Hormel Foods (HRL) Risk Analysis

The Company's ability to meet its labor needs while controlling its costs is subject to external factors such as labor laws and regulations, labor availability, unemployment levels, prevailing wage rates, benefit costs, changing demographics, immigration laws, regulations, and enforcement policies, and the Company's reputation within the labor market. If the Company is unable to attract and retain a workforce meeting its needs (including for specialized roles with significant competition for talent) or is unable to successfully execute on succession planning and continuity at all levels of the organization, including as a result of the Company's recent corporate restructuring plan, the Company's operations, strategy, and competitiveness could suffer. Any of these outcomes could adversely affect the Company's reputation, results of operations, and financial condition. In addition, a significant increase in labor costs, a reduction of available labor, or a deterioration of labor relations at any of the Company's owned facilities or co-manufacturing facilities could result in work slowdowns or stoppages, which could adversely affect the Company's reputation, results of operations, and financial condition. The Company periodically renegotiates its collective bargaining agreements as such agreements expire. New or increased unionization efforts at a facility or failure to successfully negotiate with existing unions could lead to disruptions in the Company's supply chain, increases in operating costs, and constraints on operating flexibility. Any of these outcomes could adversely affect the Company's reputation, results of operations, and financial condition.

The Company's results of operations and financial condition are largely dependent upon the cost and supply of pork, poultry, beef, feed grains, nuts, energy, and other inputs, as well as the selling prices for many of the Company's products, which are determined by dynamic market forces of supply and demand. The Company takes a balanced approach to sourcing pork raw materials, including hogs purchased for the Austin, Minnesota processing facility, long-term supply agreements for pork, and spot market purchases of pork. This approach is designed to ensure a more stable supply of raw materials while minimizing extreme fluctuations in costs over the long term. However, this may result, in the short term, in higher or lower live hog costs compared to the cash spot market. Market-based pricing on certain product lines, and lead time required to implement pricing adjustments, may prevent all or part of these cost increases from being recovered, and these higher costs could adversely affect the Company's short-term financial results. The Company raises turkeys and contracts with turkey growers to meet its raw material requirements for whole birds and processed turkey products. Results in these operations are affected by the cost and supply of feed grains, which fluctuate due to climate conditions, production forecasts, and supply and demand conditions at local, regional, national, and worldwide markets. The Company attempts to manage some of its short-term exposure to fluctuations in feed prices by forward buying, using futures contracts, and pursuing pricing advances. However, these strategies may not be adequate to overcome sustained increases in market prices due to alternate uses for feed grains or other changes in these market conditions. The Company may be subject to decreased availability or less favorable pricing for nuts, tomatoes, avocados, or other produce if poor growing conditions have a negative effect on agricultural productivity. Reductions in crop size or quality due to unfavorable growing conditions may have an adverse effect on the Company's results. The supplies of natural and organic proteins may impact the Company's ability to ensure a continuing supply of these products. International trade barriers and other restrictions or disruptions could result in decreased foreign demand and increased domestic supply of proteins, thereby potentially lowering prices. The Company occasionally utilizes in-country production to limit this exposure. Any fluctuations in commodity prices or the availability of raw materials and other inputs necessary for the Company's business could adversely affect the Company's results of operations and financial condition.

Sales to the Company's largest customer, Walmart, accounted for approximately 16 percent of consolidated gross sales less returns and allowances during fiscal 2025. Walmart is a customer for the Company's Retail and International segments. The Company's top five customers collectively represented approximately 38 percent of consolidated gross sales less returns and allowances during fiscal 2025. The loss of one or more of the top customers in any of the reportable segments could adversely affect the Company's results of operations and financial condition. The Company relies on suppliers, distributors, and other third parties to source key inputs, deliver products to customers, and support its operations. Any termination of, or adverse change in, the Company's relationship with any of these companies could decrease the Company's sales, increase the Company's costs, and negatively impact the Company's results of operations.

Maintaining and enhancing the reputation of the Company and its key brands is critical to the Company's business success. The Company's reputation is largely based on perceptions. It may be difficult to address negative publicity or sensationalism across media channels, regardless of its accuracy or the reputability of its source, including as a result of fictitious media content (such as content produced by artificial intelligence or bad actors). Negative incidents (including those based on differing perspectives or opinions) involving the Company, its brands, its workforce, or others with whom the Company does business could quickly erode trust and confidence and result in changes in behavior including consumer boycotts, workforce unrest or walkouts, government investigations, and litigation. Negative reputational incidents or negative perceptions of the Company or its brands could adversely affect the Company's business and results of operations, including through lower sales, the termination of business relationships, higher costs, and team member engagement, retention, and recruiting difficulties. The Company has previously experienced negative perceptions of its business, and it could experience similar occurrences in the future. Any of these outcomes could negatively impact the Company's reputation, results of operations, and financial condition. The Company previously established, and may continue to establish, various goals and initiatives regarding environmental, social, and governance matters, including with respect to sustainability. The Company has modified, and may continue to modify, certain of these goals and initiatives from time to time. The Company's establishment and continuation of any goals or initiatives regarding environmental, social, and governance matters, any modification or termination of such goals or initiatives, or any failure or perceived failure by the Company to achieve them, could result in negative reactions from the Company's shareholders, customers, consumers, team members, suppliers, and other third parties (including governmental entities and officials and non-governmental organizations) and lead to adverse perceptions of the Company's business, consumer boycotts, litigation, investigations, and regulatory proceedings. Any of these outcomes could negatively impact the Company's reputation, results of operations, and financial condition. Reputational harm can also occur indirectly through companies and others with whom the Company does business or who sell the Company's products. In addition, the Company has previously had, and may in the future have, relationships with celebrities, influencers, and other individuals, including for advertising campaigns and marketing programs. If consumers have negative experiences with, or view unfavorably, any of the companies or individuals with whom the Company has relationships, it could cause them to reduce or stop purchasing the Company's products, which could adversely affect the Company's results of operations.

The Company's business may be adversely affected by changes in national or global economic conditions, including inflation, interest rates, tax rates, availability of capital, energy availability and costs (including fuel surcharges), political developments, civil unrest, terrorist attacks, armed conflicts, public health crises, legal and regulatory actions, immigration policies and trends, and the effects of governmental initiatives to manage economic conditions, including through the imposition of tariffs, quotas, trade barriers, and other restrictions. Any of these or other changes in national and global economic conditions could adversely impact the Company's results of operations and financial condition, including as follows: The financial stability of the Company's customers and suppliers may be compromised, which could result in challenges in collecting accounts receivable or non-performance by suppliers. Unfavorable economic conditions may lead customers and consumers to delay or reduce purchases of the Company's products. The imposition of tariffs, quotas, trade barriers, or other restrictions could increase the cost of key inputs or reduce their availability. In particular, recent U.S. tariffs imposed or threatened to be imposed on a variety of countries, and any retaliatory actions taken by such countries, could result in the Company incurring additional costs to procure key inputs. Fuel and transportation costs may become inflated and there may be supply chain shortages and delays, as has occurred in recent years. Customer demand for products may not materialize to levels required to achieve the Company's anticipated financial results or may decline as distributors and retailers seek to reduce inventory positions if there is an economic downturn or economic uncertainty in key markets. The value of the Company's investments in debt and equity securities may decline, including, most significantly, assets held in pension plans and the trading securities held as part of a rabbi trust to fund supplemental executive retirement plans and deferred compensation plans. Future volatility or disruption in the capital and credit markets could impair the Company's liquidity or increase costs of borrowing. The Company may be required to redirect cash flow provided by operations or explore alternative strategies, such as disposing of assets, to fulfill the payment of principal and interest on its indebtedness. Volatile fluctuations in market conditions could cause the Company's hedging instruments for its exposure to commodity prices to become ineffective, which could require any gains or losses associated with these instruments to be reported in the Company's earnings each period. These instruments may limit the Company's ability to benefit from market gains if commodity prices become more favorable than those secured under the Company's hedging programs.

The Company operates its business and markets its products internationally as well as sourcing a variety of inputs from around the world. The Company's foreign operations are subject to the risks described above, as well as risks related to fluctuations in currency values, foreign currency exchange controls, compliance with foreign regulations and tax laws, compliance with applicable U.S. laws, including the Foreign Corrupt Practices Act, and other economic or political uncertainties. The Company's international sales are subject to risks related to general economic conditions, imposition of tariffs, quotas, trade barriers and other restrictions, enforcement of remedies in foreign jurisdictions and compliance with applicable foreign laws, and other economic and political uncertainties. Any of these risks could result in increased costs and decreased revenues, which could adversely affect the Company's results of operations and financial condition.

The Company's operations, and those of its suppliers, are subject to extensive regulation in the U.S. and abroad, by the U.S. Department of Agriculture, the U.S. Food and Drug Administration, the U.S. Department of Homeland Security, international, federal, and state taxing authorities, and other international, federal, state, and local authorities, including those that oversee workforce mobility, taxation, animal welfare, food safety, and the processing, packaging, storage, distribution, advertising, and labeling of the Company's products. Claims or enforcement proceedings could be brought against the Company in the future. In addition, these regulations could become more restrictive, which could lead to increased costs for the Company. For example, multiple states in the U.S. have implemented, or are considering implementing, extended producer responsibility laws that will require the Company to enact policies and processes and will increase expenses, including through fees paid to state governments in connection with such laws. In addition, pork harvest facilities that the Company relies upon in its supply chain are currently relying on government-issued waivers to regulations that otherwise limit maximum production line speeds. While rulemaking and legislation are underway to permanently increase permissible line speeds, if these waivers are not made permanent and line speeds are required to be slowed, harvest capacity and costs may be negatively impacted. Any of these outcomes could adversely affect the Company's results of operations and financial condition. The Company's manufacturing facilities and products are also subject to ongoing inspection by federal, state, and local authorities. The loss of the availability of government inspectors, including due to a government furlough or reduction in force, could cause disruption to the Company's manufacturing facilities, which could adversely impact the Company's results of operations. There have been, and may continue to be, changes in the legal or regulatory environment (including as a result of executive orders) affecting many areas related to the Company's business, including raw material costs and availability, energy costs and availability, workforce availability, transport costs and capacity, information security, cybersecurity, and data privacy, supply chain requirements, food safety, environmental, social, and governance matters, and climate and emissions disclosure. The ultimate impact of any changes in the legal or regulatory environment (including as a result of executive orders) is not possible to predict and could negatively affect the Company's results of operations and financial condition, including by increasing its expenses,reducing customer and consumer demand for the Company's products, limiting workforce availability for the Company, its suppliers, and its customers, and resulting in litigation, investigations, and regulatory proceedings against the Company. In addition, if the Company is unable or perceived to be unable to comply with any changes in the legal or regulatory environment (including as a result of executive orders), the Company's reputation, results of operations, and financial condition could be adversely affected.

The Company is regularly involved in a variety of legal proceedings, including litigation, arbitration, claims, investigations, and inquiries. The frequency of any such proceedings could increase in the future. These proceedings relate to a wide range of matters, including class actions involving employees, consumers, competitors, suppliers, shareholders, or others, commercial disputes, product liability, contract disputes, antitrust regulations, tax regulations, intellectual property, advertising, labeling, wage and hour laws, employment practices, environmental matters, shareholder actions, securities claims, and other matters relating to the Company's compliance with applicable laws and regulations. These matters are inherently uncertain, and the Company may not be successful in defending itself. Determining applicable reserves and possible losses related to such matters involves judgment and may not reflect the full range of uncertainties and unpredictable outcomes. In addition, the Company's assessment of the materiality and likely outcome of these matters may not be consistent with the ultimate outcome of such matters. Responding to these matters has required, and may in the future require, the Company to devote significant resources and incur significant expenses, even for those that are non-meritorious, which could adversely affect the Company's results of operations and financial condition. Any of these proceedings could also generate negative publicity that adversely affects the Company's reputation.

The Company's past and present business operations and the Company's ownership and operation of real property are subject to stringent international, federal, state, and local environmental laws and regulations pertaining to the discharge of materials into the environment and the handling and disposition of wastes (including solid and hazardous wastes) or otherwise relating to protection of the environment. Some of the Company's facilities have been in operation for many years and, over time, the Company and other prior operators of these facilities may have generated and disposed of waste that now may be considered hazardous. Future discovery of contamination of property underlying or in the vicinity of the Company's present or former properties or manufacturing facilities and/or waste disposal sites could require the Company to incur additional expenses related to additional investigation, assessment, or other requirements. The occurrence of any of these events, the implementation of new laws and regulations, or stricter interpretation of existing laws or regulations could adversely affect the Company's reputation, results of operations, and financial condition.

IT systems are an important part of the Company's business operations. The Company also increasingly relies upon third-party service providers for a variety of business functions, including cloud-based services. The Company has programs in place to prevent, detect, contain, and respond to cyber incidents. However, the Company may be unable to anticipate security incidents, detect attacks, or implement adequate preventive measures as cyber threats continue to evolve and cyberattacks have become more sophisticated and frequent, including through the use of enhanced technologies and capabilities (such as artificial intelligence) by threat actors with a wide range of expertise and motives. For example, threat actors have increasingly targeted organizations in the U.S. and internationally with sophisticated ransomware attacks, which the Company may be unable to anticipate, detect, or contain. In addition, hardware or software that the Company develops or obtains from third parties may contain defects that could compromise the Company's IT systems. Unauthorized parties may also attempt to gain access to the Company's IT systems or facilities, or those of third parties with whom the Company does business, through fraud, deception, social engineering, or other bad acts. Errors or malicious actions by the Company's team members or contractors and other vulnerabilities or irregularities could also negate the Company's security measures or those of third parties with whom the Company does business and result in a compromise or breach of the Company's or their IT systems. The utilization of hybrid and remote work by the Company's team members, suppliers, and other third parties has amplified the Company's already extensive reliance on IT systems and unimpeded internet access. Furthermore, the training the Company conducts as part of information security and cybersecurity efforts may not be effective in preventing or limiting successful attacks. The Company and third parties with whom it does business face attempts by others to gain unauthorized access to, sabotage, take control of, and corrupt, its or their IT systems and data. As a result of these types of attempts, both the Company and third parties with whom it does business have experienced information security, cybersecurity, and data privacy incidents. None of these incidents have had a material impact on the Company's business strategy, results of operations, or financial condition. If the Company or third parties with whom the Company does business experience additional significant information security, cybersecurity, or data privacy incidents or fail to detect and appropriately respond to significant incidents, the Company's business operations could be severely disrupted and it could be exposed to costly government enforcement actions and private litigation. In addition, the Company's customers and consumers could delay, reduce, or cease purchases of the Company's products. Any of these outcomes could adversely affect the Company's reputation, results of operations, and financial condition.

The Company relies extensively on IT systems throughout its business. The Company also relies on continued and unimpeded access to the internet to use its IT systems. These systems are subject to possible damage or interruption from many events, including power and other outages, telecommunications failures, third-party failures, malicious attacks, security breaches, unplanned downtime, program transitions, and implementation errors. Any damage or disruption to the Company's IT systems could severely interrupt the Company's business operations, including the Company's ability to develop, process, and distribute its products, which could adversely affect its reputation, results of operations, and financial condition. The Company has been evolving its IT infrastructure, but continues to rely on a variety of legacy technologies across its business. The Company has invested, and expects to continue investing, in updates to its IT and security infrastructure and capabilities. If the Company fails to effectively implement these updates, the risk of an adverse cybersecurity incident may increase, including for example if vendors fail to continue to provide security updates for legacy technologies. Reliance on legacy technology for an extended period may also increase the Company's IT maintenance expense and risk of system downtime, as well as slow the Company's adoption of more innovative technologies or ability to benefit from more sophisticated data analytics. In addition, problems and interruptions associated with implementing technology initiatives could adversely affect the Company's operational efficiency. Any of these outcomes could adversely affect the Company's results of operations and financial condition.