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Keyence (JP:6861)
:6861

Keyence (6861) AI Stock Analysis

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JP:6861

Keyence

(6861)

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Outperform 80 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:80Outperform
Price Target:
¥75,804.00
▲(34.07% Upside)
Action:DowngradedDate:01/29/26
The score is driven primarily by exceptional financial quality—elite margins, strong cash generation, and a debt-free balance sheet. Technicals are moderately supportive with neutral momentum signals, while the premium valuation (high P/E and low yield) meaningfully tempers the overall score.
Positive Factors
Profitability / Pricing Power
Consistently very high gross and operating margins point to differentiated products and durable pricing power in factory automation. Such margin durability supports strong internal funding for R&D and capex, protects returns through cycles, and enables reinvestment without reliance on external financing.
Negative Factors
Uneven Historical Revenue Growth
Irregular top-line performance indicates exposure to cyclical end-markets and uneven adoption across product cycles. That variability complicates multi-period planning, can compress operating leverage in weak years, and means investors and management must manage for lumpy demand rather than steady expansion.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Profitability / Pricing Power
Consistently very high gross and operating margins point to differentiated products and durable pricing power in factory automation. Such margin durability supports strong internal funding for R&D and capex, protects returns through cycles, and enables reinvestment without reliance on external financing.
Read all positive factors

Keyence (6861) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)

Keyence Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Keyence Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, develops, manufactures, and sells factory automation solutions worldwide. The company offers photoelectric, fiber optic, laser, positioning, vision, and inductive proximity sensors, as well as n...
How the Company Makes Money
Keyence makes money primarily through the sale of its automation and sensing solutions. The company's revenue model is centered on providing high-tech products that cater to the needs of industrial automation. The key revenue streams include sales...

Keyence Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Elite profitability (gross margin ~82–84%, EBIT margin ~51–57%, net margin ~37–40%), fortress-like debt-free balance sheet, and strong cash conversion (FCF closely tracks net income). Main risk is uneven historical growth, despite strong recent momentum.
Income Statement
94
Very Positive
Balance Sheet
96
Very Positive
Cash Flow
90
Very Positive
BreakdownTTMMar 2025Mar 2024Mar 2023Mar 2022Mar 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue568.18B1.06T967.29B922.42B755.17B538.13B
Gross Profit472.31B887.70B802.51B754.73B621.19B440.88B
EBITDA312.08B564.97B508.78B510.44B426.67B284.31B
Net Income214.73B398.66B369.64B362.96B303.36B197.29B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets3.45T3.29T2.96T2.65T2.32T2.01T
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments1.32T1.22T1.13T940.46B1.00T930.00B
Total Debt0.000.000.000.000.000.00
Total Liabilities171.79B180.67B158.60B158.80B150.45B97.03B
Stockholders Equity3.28T3.11T2.81T2.49T2.17T1.91T
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow378.13B395.18B375.42B263.28B265.31B188.29B
Operating Cash Flow396.78B409.52B387.92B302.63B271.48B192.65B
Investing Cash Flow-292.40B-280.61B-242.79B-283.49B-11.13B-177.49B
Financing Cash Flow-90.03B-83.43B-76.31B-63.67B-49.82B-48.53B

Keyence Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price56540.00
Price Trends
50DMA
59205.41
Negative
100DMA
57255.23
Negative
200DMA
57002.40
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-479.85
Positive
RSI
40.24
Neutral
STOCH
5.93
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:6861, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 56540 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 60949.73, below the 50-day MA of 59205.41, and below the 200-day MA of 57002.40, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -479.85 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 40.24 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 5.93 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for JP:6861.

Keyence Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
80
Outperform
¥94.15B13.801.68%2.72%33.10%
80
Outperform
¥13.71T30.9012.80%0.78%7.09%7.51%
78
Outperform
¥757.93B18.0611.99%0.65%8.50%14.06%
74
Outperform
¥549.48B44.294.03%2.25%3.97%-41.76%
74
Outperform
¥6.47T59.168.95%1.88%2.88%28.76%
61
Neutral
$37.18B12.37-10.20%1.83%8.50%-7.62%
57
Neutral
¥863.10B36.792.99%2.62%3.51%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
JP:6861
Keyence
58,010.00
-2,848.10
-4.68%
JP:6965
Hamamatsu Photonics KK
1,966.00
486.86
32.92%
JP:6856
Horiba
19,310.00
9,225.95
91.49%
JP:6981
Murata Manufacturing Co
3,660.00
1,206.62
49.18%
JP:6645
OMRON
4,472.00
105.50
2.42%
JP:6914
OPTEX GROUP Company Limited
2,779.00
1,027.82
58.69%

Keyence Corporate Events

Keyence Delivers Higher Sales, Profits and Dividend Hike for Nine-Month Period
Jan 29, 2026
Keyence reported solid growth for the nine months ended December 20, 2025, with net sales rising 7.7% year on year to ¥834.6 billion and net income attributable to owners of the parent increasing 6.6% to ¥311.2 billion, reflecting contin...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jan 29, 2026