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Tsuzuki Denki Co., Ltd. (JP:8157)
:8157
Japanese Market

Tsuzuki Denki Co., Ltd. (8157) AI Stock Analysis

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JP:8157

Tsuzuki Denki Co., Ltd.

(8157)

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Outperform 75 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:75Outperform
Price Target:
¥4,697.00
▲(34.78% Upside)
Action:UpgradedDate:01/31/26
The score is driven primarily by solid financial health (notably a strong balance sheet) and supportive technical trend strength (price above key moving averages with positive MACD). Valuation further boosts the outlook due to a low P/E and reasonable dividend yield, while weaker recent revenue growth and softer/variable free cash flow keep the score from being higher.
Positive Factors
Strong balance sheet / high equity ratio
An improved debt-to-equity and a 55.14% equity ratio signal durable financial flexibility. This capital structure reduces refinancing risk, supports investment or M&A capacity, and helps the company withstand cyclical ICT project slowdowns without compromising operations or service commitments.
Sustainable operating margins
Relatively stable gross margins and solid EBIT/EBITDA margins reflect persistent operational efficiency and pricing power in equipment sales and services. Sustained margins help preserve cash available for reinvestment and support profitability even if top-line growth moderates.
Diversified ICT and services business model
A diversified mix of product supply, systems integration, and recurring maintenance/services spreads revenue across sectors and customer types. This reduces single-market cyclicality, supports steadier revenue streams, and enhances customer stickiness through long-term engineering and support relationships.
Negative Factors
Weakened revenue growth trend
A slowing top-line diminishes the company’s ability to leverage fixed costs and limits scope for margin expansion. Persistent revenue deceleration can constrain investment in new services, hinder market-share gains in ICT projects, and reduce long-term earnings momentum.
Variable free cash flow and recent decline
Volatile and recently declining free cash flow erodes capacity to self-fund capex, pay steady dividends, or reduce debt. If this pattern persists, it will stress liquidity planning, limit strategic investments in higher-margin service offerings, and force greater reliance on external financing.
Modest net margins limiting profitability
Net margins in the mid-single digits constrain retained earnings and the ability to rapidly scale ROE. Low absolute margins mean adverse cost or pricing pressure could quickly compress profitability, reducing the firm's buffer to invest in growth initiatives or absorb sector disruption.

Tsuzuki Denki Co., Ltd. (8157) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)

Tsuzuki Denki Co., Ltd. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionTsuzuki Denki Co., Ltd. engages in the design, development, construction, and maintenance of network and information systems. It operates in two segments, Information Network Solutions and Electronic Devices. The Information Network Solutions segment offers technical services in consulting, design, development, and system construction; and operates and maintains information and communication equipment and software, as well as provides monthly cloud and other subscription services. The Electronic Devices segment provides device solutions, and contract design and development services. The company was founded in 1932 and is headquartered in Tokyo, Japan.
How the Company Makes MoneyTsuzuki Denki generates revenue through the sale of its electrical equipment and components. The company has multiple revenue streams, including direct sales to industrial clients, partnerships with original equipment manufacturers (OEMs), and contracts for custom engineering solutions. A significant portion of its earnings comes from long-term contracts and recurring sales of replacement parts and maintenance services for its products. Additionally, strategic alliances with other technology firms enhance its market reach and allow for collaborative product development, which further contributes to its financial performance.

Tsuzuki Denki Co., Ltd. Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Solid overall fundamentals led by a strong balance sheet (improving debt-to-equity, 55.14% equity ratio). Profitability/operating efficiency is decent, but revenue growth has weakened and free cash flow has been variable with a recent decline, which limits the score.
Income Statement
72
Positive
Gross profit margin has been relatively stable with a slight increase to 23.06% in the latest year. However, the net profit margin has decreased from 4.38% to 4.85% over the last two years, suggesting some pressure on net earnings. Revenue growth rate shows a decline in the most recent year, highlighting potential challenges in sustaining top-line growth. Despite these concerns, EBIT and EBITDA margins remain decent, indicating operational efficiency.
Balance Sheet
78
Positive
The debt-to-equity ratio has improved, reflecting a strong balance sheet with reduced leverage. The company's equity ratio is robust at 55.14%, indicating a solid capital structure. ROE has been consistent, though there is room for improvement. Overall, the balance sheet is strong, with a favorable equity position and controlled debt levels.
Cash Flow
65
Positive
Free cash flow has shown variability, with a decline in the most recent year. The operating cash flow to net income ratio indicates that cash generation is in line with accounting earnings, but the recent decline in operating cash flow is a concern. Free cash flow to net income ratio remains positive, but the trend suggests a need for improvement in cash generation efficiency.
BreakdownTTMMar 2025Mar 2024Mar 2023Mar 2022Mar 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue98.33B98.26B124.86B123.90B119.32B120.00B
Gross Profit22.91B22.66B25.31B24.18B22.51B21.47B
EBITDA8.55B8.29B10.13B7.91B7.18B5.82B
Net Income5.04B4.76B5.48B3.52B2.80B2.35B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets75.55B80.06B81.07B83.21B79.23B76.20B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments41.30B38.71B38.70B20.88B19.16B15.94B
Total Debt9.83B9.55B10.19B10.99B12.51B12.85B
Total Liabilities31.57B35.43B40.20B47.82B46.03B45.03B
Stockholders Equity43.57B44.16B40.40B34.95B32.85B30.93B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow0.003.13B4.01B3.17B3.69B-1.44B
Operating Cash Flow0.003.41B4.95B4.26B5.56B749.00M
Investing Cash Flow0.00-792.00M15.47B39.00M-4.00M-1.27B
Financing Cash Flow0.00-2.60B-2.61B-2.61B-2.41B-2.03B

Tsuzuki Denki Co., Ltd. Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price3485.00
Price Trends
50DMA
3639.40
Positive
100DMA
3401.85
Positive
200DMA
3185.16
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
139.04
Negative
RSI
70.73
Negative
STOCH
88.02
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:8157, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 3485 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 3891.25, below the 50-day MA of 3639.40, and above the 200-day MA of 3185.16, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 139.04 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 70.73 is Negative, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 88.02 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for JP:8157.

Tsuzuki Denki Co., Ltd. Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
78
Outperform
¥48.21B13.273.48%18.42%51.06%
75
Outperform
¥68.06B11.932.82%-5.63%52.73%
74
Outperform
¥26.39B5.863.66%-18.88%42.17%
68
Neutral
¥109.09B9.682.91%31.48%83.15%
66
Neutral
¥45.83B12.092.70%17.96%30.46%
63
Neutral
$10.79B15.437.44%2.01%2.89%-14.66%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
JP:8157
Tsuzuki Denki Co., Ltd.
4,135.00
1,841.00
80.25%
JP:4685
Ryoyu Systems Co., Ltd.
3,590.00
459.13
14.66%
JP:8057
Uchida Yoko Co., Ltd.
2,119.00
768.55
56.91%
JP:8070
Tokyo Sangyo Co., Ltd.
987.00
296.68
42.98%
JP:8081
Kanaden Corporation
2,330.00
894.40
62.30%

Tsuzuki Denki Co., Ltd. Corporate Events

Tsuzuki Denki Lifts FY2026 Profit Outlook and Hikes Dividend on Stronger Earnings
Jan 30, 2026

Tsuzuki Denki has sharply revised upward its full-year earnings forecasts for the fiscal year ending March 31, 2026, while keeping net sales unchanged at ¥102.5 billion but raising operating income to ¥8.0 billion, ordinary income to ¥8.15 billion and profit attributable to owners of parent to ¥6.0 billion, reflecting the impact of its transformation measures and extraordinary gains from the partial sale of investment securities. In tandem with the stronger profit outlook and in line with its shareholder return policy targeting a 40% payout ratio (based on business operating income) and a minimum consolidated DOE of 3.5%, the company has lifted its year-end dividend forecast from ¥50 to ¥71 per share, taking the expected annual dividend to ¥121 per share and signaling a more generous return to shareholders compared with the prior fiscal year.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:8157) stock is a Hold with a Yen3882.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Tsuzuki Denki Co., Ltd. stock, see the JP:8157 Stock Forecast page.

Tsuzuki Denki Posts Record Operating and Ordinary Profits on Higher Sales and Margin Gains
Jan 30, 2026

Tsuzuki Denki Co., Ltd. reported that for the nine months ended December 31, 2025, net sales rose to ¥67.3 billion, while gross profit margin improved to 24.0%, and SG&A expenses were kept nearly flat as a percentage of sales. Operating profit and ordinary profit climbed sharply, up 66.9% and 64.3% year on year respectively, with profit attributable to owners of parent nearly doubling, leading to record-high operating and ordinary profits and underscoring stronger profitability and operational efficiency compared with the prior year period.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:8157) stock is a Hold with a Yen3882.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Tsuzuki Denki Co., Ltd. stock, see the JP:8157 Stock Forecast page.

Tsuzuki Denki Lifts Earnings Outlook and Dividends on Strong Nine-Month Results
Jan 30, 2026

Tsuzuki Denki reported consolidated net sales of ¥67.3 billion for the nine months ended December 31, 2025, up 3.1% year on year, with operating income surging 66.9% to ¥4.0 billion and profit attributable to owners of parent jumping 91.6% to ¥3.3 billion, reflecting a strong recovery in profitability and an improved shareholders’ equity ratio of 58.6%. On the back of this performance, the company raised its full-year forecast to ¥102.5 billion in net sales and ¥6.0 billion in profit attributable to owners of parent, and upgraded its dividend outlook to a total of ¥121 per share for the year ending March 31, 2026, signaling stronger shareholder returns and confidence in sustained earnings growth.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:8157) stock is a Hold with a Yen3882.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Tsuzuki Denki Co., Ltd. stock, see the JP:8157 Stock Forecast page.

Tsuzuki Denki Discloses Interim Results and Ownership Structure of Parent ASO CORPORATION
Dec 25, 2025

Tsuzuki Denki announced that interim financial results for the second quarter of the fiscal year ending March 31, 2026, at its unlisted parent company ASO CORPORATION, have been finalized, underscoring the close capital and business ties between the two groups. The disclosure highlights ASO’s core operations in medical-related and real estate businesses, its 24.03% voting stake in Tsuzuki Denki, and a shareholder structure dominated by the Aso family and related entities, indicating a tightly held ownership base that may support stable governance and long-term strategic alignment between the parent and its listed affiliate.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:8157) stock is a Hold with a Yen3364.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Tsuzuki Denki Co., Ltd. stock, see the JP:8157 Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jan 31, 2026