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Keyence (JP:6861)
:6861

Keyence (6861) AI Stock Analysis

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JP:6861

Keyence

(6861)

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Outperform 80 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:80Outperform
Price Target:
¥66,899.00
▲(17.55% Upside)
The score is driven primarily by exceptional financial quality—elite margins, strong cash generation, and a debt-free balance sheet. Technicals are moderately supportive with neutral momentum signals, while the premium valuation (high P/E and low yield) meaningfully tempers the overall score.

Keyence (6861) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)

Keyence Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionKeyence Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, develops, manufactures, and sells factory automation solutions worldwide. The company offers photoelectric, fiber optic, laser, positioning, vision, and inductive proximity sensors, as well as network communication units used for presence/absence and part differentiation applications. It also provides measurement sensors, such as laser displacement and profiler, optical/laser micrometer, 3D interference measurement, spectral interference displacement, and contact displacement/LVDT sensors; and measurement systems, including optical comparators, 3D scanners, and CMM/laser trackers. In addition, the company offers safety products comprising safety laser scanners, light curtains, interlock switches, and controllers to protect operators from machine hazards; and pressure, flow, level, and temperature sensors for monitoring equipment processes. Further, it provides static eliminators/ionizers and electrostatic sensors which protect workers, machinery, and products from the damaging effects of electrostatic charge; vision systems and sensors, and barcode scanners to perform automatic inspection and part identification; and programmable logic controllers and other controls that are used for machine control applications. Additionally, the company offers laser marking systems/laser markers and industrial continuous inkjet printers; digital, 3D laser scanning, and fluorescence microscopes, as well as wide-area 3D measuring systems for industrial and life science applications; and handheld mobile computers. It serves customers in automotive/chassis assembly, metals/machining, FPD/glass, semiconductor/ICS, plastic/molding, food/pharmaceutical, steel, and other industries. Keyence Corporation was founded in 1972 and is headquartered in Osaka, Japan.
How the Company Makes MoneyKeyence makes money primarily through the sale of its automation and sensing solutions. The company's revenue model is centered on providing high-tech products that cater to the needs of industrial automation. The key revenue streams include sales of sensors, vision systems, measuring instruments, and laser markers. Keyence's earnings are bolstered by its commitment to innovation, which allows it to command a premium price for its advanced technology solutions. The company does not rely on significant partnerships for its revenue but focuses on direct sales to customers across various industries globally. Factors contributing to its earnings include its strong brand reputation, extensive product range, and its ability to provide tailored solutions that improve manufacturing efficiency and reduce operational costs for its clients.

Keyence Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Elite profitability (gross margin ~82–84%, EBIT margin ~51–57%, net margin ~37–40%), fortress-like debt-free balance sheet, and strong cash conversion (FCF closely tracks net income). Main risk is uneven historical growth, despite strong recent momentum.
Income Statement
94
Very Positive
Keyence shows exceptional profitability with consistently very high gross and operating margins (gross margin ~82–84% and EBIT margin ~51–57% across the period) and strong net margins (~37–40%), indicating strong pricing power and cost discipline. Revenue growth has been positive overall, with a sharp acceleration in the latest annual period (2025), though the growth profile has been somewhat uneven (including a decline in 2020 and slower growth in some later years). Overall, the income statement reflects a highly profitable business with strong momentum recently, offset by some historical volatility in growth rates.
Balance Sheet
96
Very Positive
The balance sheet is extremely conservative: total debt is reported at zero across all periods, resulting in no leverage pressure and high financial flexibility. Equity and total assets have steadily expanded over time, supporting balance sheet strength. Returns on equity are solid (roughly ~10–15%), though not unusually high given the large equity base and debt-free structure. Overall, the company appears very resilient with minimal balance sheet risk.
Cash Flow
90
Very Positive
Cash generation is strong, with free cash flow consistently high and closely tracking net income (free cash flow to net income roughly ~0.87–0.98), suggesting good earnings quality and limited cash leakage. Operating cash flow comfortably covers net income (coverage above ~1.8x in the provided periods), reinforcing conversion strength. Free cash flow growth is generally positive and surged in the latest annual period, although there were years with modest declines/soft patches, indicating some cyclicality in cash flow growth despite overall strength.
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue568.18B1.06T967.29B922.42B755.17B538.13B
Gross Profit472.31B887.70B802.51B754.73B621.19B440.88B
EBITDA312.08B564.97B508.78B510.44B426.67B284.31B
Net Income214.73B398.66B369.64B362.96B303.36B197.29B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets3.45T3.29T2.96T2.65T2.32T2.01T
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments1.32T1.22T1.13T940.46B1.00T930.00B
Total Debt0.000.000.000.000.000.00
Total Liabilities171.79B180.67B158.60B158.80B150.45B97.03B
Stockholders Equity3.28T3.11T2.81T2.49T2.17T1.91T
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow378.13B395.18B375.42B263.28B265.31B188.29B
Operating Cash Flow396.78B409.52B387.92B302.63B271.48B192.65B
Investing Cash Flow-292.40B-280.61B-242.79B-283.49B-11.13B-177.49B
Financing Cash Flow-90.03B-83.43B-76.31B-63.67B-49.82B-48.53B

Keyence Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price56910.00
Price Trends
50DMA
56707.00
Positive
100DMA
56936.68
Negative
200DMA
57511.26
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
19.17
Positive
RSI
45.08
Neutral
STOCH
10.08
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:6861, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 56910 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 58564.50, above the 50-day MA of 56707.00, and below the 200-day MA of 57511.26, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 19.17 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 45.08 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 10.08 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for JP:6861.

Keyence Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
80
Outperform
$13.69T32.7412.80%0.78%7.09%7.51%
77
Outperform
$5.78T30.458.95%1.88%2.88%28.76%
75
Outperform
¥1.23T21.5310.84%1.46%3.92%9.99%
74
Outperform
¥529.08B36.184.19%2.25%3.97%-41.76%
63
Neutral
¥3.76T20.051.41%7.73%-1.93%
61
Neutral
$37.18B12.37-10.20%1.83%8.50%-7.62%
60
Neutral
¥770.98B26.933.60%2.62%3.51%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
JP:6861
Keyence
55,790.00
-5,840.65
-9.48%
JP:6965
Hamamatsu Photonics KK
1,683.50
-137.35
-7.54%
JP:6981
Murata Manufacturing Co
3,085.00
641.88
26.27%
JP:6645
OMRON
3,897.00
-922.35
-19.14%
JP:7701
Shimadzu
4,187.00
-7.30
-0.17%
JP:6762
TDK Corporation
1,985.50
300.28
17.82%

Keyence Corporate Events

Keyence Announces Leadership Change to Strengthen Management
Oct 29, 2025

Keyence Corporation announced a change in its leadership, with Tetsuya Nakano set to become the new President and Representative Director, effective December 22, 2025. This decision is part of the company’s strategy to strengthen its management structure and enhance corporate value, reflecting its ongoing focus on innovation and profitability.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:6861) stock is a Hold with a Yen64000.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Keyence stock, see the JP:6861 Stock Forecast page.

Keyence Corporation Announces Increased Interim Dividend and Revised Year-End Forecasts
Oct 29, 2025

Keyence Corporation announced an increase in its interim dividend and revised its year-end dividend forecasts, reflecting its policy of stable dividend payments while enhancing shareholder returns. The decision is based on the company’s steady earnings growth and aims to strengthen its financial foundation and improve capital efficiency.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:6861) stock is a Hold with a Yen64000.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Keyence stock, see the JP:6861 Stock Forecast page.

Keyence Reports Strong Financial Performance and Increases Dividend Forecast
Oct 29, 2025

Keyence Corporation reported a 5.8% increase in net sales and a 5.4% rise in net income attributable to owners for the six months ending September 20, 2025, compared to the same period in the previous year. The company also announced a revision in its dividend forecast, indicating a significant increase in annual dividends per share, reflecting its strong financial performance and commitment to returning value to shareholders.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:6861) stock is a Hold with a Yen64000.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Keyence stock, see the JP:6861 Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jan 29, 2026