40.66B48.22B52.70B61.97B69.68B
Total Liabilities77.33B90.83B99.27B101.17B105.37B111.41B
Stockholders Equity138.05B141.84B136.76B131.97B127.64B125.85B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow0.0011.76B5.70B12.13B8.76B-6.59B
Operating Cash Flow0.0021.74B17.59B17.48B17.13B4.35B
Investing Cash Flow0.00-8.52B-10.89B-3.03B886.00M-11.52B
Financing Cash Flow0.00-13.99B-9.34B-14.09B-10.02B13.27B

AOKI Holdings, Inc. Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price1811.00
Price Trends
50DMA
1748.48
Positive
100DMA
1744.15
Positive
200DMA
1627.79
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
37.90
Negative
RSI
79.20
Negative
STOCH
94.92
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:8214, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 1811 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 1826.40, above the 50-day MA of 1748.48, and above the 200-day MA of 1627.79, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 37.90 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 79.20 is Negative, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 94.92 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for JP:8214.

AOKI Holdings, Inc. Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
74
Outperform
¥68.45B18.892.73%10.48%-34.38%
72
Outperform
¥158.58B18.334.49%2.21%4.36%
71
Outperform
¥132.22B14.135.53%6.09%-1.03%4.12%
66
Neutral
¥34.89B17.024.07%-9.86%-14.02%
61
Neutral
$18.38B12.79-2.54%3.03%1.52%-15.83%
54
Neutral
¥11.99B-29.782.24%0.49%-169.64%
47
Neutral
¥8.46B17.864.13%-10.82%
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
JP:8214
AOKI Holdings, Inc.
1,890.00
692.56
57.84%
JP:8219
AOYAMA TRADING Co., Ltd.
2,654.00
658.13
32.97%
JP:7416
Haruyama Holdings Inc.
733.00
159.19
27.74%
JP:7494
Konaka Co., Ltd.
254.00
42.51
20.10%
JP:7606
UNITED ARROWS LTD.
2,402.00
-179.09
-6.94%
JP:8185
Chiyoda Co., Ltd.
1,122.00
-99.35
-8.13%

AOKI Holdings, Inc. Corporate Events

AOKI Holdings Reports Mixed Financial Results for Q2 FY2026
Nov 7, 2025

AOKI Holdings Inc. reported its consolidated financial results for the second quarter of the fiscal year ending March 31, 2026, showing a slight increase in net sales by 1.3% compared to the previous year. However, the company experienced a decline in operating profit and profit attributable to owners of the parent, indicating challenges in maintaining profitability. The company has revised its full-year forecast, expecting a modest increase in net sales and operating profit, reflecting cautious optimism about future performance.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:8214) stock is a Buy with a Yen1865.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on AOKI Holdings, Inc. stock, see the JP:8214 Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Oct 29, 2025