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Varun Beverages Ltd. (IN:VBL)
:VBL
India Market
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Varun Beverages Ltd. (VBL) AI Stock Analysis

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IN:VBL

Varun Beverages Ltd.

(VBL)

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Neutral 60 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:60Neutral
Price Target:
₹452.00
▼(-1.16% Downside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:07/29/26
The score is anchored by strong financial performance (growth, profitability, and a de-risked balance sheet), but is materially pulled down by weak technical positioning (below all major moving averages) and a demanding valuation (high P/E with low dividend yield).
Positive Factors
Franchise relationship with PepsiCo
Long-term PepsiCo franchise rights give VBL durable brand access, new product pipeline and national marketing support. This lowers brand-building risk, ensures consistent SKU introductions and supports stable demand and distribution economics across its territories.
Negative Factors
Margin volatility and gross margin step-down
A meaningful decline in gross margin signals exposure to input-cost inflation, pricing pressure or mix shifts that can compress long-term earnings power. Persistent margin volatility undermines earnings predictability and can limit free cash flow available for investment or returns.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Franchise relationship with PepsiCo
Long-term PepsiCo franchise rights give VBL durable brand access, new product pipeline and national marketing support. This lowers brand-building risk, ensures consistent SKU introductions and supports stable demand and distribution economics across its territories.
Read all positive factors

Varun Beverages Ltd. (VBL) vs. iShares MSCI India ETF (INDA)

Varun Beverages Ltd. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Varun Beverages Limited (VBL) and its subsidiaries serve as a prominent franchisee for PepsiCo, overseeing the manufacturing, bottling, distribution, and sales of both carbonated and non-carbonated beverages under PepsiCo's diverse brand portfolio...
How the Company Makes Money
VBL primarily makes money by producing and selling finished, packaged beverages under PepsiCo-owned brands in the territories where it holds franchise rights. Its core revenue stream is the sale of beverages (in multiple pack sizes and formats suc...

Varun Beverages Ltd. Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Strong revenue and earnings growth with solid 2025 profitability (gross ~39%, operating ~17.7%, net ~14.0%) and meaningfully reduced leverage (debt-to-equity down to ~0.15 in 2025). Offsetting factors are margin volatility (notably lower gross margin vs 2021–2024) and weaker cash-flow quality, with historically negative free cash flow until 2025 and low 2025 FCF-to-net-income (~0.21).
Income Statement
86
Very Positive
Balance Sheet
78
Positive
Cash Flow
62
Positive
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue241.26B216.85B200.08B160.43B131.73B88.23B
Gross Profit106.26B85.53B111.03B86.38B69.12B47.89B
EBITDA60.43B54.02B48.31B37.47B28.27B16.62B
Net Income33.86B30.36B25.95B20.56B14.97B6.94B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets302.11B255.65B231.44B151.87B116.18B95.82B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments42.51B19.98B24.50B4.57B2.85B1.51B
Total Debt34.84B25.08B28.26B54.31B38.84B33.87B
Total Liabilities82.58B58.24B64.04B81.03B64.03B53.85B
Stockholders Equity217.71B195.79B166.10B69.36B51.02B40.80B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-1.67B7.08B-3.98B-8.73B-109.63M2.89B
Operating Cash Flow9.44B34.48B33.81B23.91B17.90B12.31B
Investing Cash Flow-11.19B-27.81B-43.17B-32.90B-17.05B-10.11B
Financing Cash Flow-245.17M-11.59B29.54B9.85B-179.42M-1.78B

Varun Beverages Ltd. Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (55)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
75
Outperform
₹747.72B37.901.95%7.40%10.63%
75
Outperform
₹3.52T17.745.11%-4.13%-43.21%
74
Outperform
₹2.91T76.400.97%19.30%22.64%
69
Neutral
₹4.94T33.011.91%3.83%38.55%
66
Neutral
₹1.07T65.520.92%15.60%22.76%
60
Neutral
₹1.50T44.190.32%14.46%17.79%
55
Neutral
$6.65B3.83-15.92%6.20%10.91%7.18%
* General Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
IN:VBL
Varun Beverages Ltd.
442.50
-58.24
-11.63%
IN:DABUR
Dabur India Limited
414.00
-94.24
-18.54%
IN:HINDUNILVR
Hindustan Unilever Limited
2,085.00
-349.40
-14.35%
IN:ITC
ITC Limited
285.00
-109.37
-27.73%
IN:NESTLEIND
Nestle India Ltd.
1,500.00
393.52
35.57%
IN:TATACONSUM
Tata Consumer Products Limited
1,090.00
45.98
4.40%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jul 29, 2026