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TOKAI SOFT CO.,LTD. (JP:4430)
:4430
Japanese Market
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TOKAI SOFT CO.,LTD. (4430) AI Stock Analysis

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JP:4430

TOKAI SOFT CO.,LTD.

(4430)

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Outperform 80 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:80Outperform
Price Target:
¥1,993.00
▲(8.97% Upside)
Action:Upgraded
Date:07/15/26
The score is driven primarily by strong financial performance (accelerating revenue growth, stable profitability, and improved low leverage) and an attractive valuation (low P/E with a solid dividend yield). Technicals are supportive due to an uptrend above major moving averages, but elevated Stochastics increase the risk of a near-term pullback, and cash flow consistency remains a key watch item.
Positive Factors
Accelerating Revenue Growth
Sustained, sharp revenue acceleration indicates strengthening product-market fit and expanding customer adoption. This durable top-line momentum supports scalable economics, better resource allocation for R&D and sales, and provides a runway for sustained operating leverage over the next several quarters.
Negative Factors
Cash Flow Volatility
Historical swings in operating and free cash flow undermine predictability of internal funding and make capital planning harder. Even with strong 2026 FCF and close FCF-to-net-income conversion, inconsistent cycles increase reliance on external financing or cautious capital allocation during downturns.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Accelerating Revenue Growth
Sustained, sharp revenue acceleration indicates strengthening product-market fit and expanding customer adoption. This durable top-line momentum supports scalable economics, better resource allocation for R&D and sales, and provides a runway for sustained operating leverage over the next several quarters.
Read all positive factors

TOKAI SOFT CO.,LTD. (4430) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)

TOKAI SOFT CO.,LTD. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Tokai Soft Co., Ltd. specializes in providing a comprehensive suite of technology services, including industrial automation, embedded software engineering, and network infrastructure solutions. Their expertise in industrial systems covers areas su...
How the Company Makes Money
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TOKAI SOFT CO.,LTD. Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Strong recent fundamentals driven by sharply accelerating revenue growth and steady profitability (operating and net margins holding in healthy ranges). Balance sheet leverage is currently low and improved vs. the prior year, supporting flexibility. The main risk is historical cash flow volatility despite strong 2026 free cash flow and good cash-to-earnings conversion.
Income Statement
84
Very Positive
Balance Sheet
78
Positive
Cash Flow
72
Positive
BreakdownMay 2025May 2024May 2023May 2022May 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue12.29B10.68B8.74B7.72B7.30B
Gross Profit2.93B2.55B2.16B1.95B1.69B
EBITDA1.66B1.38B1.13B989.64M796.33M
Net Income956.86M813.37M736.31M623.76M442.79M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets11.04B11.24B8.48B7.86B7.86B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments2.06B2.20B1.70B1.48B1.88B
Total Debt1.53B2.50B1.07B1.40B1.71B
Total Liabilities4.22B5.18B3.17B3.16B3.78B
Stockholders Equity6.82B6.06B5.31B4.70B4.08B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow1.08B745.35M702.40M-18.23M1.14B
Operating Cash Flow1.16B751.25M737.05M12.72M1.23B
Investing Cash Flow-75.03M-248.36M-36.96M-33.53M-74.05M
Financing Cash Flow-1.22B-3.53M-476.33M-385.39M-564.03M

TOKAI SOFT CO.,LTD. Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price1829.00
Price Trends
50DMA
1645.04
Negative
100DMA
1695.35
Negative
200DMA
1720.96
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-10.44
Positive
RSI
45.78
Neutral
STOCH
35.63
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:4430, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 1829 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 1658.25, above the 50-day MA of 1645.04, and above the 200-day MA of 1720.96, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -10.44 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 45.78 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 35.63 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for JP:4430.

TOKAI SOFT CO.,LTD. Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
80
Outperform
¥7.98B8.123.06%15.03%17.34%
80
Outperform
¥30.32B20.031.74%8.98%12.22%
78
Outperform
¥26.84B15.6915.26%62.04%
77
Outperform
¥42.32B28.370.64%22.45%23.34%
63
Neutral
¥18.76B-47.5617.69%-175.52%
61
Neutral
$37.18B12.37-10.20%1.83%8.50%-7.62%
53
Neutral
¥122.93B88.160.14%18.12%-45.73%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
JP:4430
TOKAI SOFT CO.,LTD.
1,632.00
71.00
4.55%
JP:3741
Systems Engineering Consultants Co., Ltd.
3,080.00
550.49
21.76%
JP:3778
SAKURA Internet Inc.
3,440.00
390.83
12.82%
JP:3915
TerraSky Co., Ltd.
2,218.00
-72.70
-3.17%
JP:4434
Serverworks Co., Ltd.
2,402.00
215.96
9.88%
JP:4475
HENNGE K.K.
1,476.00
-259.33
-14.94%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jul 15, 2026