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Ichigo Hotel REIT Investment Corp. (JP:3463)
:3463
Japanese Market

Ichigo Hotel REIT Investment Corp. (3463) AI Stock Analysis

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JP:3463

Ichigo Hotel REIT Investment Corp.

(3463)

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Neutral 68 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:68Neutral
Price Target:
¥138,539
▲(9.00% Upside)
The score is driven primarily by attractive valuation (low P/E and very high dividend yield). Financial performance is positive but tempered by volatility—especially in cash flows—making the latest profitability and cash generation less certain. Technical signals are mixed-to-weak, with negative MACD and the price below key medium-term moving averages.
Positive Factors
Revenue Growth
The significant acceleration in revenue growth indicates strong demand and effective management strategies, enhancing the company's market position.
Profitability Improvement
Improved profitability reflects operational efficiency and pricing power, which can support sustainable earnings and shareholder returns.
Market Demand
Strong room rates and RevPAR growth indicate robust market demand, reinforcing the REIT's earnings momentum and competitive advantage.
Negative Factors
Cash Flow Volatility
Inconsistent cash flow generation raises concerns about financial stability and the ability to sustain operations without disruptions.
Leverage Concerns
Moderate leverage levels could limit financial flexibility and increase risk during economic downturns, impacting long-term growth potential.
Occupancy Rate Decline
A decline in occupancy rates may indicate challenges in maintaining full capacity, potentially affecting revenue stability and growth.

Ichigo Hotel REIT Investment Corp. (3463) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)

Ichigo Hotel REIT Investment Corp. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionIchigo Hotel REIT Investment Corporation ("Ichigo Hotel REIT") was listed on the J-REIT section of the Tokyo Stock Exchange on November 30, 2015. "Ichigo" comes from an ancient Japanese proverb, Ichigo Ichie, literally meaning "One lifetime, One encounter." The phrase was first used by a 16th-century master of the tea ceremony, Sen no Rikyu. He called upon his disciples to give total focus and sincerity to each act of the tea ceremony for every guest, because that particular moment will only exist once and must be fully lived and realized. In sharing this Ichigo name, Ichigo Office REIT embraces this philosophy of total, committed engagement to supporting the long-term success and growth of our tenants and shareholders. Ichigo Hotel REIT was established on July 22, 2015 pursuant to the Act on Investment Trusts and Investment Corporations ("Investment Trust Act"). Its assets are managed by Ichigo Investment Advisors Co., Ltd., the asset management company for the Ichigo Group and a 100% subsidiary of Ichigo Inc., in accordance with the objectives and policies of asset management specified in the Investment Trust Act and the Articles of Incorporation of Ichigo Hotel REIT. Ichigo Hotel REIT is a specialized hotel REIT formed to invest in hotel properties while making maximum use of the Ichigo Group's experience and know-how in revitalizing real estate. Ichigo Hotel REIT will deploy Ichigo's deep real estate expertise to increase asset profitability via, for example, the strategic and effective use of value-add capex. Ichigo Hotel REIT also expects to pro-actively pursue portfolio growth and economies of scale for shareholders by using the Ichigo Group's robust sourcing capabilities. Ichigo Hotel REIT listed on the Tokyo Stock Exchange in order to raise capital for executing its growth strategy for shareholders and benefit from external growth opportunities and Ichigo's deep value-add expertise and management know-how. We look forward to serving our shareholders and making a positive contribution to Japanese society.
How the Company Makes MoneyIchigo Hotel REIT Investment Corporation generates revenue primarily through the ownership and management of hotel properties. The company's key revenue streams include rental income from leasing hotel spaces to operators and income from hotel operations. Partnerships with hotel operators and management companies play a crucial role in maximizing occupancy rates and enhancing guest experiences, which in turn drive revenue. Additionally, the strategic acquisition and disposition of properties contribute to the company's earnings by optimizing the portfolio for better performance and capital appreciation.

Ichigo Hotel REIT Investment Corp. Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Ichigo Hotel REIT demonstrates strong financial health with solid revenue growth of 62.4% and high profitability with gross profit and EBIT margins at 100% and 64.6% respectively. The balance sheet shows moderate leverage with a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.75 and a strong equity base. Cash flows are robust with a substantial increase in operating cash flow, indicating excellent cash generation capabilities. However, the significant increase in debt warrants monitoring.
Income Statement
The company has shown strong revenue growth with a significant increase from 4,722 million JPY in 2024 to 7,671 million JPY in 2025, representing a growth rate of 62.4%. Gross profit and EBIT margins are robust at 100% and 64.6% respectively, indicating high profitability. However, the absence of EBITDA data for 2025 limits a full assessment of operating performance.
Balance Sheet
The balance sheet reflects a healthy equity position with a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.75, showing moderate leverage. The equity ratio stands at 54.9%, indicating a strong equity base relative to total assets. Return on equity is impressive at 10.0%, pointing to effective use of equity capital. However, the significant increase in total debt over time poses a potential risk.
Cash Flow
Cash flows are strong, with a substantial jump in operating cash flow from 2,421 million JPY in 2024 to 10,099 million JPY in 2025. Free cash flow has improved markedly to 10,099 million JPY, showcasing excellent cash generation capabilities. The operating cash flow to net income ratio of 2.34 indicates efficient cash conversion.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue8.28B7.67B4.72B3.33B2.37B2.15B
Gross Profit9.35B7.67B3.29B2.18B1.27B1.07B
EBITDA401.44M0.003.22B2.26B1.64B1.38B
Net Income4.69B4.31B1.97B1.29B704.49M478.83M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets79.17B78.37B74.94B59.04B59.36B58.93B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments8.00B6.05B1.55B1.65B4.58B4.47B
Total Debt36.02B32.47B32.47B25.47B26.34B25.97B
Total Liabilities38.09B35.36B34.24B26.72B27.40B27.06B
Stockholders Equity41.08B43.01B40.69B32.32B31.96B31.87B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow7.53B10.10B-13.09B-840.15M411.75M1.19B
Operating Cash Flow16.49B10.10B2.42B2.21B1.54B1.56B
Investing Cash Flow-12.14B-3.20B-15.30B-3.03B-1.16B-478.03M
Financing Cash Flow-757.66M-1.97B13.38B-931.68M-611.61M-382.41M

Ichigo Hotel REIT Investment Corp. Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price127100.00
Price Trends
50DMA
128678.00
Negative
100DMA
131048.00
Negative
200DMA
126513.44
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-216.06
Negative
RSI
54.72
Neutral
STOCH
73.33
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:3463, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 127100 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 126805.00, below the 50-day MA of 128678.00, and above the 200-day MA of 126513.44, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -216.06 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 54.72 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 73.33 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for JP:3463.

Ichigo Hotel REIT Investment Corp. Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
76
Outperform
¥427.13B17.999.29%4.54%36.94%37.79%
71
Outperform
¥500.08B16.959.62%5.82%19.85%8.60%
68
Neutral
¥41.92B8.9311.36%75.37%134.79%
65
Neutral
$2.17B12.193.79%4.94%3.15%1.96%
62
Neutral
¥152.26B23.984.18%42.32%15.73%
* Real Estate Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
JP:3463
Ichigo Hotel REIT Investment Corp.
128,000.00
-2,585.02
-1.98%
JP:8963
Invincible Investment
65,400.00
3,528.33
5.70%
JP:8985
Japan Hotel Reit Investment
83,800.00
17,533.48
26.46%
JP:3287
Hoshino Resorts REIT, Inc.
259,900.00
58,105.03
28.79%
JP:3459
Samty Residential Investment Corp.
119,800.00
31,557.31
35.76%
JP:3472
Nippon Hotel & Residential Investment Corporation
78,100.00
17,626.65
29.15%

Ichigo Hotel REIT Investment Corp. Corporate Events

Ichigo Hotel REIT Lifts November Revenue on Strong Room Rates
Dec 25, 2025

Ichigo Hotel REIT reported higher operating performance in November 2025 across most of its portfolio, with total revenue from 26 of its 30 hotels rising 4.3% year on year to JPY 1.42 billion, driven by increases in RevPAR and average daily rates despite largely flat occupancy. Variable-rent hotels saw a 3.7% revenue increase and solid room-rate gains, while fixed-rent hotels delivered stronger growth with an 8.3% revenue rise and double-digit RevPAR improvement, underscoring robust demand in key markets such as Sapporo and Nagoya; these trends support higher rental income and reinforce the REIT’s earnings momentum in the current period, though occupancy at some properties shows signs of stabilization rather than expansion.

Ichigo Hotel REIT Reports Strong Financial Growth in October 2025
Nov 25, 2025

Ichigo Hotel REIT Investment Corporation reported a significant increase in its financial metrics for October 2025 compared to the previous year. The company’s portfolio revenue rose by 12.6%, with improvements in RevPAR and ADR, although occupancy rates slightly declined. These results reflect a robust recovery in the hospitality sector, indicating strong demand and pricing power, which could positively impact stakeholders and enhance Ichigo Hotel’s market positioning.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Dec 30, 2025