m-up holdings, Inc. (3661) AI Stock Analysis

• Market Cap: ¥49.40B
• Dividend Yield: 0.9%
• Average Volume (3M): 326.06K
• Price to Earnings (P/E): 19.2
• Beta (1Y): 0.56
• Revenue Growth: 30.25%
• EPS Growth: 67.87%
• Country: JP
• Employees: 283
• Sector: Communication Services
• Sector Strength: 97
• Industry: Internet Content & Information
• EPS (TTM): 11.82
• Shares Outstanding: 72,992,775
• 10 Day Avg. Volume: 407,470
• 30 Day Avg. Volume: 326,056
• PEG Ratio: 2.80
• Price to Book (P/B): 8.08
• Price to Sales (P/S): 2.43
• P/FCF Ratio: 12.23
• Enterprise Value/Market Cap: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Revenue: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Gross Profit: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Ebitda: N/A
• 1Y Price Target: N/A
• Price Target Upside: N/A
• Rating Consensus: N/A
• Number of Analyst Covering: 0
• EPS Forecast (FY): 32.38
• Revenue Forecast (FY): ¥31.79B

• Rating: 80 Outperform
• Price Target: ¥825.00 ▼(-12.97% Downside)
• Action: Reiterated Date: 12/30/25
• Date: Action: Reiterated 12/30/25

The score is driven primarily by strong financial quality (profitable growth, strong cash generation, and zero debt), partially offset by 2025 margin compression and historically volatile cash flow. Technicals are supportive in the short term but mixed versus longer-term moving averages, while valuation is reasonable (P/E ~13.3) with a low dividend yield.

Positive Factors

Zero reported debt / conservative balance sheet

Zero reported debt materially lowers financial risk and preserves strategic optionality. Over a multi-month horizon this balance-sheet strength supports capital allocation flexibility (M&A, buybacks, reinvestment) and provides a durable buffer against cyclical revenue or cashflow shocks.

Consistent multi-year revenue growth

Sustained revenue expansion to 25.8B indicates durable market traction in mobile/online services. Persistent top-line growth supports scale advantages, continued investment in product and marketing, and underpins longer-term margin recovery and profit compounding.

Strong operating and free cash flow generation

High operating and free cash flow in 2025 demonstrates ability to convert earnings into distributable cash. This durable cash generation supports reinvestment, shareholder returns, and financial resilience even if margins normalize, improving long-term capital return prospects.

Negative Factors

Margin compression in 2025

Compression of gross, operating and net margins in 2025 reduces profitability per revenue unit and can pressure free cash flow conversion if sustained. Over months, weaker margins limit reinvestment ability and may signal competitive or cost pressures in core digital services.

Historical cash flow volatility

Past swings in free cash flow (negative in 2020 and a step-down in 2023) indicate earnings-to-cash conversion is not fully stable. This reduces predictability for dividends, capex and M&A over the medium term and heightens risk if revenue or margins re-test prior troughs.

Limited near-term liquidity detail disclosed

Absence of granular liquidity metrics (cash balances, short-term assets, covenant details) constrains assessment of short-term buffers. Even with zero debt, this opacity makes it harder to judge the company’s ability to absorb transient cash shortfalls or fund rapid opportunity investments.

m-up holdings, Inc. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

m-up holdings, Inc. engages in the mobile and PC content distribution, and e-commerce businesses in Japan. The company is also involved in the official fan site management; entertainment Website management; management of music/video distribution site; e-book label management; production of digital contents; and application creation for smartphones. In addition, it engages in the fan club Website operation; YouTube channel construction; and Website creation business. Further, the company is involved in the e-commerce activities consisting of the sale of CD, DVD, and goods; the management of collection brand site; planning and production of goods; and various mail order site management, as well as electronic ticket business. m-up holdings, Inc. was founded in 2004 and is headquartered in Tokyo, Japan.

How the Company Makes Money

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m-up holdings, Inc. Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Strong overall fundamentals: consistent revenue growth to 25.8B (2025), growing net income to 1.67B, and very conservative leverage with zero reported debt. Offsets include margin compression in 2025 versus 2024 and some historical cash flow volatility despite strong 2025 operating (5.48B) and free cash flow (5.11B).

Income Statement

The company shows a solid multi-year growth profile, with revenue rising each year and reaching 25.8B in 2025 (annual), including strong growth in 2024 and 2023. Profitability is healthy with double-digit operating profit margins across the period, though 2025 saw some margin compression versus 2024 (lower gross, operating, and net margins). Net income continues to grow to 1.67B in 2025, but the softer margin trajectory is a key watch item.

Balance Sheet

The balance sheet is very conservatively positioned with zero reported debt across all periods, which significantly reduces financial risk and improves flexibility. Equity has grown to 7.74B in 2025 alongside a larger asset base, and returns on equity remain strong (roughly high-teens to low-20s in recent years), indicating efficient profitability relative to shareholder capital. The main limitation is that with no liquidity detail provided, the analysis is centered on leverage and returns rather than near-term balance sheet buffers.

Cash Flow

Cash generation is strong and improving, with operating cash flow rising to 5.48B and free cash flow to 5.11B in 2025 (annual). Free cash flow closely tracks earnings in most years, supporting earnings quality, and the business rebounded sharply from the 2020 outlier year when free cash flow was negative. A caution is that cash flow has shown meaningful volatility historically (notably 2020 and the 2023 free cash flow step-down), so stability of conversion remains a key focus.

Breakdown	TTM	Mar 2025	Mar 2024	Mar 2023	Mar 2022	Mar 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue	27.36B	25.78B	18.57B	15.94B	13.57B	12.33B
Gross Profit	8.34B	7.82B	6.05B	5.03B	4.35B	3.70B
EBITDA	4.07B	3.61B	3.34B	2.57B	2.05B	1.47B
Net Income	2.05B	1.67B	1.48B	1.09B	976.00M	633.14M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets	26.33B	25.98B	19.55B	16.44B	14.19B	11.76B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments	12.38B	12.33B	8.78B	6.93B	6.74B	4.82B
Total Debt	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00
Total Liabilities	17.27B	17.20B	12.41B	9.79B	8.79B	7.31B
Stockholders Equity	7.90B	7.74B	6.38B	6.19B	5.13B	4.29B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow	0.00	5.11B	2.81B	817.00M	2.01B	1.87B
Operating Cash Flow	0.00	5.48B	2.99B	1.46B	2.57B	1.98B
Investing Cash Flow	0.00	-1.05B	-604.00M	-1.07B	-459.82M	-1.66B
Financing Cash Flow	0.00	-881.00M	-586.00M	-149.00M	-191.60M	-403.62M

m-up holdings, Inc. Technical Analysis

• Technical Analysis Sentiment: Neutral
• Last Price: 948.00
• 50DMA: Negative
• 100DMA: Negative
• 200DMA: Negative
• MACD: Negative
• RSI: Neutral
• STOCH: Negative

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:3661, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 948 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 692.10, above the 50-day MA of 788.90, and below the 200-day MA of 960.44, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -24.86 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 48.08 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 88.45 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for JP:3661.

m-up holdings, Inc. Peers Comparison

Name	Overall Rating	Market Cap	P/E Ratio	ROE	Dividend Yield	Revenue Growth	EPS Growth
3661	80 Outperform	¥49.40B	19.22	―	0.90%	30.25%	67.87%
3922	77 Outperform	¥30.29B	12.43	―	0.38%	18.02%	46.43%
6185	64 Neutral	¥5.84B	24.73	―	―	8.77%	―
Sector *	60 Neutral	$48.67B	4.58	-11.27%	4.14%	2.83%	-41.78%
6562	60 Neutral	¥11.78B	10.90	―	―	33.34%	-25.08%
2489	57 Neutral	¥10.56B	40.80	―	1.09%	-5.70%	-215.73%

m-up holdings, Inc. Corporate Events

m-up Holdings Reports Progress on Treasury Share Buyback

m-up holdings, Inc. has disclosed the progress of its share repurchase program authorized by its board in May 2025 under provisions of the Companies Act of Japan. The company bought back 158,000 common shares for 108,950,800 yen on the market between February 24 and 28, 2026, using a discretionary dealing contract.

This latest transaction represents part of a broader authorization allowing purchases of up to 1,450,000 shares, or about 2% of shares outstanding, for a total amount of up to 1 billion yen. As of February 28, 2026, cumulative repurchases under this resolution total 158,000 shares at an acquisition cost of 106,950,800 yen, signaling ongoing efforts to enhance capital efficiency and potentially support shareholder value.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:3661) stock is a Hold with a Yen763.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on m-up holdings, Inc. stock, see the JP:3661 Stock Forecast page.

M-up Holdings Launches ¥1 Billion Share Buyback to Boost Capital Efficiency

M-up Holdings has approved a share repurchase program to buy back up to 1.45 million common shares, representing about 2% of its outstanding stock, for a total cost of up to ¥1 billion. The purchases will be conducted in the market under a discretionary dealing contract between February 24 and July 31, 2026.

The company says the buyback is intended to support a flexible capital policy amid shifts in the business environment, while boosting shareholder returns and improving capital efficiency. As of January 1, 2026, m-up already held just over 2.05 million treasury shares out of roughly 70.9 million shares outstanding, and this move signals a continued emphasis on active balance-sheet and equity management.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:3661) stock is a Buy with a Yen748.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on m-up holdings, Inc. stock, see the JP:3661 Stock Forecast page.

M-up holdings lifts profits and maintains bullish outlook after stock split

M-up holdings, Inc., a Tokyo-listed digital content and entertainment services provider, reported a solid improvement in its financial position for the nine months ended December 31, 2025, with higher equity and an improved equity-to-asset ratio. The company also highlighted an active shareholder-return stance, adjusting its dividend framework in line with a recent stock split, effectively raising the full-year dividend on a pre-split basis.

For the first nine months of fiscal 2025, net sales rose 23.5% year on year to ¥23.46 billion and operating profit increased 23.2% to ¥4.01 billion, while profit attributable to owners of parent surged 53.5% to ¥2.54 billion, driving basic earnings per share to ¥35.74 after reflecting a two-for-one stock split. Management kept its full-year forecast unchanged, targeting ¥30.0 billion in net sales and an 80.2% jump in full-year profit, alongside a forecast dividend of ¥25.00 per share before the split, signaling confidence in sustained earnings growth and enhanced returns to shareholders.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:3661) stock is a Buy with a Yen910.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on m-up holdings, Inc. stock, see the JP:3661 Stock Forecast page.