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Varun Beverages Ltd. (IN:VBL)
:VBL
India Market
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Varun Beverages Ltd. (VBL) AI Stock Analysis

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IN:VBL

Varun Beverages Ltd.

(VBL)

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Neutral 60 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:60Neutral
Price Target:
₹554.00
▲(8.66% Upside)
Action:Downgraded
Date:02/05/26
The score is supported by strong fundamental growth and improved leverage, but is held back by weak technicals (downtrend with bearish momentum) and a rich valuation (high P/E and low yield).
Positive Factors
Franchise with PepsiCo and large bottling scale
Long-term PepsiCo franchise rights give VBL durable brand access and product pipeline. Owning manufacturing, cold-chain and wide distribution increases in-market availability, supports higher throughput, and protects volume over time versus standalone brands.
Negative Factors
Weak free cash flow conversion
Persistent negative FCF through 2022–24 and low FCF/share relative to net income in 2025 signal ongoing capex and working capital demands. Limited free cash reduces flexibility for buybacks, dividends or M&A and raises reliance on external funding for growth.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Franchise with PepsiCo and large bottling scale
Long-term PepsiCo franchise rights give VBL durable brand access and product pipeline. Owning manufacturing, cold-chain and wide distribution increases in-market availability, supports higher throughput, and protects volume over time versus standalone brands.
Read all positive factors

Varun Beverages Ltd. (VBL) vs. iShares MSCI India ETF (INDA)

Varun Beverages Ltd. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Varun Beverages Limited, together with its subsidiaries, operates as the franchisee of carbonated soft drinks (CSDs) and non-carbonated beverages (NCBs) sold under trademarks owned by PepsiCo. The company manufactures, bottles, distributes, and se...
How the Company Makes Money
VBL primarily makes money by producing and selling finished, packaged beverages under PepsiCo-owned brands in the territories where it holds franchise rights. Its core revenue stream is the sale of beverages (in multiple pack sizes and formats suc...

Varun Beverages Ltd. Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Strong revenue and earnings growth with solid profitability and a meaningfully de-risked balance sheet (lower debt-to-equity and healthy ROE). The main drag is cash-flow quality: free cash flow was negative in 2022–2024 and only recently turned positive, with low FCF-to-net-income in 2025.
Income Statement
86
Very Positive
Balance Sheet
78
Positive
Cash Flow
62
Positive
BreakdownDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue216.85B200.08B160.43B131.73B88.23B
Gross Profit85.53B111.03B86.38B69.12B47.89B
EBITDA54.02B48.31B37.47B28.27B16.62B
Net Income30.36B25.95B20.56B14.97B6.94B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets255.65B231.44B151.87B116.18B95.82B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments19.98B24.50B4.57B2.85B1.51B
Total Debt29.08B28.26B54.31B38.84B33.87B
Total Liabilities58.24B64.04B81.03B64.03B53.85B
Stockholders Equity195.79B166.10B69.36B51.02B40.80B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow7.08B-3.98B-8.73B-109.63M2.89B
Operating Cash Flow34.48B33.81B23.91B17.90B12.31B
Investing Cash Flow-27.81B-43.17B-32.90B-17.05B-10.11B
Financing Cash Flow-11.59B29.54B9.85B-179.42M-1.78B

Varun Beverages Ltd. Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price509.85
Price Trends
50DMA
466.32
Positive
100DMA
465.79
Positive
200DMA
469.10
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
15.86
Positive
RSI
62.95
Neutral
STOCH
73.71
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For IN:VBL, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 509.85 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 513.72, above the 50-day MA of 466.32, and above the 200-day MA of 469.10, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 15.86 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 62.95 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 73.71 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for IN:VBL.

Varun Beverages Ltd. Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (62)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
76
Outperform
₹2.75T78.220.97%14.62%9.14%
75
Outperform
₹789.91B41.461.62%5.01%7.14%
75
Outperform
₹3.66T17.383.52%2.76%-40.52%
73
Outperform
₹5.16T33.651.84%3.84%41.22%
66
Neutral
₹1.19T75.520.70%15.17%19.04%
62
Neutral
$20.33B14.63-3.31%3.23%1.93%-12.26%
60
Neutral
₹1.81T56.110.31%6.75%11.21%
* Consumer Defensive Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
IN:VBL
Varun Beverages Ltd.
528.05
47.47
9.88%
IN:DABUR
Dabur India Limited
443.60
-33.52
-7.03%
IN:HINDUNILVR
Hindustan Unilever Limited
2,145.95
-147.88
-6.45%
IN:ITC
ITC Limited
287.00
-112.86
-28.22%
IN:NESTLEIND
Nestle India Ltd.
1,422.85
230.23
19.30%
IN:TATACONSUM
Tata Consumer Products Limited
1,179.35
68.79
6.19%

Varun Beverages Ltd. Corporate Events

Varun Beverages Publishes Investor Call Audio After Q1 CY2026 Results
Apr 27, 2026
Varun Beverages Ltd., a major beverage bottler and distributor for global soft drink brands, operates an extensive manufacturing and distribution network across India and several international markets. Its portfolio spans carbonated soft drinks, j...
Varun Beverages Posts Strong Q1 2026 Earnings, Announces Interim Dividend
Apr 27, 2026
Varun Beverages reported unaudited consolidated financial results for the quarter ended 31 March 2026, posting revenue from operations of ₹67,215.37 million and net profit after tax of ₹8,787.13 million, with auditors issuing an unmodi...
Varun Beverages Releases Q1 CY2026 Unaudited Results Presentation
Apr 27, 2026
Varun Beverages Ltd. has notified stock exchanges that it has released a presentation on its unaudited standalone and consolidated financial results for the quarter ended March 31, 2026. The results presentation, covering the company’s Q1 CY...
Varun Beverages Delivers Double-Digit Revenue and Profit Growth in Q1 2026
Apr 27, 2026
Varun Beverages reported strong first-quarter results for the period ended March 31, 2026, with revenue from operations rising 18.1% year-on-year to Rs. 65,741.9 million on the back of a 16.3% increase in consolidated sales volumes to 363.4 millio...
Varun Beverages Declares Interim Dividend and Approves Q1 2026 Results
Apr 27, 2026
Varun Beverages Ltd.’s board has approved the unaudited standalone and consolidated financial results for the quarter ended 31 March 2026, supported by an unmodified limited review report from its joint statutory auditors. The company contin...
Varun Beverages Publishes Q1 CY2026 Unaudited Results Presentation
Apr 27, 2026
Varun Beverages Ltd. announced that it has released an investor presentation detailing its unaudited financial results for the quarter ended March 31, 2026, in line with disclosure requirements under SEBI’s Listing Regulations. The presentat...
Varun Beverages Schedules Q1 CY 2026 Earnings Call for Investors and Analysts
Apr 21, 2026
Varun Beverages Ltd., a major beverages manufacturer and bottler, is preparing to discuss its performance and developments for the first quarter ended March 31, 2026 with the financial community. Senior management will lead an earnings conference ...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Feb 05, 2026