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Kandenko Co., Ltd. (JP:1942)
:1942

Kandenko Co., Ltd. (1942) AI Stock Analysis

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JP:1942

Kandenko Co., Ltd.

(1942)

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Outperform 72 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:72Outperform
Price Target:
¥7,431.00
▲(47.79% Upside)
Action:UpgradedDate:02/20/26
The score is primarily driven by strong financial performance (revenue and margin improvement plus a low-leverage balance sheet), partially offset by only moderate cash conversion. Technicals remain supportive due to a strong uptrend, but overbought signals elevate near-term risk. Valuation is a further headwind given the higher P/E and modest yield.
Positive Factors
Revenue and Margin Improvement
Sustained double-digit revenue growth with simultaneously improving gross, EBIT and net margins signals structural strength in project pricing and cost control. Over 2–6 months this supports recurring contract wins, healthier project economics and stronger operating cash generation potential.
Conservative Balance Sheet
Very low leverage and a high equity ratio give durable financial flexibility for bidding, absorbing project delays, and funding working capital without stress. This capital structure supports resilience through construction cycles and enables opportunistic investment or dividend stability.
Free Cash Flow Growth
A >100% jump in FCF demonstrates improving cash conversion trends and stronger post-investment cash generation. Persisting higher FCF over the coming months would support reinvestment in capabilities, reduce reliance on external financing and improve strategic optionality.
Negative Factors
Moderate Cash Conversion
Operating cash flow and FCF lagging net income indicate working-capital sensitivity and limited free cash per reported earnings. Persistently low cash conversion can constrain investment, insurance against project overruns, and shareholder returns despite accounting profitability.
Project-Based Revenue Exposure
Heavy reliance on winning and executing construction contracts creates structural variability in revenue and margins, subject to bidding competition, procurement cost swings and execution risk. This elevates quarter-to-quarter operational volatility and working-capital demands.
Moderate ROE / Efficiency
An ROE near 11.5% on a high-equity base suggests room to improve capital efficiency. If reinvestments or contract growth don't lift returns, shareholder value expansion may lag, limiting long-run earnings leverage and the effectiveness of retained earnings deployment.

Kandenko Co., Ltd. (1942) vs. iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ)

Kandenko Co., Ltd. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionKandenko Co.,Ltd. operates as a general infrastructure company in Japan. It engages in the facility installation works, electrical equipment sale, real estate rental and leasing, and electric power sale, as well as electrical, plumbing, and other works. The company also undertakes works on electrical facilities and equipment inside various types of buildings and structures, building interiors, control equipment, and interior network; and environmental facilities and systems, and renovation works on air conditioning and sanitation systems, as well as water, heat, and disaster prevention systems. In addition, it is involved in the construction and maintenance of networks for cable TV and municipalities; and mobile communication base stations, as well as installation of optical fiber cables and related equipment for electric power providers and telecommunications providers. Further, the company undertakes the construction and maintenance of overhead power distribution lines facilities, including power poles with power cables; and underground distribution lines facilities, such as underground power cables. Additionally, it undertakes works on power stations and substations, and renewable energy power generation; overhead transmission lines; and underground transmission lines and civil engineering works, as well as designs and constructs solar and wind power plants; and inspects and maintains nuclear power plant facilities and equipment. Kandenko Co.,Ltd. was incorporated in 1944 and is headquartered in Tokyo, Japan.
How the Company Makes MoneyKandenko Co., Ltd. generates revenue through multiple streams, primarily from contracts in electrical installation and engineering services. The company engages in large-scale infrastructure projects, providing electrical systems for buildings, transportation, and public utilities. Key revenue streams include the installation of power generation systems, maintenance services, and the integration of ICT solutions. Additionally, Kandenko collaborates with various partners in the construction and technology sectors, which helps expand its market reach and enhance service offerings. The company's focus on energy efficiency and sustainable solutions also aligns with growing market demands, contributing to its overall financial performance.

Kandenko Co., Ltd. Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Strong fundamentals led by the income statement (85) with solid revenue growth (+12.26% YoY) and improving profitability (net margin 6.31%, EBIT margin 8.68%). Balance sheet is conservative (debt-to-equity 0.07; equity ratio 60.96%) supporting stability, while cash flow is improving (FCF +114.94% YoY) but cash conversion is only moderate (operating cash flow to net income 0.43; FCF to net income 0.08), which tempers the score.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
Kandenko Co., Ltd. has demonstrated a strong revenue growth trend, with a 12.26% increase from 2024 to 2025 and consistent growth over the past years. The gross profit margin for 2025 was 13.83%, indicating solid profitability in the construction industry. The net profit margin also improved to 6.31%, reflecting efficient cost management and operational performance. EBIT and EBITDA margins have also shown improvement, reaching 8.68% and 10.66% respectively. These figures highlight the company's ability to grow revenue while maintaining healthy profitability.
Balance Sheet
78
Positive
The balance sheet reflects a healthy financial structure with a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.07, indicating low leverage and a strong equity position. The company has a high equity ratio of 60.96%, which suggests a stable financial foundation with more assets financed by equity than debt. Return on equity improved to 11.52%, showcasing effective utilization of shareholder capital. While the balance sheet shows strong equity and low debt levels, the relatively modest ROE could suggest potential for further efficiency improvements.
Cash Flow
70
Positive
The cash flow statement indicates positive free cash flow growth with a 114.94% increase from 2024 to 2025, demonstrating significant improvement in cash generation. The operating cash flow to net income ratio of 0.43 suggests moderate cash conversion efficiency. The free cash flow to net income ratio is 0.08, indicating room for enhancement in free cash flow relative to net income. Overall, the cash flow position is improving but could benefit from further strengthening.
BreakdownTTMMar 2025Mar 2024Mar 2023Mar 2022Mar 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue708.59B671.89B598.43B541.58B495.57B556.04B
Gross Profit100.56B92.92B71.19B60.14B56.72B55.15B
EBITDA92.16B71.61B54.09B40.78B38.60B37.70B
Net Income47.65B42.38B27.34B21.17B20.32B20.15B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets578.88B603.22B567.27B487.83B470.97B457.00B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments69.14B60.99B66.65B65.23B72.61B63.48B
Total Debt13.31B27.11B27.27B15.78B15.80B16.63B
Total Liabilities192.10B222.27B221.48B179.37B177.45B177.54B
Stockholders Equity373.26B367.86B333.94B298.40B283.98B270.42B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow0.003.38B1.57B2.00B19.91B7.12B
Operating Cash Flow0.0018.26B19.84B7.46B27.15B12.87B
Investing Cash Flow0.00-10.17B-19.08B-6.63B-9.22B-972.00M
Financing Cash Flow0.00-12.63B567.00M-7.32B-7.79B-26.32B

Kandenko Co., Ltd. Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price5028.00
Price Trends
50DMA
5772.64
Positive
100DMA
5233.37
Positive
200DMA
4368.42
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
310.19
Negative
RSI
75.04
Negative
STOCH
69.37
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:1942, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 5028 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 6289.50, below the 50-day MA of 5772.64, and above the 200-day MA of 4368.42, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 310.19 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 75.04 is Negative, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 69.37 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for JP:1942.

Kandenko Co., Ltd. Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
80
Outperform
¥95.46B12.123.46%-3.62%9.37%
77
Outperform
¥230.14B14.233.09%3.75%87.00%
76
Outperform
¥282.69B16.219.20%2.78%1.31%59.20%
74
Outperform
¥748.49B22.292.15%-5.20%-1.20%
72
Outperform
¥1.43T25.1714.15%2.00%16.43%53.76%
68
Neutral
¥221.53B16.912.87%6.66%46.38%
63
Neutral
$10.79B15.437.44%2.01%2.89%-14.66%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
JP:1942
Kandenko Co., Ltd.
6,986.00
4,511.61
182.33%
JP:1941
CHUDENKO
5,140.00
2,096.21
68.87%
JP:1934
Yurtec Corporation
3,235.00
1,634.10
102.07%
JP:1946
Toenec Corporation
2,397.00
1,443.59
151.41%
JP:1959
Kyudenko Corporation
10,565.00
6,133.58
138.41%
JP:1976
Meisei Industrial Co., Ltd.
2,031.00
865.49
74.26%

Kandenko Co., Ltd. Corporate Events

Kandenko Sets Terms for ¥128 Billion Secondary Share Offering and Over-Allotment
Feb 16, 2026

Kandenko Co., Ltd. has set the terms for a large secondary offering of its common stock, with underwriters purchasing 18,259,400 shares at an underwriting value of 5,843.64 yen and selling them at 6,095 yen per share, for a total selling amount of approximately 111.3 billion yen. An additional over-allotment of 2,738,900 shares, also priced at 6,095 yen, will raise about 16.7 billion yen, with settlement slated for February 24, 2026 and a portion of the shares to be placed with investors in overseas markets such as Europe and Asia, underscoring efforts to broaden liquidity and diversify the company’s investor base.

The selling price was set with a 3.01% discount to the February 16, 2026 reference price of 6,284 yen, a typical move to facilitate demand and smooth execution of the offering. The syndicate cover transaction period will run from February 19 to March 19, 2026, providing underwriters flexibility to stabilize the share price in the market, a key factor for existing shareholders and potential new investors monitoring post-offering trading dynamics.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:1942) stock is a Hold with a Yen6944.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Kandenko Co., Ltd. stock, see the JP:1942 Stock Forecast page.

Kandenko Overhauls Leadership Ahead of New Management Structure in 2026
Feb 9, 2026

Kandenko Co., Ltd. announced a planned overhaul of its top management, including the retirement of Representative Director and Executive Vice President Yuji Ueda, effective April 1, 2026, as part of a transition to a new management structure. Senior Managing Director and Executive Officer Koichi Nakahito will be promoted to director, while director Mitsuru Fujii will retire, with further changes to Audit & Supervisory Board members, including the appointment of Naoki Nakamura and the retirement of Eiichi Oba, scheduled following approval at the late June 2026 shareholders’ meeting.

The reshuffle is aimed at strengthening governance and aligning leadership with Kandenko’s strategic focus on green innovation and social infrastructure. By elevating executives with operational responsibility for these divisions and refreshing its Audit & Supervisory Board, the company signals an intent to reinforce risk management, oversight, and execution capabilities, developments that are likely to be closely watched by shareholders and other stakeholders.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:1942) stock is a Hold with a Yen6300.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Kandenko Co., Ltd. stock, see the JP:1942 Stock Forecast page.

Kandenko Adjusts Size of Secondary Share Offering After Large Share Buyback
Feb 2, 2026

Kandenko Co., Ltd. has revised the size of its previously announced secondary offering of common stock after conducting a large-scale share repurchase via the Tokyo Stock Exchange’s ToSTNeT-3 system, in which it bought back 5,392,700 of its own shares. Following this transaction, selling shareholder TEPCO Power Grid reduced its planned offering by selling 5,188,900 shares to Kandenko in the repurchase, resulting in a new secondary offering structure of 18,259,400 shares to be sold by TEPCO through underwriters and up to 2,738,900 additional shares potentially offered via over-allotment, with the final size of the over-allotment tranche to be set in mid-February based on market demand. The adjustment reflects an effort to balance TEPCO’s divestment with Kandenko’s capital strategy and may influence the company’s shareholder composition and liquidity in the Prime Market.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:1942) stock is a Hold with a Yen6091.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Kandenko Co., Ltd. stock, see the JP:1942 Stock Forecast page.

Kandenko Completes Nearly ¥30 Billion Share Buyback via ToSTNeT-3
Feb 2, 2026

Kandenko Co., Ltd. has completed a major share repurchase via the Tokyo Stock Exchange’s ToSTNeT-3 off-auction system, buying back 5,392,700 common shares for a total of ¥29,999,590,100 on February 2, 2026, thereby effectively using almost all of the ¥30 billion ceiling authorized by its board. The buyback, which concludes the repurchase program approved on January 29, 2026, is part of a broader capital policy announced in April 2025 to enhance shareholder returns, improve capital efficiency and help offset potential supply-demand imbalances in its stock arising from a recently announced secondary offering, signaling continued management focus on shareholder-friendly financial strategy and share price support.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:1942) stock is a Hold with a Yen6091.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Kandenko Co., Ltd. stock, see the JP:1942 Stock Forecast page.

Kandenko Sets Terms for Up to ¥30 Billion Share Buyback via ToSTNeT-3
Jan 30, 2026

Kandenko Co., Ltd. has decided to repurchase up to 5,392,700 of its own common shares, equivalent to 2.64% of its outstanding stock excluding treasury shares, through an off-auction own share repurchase trade (ToSTNeT-3) on the Tokyo Stock Exchange at the closing price of ¥5,563 as of January 30, 2026, with the transaction scheduled for 8:45 a.m. on February 2, 2026. This buyback is part of a broader Board-approved program allowing repurchases of up to 7.5 million shares or ¥30 billion between February 2 and February 6, 2026, underscoring the company’s intention to actively manage its capital structure and potentially enhance shareholder value, although execution may be adjusted or partially cancelled depending on market conditions.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:1942) stock is a Buy with a Yen6267.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Kandenko Co., Ltd. stock, see the JP:1942 Stock Forecast page.

Kandenko Posts Strong Nine-Month Results and Raises Dividend Forecast as Auditor Clears Interim Review
Jan 29, 2026

Kandenko reported strong consolidated results for the nine months ended December 31, 2025, with net sales rising 12.3% year on year to ¥511.6 billion and profit attributable to owners of parent jumping 45.0% to ¥46.2 billion, reflecting improved profitability and higher project volumes. Total assets and net assets also increased, lifting the equity ratio to 62.2%, and the company revised its dividend forecast upward for the year ending March 31, 2026 to a total of ¥120 per share, signaling confidence in its earnings strength and balance sheet. In addition, an independent auditor completed an interim review of the consolidated quarterly financial statements in connection with a planned secondary offering of common shares, with no changes required to the figures disclosed, which may support investor confidence and facilitate the equity transaction.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:1942) stock is a Hold with a Yen6088.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Kandenko Co., Ltd. stock, see the JP:1942 Stock Forecast page.

Kandenko to Launch ¥30 Billion Share Buyback to Bolster Shareholder Returns
Jan 29, 2026

Kandenko Co., Ltd. has resolved to repurchase up to 7.5 million shares, or about 3.67% of its outstanding common stock excluding treasury shares, for a maximum of ¥30 billion over the period from February 2 to February 6, 2026 via ToSTNeT-3 off-auction trading on the Tokyo Stock Exchange. The buyback forms part of the company’s broader capital policy, which includes a target dividend payout ratio of around 40% and a focus on management that considers cost of capital and share price, and is intended to enhance shareholder returns, improve capital efficiency and offset supply-demand effects from a recently announced secondary offering, with the board stressing its independence from the controlling shareholder TEPCO Power Grid and confirming that independent officers see no governance concerns around the transaction.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:1942) stock is a Hold with a Yen6088.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Kandenko Co., Ltd. stock, see the JP:1942 Stock Forecast page.

Kandenko Launches Secondary Share Offering to Reshape Shareholder Base and Fund Growth
Jan 29, 2026

Kandenko has approved a secondary offering of its common shares as part of a broader capital and shareholder base restructuring aimed at enhancing medium- to long-term corporate value. The move follows record-high fiscal 2024 results, which allowed the company to meet its original fiscal 2026 performance targets two years early and subsequently lift its medium-term plan goals. In agreement with major shareholder TEPCO Power Grid, the offering will be used to reduce TEPCO’s stake to about one-third, a level both parties view as optimal, while Kandenko seeks to broaden and diversify its shareholder base, improve share liquidity and address overhang concerns. The company positions this transaction as a way to increase management agility, support further growth investment including M&A, and improve capital efficiency, while maintaining a close business relationship with TEPCO Group to fulfill its role in supporting a stable power supply and strengthening shareholder returns.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:1942) stock is a Hold with a Yen6088.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Kandenko Co., Ltd. stock, see the JP:1942 Stock Forecast page.

Kandenko Lifts Full-Year Outlook and Dividend on Strong Nine-Month Earnings
Jan 29, 2026

Kandenko reported strong consolidated results for the nine months ended December 31, 2025, with net sales rising 12.3% year on year to ¥511.6 billion and profit attributable to owners of parent surging 45.0% to ¥46.2 billion, supported by significant growth in operating and ordinary profit and a higher equity ratio of 62.2%. Reflecting this robust performance, the company raised its full-year forecast for the fiscal year ending March 31, 2026 to ¥735.0 billion in net sales and ¥61.0 billion in profit attributable to owners of parent, and revised its dividend outlook upward to a total annual dividend of ¥120 per share, signaling confidence in earnings momentum and a commitment to enhanced shareholder returns.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:1942) stock is a Hold with a Yen6088.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Kandenko Co., Ltd. stock, see the JP:1942 Stock Forecast page.

Kandenko Subsidiary Kawasaki Setsubi Kogyo Lifts Full-Year Earnings Forecast on Strong Construction Demand
Jan 29, 2026

Kandenko announced that its subsidiary Kawasaki Setsubi Kogyo has revised upward its earnings forecast for the fiscal year ending March 31, 2026, reflecting stronger-than-expected business conditions. Kawasaki Setsubi now projects net sales of ¥38.2 billion, operating profit of ¥5.0 billion, ordinary profit of ¥5.087 billion and net profit of ¥3.732 billion, all significantly higher than its previous forecast and well above the prior year’s results, driven by an increase in construction projects, higher order unit prices, improved profitability on contracted work, and cost reductions from stricter construction management and quality control, signaling a stronger profit outlook for both the subsidiary and the Kandenko group.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:1942) stock is a Hold with a Yen6088.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Kandenko Co., Ltd. stock, see the JP:1942 Stock Forecast page.

Kandenko Lifts Earnings and Dividend Outlook on Strong Renewable and Infrastructure Demand
Jan 29, 2026

Kandenko Co., Ltd. has sharply revised upward its full-year consolidated and non-consolidated earnings forecasts for the fiscal year ending March 31, 2026, projecting higher net sales and significantly improved profits versus its April 2025 guidance and the prior year. The company cites stronger-than-expected performance in electric power and civil engineering work, underpinned by steady progress in renewable energy construction projects, as well as group subsidiary outperformance, particularly at Kawasaki Setsubi Kogyo. Despite headwinds from higher material and labor costs, Kandenko expects profitability to improve thanks to company-wide productivity enhancement initiatives and increased gains from the sale of cross-shareholdings. In line with the earnings upgrade and its targeted payout ratio of around 40%, the company has also raised its annual dividend forecast by ¥30 to ¥120 per share, signaling a stronger shareholder return profile and confidence in the sustainability of its improved performance.

The most recent analyst rating on (JP:1942) stock is a Hold with a Yen6088.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Kandenko Co., Ltd. stock, see the JP:1942 Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Feb 20, 2026