tiprankstipranks
Trending News
More News >
Iris Energy (IREN)
NASDAQ:IREN
US Market

Iris Energy (IREN) AI Stock Analysis

Compare
2,096 Followers

Top Page

IR

Iris Energy

(NASDAQ:IREN)

54Neutral
Iris Energy's overall stock score reflects strong revenue growth and strategic initiatives in Bitcoin mining and AI data centers, which are promising for future potential. However, the company faces significant challenges in profitability, cash flow, and valuation metrics, compounded by bearish technical indicators. The positive guidance from the latest earnings call helps offset some of these concerns, suggesting cautious optimism for future developments.
Positive Factors
Earnings
The adjusted EBITDA estimates for IREN have been increased due to higher BTC prices and additional BTC mining hash capacity.
Financial Performance
IREN reported strong F2Q25 results, reiterated its mid-year guide of 50 EH/s, and announced a strategic decision to focus on AI data centers.
Growth Prospects
IREN is expected to benefit from the expansion of larger public miners who are increasing capacity and improving efficiencies.
Negative Factors
Equity Dilution Concerns
Concerns exist about having a contract in place before equity dilution around the newly announced 50MW HPC capacity.
Project Concerns
There are near-term concerns with Sweetwater after IREN formally ended the involvement with MS.
Revenue Concerns
Cloud Services revenue was down modestly, below company guidance.

Iris Energy (IREN) vs. S&P 500 (SPY)

Iris Energy Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionIris Energy Limited owns and operates bitcoin mining data centers. It also provides high performance computing solutions, including Al cloud services. The company was incorporated in 2018 and is headquartered in Sydney, Australia.
How the Company Makes MoneyIris Energy makes money primarily through the mining of Bitcoin, which involves using specialized hardware to solve complex mathematical problems that validate transactions on the Bitcoin network. In return for this computational work, the company earns Bitcoin as a reward, which can then be sold on the open market for revenue. Key revenue streams include the sale of mined Bitcoin and potentially offering hosting services for third-party miners. The company's commitment to using renewable energy may also attract partnerships with environmentally conscious investors and organizations seeking to support sustainable technology initiatives.

Iris Energy Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Iris Energy demonstrates strong revenue growth and a healthy equity position, but struggles with profitability and cash flow generation. While gross margins are high, net margins are under pressure due to significant operating costs. The balance sheet is solid with low leverage, but improving free cash flow and net income remains critical for sustainable growth.
Income Statement
45
Neutral
Iris Energy shows significant revenue growth from $2.17M in 2020 to $282.69M in TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) 2024, indicating strong top-line expansion. However, the company faces challenges with profitability, as evidenced by a negative EBIT and net income margins. The gross profit margin remains robust at 77.07% TTM, but high operating expenses are impacting net profitability.
Balance Sheet
60
Neutral
The company maintains a solid equity base, with a high equity ratio of 69.45% in TTM 2024, indicating financial stability. The debt-to-equity ratio of 0.25 suggests a conservative use of leverage. However, the company needs to address its net losses to improve return on equity, which currently is negative due to consistent net losses.
Cash Flow
50
Neutral
Iris Energy's free cash flow remains negative despite a positive operating cash flow of $31.65M TTM, due to substantial capital expenditures. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is positive, indicating cash from operations is better than accounting profits. However, the free cash flow to net income ratio remains negative, necessitating better capital management.
Breakdown
TTMJun 2024Jun 2023Jun 2022Jun 2021Jun 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
282.69M188.76M75.51M59.04M7.84M2.17M
Gross Profit
217.85M166.56M57.61M51.59M5.18M868.00K
EBIT
-38.84M-26.33M-153.85M462.00K-1.69M
EBITDA
68.90M25.40M-122.26M-377.12M-43.38M-1.25M
Net Income Common Stockholders
-51.26M-28.95M-171.87M-419.77M-2.13M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
455.57M411.13M68.89M109.97M39.08M1.96M
Total Assets
1.85B1.15B332.07M570.46M134.88M11.57M
Total Debt
319.91M1.66M1.45M108.21M84.03M1.96M
Net Debt
-107.36M-402.95M-67.45M-1.76M44.95M5.00K
Total Liabilities
565.81M55.68M26.71M133.10M184.36M2.75M
Stockholders Equity
1.29B1.10B305.36M437.36M8.82M
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
-905.97M-427.19M-110.02M-272.69M-5.32M
Operating Cash Flow
31.65M52.72M6.04M21.56M1.64M-987.00K
Investing Cash Flow
-992.32M-498.47M-71.47M-318.12M-4.49M
Financing Cash Flow
1.25B782.13M28.24M372.04M116.57M7.31M

Iris Energy Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price5.49
Price Trends
50DMA
8.62
Negative
100DMA
10.16
Negative
200DMA
9.75
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.80
Negative
RSI
40.04
Neutral
STOCH
24.69
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For IREN, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 5.49 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 6.55, below the 50-day MA of 8.62, and below the 200-day MA of 9.75, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.80 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 40.04 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 24.69 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for IREN.

Iris Energy Risk Analysis

Iris Energy disclosed 99 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Iris Energy reported the most risks in the “Finance & Corporate” category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Iris Energy Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (64)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
64
Neutral
$13.46B9.449.34%4.72%16.14%-8.80%
61
Neutral
$346.63M7.849.19%140.56%
54
Neutral
$1.32B-6.15%
49
Neutral
$701.36M12.7256.54%75.74%
42
Neutral
$889.36M-7.61%19.26%-14.10%
41
Neutral
$989.74M-31.02%102.30%45.44%
37
Underperform
$25.66M242.25%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
IREN
Iris Energy
5.49
0.84
18.06%
WULF
TeraWulf Inc
2.24
0.20
9.80%
BTBT
Bit Digital
1.73
-0.33
-16.02%
CIFR
Cipher Mining
2.22
-1.60
-41.88%
ARBK
Argo Blockchain
0.32
-1.12
-77.78%
FUFU
BitFuFu
4.22
0.35
9.04%

Iris Energy Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date: Feb 12, 2025 | % Change Since: -57.80% | Next Earnings Date: May 7, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call presented a strong performance with record profit and significant growth initiatives in Bitcoin mining and AI data centers. While there are challenges in securing grid connections and deferred investor payouts, the company's strategic expansions seem promising.
Highlights
Record NPAT and Bitcoin Mining Revenue
The company reported a net profit after tax (NPAT) of $18.9 million and Bitcoin mining revenue of $113.5 million for Q2 FY '25.
Significant Hashrate Expansion
Achieved 31 exahash of energized capacity with plans to ramp up to 50 exahash by mid-year and 52 exahash later in the year.
Launch of Horizon 1 AI Data Center
Announcement of a new 75-megawatt liquid cooled AI data center at Childress, designed for high-density racks, expected to be completed in the second half of this year.
Sweetwater 2 Development
Development of a new 600-megawatt site in West Texas, which could create a 2-gigawatt data center hub by 2028.
Strong Balance Sheet and Funding Options
Closed an oversubscribed convertible note at the end of 2024 and established a $1 billion ATM facility to fund growth initiatives.
Lowlights
Deferred Investor Distributions
Decision to defer potential investor distributions to accelerate investment into strategic initiatives.
Challenges in Securing Grid Connection
The process of securing grid connection agreements is becoming increasingly difficult and time-consuming.
Risks in Sweetwater 2 Project
The Sweetwater 2 project is still hypothetical and there are risks associated with finalizing the grid connection agreement.
Company Guidance
In the second quarter of fiscal year 2025, IREN reported a record net profit after tax (NPAT) of $18.9 million, driven by a significant increase in Bitcoin mining revenue to $113.5 million and operating cash flows of $53.7 million. The company achieved an average operating hashrate of 22.6 exahash, mining 1,347 Bitcoins at an average realized price of $84.3k. IREN also reported adjusted EBITDA of $62.6 million, reflecting a $60 million increase. The company announced Horizon 1, a 75-megawatt liquid-cooled AI data center to be completed by the second half of the year. Additionally, they are developing Sweetwater 2, a 600-megawatt site to create a 2-gigawatt data center hub in West Texas, with a target energization date of around 2028. IREN closed an oversubscribed convertible note at the end of 2024 and established a $1 billion ATM facility to support growth initiatives.
Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.