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Sekisui Chemical Co Ltd (JP:4204)
:4204

Sekisui Chemical Co (4204) AI Stock Analysis

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JP:4204

Sekisui Chemical Co

(4204)

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Neutral 64 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:64Neutral
Price Target:
¥3,049.00
▲(12.43% Upside)
Sekisui Chemical Co's overall stock score is driven by its stable financial performance and attractive valuation, despite challenges in revenue and cash flow growth. Technical analysis indicates weak momentum, which is a concern. The absence of recent earnings call data and corporate events limits further insights.
Positive Factors
Low Leverage / Strong Balance Sheet
Very low leverage and a high equity base give Sekisui durable financial flexibility. This supports capex, R&D and M&A without stressing the balance sheet, allows weathering cyclical downturns in manufacturing and construction, and preserves strategic optionality over months.
Diversified, Non-Cyclical Segments
A three-segment model spanning advanced materials, infrastructure/environmental systems and medical devices reduces revenue cyclicality. Exposure to water management and medical end-markets supports more stable demand and long-term structural growth drivers versus single-market peers.
Healthy Profitability Margins
Sustained mid-teens-to-high gross margins and positive operating margins indicate pricing power and operational efficiency across product lines. These margins provide internal funding for R&D and infrastructure investments, supporting durable competitiveness and resilience across cycles.
Negative Factors
Sharp Revenue Contraction
A large drop in revenue growth materially reduces scale advantages and strains the business model. If persistent, lower top-line undermines reinvestment capacity, weakens bargaining power with suppliers/customers, and increases reliance on cost cuts to sustain earnings over months.
Declining Free Cash Flow Conversion
Weaker FCF growth and subpar cash conversion reduce ability to fund growth initiatives, pay down liabilities or maintain shareholder distributions without eroding reserves. Over a multi-month horizon, constrained cash flow limits strategic flexibility and increases vulnerability to shocks.
Moderate Return on Equity
An ROE below double digits signals only moderate capital efficiency. Persistent mid-single-digit ROE makes it harder to generate attractive shareholder returns from reinvestment, necessitating stronger growth or margin expansion to improve long-term value creation.

Sekisui Chemical Co (4204) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)

Sekisui Chemical Co Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionSekisui Chemical Co., Ltd. engages in housing, urban infrastructure and environmental products (UIEP), high-performance plastics (HPP), and medical businesses. The Housing segment engages in the manufacturing, construction, sale, refurbishing, and other operations related to unit housing, real estate, and residential service business. The UIEP segment manufactures, constructs, and sells PVC pipes and joints, polyethylene pipes and joints, pipe and drain renewal materials and construction methods, reinforced plastic pipe, construction materials, and fiber-reinforced foamed urethane. The HPP segment engages in the manufacture and sale of interlayer films for laminated glass, polyolefin foam, tape, LCD fine particles and photosensitive materials, functional resin for infrastructure, diagnostic drugs, and other products. The Medical segment manufactures and sells diagnostic reagents, analyzers, pharmaceutical ingredients, and intermediates. It operates in Japan, the United States, Europe, Asia, and internationally. The company was formerly known as Sekisui Sangyo Co., Ltd. and changed its name to Sekisui Chemical Co., Ltd. in 1948. Sekisui Chemical Co., Ltd. was incorporated in 1947 and is headquartered in Osaka, Japan.
How the Company Makes MoneySekisui Chemical generates revenue through a multi-faceted business model that includes product sales across its three primary segments. The High Performance Plastics segment contributes significantly to the company's earnings by providing advanced materials used in automotive, electronics, and industrial applications. The Urban Infrastructure & Environmental Products segment generates income through the sale of construction materials and environmental products, including water treatment solutions and infrastructure systems. The Medical segment adds to the revenue stream by supplying medical devices and diagnostic products. Additionally, Sekisui engages in strategic partnerships and joint ventures that enhance its market reach and innovation capabilities, further supporting its revenue growth. The company also invests in research and development to create new products and improve existing ones, ensuring a competitive edge in the market.

Sekisui Chemical Co Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Jan 30, 2025
(Q3-2024)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Jan 29, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call highlighted strong performance in several segments like High Performance Plastics and UIEP, with record highs in net profit and dividends. However, significant challenges were noted in the Housing and Medical segments, alongside delayed market recovery impacting overall growth expectations.
Q3-2024 Updates
Positive Updates
Record High Net Profit
Net profit for Q3 2024 was JPY 14 billion, marking a record high. Cumulative results also showed increases in sales, operating, and net profit.
High Performance Plastics Performance
Despite slower-than-expected market recovery, the High Performance Plastics Company achieved a significant increase in sales and profit, driven by the robust mobility field. Operating profit exceeded the plan.
UIEP Business Achievements
In the UIEP segment, despite sluggish market conditions, net sales and profits increased as planned, due to maintaining spreads and controlling fixed costs.
Dividend Increase
Year-end dividends are expected to be JPY 36 per share, leading to a total of JPY 71 per share for the year, an increase of JPY 12.
Record EBITDA and ROE
EBITDA is expected to reach JPY 148 billion, a record high. ROE is expected to reach 10%.
Negative Updates
Decline in Housing Demand
The Housing Company saw a decline in sales and profit expectations due to challenging orders in Q3, with a revised downward forecast of JPY 5 billion for operating profit.
Medical Business Challenges
The Medical business faced a profit decrease due to sluggish sales of blood coagulation reagents in Japan and delays in new product sales in the U.S.
Delayed Market Recovery
Market recovery has been delayed, especially impacting the Housing sector significantly.
Aerospace Demand Decline
Aerospace demand declined due to quality issues with the 737 MAX, trending lower than the plan.
Company Guidance
In the Q3 2024 earnings call, Futoshi Kamiwaki provided comprehensive guidance, highlighting several key financial metrics. The company reported net sales of JPY 312.6 billion, an operating profit of JPY 24.7 billion, and a net profit of JPY 14 billion, with all levels exceeding initial plans. The High Performance Plastics Company witnessed a notable increase in sales and profits, slightly surpassing forecasts, while the Housing Company saw sales and operating profit exceed expectations. However, the Medical business underperformed due to sluggish sales in Japan and the U.S. Looking ahead, the company expects global automobile production and smartphone shipments to exceed previous forecasts, although new housing starts remain below expectations. For the full fiscal year, total sales and profits are projected to rise, with record-high profits anticipated in the HPP and UIEP segments. The year-end dividend is expected to be JPY 36 per share, totaling JPY 71 for the year, an increase of JPY 12. Additionally, EBITDA is forecasted to reach a record JPY 148 billion, with ROIC and ROE at 7.6% and 10%, respectively.

Sekisui Chemical Co Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Sekisui Chemical Co presents a strong financial profile with significant revenue growth and stable profitability. The balance sheet is solid with low leverage, and cash flow metrics indicate robust liquidity. While there are minor fluctuations in net profit margins, the overall financial health is positive, positioning the company well for future growth.
Income Statement
65
Positive
Sekisui Chemical Co has demonstrated strong revenue growth, particularly in the TTM period with a 48.7% increase. The gross profit margin remains stable around 32%, indicating efficient cost management. However, the net profit margin has slightly decreased in the TTM, reflecting potential cost pressures or increased expenses. Overall, the company shows robust growth with solid profitability metrics.
Balance Sheet
75
Positive
The company's debt-to-equity ratio is low at 0.14, indicating a conservative leverage position. Return on equity is healthy at 8.89% in the TTM, though slightly lower than previous periods. The equity ratio is stable, suggesting a strong capital structure. The balance sheet reflects financial stability with manageable debt levels.
Cash Flow
60
Neutral
Sekisui Chemical Co exhibits impressive free cash flow growth in the TTM, nearly doubling from the previous period. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is strong, indicating effective cash generation relative to earnings. The free cash flow to net income ratio is over 50%, highlighting efficient cash utilization. Overall, the cash flow statement shows strong liquidity and cash management.
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue1.30T1.30T1.26T1.24T1.16T1.06T
Gross Profit420.75B420.61B392.19B377.24B355.95B330.39B
EBITDA153.48B174.77B165.25B150.80B119.34B113.39B
Net Income70.72B81.92B77.93B69.26B37.07B41.54B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets1.37T1.33T1.32T1.23T1.20T1.15T
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments147.52B142.59B138.57B101.08B144.53B87.45B
Total Debt131.58B116.25B120.72B120.46B122.56B138.17B
Total Liabilities520.95B495.42B502.32B495.61B496.17B455.75B
Stockholders Equity825.25B807.35B792.33B705.03B674.64B667.07B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow51.60B61.13B46.18B15.14B60.41B13.20B
Operating Cash Flow110.74B119.23B106.63B71.54B105.02B75.27B
Investing Cash Flow-67.47B-61.51B-18.52B-59.43B2.69B-58.49B
Financing Cash Flow-35.37B-61.20B-53.02B-62.91B-54.73B-19.16B

Sekisui Chemical Co Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price2712.00
Price Trends
50DMA
2627.65
Positive
100DMA
2712.07
Positive
200DMA
2602.70
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
48.25
Negative
RSI
64.69
Neutral
STOCH
81.63
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:4204, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 2712 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 2685.40, above the 50-day MA of 2627.65, and above the 200-day MA of 2602.70, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 48.25 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 64.69 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 81.63 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for JP:4204.

Sekisui Chemical Co Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
79
Outperform
¥512.89B16.4313.63%1.95%-1.33%9.21%
77
Outperform
¥6.46T17.4913.49%2.10%5.32%9.73%
74
Outperform
¥1.27T27.2213.77%0.97%6.71%-14.98%
73
Outperform
¥235.07B12.953.90%2.65%7.16%
65
Neutral
¥279.69B10.43-20.43%3.72%-8.20%
64
Neutral
¥1.13T16.408.51%3.13%1.90%-6.73%
63
Neutral
$10.79B15.437.44%2.01%2.89%-14.66%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
JP:4204
Sekisui Chemical Co
2,786.50
407.37
17.12%
JP:5393
Nichias
7,732.00
2,727.53
54.50%
JP:3401
Teijin
1,456.00
204.31
16.32%
JP:8015
Toyota Tsusho
6,094.00
3,543.24
138.91%
JP:5706
Mitsui Mining and Smelting Company
22,220.00
17,647.77
385.98%
JP:4206
Aica Kogyo Company, Limited
3,600.00
501.51
16.19%

Sekisui Chemical Co Corporate Events

Sekisui Chemical Books ¥16.8 Billion Dividend from Chinese Subsidiary
Jan 14, 2026

Sekisui Chemical Co., Ltd. has received a dividend totaling about 16.8 billion yen from its consolidated subsidiary, Sekisui Chemical (China) Co., Ltd., following a December 16, 2025 board decision in China to distribute surplus funds. The dividend, aimed at the effective global utilization of surplus funds in the China region, will be recorded as non-operating income in Sekisui Chemical’s non-consolidated financial results for the fiscal year ended December 2025, but is not expected to materially affect the company’s consolidated earnings for the same period.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:4204) stock is a Hold with a Yen2807.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Sekisui Chemical Co stock, see the JP:4204 Stock Forecast page.

Sekisui Chemical Advances Share Buyback, Repurchasing Over 6.2 Million Shares by Year-End 2025
Jan 6, 2026

Sekisui Chemical Co., Ltd. has reported the progress of its share buyback program for December 2025, revealing that it repurchased 2,347,900 of its own common shares on the Tokyo Stock Exchange for a total of approximately ¥6.07 billion during the month. The buyback is part of a broader board-approved program launched at the end of October 2025, which authorizes the acquisition of up to 10 million shares or ¥30 billion through March 31, 2026; as of December 31, 2025, Sekisui has cumulatively bought back 6,242,000 shares for about ¥15.98 billion, indicating a significant advancement in capital return to shareholders and potential support for its share price and capital efficiency metrics.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:4204) stock is a Hold with a Yen2755.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Sekisui Chemical Co stock, see the JP:4204 Stock Forecast page.

Sekisui Chemical Records Extraordinary Loss Amid BR Ethanol Technology Setback
Dec 11, 2025

Sekisui Chemical Co., Ltd. has announced an extraordinary impairment loss due to the postponement of the commercialization of its BR ethanol technology. The company has decided to dismantle and liquidate its plant in Kuji City, resulting in significant financial losses. Despite the setback, Sekisui Chemical plans to address technical challenges and cost reductions while leveraging the knowledge gained from this technology for future developments.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:4204) stock is a Hold with a Yen2929.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Sekisui Chemical Co stock, see the JP:4204 Stock Forecast page.

Sekisui Chemical Announces Strategic Share Buyback and Cancellation
Oct 30, 2025

Sekisui Chemical Co., Ltd. has announced its decision to purchase and subsequently cancel up to 10,000,000 of its own shares, representing 2.41% of its issued shares, as part of a strategic move to enhance capital efficiency and adapt to changing business conditions. This decision, approved by the board of directors, is expected to impact the company’s capital structure positively and provide flexibility in capital policies, potentially benefiting stakeholders and reinforcing Sekisui’s market position.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:4204) stock is a Buy with a Yen3068.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Sekisui Chemical Co stock, see the JP:4204 Stock Forecast page.

Sekisui Chemical Reports Semi-Annual Financial Results and Revises Earnings Forecast
Oct 30, 2025

Sekisui Chemical Co., Ltd. reported its consolidated financial results for the six months ended September 30, 2025, showing a slight increase in net sales by 0.1% compared to the previous year, despite a decrease in operating profit by 6.7%. The company has revised its forecast for consolidated earnings for the fiscal year ending March 31, 2026, indicating a cautious outlook amidst challenging market conditions.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:4204) stock is a Buy with a Yen3068.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Sekisui Chemical Co stock, see the JP:4204 Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Dec 11, 2025