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Italian Sea Group S.p.A. (IT:TISG)
:TISG

Italian Sea Group S.p.A. (TISG) AI Stock Analysis

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IT:TISG

Italian Sea Group S.p.A.

(TISG)

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Neutral 59 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:59Neutral
Price Target:
€4.50
▲(5.14% Upside)
The score is held back primarily by deteriorating cash generation (negative operating and free cash flow in 2024 and TTM), alongside weaker TTM margins/earnings and higher leverage. These risks are partially offset by attractive valuation (low P/E and high dividend yield) and modestly improving near-term price action versus the 20/50-day averages.
Positive Factors
Multi‑year revenue growth and scale
Sustained expansion from 112.9m to 365.4m (2020–2024) shows the company built meaningful scale and market traction in luxury and commercial builds. Scale supports supplier leverage, capacity to win large bespoke contracts and a foundation for steady revenue even through cyclical periods.
Proven historical cash generation
The company demonstrated strong cash conversion in 2022–2023 with positive OCF and FCF, indicating underlying operational efficiency and effective project execution. That track record implies management know‑how to generate cash when volumes and margins normalize, reducing long‑term execution risk.
Established brand and diversified services
Reputation for craftsmanship plus a mix of custom builds, commercial vessels and refit/maintenance creates recurring service revenue and high barriers to entry in bespoke segments. Diversified offerings and client relationships support steadier demand and cross‑sell opportunities over multi‑year horizons.
Negative Factors
Deteriorating cash generation (negative OCF/FCF)
A shift from positive to materially negative operating and free cash flow raises durable funding and execution concerns. Persistent negative cash reduces ability to fund projects, service debt, or invest in yards, increasing refinancing risk and constraining growth or margin recovery over coming quarters.
Rising leverage and higher debt burden
Leverage nearly doubled in the latest period, increasing interest expense and reducing financial flexibility. With weakened cash flow and tighter margins, higher debt elevates covenant and refinancing risk, constrains capex or strategic investments, and magnifies downside in cyclical demand.
Margin compression and weaker profitability
Substantial margin deterioration signals pricing pressure, cost inflation or execution inefficiencies. Lower EBITDA and net margins reduce return on invested capital and cash flows, limiting resources for reinvestment and raising the risk that competitive positioning and ROE will remain impaired over the medium term.

Italian Sea Group S.p.A. (TISG) vs. iShares MSCI Italy ETF (EWI)

Italian Sea Group S.p.A. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionThe Italian Sea Group S.p.A. operates in the luxury yachting industry. It is involved in the design, production and marketing of yachts and super yachts, motor, and sailing, made of fiberglass, aluminum and steel that ranges between 17 and over 100 meters under the Admiral, Tecnomar, Perini Navi, and Picchiotti brands. The company also offers refit services with a focus on motor and sailing yachts under the NCA Refit brand. The company was founded in 1942 and is based in Marina di Carrara, Italy. The Italian Sea Group S.p.A. is a subsidiary of GC Holding S.P.A.
How the Company Makes MoneyItalian Sea Group S.p.A. generates revenue primarily through the sale of custom-built yachts and superyachts, which are often sold at premium prices due to their bespoke nature and high-quality materials. The company also earns income from the refit and maintenance of existing vessels, providing ongoing services to yacht owners. Additional revenue streams may include partnerships with luxury brands for co-branding opportunities and collaborations, as well as financing options for customers purchasing yachts. The firm benefits from its established reputation and relationships within the maritime industry, which help in acquiring new clients and projects.

Italian Sea Group S.p.A. Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Income statement shows strong multi-year revenue growth, but TTM revenue is down vs 2024 and profitability has weakened materially (net margin ~3.8% TTM vs ~9–10% in 2023–2024; EBITDA margin ~15.2% TTM vs ~21.5% in 2024). Balance sheet leverage increased (debt-to-equity ~0.91 TTM vs ~0.50 in 2024) and ROE cooled (~8.8% TTM). Cash flow is the main drag: operating cash flow and free cash flow are negative in 2024 and worsened in TTM, raising funding/execution risk.
Income Statement
62
Positive
Revenue expanded sharply from 2020–2024 (112.9m to 365.4m), showing strong multi-year demand momentum, but TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) revenue fell versus the last annual period (335.1m vs 365.4m) and the TTM growth rate is unusually high, suggesting volatility. Profitability also weakened: net margin declined to ~3.8% in TTM from ~9–10% in 2023–2024, and operating profitability stepped down (EBITDA margin ~15.2% TTM vs ~21.5% in 2024). Strengths are scale built over time and still-positive operating profit, while the key weakness is the recent compression in margins and earnings (TTM net income 12.8m vs 33.9m in 2024).
Balance Sheet
58
Neutral
The balance sheet has grown alongside the business (assets up from 123.0m in 2020 to 406.1m in 2024 and 481.8m in TTM), with equity also higher over time (40.2m in 2020 to ~145.0m in 2024/TTM). However, leverage has risen materially in the latest period: debt-to-equity moved to ~0.91 in TTM versus ~0.50 in 2024, reflecting a sizable debt increase (132.6m TTM vs 72.8m in 2024). Returns on equity also cooled to ~8.8% TTM from ~23–28% in 2023–2024, consistent with weaker profitability. Overall: adequate equity base and growth, but higher leverage and reduced returns are notable risks.
Cash Flow
34
Negative
Cash generation has deteriorated meaningfully: operating cash flow turned negative in 2024 (-9.4m) and worsened in TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) to -36.9m, with free cash flow also negative (-13.2m in 2024; -38.3m TTM). This is a clear step-down from 2022–2023, when operating cash flow was positive (64.4m in 2022; 25.4m in 2023) and free cash flow was positive (44.5m in 2022; 22.6m in 2023). The main strength is that the company has demonstrated an ability to generate cash in prior years, but the current profile suggests working-capital/investment strain and raises funding risk given the simultaneous increase in debt.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue335.11M365.43M356.09M291.51M186.05M112.95M
Gross Profit237.52M155.84M130.91M113.10M68.06M32.52M
EBITDA50.85M78.59M63.39M43.57M26.77M13.74M
Net Income12.81M33.89M36.91M24.05M16.32M6.24M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets481.77M406.06M377.39M342.26M235.07M122.95M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments61.64M60.25M76.41M81.32M85.61M17.94M
Total Debt132.60M72.76M74.53M91.39M42.83M21.79M
Total Liabilities335.79M261.09M246.25M233.26M142.19M82.73M
Stockholders Equity145.99M144.96M131.14M109.00M92.89M40.22M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-38.26M-13.21M22.62M44.53M12.98M15.98M
Operating Cash Flow-36.92M-9.43M25.37M64.37M36.75M27.74M
Investing Cash Flow-2.20M20.03M1.00M-103.79M-26.27M-13.69M
Financing Cash Flow48.13M-26.76M-31.27M35.13M57.18M-1.86M

Italian Sea Group S.p.A. Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price4.28
Price Trends
50DMA
4.25
Positive
100DMA
4.54
Negative
200DMA
5.03
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
0.06
Positive
RSI
41.49
Neutral
STOCH
9.08
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For IT:TISG, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 4.28 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 4.49, above the 50-day MA of 4.25, and below the 200-day MA of 5.03, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.06 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 41.49 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 9.08 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for IT:TISG.

Italian Sea Group S.p.A. Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
68
Neutral
€1.17B10.8623.62%3.34%9.07%6.71%
61
Neutral
$18.38B12.79-2.54%3.03%1.52%-15.83%
59
Neutral
€235.05M6.946.03%12.02%-8.17%
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
IT:TISG
Italian Sea Group S.p.A.
4.28
-3.46
-44.67%
IT:SL
Sanlorenzo S.p.A.
32.45
-2.41
-6.92%
IT:YACHT
Ferretti S.p.A.
3.61
0.73
25.22%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jan 09, 2026