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Ichigo Hotel REIT Investment Corp. (JP:3463)
:3463
Japanese Market
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Ichigo Hotel REIT Investment Corp. (3463) AI Stock Analysis

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JP:3463

Ichigo Hotel REIT Investment Corp.

(3463)

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Neutral 56 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:56Neutral
Price Target:
¥115,051
▼(-6.00% Downside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:08/04/26
The score is primarily held back by financial variability (notably the 2026 revenue decline and negative/volatile free cash flow) alongside weak technical signals. These risks are partly offset by a moderate P/E and a high dividend yield that improve the valuation profile.
Positive Factors
High profitability margins
Sustained high gross and net margins indicate the portfolio is generating strong property-level yields and pricing power versus operating costs. That margin buffer supports distributions and internal reinvestment even if revenue softens, aiding multi-month resilience.
Negative Factors
Sharp 2026 revenue decline
A large year-over-year revenue drop signals either weaker occupancy/room rates, tenant performance, or portfolio changes. Such a reduction materially pressures rental receipts and distribution capacity, making cash flow and coverage ratios more sensitive over the coming months.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
High profitability margins
Sustained high gross and net margins indicate the portfolio is generating strong property-level yields and pricing power versus operating costs. That margin buffer supports distributions and internal reinvestment even if revenue softens, aiding multi-month resilience.
Read all positive factors

Ichigo Hotel REIT Investment Corp. (3463) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)

Ichigo Hotel REIT Investment Corp. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Ichigo Hotel REIT Investment Corporation, known as Ichigo Hotel REIT, commenced trading on the J-REIT section of the Tokyo Stock Exchange on November 30, 2015. Its distinctive name, "Ichigo," draws inspiration from the venerable Japanese proverb "...
How the Company Makes Money
Ichigo Hotel REIT Investment Corp. makes money primarily by earning real estate income from the hotel properties it owns. Its key revenue stream is rental and lease-related income paid by hotel operators/tenants under lease agreements (often struc...

Ichigo Hotel REIT Investment Corp. Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Profitability remains strong (recent gross margin ~70%, net margin ~45%) and operating cash flow has been solid (~¥10–11B). However, 2026 revenue fell sharply (-26.8% YoY), leverage increased (debt-to-equity ~0.93 vs ~0.75), and free cash flow has been volatile and recently negative (~-¥2.6B in 2026), reducing financial flexibility.
Income Statement
62
Positive
Balance Sheet
58
Neutral
Cash Flow
44
Neutral
BreakdownJul 2025Jul 2024Jul 2023Jul 2023Jul 2022
Income Statement
Total Revenue6.07B7.67B4.72B3.33B2.37B
Gross Profit4.22B7.67B3.29B2.18B1.27B
EBITDA4.41B6.30B3.22B2.26B1.64B
Net Income2.73B4.31B1.97B1.29B704.49M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets81.29B78.37B74.94B59.04B59.36B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments7.11B6.05B1.55B1.65B4.58B
Total Debt38.02B32.47B32.47B25.47B26.34B
Total Liabilities40.24B35.36B34.24B26.72B27.40B
Stockholders Equity41.05B43.01B40.69B32.32B31.96B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-2.63B10.10B-13.09B-840.15M411.75M
Operating Cash Flow10.67B10.10B2.42B2.21B1.54B
Investing Cash Flow-13.29B-3.20B-15.30B-3.03B-1.16B
Financing Cash Flow862.05M-1.97B13.38B-931.68M-611.61M

Ichigo Hotel REIT Investment Corp. Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price122400.00
Price Trends
50DMA
112821.22
Negative
100DMA
111446.69
Negative
200DMA
115967.47
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-220.71
Positive
RSI
30.51
Neutral
STOCH
2.20
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:3463, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 122400 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 116433.24, above the 50-day MA of 112821.22, and above the 200-day MA of 115967.47, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -220.71 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 30.51 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 2.20 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for JP:3463.

Ichigo Hotel REIT Investment Corp. Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
69
Neutral
¥142.94B18.924.18%44.46%34.92%
68
Neutral
¥483.74B15.289.53%6.22%36.09%41.80%
67
Neutral
¥80.82B5.9270.29%345.92%
65
Neutral
$2.17B12.193.79%4.94%3.15%1.96%
56
Neutral
¥37.33B13.666.82%-19.18%-36.63%
* Real Estate Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
JP:3463
Ichigo Hotel REIT Investment Corp.
109,500.00
-16,474.21
-13.08%
JP:8985
Japan Hotel Reit Investment
80,900.00
2,739.49
3.50%
JP:3287
Hoshino Resorts REIT, Inc.
239,800.00
-15,601.73
-6.11%
JP:3290
One REIT. Inc.
77,300.00
-8,815.23
-10.24%
JP:3472
Nippon Hotel & Residential Investment Corporation
65,300.00
-8,566.67
-11.60%
JP:3479
TKP Corp
1,938.00
-4.00
-0.21%

Ichigo Hotel REIT Investment Corp. Corporate Events

Ichigo Hotel REIT Completes Sale of Tokyo Livemax Property
Jul 30, 2026
Ichigo Hotel REIT has completed the previously announced sale of the Hotel Livemax Nihombashi-Hakozaki in Tokyo, transferring its trust beneficiary interest in the property. The deal, contracted on May 15, 2026, closed on July 30, 2026 at a sale p...
Ichigo Hotel REIT Posts Softer June 2026 Hotel Earnings on Weaker Demand
Jul 27, 2026
Ichigo Hotel REIT reported weaker operating metrics for June 2026 across most of its hotel portfolio, with revenue, RevPAR, occupancy and ADR all declining year on year for the 24 hotels in operation. Variable-rent properties saw the sharpest drop...
Ichigo Hotel REIT Sees Revenue and RevPAR Declines as Variable Rent Hotels Weigh on Results
Jun 25, 2026
Ichigo Hotel REIT reported weaker operating metrics for May 2026, as portfolio revenue for 24 operating hotels declined 3.3% year-on-year, with RevPAR down 3.6% and occupancy slipping to 84.3%, while ADR eased 0.8%. Variable rent hotels were the m...
Ichigo Hotel REIT Sees April Revenue Drop on Weaker Occupancy and Renovations
May 25, 2026
Ichigo Hotel REIT reported weaker operating metrics for April 2026, with portfolio revenue for 24 operating hotels falling 7.8% year-on-year and RevPAR down 8.3%, driven by lower occupancy and average daily rates. Variable rent hotels were the mai...
Ichigo Hotel REIT Sells Tokyo Property to Fund Higher-Growth Investments
May 15, 2026
Ichigo Hotel REIT Investment Corporation has agreed to sell the lodging-focused Hotel Livemax Nihombashi-Hakozaki in Tokyo, a 2015-built property it acquired in 2016, for JPY 1.58 billion to an undisclosed Japanese buyer. The sale price represents...
Ichigo Hotel REIT Lifts July 2026 Earnings Outlook on Asset Sale Gain
May 15, 2026
Ichigo Hotel REIT has raised its earnings forecast for the July 2026 fiscal period, projecting higher operating revenue, profit, and net income than previously announced. The REIT now expects net income of JPY 1,167 million and a dividend of JPY 3...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 04, 2026