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Varun Beverages Ltd. (IN:VBL)
:VBL
India Market

Varun Beverages Ltd. (VBL) AI Stock Analysis

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IN:VBL

Varun Beverages Ltd.

(VBL)

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Neutral 60 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:60Neutral
Price Target:
₹403.00
▼(-20.96% Downside)
Action:DowngradedDate:02/05/26
The score is supported by strong fundamental growth and improved leverage, but is held back by weak technicals (downtrend with bearish momentum) and a rich valuation (high P/E and low yield).
Positive Factors
PepsiCo franchise/brand strength
Long-term franchise rights with PepsiCo give Varun Beverages durable access to leading global beverage brands, established formulations and marketing, and scale benefits across manufacturing and distribution. This franchise model lowers customer-acquisition risk and supports steady volume demand and route-to-market advantages over years.
Negative Factors
Weak free cash flow conversion
FCF lagging net income over multiple years shows earnings are not fully converting to cash, likely due to capex and working-capital needs. This constrains sustained shareholder returns and limits buffer for commodity or demand shocks, raising execution risk over several quarters as investments continue.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
PepsiCo franchise/brand strength
Long-term franchise rights with PepsiCo give Varun Beverages durable access to leading global beverage brands, established formulations and marketing, and scale benefits across manufacturing and distribution. This franchise model lowers customer-acquisition risk and supports steady volume demand and route-to-market advantages over years.
Read all positive factors

Varun Beverages Ltd. (VBL) vs. iShares MSCI India ETF (INDA)

Varun Beverages Ltd. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Varun Beverages Limited, together with its subsidiaries, operates as the franchisee of carbonated soft drinks (CSDs) and non-carbonated beverages (NCBs) sold under trademarks owned by PepsiCo. The company manufactures, bottles, distributes, and se...
How the Company Makes Money
VBL primarily makes money by producing and selling ready-to-drink beverages for PepsiCo brands in territories where it holds franchise/bottling rights. Its core revenue stream is the sale of finished beverage products—typically split across (1) ca...

Varun Beverages Ltd. Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Strong revenue and earnings growth with solid profitability and a meaningfully de-risked balance sheet (lower debt-to-equity and healthy ROE). The main drag is cash-flow quality: free cash flow was negative in 2022–2024 and only recently turned positive, with low FCF-to-net-income in 2025.
Income Statement
86
Very Positive
Balance Sheet
78
Positive
Cash Flow
62
Positive
BreakdownDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue216.85B200.08B160.43B131.73B88.23B
Gross Profit85.53B111.03B86.38B69.12B47.89B
EBITDA54.02B48.31B37.47B28.27B16.62B
Net Income30.36B25.95B20.56B14.97B6.94B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets255.65B231.44B151.87B116.18B95.82B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments19.98B24.50B4.57B2.85B1.51B
Total Debt29.08B28.26B54.31B38.84B33.87B
Total Liabilities58.24B64.04B81.03B64.03B53.85B
Stockholders Equity195.79B166.10B69.36B51.02B40.80B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow7.08B-3.98B-8.73B-109.63M2.89B
Operating Cash Flow34.48B33.81B23.91B17.90B12.31B
Investing Cash Flow-27.81B-43.17B-32.90B-17.05B-10.11B
Financing Cash Flow-11.59B29.54B9.85B-179.42M-1.78B

Varun Beverages Ltd. Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price509.85
Price Trends
50DMA
432.93
Negative
100DMA
455.52
Negative
200DMA
464.64
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-3.30
Negative
RSI
56.33
Neutral
STOCH
91.22
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For IN:VBL, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 509.85 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 404.96, above the 50-day MA of 432.93, and above the 200-day MA of 464.64, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -3.30 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 56.33 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 91.22 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for IN:VBL.

Varun Beverages Ltd. Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (62)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
71
Outperform
₹1.08T76.670.70%15.34%14.67%
69
Neutral
₹990.55B54.571.42%22.56%4.73%
68
Neutral
₹2.41T62.280.97%6.25%-8.80%
67
Neutral
₹1.34T53.411.24%7.21%8.68%
66
Neutral
₹774.04B39.881.62%2.68%1.07%
62
Neutral
$20.33B14.63-3.31%3.23%1.93%-12.26%
60
Neutral
₹1.46T54.560.31%11.50%12.21%
* Consumer Defensive Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
IN:VBL
Varun Beverages Ltd.
430.45
-118.45
-21.58%
IN:BRITANNIA
Britannia Industries Ltd
5,586.85
267.40
5.03%
IN:DABUR
Dabur India Limited
424.75
-41.63
-8.93%
IN:MARICO
Marico Limited
752.60
47.73
6.77%
IN:NESTLEIND
Nestle India Ltd.
1,226.75
55.20
4.71%
IN:TATACONSUM
Tata Consumer Products Limited
1,090.30
-5.13
-0.47%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Feb 05, 2026