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TOKAI SOFT CO.,LTD. (JP:4430)
:4430
Japanese Market

TOKAI SOFT CO.,LTD. (4430) AI Stock Analysis

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JP:4430

TOKAI SOFT CO.,LTD.

(4430)

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Neutral 69 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:69Neutral
Price Target:
¥1,895.00
▲(3.61% Upside)
Action:DowngradedDate:03/24/26
The score is driven primarily by attractive valuation (low P/E and solid dividend yield) and improving revenue with steady profitability. Offsetting these positives are increased leverage and uneven cash-flow conversion, along with weak near-term technical momentum (below key moving averages with negative MACD).
Positive Factors
Revenue acceleration
Sustained revenue acceleration into 2025 indicates expanding product demand and stronger sales execution. For a services-focused IT integrator, growing top-line over multiple years supports scalable utilization, higher backlog and improved operating leverage if sustained.
Negative Factors
Rising leverage
A marked step-up in leverage reduces financial flexibility and increases interest and refinancing risk. If growth slows or margins compress, higher debt amplifies downside, limiting ability to invest, absorb shocks, or maintain dividend policy over the medium term.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Revenue acceleration
Sustained revenue acceleration into 2025 indicates expanding product demand and stronger sales execution. For a services-focused IT integrator, growing top-line over multiple years supports scalable utilization, higher backlog and improved operating leverage if sustained.
Read all positive factors

TOKAI SOFT CO.,LTD. (4430) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)

TOKAI SOFT CO.,LTD. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Tokai Soft Co., Ltd. provides factory automation and embedded software development and network infrastructure technology services. It develops industrial system, which includes artificial intelligence system, kaizen solution, images solution, FA s...
How the Company Makes Money
TOKAI SOFT generates revenue primarily by delivering IT services to corporate and public-sector customers. Key revenue streams include: (1) system integration projects, where the company earns project-based fees for requirements definition, system...

TOKAI SOFT CO.,LTD. Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Strong revenue acceleration into 2025 with stable operating profitability and respectable ROE, but the 2025 leverage step-up and historically volatile cash conversion (low operating cash flow vs earnings in 2025) meaningfully raise financial risk.
Income Statement
78
Positive
Balance Sheet
68
Positive
Cash Flow
55
Neutral
BreakdownMay 2024May 2023May 2022May 2021May 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue10.68B8.74B7.72B7.30B6.68B
Gross Profit2.55B2.16B1.95B1.69B1.48B
EBITDA1.38B1.13B989.64M796.33M705.75M
Net Income813.37M736.31M623.76M442.79M402.80M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets11.24B8.48B7.86B7.86B7.31B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments2.20B1.70B1.48B1.88B1.29B
Total Debt2.50B1.07B1.40B1.71B2.03B
Total Liabilities5.18B3.17B3.16B3.78B3.53B
Stockholders Equity6.06B5.31B4.70B4.08B3.78B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow745.35M702.40M-18.23M1.14B-3.23B
Operating Cash Flow751.25M737.05M12.72M1.23B-160.04M
Investing Cash Flow-248.36M-36.96M-33.53M-74.05M-2.55B
Financing Cash Flow-3.53M-476.33M-385.39M-564.03M1.76B

TOKAI SOFT CO.,LTD. Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price1829.00
Price Trends
50DMA
1865.80
Negative
100DMA
1812.09
Negative
200DMA
1713.00
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-20.87
Positive
RSI
39.84
Neutral
STOCH
14.66
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:4430, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 1829 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 1814.25, below the 50-day MA of 1865.80, and above the 200-day MA of 1713.00, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -20.87 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 39.84 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 14.66 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for JP:4430.

TOKAI SOFT CO.,LTD. Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
75
Outperform
¥32.76B19.371.74%21.97%15.89%
69
Neutral
¥8.68B8.253.06%27.08%18.85%
68
Neutral
¥19.68B9.9617.93%91.21%
68
Neutral
¥31.27B27.580.39%30.59%65.14%
61
Neutral
$37.18B12.37-10.20%1.83%8.50%-7.62%
61
Neutral
¥15.77B8.71
52
Neutral
¥107.82B367.270.14%36.42%28.23%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
JP:4430
TOKAI SOFT CO.,LTD.
1,781.00
259.74
17.07%
JP:3741
Systems Engineering Consultants Co., Ltd.
3,190.00
827.50
35.03%
JP:3778
SAKURA Internet Inc.
2,640.00
-1,276.00
-32.58%
JP:3915
TerraSky Co., Ltd.
1,605.00
-536.03
-25.04%
JP:4434
Serverworks Co., Ltd.
1,988.00
-513.71
-20.53%
JP:4475
HENNGE K.K.
954.00
-484.61
-33.69%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Mar 24, 2026