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NHPC Limited (IN:NHPC)
:NHPC
India Market
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NHPC Limited (NHPC) AI Stock Analysis

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IN:NHPC

NHPC Limited

(NHPC)

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Neutral 47 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:47Neutral
Price Target:
₹76.00
▼(-9.11% Downside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:05/18/26
The score is primarily constrained by weak cash conversion and sharply negative free cash flow alongside rising leverage, which outweigh steady revenue and solid margins. Technicals also point to bearish momentum with the stock trading below major moving averages. Valuation further limits upside due to a very high P/E, despite a moderate dividend yield.
Positive Factors
Sustained Profitability / Margins
NHPC’s ~24% net margin in FY2026 indicates durable operational efficiency within hydro generation and regulated/tariffed frameworks. Such sustained margins provide a stable earnings base to support maintenance, predictable cash inflows from contracted sales, and resilience through hydrology cycles over the medium term.
Negative Factors
Weak Cash Generation / Deep Negative FCF
A collapse in operating cash flow and a ~-107.6B free cash flow point to severe cash conversion issues from rising capex or working-capital strain. Persistent negative FCF elevates refinancing and execution risk, limits reinvestment capacity, and pressures liquidity over the next several quarters to years.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Sustained Profitability / Margins
NHPC’s ~24% net margin in FY2026 indicates durable operational efficiency within hydro generation and regulated/tariffed frameworks. Such sustained margins provide a stable earnings base to support maintenance, predictable cash inflows from contracted sales, and resilience through hydrology cycles over the medium term.
Read all positive factors

NHPC Limited (NHPC) vs. iShares MSCI India ETF (INDA)

NHPC Limited Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
NHPC Limited, an Indian enterprise established in 1975 and headquartered in Faridabad, is a prominent entity in the nation's electricity sector. Through its subsidiaries, the company's primary business involves generating and supplying power deriv...
How the Company Makes Money
NHPC primarily makes money by generating electricity at its hydroelectric power plants and selling that power to electricity distribution companies and other eligible customers under long-term power purchase agreements (PPAs) and other sale arrang...

NHPC Limited Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Profitability remains solid (FY2026 net margin ~24%) and revenue is relatively stable, but earnings have cooled from prior peaks, leverage has risen (debt-to-equity ~1.26 in FY2026), and cash generation deteriorated sharply with deeply negative FY2026 free cash flow (~-107.6B), increasing funding and execution risk.
Income Statement
70
Positive
Balance Sheet
56
Neutral
Cash Flow
30
Negative
BreakdownTTMMar 2026Mar 2025Mar 2024Mar 2023Mar 2022
Income Statement
Total Revenue112.07B116.15B103.74B92.52B104.79B90.62B
Gross Profit91.49B73.20B90.79B80.39B91.58B78.74B
EBITDA92.11B63.09B89.98B82.16B82.50B71.76B
Net Income31.71B27.82B30.07B35.96B39.03B35.24B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets1.12T1.20T1.03T932.95B890.86B772.85B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments30.48B36.62B27.51B36.35B37.87B17.28B
Total Debt449.23B523.27B415.74B345.78B315.57B260.96B
Total Liabilities645.23B716.06B575.15B494.03B443.73B396.89B
Stockholders Equity412.40B414.37B396.68B387.02B368.99B349.21B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-35.11B-107.63B-38.25B-596.40M-2.68B14.57B
Operating Cash Flow15.83B8.09B50.26B69.38B46.92B64.72B
Investing Cash Flow-50.46B-100.73B-75.50B-59.68B-42.46B-49.66B
Financing Cash Flow38.04B103.46B19.04B-5.81B-7.96B-6.38B

NHPC Limited Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price83.62
Price Trends
50DMA
78.62
Negative
100DMA
77.15
Negative
200DMA
78.68
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-1.04
Negative
RSI
48.73
Neutral
STOCH
77.50
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For IN:NHPC, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 83.62 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 75.63, above the 50-day MA of 78.62, and above the 200-day MA of 78.68, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -1.04 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 48.73 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 77.50 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for IN:NHPC.

NHPC Limited Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (66)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
66
Neutral
$17.65B18.105.60%3.62%6.62%11.55%
57
Neutral
₹2.48T155.4114.13%10.67%
55
Neutral
₹234.18B40.2944.00%97.66%
54
Neutral
₹50.00B95.07-8.91%-76.31%
52
Neutral
₹807.66B157.1230.48%5.05%
49
Neutral
₹291.51B45.471.94%47.40%-21.63%
47
Neutral
₹762.92B17.682.44%11.90%24.47%
* Utilities Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
IN:NHPC
NHPC Limited
75.78
-4.69
-5.83%
IN:ACMESOLAR
ACME Solar Holdings Ltd.
337.35
89.72
36.23%
IN:ADANIGREEN
Adani Green Energy Limited
1,501.25
552.90
58.30%
IN:NTPCGREEN
NTPC Green Energy Limited
96.10
-14.20
-12.87%
IN:RTNPOWER
RattanIndia Power Limited
9.41
-4.48
-32.25%
IN:SJVN
SJVN Limited
72.94
-22.25
-23.38%

NHPC Limited Corporate Events

NHPC Subsidiary Faces Tax Demand as Parent Raises Stake in Ratle Hydro Project
Mar 28, 2026
NHDC Limited, a subsidiary of NHPC Limited, has received an income tax demand notice of Rs 231.78 crore for assessment year 2024-25 from the Income Tax Department’s Faceless Assessment Unit. The company says the demand arises from non-consid...
NHPC Brings Third Unit of 2,000 MW Subansiri Lower Hydropower Project into Commercial Operation
Mar 17, 2026
NHPC Limited has announced the commercial operation of Unit 1, a 250 MW generator, at its 2,000 MW Subansiri Lower Hydroelectric Project located on the Assam–Arunachal Pradesh border, effective from midnight on 20 March 2026. With this miles...
NHPC Raises ₹2,000 Crore via 7.29% Unsecured AH Series Bonds
Feb 27, 2026
NHPC Limited has raised ₹2,000 crore through the private placement of listed, unsecured, non-convertible, non-cumulative, redeemable, taxable AH Series 2041 bonds bearing a coupon of 7.29% per annum. The 15-year bonds, each with a face value...
NHPC Updates Investors on Kishanganga Arbitration Award in Favour of HCC
Feb 23, 2026
NHPC Limited has disclosed an update on a material arbitration case related to the Kishanganga Hydroelectric Project, where an arbitral tribunal has pronounced an award in favour of contractor Hindustan Construction Company. The dispute concerns c...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: May 18, 2026