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TCPL Packaging Limited (IN:TCPLPACK)
:TCPLPACK
India Market

TCPL Packaging Limited (TCPLPACK) AI Stock Analysis

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IN:TCPLPACK

TCPL Packaging Limited

(TCPLPACK)

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Neutral 69 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:69Neutral
Price Target:
₹2,429.00
▼(-31.70% Downside)
Action:DowngradedDate:02/11/26
The score is primarily supported by improving profitability and a strengthening balance sheet, but is held back by negative free cash flow and only mixed technical confirmation (negative MACD and price below longer-term moving averages). Valuation is moderate with a modest dividend yield, providing limited additional support.
Positive Factors
Revenue Growth
A 14.85% year-over-year revenue increase demonstrates durable demand for TCPL's paperboard packaging across FMCG and regulated end markets. Sustained top-line growth supports scale economics, customer retention and helps absorb input-cost volatility over the medium term.
Negative Factors
Weak Cash Conversion
Operating cash flow covering only 55% of net income indicates earnings are not fully converting to cash. Persistent weak cash conversion can constrain dividends, debt servicing and organic investment, forcing reliance on external financing or equity issuance.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Revenue Growth
A 14.85% year-over-year revenue increase demonstrates durable demand for TCPL's paperboard packaging across FMCG and regulated end markets. Sustained top-line growth supports scale economics, customer retention and helps absorb input-cost volatility over the medium term.
Read all positive factors

TCPL Packaging Limited (TCPLPACK) vs. iShares MSCI India ETF (INDA)

TCPL Packaging Limited Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
TCPL Packaging Limited manufactures and sells packaging products in India. It offers folding cartons, printed blanks and outers, litho-lamination products, plastic cartons, and blister and shelf-ready packaging products, as well as printed cork-ti...
How the Company Makes Money
TCPL Packaging Limited primarily makes money by manufacturing and selling paperboard/paper-based packaging products to brand owners and converters, earning revenue from the supply of finished packaging (notably printed folding cartons) produced to...

TCPL Packaging Limited Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Strong income statement trends (revenue up 14.85% YoY, gross margin up to 29.41%, net margin up to 8.08%) and a strengthening balance sheet (equity ratio improved; ROE 22.22%) are partially offset by weaker cash-flow quality (operating cash flow to net income down to 0.55 and negative free cash flow due to high capex), which raises liquidity/coverage risk.
Income Statement
82
Very Positive
Balance Sheet
75
Positive
Cash Flow
68
Positive
BreakdownTTMMar 2025Mar 2024Mar 2023Mar 2022Mar 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue17.73B17.70B15.23B14.59B10.73B8.92B
Gross Profit6.19B5.21B2.45B5.54B2.93B2.49B
EBITDA3.12B3.07B2.59B2.62B1.58B1.36B
Net Income1.27B1.43B1.01B1.11B473.47M334.74M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets17.17B16.12B13.28B12.18B10.72B8.38B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments153.53M175.05M218.33M79.14M97.58M62.19M
Total Debt6.91B6.51B5.04B5.01B4.63B3.21B
Total Liabilities10.48B9.68B8.02B7.75B7.29B5.38B
Stockholders Equity6.69B6.44B5.26B4.42B3.40B3.00B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow303.17M-802.25M880.57M93.99M-923.85M598.28M
Operating Cash Flow919.75M786.37M2.34B1.09B969.72M1.15B
Investing Cash Flow-626.69M-1.51B-1.57B-899.61M-1.95B-414.13M
Financing Cash Flow-338.41M730.62M-760.88M-217.33M1.01B-667.19M

TCPL Packaging Limited Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price3556.45
Price Trends
50DMA
2656.24
Negative
100DMA
2879.92
Negative
200DMA
3203.78
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-113.34
Positive
RSI
42.33
Neutral
STOCH
19.42
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For IN:TCPLPACK, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 3556.45 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 2499.03, above the 50-day MA of 2656.24, and above the 200-day MA of 3203.78, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -113.34 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 42.33 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 19.42 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for IN:TCPLPACK.

TCPL Packaging Limited Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (57)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
69
Neutral
₹21.86B27.341.00%9.49%9.69%
64
Neutral
₹12.47B13.530.95%-1.59%-75.34%
61
Neutral
₹27.06B35.1515.59%20.12%
60
Neutral
₹34.30B36.160.82%6.63%42.16%
57
Neutral
$3.13B9.23-34.32%3.14%-25.56%-353.61%
53
Neutral
₹21.88B-12.275.79%9.84%
52
Neutral
₹27.66B64.820.18%16.32%-20.97%
* Consumer Goods Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
IN:TCPLPACK
TCPL Packaging Limited
2,402.35
-2,235.75
-48.20%
IN:BOROLTD
Borosil Ltd
226.30
-113.60
-33.42%
IN:HUHTAMAKI
Huhtamaki India Limited
165.15
-12.43
-7.00%
IN:JISLDVREQS
Jain Irrigation Systems Limited
21.40
-6.63
-23.65%
IN:LUXIND
Lux Industries Ltd.
919.80
-411.37
-30.90%
IN:ORIENTELEC
Orient Electric Ltd.
160.75
-55.30
-25.60%

TCPL Packaging Limited Corporate Events

TCPL Packaging Injects Rs. 2.29 Crore into Subsidiary to Tap Mobile Phone Packaging Boom
Mar 24, 2026
TCPL Packaging Limited has invested Rs. 2.29 crore in the rights issue of its wholly owned subsidiary, Creative Offset Printers Private Limited, receiving 40,317 additional equity shares without altering its 100% ownership. The related-party trans...
TCPL Packaging Releases Q3 and 9M FY26 Earnings Call Transcript
Feb 19, 2026
TCPL Packaging Limited announced that it has released the official transcript of its earnings conference call for the third quarter and nine months of fiscal year 2026. The call, held with investors and analysts on February 16, 2026 and led by Exe...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Feb 11, 2026