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Tokyo Electron (JP:8035)
:8035
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Tokyo Electron (8035) AI Stock Analysis

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JP:8035

Tokyo Electron

(OTC:8035)

Rating:81Outperform
Price Target:
Tokyo Electron's overall score of 81 reflects its robust financial performance, including strong profitability and efficient operations. The earnings call supports this with positive growth prospects, though challenges such as cash flow issues and market risks in China are noted. Technical analysis provides mixed signals, with valuation appearing fair. Overall, the company is well-positioned for growth despite some risks.
Positive Factors
Earnings
3Q25 results beat expectations with a strong surge in both net sales and earnings.
Market Position
TEL is a leading semiconductor equipment maker with a dominant position in the industry.
Negative Factors
Geopolitical Concerns
High exposure to China, with about 44% of FY24 total revenue derived from China, could be subject to US-China geopolitical tensions.

Tokyo Electron (8035) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)

Tokyo Electron Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionTokyo Electron Limited, together with its subsidiaries, develops, manufactures, and sells semiconductor and flat panel display (FPD) production equipment in Japan, Europe, North America, Taiwan, China, South Korea, and internationally. The company's Semiconductor Production Equipment segment offers coaters/developers, etch systems, deposition systems, and cleaning systems used in wafer processing; wafer probers used in wafer testing process; and wafer bonders/debonders. Its Flat Panel Display Production Equipment segment provides coaters/developers and etch/ash systems for use in the manufacture of FPDs, as well as inkjet printing systems for manufacturing OLED panels. The company also offers logistic, facility maintenance, and insurance services. Tokyo Electron Limited was incorporated in 1951 and is headquartered in Tokyo, Japan.
How the Company Makes MoneyTokyo Electron makes money primarily through the sale of its advanced semiconductor production equipment and flat panel display production equipment. The company's revenue model is centered around the design, manufacturing, and servicing of these high-tech machines, which are essential for the production of semiconductors and electronic displays. Key revenue streams include equipment sales, after-sales services such as maintenance and upgrades, and technical support. Tokyo Electron's earnings are significantly influenced by its partnerships with leading semiconductor manufacturers and display makers, as it provides them with cutting-edge technology to improve production efficiency and output quality. The company's financial performance is also closely tied to global semiconductor demand, technological advancements, and the capital expenditure cycles of its major clients.

Tokyo Electron Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Jul 31, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Nov 07, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call reflects a positive outlook driven by strong financial performance, record growth projections, and advancements in AI technology. Despite challenges such as cash flow issues, China market volatility, and regulatory hurdles, the company remains confident in its strategic initiatives and technological advancements.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Financial Performance
Net sales reached ¥654.5 billion, a 15.5% increase from the previous quarter. Gross profit was ¥311.7 billion, a 19.9% increase, and operating income reached ¥199.6 billion, a 34.7% increase. Net income attributable to owners of parent was ¥157.2 billion, a 33.6% increase.
Record Growth Projections
Tokyo Electron expects fiscal 2025 full-year net sales to reach ¥2.400 trillion, representing a 31% positive growth year-over-year, outperforming market growth.
Advancements in AI and Semiconductor Technology
Significant demand for AI semiconductors is driving growth. The WFE market is expected to continue achieving record highs, with double-digit growth anticipated for 2026.
Strategic Product Development
High-value strategic products like cryogenic etching and Episode 1 wafer film deposition system are gaining traction, with increasing PORs for advanced logic and DRAM applications.
Negative Updates
Cash Flow Challenges
The third quarter saw a free cash outflow of ¥64.1 billion due to transient increase in receivables and tax payments, though improvement is expected in the fourth quarter.
China Market Volatility
Proportion of sales from China is expected to decline from over 40% to the mid-30% level next fiscal year, with expectations of a 10-20% decline in the China market for non-memory areas.
Regulatory Challenges
U.S. export controls and regulations are impacting business, though the company is closely monitoring the situation and adapting strategies accordingly.
Company Guidance
During the third quarter of the fiscal year ending March 2025, Tokyo Electron reported robust financial performance, with net sales reaching ¥654.5 billion, marking a 15.5% increase from the previous quarter. The company achieved a gross profit of ¥311.7 billion, representing a 19.9% rise, and an improved gross profit margin of 47.6%, up by 1.7 percentage points. Operating income surged by 34.7% to ¥199.6 billion, with an operating profit margin of 30.5%, up by 4.3 percentage points. Income before income taxes increased by 30.3% to ¥200.1 billion, and net income attributable to owners stood at ¥157.2 billion, a 33.6% rise. The company reported capital expenditures of ¥50.2 billion, focusing on future growth investments. The balance sheet showed total assets at ¥2,501.9 billion, with a notable decline in cash and cash equivalents by ¥230.0 billion due to dividends, share repurchase, and tax payments. Free cash outflow was reported at ¥64.1 billion, with expectations for positive figures in the fourth quarter. The ongoing strategic share repurchase program saw the acquisition of 2,024,200 shares at ¥46.9 billion, completed in January 2025.

Tokyo Electron Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Tokyo Electron demonstrates robust financial health with strong profitability and efficient operations. The company boasts a high TTM net profit margin of 22.6% and a solid gross profit margin of 47.0%. Its balance sheet is healthy with a 71.9% equity ratio and no debt, minimizing financial risk. Operating cash flow comfortably covers net income, indicating healthy cash generation.
Income Statement
90
Very Positive
Tokyo Electron exhibits strong financial performance with an impressive TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) net profit margin of 22.6% and a solid gross profit margin of 47.0%. The company has maintained consistent revenue growth over the years, highlighted by a substantial increase from the previous fiscal year. EBIT and EBITDA margins are robust at 28.3% and 30.8%, respectively, indicating sound profitability and operational efficiency.
Balance Sheet
85
Very Positive
The company maintains a healthy balance sheet with a high equity ratio of 71.9%, showcasing strong capital structure and financial stability. With no total debt, the debt-to-equity ratio is effectively zero, minimizing financial risk. Return on equity stands at a remarkable 29.3%, reflecting efficient use of shareholders' equity to generate profits.
Cash Flow
88
Very Positive
Operating cash flow is strong, covering net income comfortably, with an operating cash flow to net income ratio of 0.87. Free cash flow is positive and growing, with a year-over-year increase of approximately 5.7% in the latest TTM. The company's ability to generate free cash flow indicates healthy cash generation, supporting future investments and shareholder returns.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue2.43T2.43T1.83T2.21T2.00T1.40T
Gross Profit1.15T1.15T830.27B984.41B911.82B564.95B
EBITDA751.69B768.38B508.68B660.82B636.20B354.73B
Net Income544.13B544.13B363.96B471.58B437.08B242.94B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets2.63T2.63T2.46T2.31T1.89T1.43T
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments496.24B496.24B472.55B473.10B371.27B311.55B
Total Debt0.000.000.0013.22B4.36B3.81B
Total Liabilities770.77B770.77B696.28B712.07B547.41B400.80B
Stockholders Equity1.86T1.86T1.76T1.60T1.35T1.02T
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow292.97B423.80B309.74B349.96B218.28B84.96B
Operating Cash Flow582.17B582.17B434.72B426.27B283.39B145.89B
Investing Cash Flow-169.61B-169.61B-125.15B-41.76B-55.63B-18.27B
Financing Cash Flow-388.84B-388.84B-325.01B-256.53B-167.26B-114.53B

Tokyo Electron Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price20240.00
Price Trends
50DMA
24130.50
Negative
100DMA
23384.65
Negative
200DMA
23323.94
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-1037.03
Negative
RSI
33.41
Neutral
STOCH
24.04
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:8035, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 20240 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 20703.75, below the 50-day MA of 24130.50, and below the 200-day MA of 23323.94, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -1037.03 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 33.41 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 24.04 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for JP:8035.

Tokyo Electron Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
81
Outperform
¥9.37T17.3529.80%2.68%21.68%26.74%
61
Neutral
$35.55B8.88-11.05%1.87%8.55%-8.14%
$57.29B37.1644.94%0.33%
$6.73B11.3224.92%2.74%
$28.07B33.9428.07%1.07%
$9.57B16.8647.47%2.09%
$20.04B20.80-4.72%1.51%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
JP:8035
Tokyo Electron
20,240.00
-746.71
-3.56%
ADTTF
Advantest
77.40
36.81
90.69%
DINRF
SCREEN Holdings Co
76.25
10.93
16.73%
DISPF
Disco
258.56
22.68
9.62%
LSRCF
Lasertec
105.77
-46.47
-30.52%
RNECF
Renesas Electronics
11.75
-2.70
-18.69%

Tokyo Electron Corporate Events

Tokyo Electron Reports Strong Financial Growth for Fiscal Year 2025
Apr 30, 2025

Tokyo Electron reported significant financial growth for the year ended March 31, 2025, with net sales increasing by 32.8% and operating income rising by 52.8% compared to the previous fiscal year. This robust performance reflects the company’s strong market positioning and operational efficiency, despite a slight decline in comprehensive income. The financial results indicate a positive outlook for stakeholders, with increased dividends and a stable financial position.

Tokyo Electron Announces Board Changes Ahead of Shareholders Meeting
Mar 19, 2025

Tokyo Electron Limited has announced changes to its Board of Directors and Audit & Supervisory Board, with new appointments and retirements set to be finalized at the upcoming Annual General Meeting of Shareholders. These changes are expected to bring fresh perspectives and strengthen the company’s governance, potentially impacting its strategic direction and stakeholder relations.

Tokyo Electron Reports Strong Financial Growth in Q3 2024
Feb 6, 2025

Tokyo Electron Limited reported its consolidated financial results for the nine months ending December 31, 2024, showing significant growth in net sales and income compared to the previous fiscal year. The company achieved a 22.3% increase in net sales and a substantial rise in operating and ordinary income, indicating strong operational performance. The financial forecast for the year ending March 31, 2025, projects continued growth with expectations of a 31.1% increase in net sales and an improvement in net income attributable to owners, reflecting Tokyo Electron’s strong market positioning and effective strategic initiatives.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Apr 21, 2025