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El Al Israel Airlines Ltd (IL:ELAL)
:ELAL

El Al (ELAL) AI Stock Analysis

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IL:ELAL

El Al

(ELAL)

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Outperform 70 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:70Outperform
Price Target:
1,718.00
▼(-4.29% Downside)
Action:UpgradedDate:03/01/26
The score is driven primarily by solid financial performance (profitability, restored equity, and strong cash generation) and an attractive valuation (low P/E with a meaningful dividend). These positives are tempered by weak technical momentum and some signs of normalization versus 2024 (lower margins and slightly weaker cash flow).
Positive Factors
Core scheduled air travel business
As Israel's established scheduled carrier, El Al benefits from a durable route network, brand recognition and steady demand for core passenger services. This business model creates recurring cash flow opportunities from fares, ancillary services and cargo across domestic and international routes.
Improving leverage profile
The marked reduction in debt-to-equity indicates meaningful deleveraging, improving financial flexibility and lowering interest burden. Sustained lower leverage increases resilience to demand volatility, supports refinancing capacity and frees cash for strategic investments over months to years.
Healthy operating margins
Robust gross, EBIT and EBITDA margins relative to the industry point to operational efficiency and pricing power. These margins enhance the company's ability to absorb fuel and cost shocks, sustain profitability, and reinvest in fleet or routes, supporting medium-term competitive positioning.
Negative Factors
Negative free cash flow growth
A sustained decline in free cash flow growth reduces the firm's ability to self-fund capex, service debt or build reserves. Over several quarters this can force external financing, constrain strategic spending, and heighten liquidity risk in a capital-intensive, cyclical airline industry.
Low equity ratio
A low equity ratio signals heavy reliance on debt financing, leaving limited capital buffer against shocks. In an industry exposed to demand swings and rate moves, this structural leverage increases solvency risk and can amplify the impact of downturns on long-term operations and financing costs.
Declining EPS growth
A steep decline in EPS growth suggests pressure on per-share profitability, potentially from dilution, cost pressures or uneven revenue mix. If persistent, falling EPS constrains retained earnings, weakens reinvestment capacity, and can signal structural earnings volatility to stakeholders.

El Al (ELAL) vs. iShares MSCI Israel ETF (EIS)

El Al Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionEl Al Israel Airlines Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, provides passengers and cargo transportation services. The company operates flights on passenger aircraft to approximately 40 direct destinations in 26 countries in Europe, the United States and Canada, the Far East, Central Asia, and South Africa. It also offers aircraft maintenance services in airport; sells duty-free products; manages travel agencies; and produces and supplies prepared kosher meals to airlines. In addition, the company provides catering services to institutions; and markets tour packages and airline tickets to travel agents and individual passengers, as well as operates various restaurants. El Al Israel Airlines Ltd. was incorporated in 1948 and is based in Lod, Israel.
How the Company Makes MoneyEl Al generates revenue primarily through the sale of passenger tickets and cargo services. The airline's main revenue stream comes from its passenger operations, where it offers both economy and premium class services. Additional revenue is derived from cargo transportation, which includes shipping goods internationally. The company also monetizes ancillary services, such as seat selection, extra baggage fees, and in-flight purchases. Partnerships with travel agencies and alliances with other airlines enhance its market reach and contribute to its earnings. Furthermore, El Al has loyalty programs that encourage repeat business, which plays a significant role in its financial performance.

El Al Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Strong post-pandemic profitability and robust operating/free cash flow, with positive equity restored. Offsetting this, margins cooled from 2024 to 2025, cash flow declined year-over-year, and leverage remains meaningful (debt-to-equity ~1.68).
Income Statement
78
Positive
Profitability has improved materially versus 2020–2021 losses, with solid 2025 revenue growth (8.3%) and strong 2025 margins (gross margin ~36%, operating margin ~16.5%, net margin ~11.6%). However, earnings power appears to have cooled from 2024 to 2025 as operating and net margins stepped down (2024 net margin ~15.8% vs. 2025 ~11.6%), suggesting higher costs and/or normalization from an unusually strong 2024.
Balance Sheet
62
Positive
The balance sheet has clearly repaired from negative equity in 2020–2023 to positive equity in 2024–2025, which is a major de-risking. Leverage remains meaningful for an airline: 2025 debt-to-equity is ~1.68 (improved from ~2.80 in 2024), implying continued sensitivity to demand shocks, fuel costs, and interest rates. Total debt also increased in 2025 versus 2024, partially offsetting the benefit of higher equity.
Cash Flow
74
Positive
Cash generation is strong: 2025 operating cash flow (~1.13B) and free cash flow (~0.76B) were both solid and free cash flow covered a meaningful portion of earnings (free cash flow to net income ~0.67). That said, 2025 cash flow declined versus 2024 (free cash flow growth -2.8%), and cash conversion weakened compared with the prior year (2024 free cash flow to net income ~0.86), indicating less favorable working-capital or capex dynamics.
BreakdownDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue3.76B3.43B2.50B1.99B857.17M
Gross Profit1.36B962.60M396.00M309.37M-103.31M
EBITDA917.72M1.06B509.20M326.70M-84.10M
Net Income436.56M541.40M112.60M108.70M-413.04M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets5.00B4.38B3.32B3.19B2.83B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments1.99B1.40B405.70M283.42M90.53M
Total Debt1.77B1.53B1.91B2.09B2.19B
Total Liabilities3.95B3.85B3.53B3.54B3.38B
Stockholders Equity1.05B545.90M-187.30M-320.88M-549.49M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow762.17M1.24B324.70M246.76M-21.11M
Operating Cash Flow1.13B1.45B455.50M312.89M-558.00K
Investing Cash Flow-980.72M-1.11B-174.50M-59.49M7.94M
Financing Cash Flow-183.05M-198.10M-179.10M-56.10M15.17M

El Al Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price1795.00
Price Trends
50DMA
1685.28
Negative
100DMA
1537.87
Negative
200DMA
1426.48
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-48.54
Positive
RSI
30.78
Neutral
STOCH
10.23
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For IL:ELAL, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 1795 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 1675.95, above the 50-day MA of 1685.28, and above the 200-day MA of 1426.48, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -48.54 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 30.78 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 10.23 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for IL:ELAL.

El Al Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
70
Outperform
₪8.43B5.6469.39%1.56%-28.04%
63
Neutral
$10.79B15.437.44%2.01%2.89%-14.66%
60
Neutral
₪389.55M1.1970.95%-60.44%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
IL:ELAL
El Al
1,450.00
371.16
34.40%
IL:KNFM
Knafaim
1,853.00
331.01
21.75%
IL:AVIA
Aviation Links
1,980.00
525.49
36.13%
IL:ISTA
Issta
11,000.00
2,160.85
24.45%
IL:GKL
Global Knafaim
79.50
1.90
2.45%
IL:ISRG
Israir Group Ltd
153.70
-53.40
-25.78%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Mar 01, 2026