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SHINTO Holdings,Inc. (JP:2776)
:2776
Japanese Market

SHINTO Holdings,Inc. (2776) AI Stock Analysis

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JP:2776

SHINTO Holdings,Inc.

(2776)

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Neutral 46 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:46Neutral
Price Target:
¥131.00
▲(9.17% Upside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:03/14/26
The score is held back primarily by weak financial performance quality—especially negative cash flow and high leverage alongside thin margins—despite strong revenue growth. Technicals are relatively neutral to mildly supportive, but a high P/E with no dividend yield provided makes valuation less compelling.
Positive Factors
Revenue growth
Sustained top-line acceleration increases scale and market traction, supporting longer-term capacity to invest in inventory, production, and distribution. Over 2–6 months this revenue momentum can help absorb fixed costs, fund product expansion, and justify operational scaling despite thin margins.
Turnaround from losses
Moving from loss-making to profitable (even modestly) signals structural operational improvement and risk reduction. This shift lowers bankruptcy risk, improves access to financing, and creates a platform to sustain recovery initiatives over the medium term if cash generation stabilizes and margins are protected.
Larger equity base
An expanded equity base provides a stronger capital buffer and greater solvency headroom, improving the firm's ability to tolerate short-term shocks and support organic growth. Over months this reduces immediate dilution or urgent external funding needs if management preserves capital discipline.
Negative Factors
High leverage
Elevated debt relative to equity constrains financial flexibility and raises refinancing and interest-rate sensitivity. With thin profitability and recent cash flow weakness, high leverage amplifies downside risk, limiting the company's ability to fund growth or absorb shocks without costly external financing.
Negative cash flow
A return to negative operating and free cash flow means the business is consuming cash to run and grow, increasing reliance on external funding. Over a multi-month horizon this raises liquidity and execution risk, potentially forcing tighter working-capital terms or higher-cost borrowing that undermine margin recovery.
Very thin margins
Extremely low margins leave earnings highly sensitive to cost inflation, supply disruptions, or sales volatility. Such narrow buffers constrain the firm's ability to self-finance growth, hamstring deleveraging, and make performance dependent on consistent revenue execution across upcoming quarters.

SHINTO Holdings,Inc. (2776) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)

SHINTO Holdings,Inc. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionSHINTO Holdings, Inc. engages in the wholesale of apparel in Japan. It operates through Apparel Business, Real Estate-Related Business, and Trade Business segment. The Apparel Business segment offers casual wear, and cut-and-sew products including T-shirts and trainers products. The Real Estate-Related Business segment engages in the sale of real estate properties and brokerage business services. The Trade Business segment provides import and export transaction services, which include polyethylene terephthalate, etc.; and recycled plastic products. The company is also engaged in liquor sales business. The company was formerly known as Crymson Co.,Ltd. and changed its name to Shinto Holdings, Inc. in October 2017. Shinto Holdings, Inc. was incorporated in 1984 and is headquartered in Tokyo, Japan.

SHINTO Holdings,Inc. Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Strong revenue growth and a turnaround from losses are positives, but overall financial quality is weak due to very thin profitability, high leverage (debt-to-equity ~1.70), and a sharp deterioration in cash generation with negative operating and free cash flow in the latest period.
Income Statement
56
Neutral
Revenue has accelerated sharply, rising from 12.3B to 27.9B in the latest annual period (+37.8%), signaling strong top-line momentum. Profitability, however, remains thin: net margin is ~0.35% and operating profitability is modest (~2.1%), which leaves earnings sensitive to cost inflation or demand swings. The company has improved materially versus the loss-making periods in 2023–2024, but the overall earnings profile is still low-quality due to very small margins.
Balance Sheet
38
Negative
Leverage has increased significantly alongside growth: debt-to-equity is high at ~1.70 in the latest annual period (and was even higher at ~1.93 the prior year), reducing financial flexibility. While equity has grown, returns on equity are low (~3.0%), indicating limited profit generation relative to the capital base. Overall, the balance sheet is more leveraged than earlier years and looks like a key risk area if profitability or cash generation softens.
Cash Flow
27
Negative
Cash generation weakened notably in the latest annual period, with operating cash flow turning negative (-351.5M) and free cash flow also negative (-579.9M). This is a step back from the prior year when both operating cash flow (353.0M) and free cash flow (99.0M) were positive, suggesting working-capital needs and/or investment spending rose materially. With profits already thin, the return to negative cash flow increases funding risk and makes execution on growth more dependent on external financing.
BreakdownTTMJan 2026Jan 2025Jan 2024Jan 2023Jan 2022
Income Statement
Total Revenue20.28B27.94B12.30B6.29B4.02B4.77B
Gross Profit846.49M1.32B575.19M97.58M214.73M529.08M
EBITDA251.99M872.66M131.82M-241.02M-173.89M93.18M
Net Income-99.12M97.83M16.54M-394.07M-212.48M64.31M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets7.47B13.57B6.04B1.41B2.00B1.43B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments220.79M979.22M203.62M180.73M425.29M282.09M
Total Debt3.35B5.61B3.11B251.66M271.69M224.68M
Total Liabilities5.70B9.50B4.37B566.90M740.92M516.00M
Stockholders Equity1.51B3.30B1.45B821.61M1.22B898.34M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow0.00-579.92M99.60M-233.60M-411.20M122.58M
Operating Cash Flow0.00-351.51M353.89M-206.75M-383.05M136.06M
Investing Cash Flow0.00-363.29M-268.88M-5.34M-69.07M-15.88M
Financing Cash Flow0.001.22B-159.83M-32.91M569.49M24.49M

SHINTO Holdings,Inc. Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price120.00
Price Trends
50DMA
133.08
Positive
100DMA
126.79
Positive
200DMA
134.93
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
2.04
Positive
RSI
53.33
Neutral
STOCH
26.67
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:2776, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 120 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 136.40, below the 50-day MA of 133.08, and below the 200-day MA of 134.93, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 2.04 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 53.33 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 26.67 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for JP:2776.

SHINTO Holdings,Inc. Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
78
Outperform
¥172.49B9.7810.24%2.43%6.08%8.55%
75
Outperform
¥115.71B15.301.79%10.76%54.82%
66
Neutral
¥140.17B17.532.80%3.38%>-0.01%-49.83%
66
Neutral
¥39.06B13.455.23%
61
Neutral
$18.38B12.79-2.54%3.03%1.52%-15.83%
59
Neutral
¥215.17B39.725.31%2.29%-6.04%146.54%
46
Neutral
¥7.14B62.23157.12%
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
JP:2776
SHINTO Holdings,Inc.
134.00
2.00
1.52%
JP:3002
Gunze
4,295.00
1,861.00
76.46%
JP:3569
Seiren Co
3,215.00
679.00
26.77%
JP:3591
WACOAL HOLDINGS
4,133.00
-1,061.89
-20.44%
JP:3104
Fujibo Holdings, Inc.
10,430.00
5,220.41
100.21%
JP:8011
Sanyo Shokai Ltd.
3,870.00
1,114.35
40.44%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Mar 14, 2026