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Independence Realty (IRT)
NYSE:IRT

Independence Realty (IRT) AI Stock Analysis

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Independence Realty

(NYSE:IRT)

75Outperform
Independence Realty Trust shows robust financial health with strong operational efficiency and a solid balance sheet. The strong guidance and strategic initiatives support a positive outlook despite some market pressures and valuation concerns. The technical analysis indicates strong momentum, though caution is advised due to potential overbought conditions. Overall, IRT is well-positioned within the REITs industry, but the high valuation demands continued strong performance.
Positive Factors
Financial Flexibility
The expanded unsecured credit facility, increasing borrowing capacity to $750mm, gives Independence Realty Trust greater financial flexibility and a more favorable capital structure.
Investment Strategy
IRT offers investors differentiated class & geographic exposure, with upside from external growth and redevelopment.
Market Performance
IRT's markets are expected to improve, and IRT could be a winner in the sector.
Negative Factors
Lease Growth
New supply has negatively impacted blended lease growth, leading IRT to reduce SS Revenue guidance twice this year.
Leasing Recovery
The Core FFO estimate for 2025 is lowered, reflecting a slower pace of leasing recovery.
Value-add Program
Rent increases on IRT's value-add program have flatlined, causing ROI on the program to decline.

Independence Realty (IRT) vs. S&P 500 (SPY)

Independence Realty Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionIndependence Realty Trust, Inc. (NYSE: IRT) is a real estate investment trust that owns and operates multifamily apartment properties across non-gateway U.S. markets, including Atlanta, Louisville, Memphis, and Raleigh. IRT's investment strategy is focused on gaining scale within key amenity rich submarkets that offer good school districts, high-quality retail and major employment centers. IRT aims to provide stockholders attractive risk-adjusted returns through diligent portfolio management, strong operational performance, and a consistent return on capital through distributions and capital appreciation.
How the Company Makes MoneyIndependence Realty makes money primarily through rental income generated from its multifamily apartment communities. As a REIT, IRT acquires and manages residential properties, collecting rental payments from tenants as the primary source of revenue. Additionally, the company may earn income from property management fees and service charges associated with maintaining and operating its properties. IRT's earnings are also influenced by strategic acquisitions and renovations that can enhance property value and increase rental rates. The company benefits from economies of scale and a diversified property portfolio, which helps mitigate risks and stabilize cash flow. Partnerships with local developers and real estate professionals can also contribute to the company's growth and profitability.

Independence Realty Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Independence Realty has demonstrated strong operational metrics and a solid balance sheet. The income statement indicates volatility in revenue growth and profit margins, but operational efficiency is improving. The balance sheet is robust with no debt and strong equity, while cash flow is resilient but variable in converting income to cash.
Income Statement
75
Positive
Independence Realty has shown a strong gross profit margin due to its effective cost management, maintaining high levels of gross profit relative to total revenue. The net profit margin, while positive in 2024, reflects volatility due to past losses. Revenue growth has been inconsistent, but the company has demonstrated an ability to improve EBIT and EBITDA margins, indicating operational efficiency improvements.
Balance Sheet
80
Positive
The balance sheet is strengthened by a healthy equity position, with no current total debt reported in 2024, which significantly improves the debt-to-equity ratio. The return on equity (ROE) shows positive, albeit moderate, returns, indicating the company is generating reasonable income from its equity base. The equity ratio reflects a stable financial structure with a significant portion of assets financed by equity.
Cash Flow
70
Positive
Operating cash flow remains robust, supporting the company's ability to generate cash from its core operations. Free cash flow has grown, demonstrating effective capital expenditure management. However, fluctuations in free cash flow to net income ratios indicate variability in translating earnings into cash, which could pose a risk if not stabilized.
Breakdown
Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
640.03M660.98M628.52M250.25M211.91M
Gross Profit
640.03M167.37M372.22M147.46M120.43M
EBIT
0.00147.84M92.50M51.94M44.52M
EBITDA
337.03M291.08M345.35M220.88M105.21M
Net Income Common Stockholders
39.29M-17.23M33.70M8.19M-21.59M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
21.23M22.85M16.08M35.97M8.75M
Total Assets
6.06B6.28B6.53B6.51B1.73B
Total Debt
2.33B2.43B4.60B2.71B945.69M
Net Debt
2.31B2.38B4.59B2.67B936.93M
Total Liabilities
2.48B2.71B2.79B2.86B1.02B
Stockholders Equity
3.44B3.43B3.60B3.48B708.06M
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
84.69M115.54M165.56M9.28M37.56M
Operating Cash Flow
259.75M262.17M249.54M52.26M74.96M
Investing Cash Flow
-20.61M-1.71M-135.77M-216.12M-124.54M
Financing Cash Flow
-246.43M-253.74M-135.43M215.92M48.76M

Independence Realty Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price19.00
Price Trends
50DMA
20.36
Negative
100DMA
20.26
Negative
200DMA
19.71
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
0.18
Negative
RSI
64.38
Neutral
STOCH
70.36
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For IRT, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 19 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 20.72, below the 50-day MA of 20.36, and below the 200-day MA of 19.71, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of 0.18 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 64.38 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 70.36 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for IRT.

Independence Realty Risk Analysis

Independence Realty disclosed 75 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Independence Realty reported the most risks in the “Finance & Corporate” category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Independence Realty Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
IRIRT
75
Outperform
$4.50B109.071.14%3.37%-3.17%
BRBRT
64
Neutral
$300.79M-4.52%6.29%2.15%-556.06%
61
Neutral
$4.44B16.16-3.31%11.40%5.81%-21.40%
CSCSR
61
Neutral
$1.07B-1.53%5.01%-21.69%-154.55%
UMUMH
60
Neutral
$1.47B540.912.67%4.82%8.88%
60
Neutral
$912.30M843.500.25%5.45%-6.42%-98.33%
AIAIV
43
Neutral
$1.11B-44.01%11.60%36.23%
* Real Estate Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
IRT
Independence Realty
19.00
3.23
20.48%
AIV
Apartment Investment & Management
7.83
0.10
1.29%
UMH
Umh
17.85
2.46
15.98%
CSR
Centerspace
60.22
3.65
6.45%
BRT
BRT Apartments
15.89
-0.61
-3.70%
NXRT
NexPoint Residential
35.68
4.46
14.29%

Independence Realty Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date: Feb 12, 2025 | % Change Since: -4.62% | Next Earnings Date: Apr 30, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call highlighted strong financial performance with significant achievements in FFO growth, occupancy rates, and strategic acquisitions. While there are challenges related to supply pressures in specific markets and declining new lease rates, the overall outlook remains positive with strategic initiatives in place to drive future growth.
Highlights
Strong Core FFO Growth
Core FFO per share for 2024 was $1.16, at the high end of guidance, driven by solid same-store NOI growth of 3.2%.
High Occupancy and Rent Growth
Same-store average occupancy increased by 110 basis points to 95.2%, with a 1.3% increase in average effective rental rates.
Successful Value-Add Program
Completed 1,671 renovations, driving a $239 average increase in monthly rent per unit and a 15% return on investment.
Investment-Grade Rating Achievement
Achieved triple B flat rating with a stable outlook from both S&P and Fitch, improving financial flexibility and reducing cost of debt.
Strategic Acquisitions
Invested $240 million at a blended economic cap rate of 5.7% in high-growth markets, expanding presence in Charlotte, Tampa, and Indianapolis.
Improved Debt Metrics
Reduced net debt to adjusted EBITDA nearly a full turn to 5.9 times, with plans to further improve this ratio in 2025.
Lowlights
Decline in New Lease Rates
New lease rates were down 4.6% in Q4 2024, with similar negative trends continuing into early 2025.
Supply Pressures in Specific Markets
Supply pressures continue in markets like Denver and Charlotte, with supply expected to increase by 5.4% combined in 2025.
Impairment Charge
Recognized an impairment of $21 million on a legacy asset, indicating challenges in certain non-core markets.
Company Guidance
During the Independence Realty Trust Q4 earnings call, guidance for 2025 highlighted expectations for core FFO per share to range between $1.16 and $1.19, driven by same-store NOI growth of 2.1% at the midpoint. The company plans to renovate 2,500 to 3,000 units, aiming for a 1.6% blended rental rate growth, with the majority occurring in the second half of the year. Investment plans include acquiring approximately $240 million in properties, supported by nearly three-quarters of a billion dollars in liquidity. The company also aims to further reduce its net debt to adjusted EBITDA ratio to the mid-5s by year-end, enhancing financial flexibility and capitalizing on a forecasted decline in new supply and strong demand fundamentals in their markets.

Independence Realty Corporate Events

Private Placements and FinancingBusiness Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Independence Realty Highlights 2024 Achievements and 2025 Outlook
Positive
Feb 28, 2025

In its recent investor presentation, Independence Realty Trust highlighted its strategic milestones achieved in 2024, including raising $268 million in equity capital and acquiring three communities to expand its market presence. The company reduced leverage and achieved an investment-grade issuer rating. For 2025, IRT provided guidance indicating strong improvement in fundamentals, with expected growth in net operating income and core funds from operations per share. The company plans to continue its Value Add renovation program, which has historically generated significant returns, and aims to leverage its liquidity and flexible balance sheet to drive further growth.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Independence Realty Reports Strong Q4 2024 Results
Positive
Feb 12, 2025

Independence Realty Trust reported strong financial results for the fourth quarter and full year of 2024, achieving the high end of its guidance with a core funds from operations (CFFO) per share of $1.16 and net operating income (NOI) growth of 3.2%. The company saw a significant improvement in its financial position with a net debt-to-Adjusted EBITDA ratio decrease to 5.9x and a renewed and expanded unsecured line of credit. These achievements were supported by strategic renovations in their value-add program, leading to a 15.7% return on investment, and an improved S&P credit rating to BBB. As the company looks forward to 2025, it is poised for further growth by capitalizing on positive market trends.

Private Placements and FinancingBusiness Operations and Strategy
Independence Realty Expands Credit Facility to Enhance Growth
Positive
Jan 10, 2025

Independence Realty Trust, Inc. announced an amended and restated unsecured credit facility, increasing its revolving credit capacity from $500 million to $750 million and extending its maturity to 2029. This move, supported by investment-grade ratings, aims to enhance IRT’s financial flexibility, decrease interest costs, and provide long-term value for stakeholders, with interest rate margins reflecting a reduction of approximately 34 basis points.

Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.