Expert Systems Holdings Ltd. (HK:8319)
:8319
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Expert Systems Holdings Ltd.
(8319)
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Rating:63Neutral
Price Target:
HK$0.13
▲(10.00% Upside)
Action:DowngradedDate:03/24/26
The score is driven primarily by mixed fundamentals: strong cash generation and manageable leverage are offset by a sharp recent revenue decline and modest margins. Technical signals are notably weak (oversold/negative momentum), while valuation provides meaningful support due to the low P/E and high dividend yield.
Positive Factors
Cash generation
Strong operating and free cash flow, with free cash flow roughly matching reported earnings and a notable rebound versus the prior year, provides durable internal funding. This supports reinvestment, dividend capacity and a buffer against cyclical weakness without relying solely on external financing.
Negative Factors
Sharp revenue decline
A ~54% revenue drop in the latest year is a material structural concern: it erodes scale, risks losing recurring service contracts, and reduces bargaining leverage with vendors. Sustained weakness would impair margins, cash conversion and the company’s ability to fund growth from operations.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Cash generation
Strong operating and free cash flow, with free cash flow roughly matching reported earnings and a notable rebound versus the prior year, provides durable internal funding. This supports reinvestment, dividend capacity and a buffer against cyclical weakness without relying solely on external financing.
Read all positive factors
Expert Systems Holdings Ltd. (8319) vs. iShares MSCI Hong Kong ETF (EWH)
Market Cap
HK$93.98M
Dividend Yield6.41%
Average Volume (3M)65.00K
Price to Earnings (P/E)4.5
Beta (1Y)-0.17
Revenue Growth3.21%
EPS Growth-12.00%
CountryHK
Employees1,004
SectorTechnology
Sector Strength88
IndustryInformation Technology Services
Share Statistics
EPS (TTM)<0.01
Shares Outstanding803,280,000
10 Day Avg. Volume48,000
30 Day Avg. Volume65,000
Financial Highlights & Ratios
PEG Ratio-0.69
Price to Book (P/B)0.48
Price to Sales (P/S)0.09
P/FCF Ratio2.33
Enterprise Value/Market CapN/A
Enterprise Value/RevenueN/A
Enterprise Value/Gross ProfitN/A
Enterprise Value/EbitdaN/A
Forecast
1Y Price TargetN/A
Price Target UpsideN/A
Rating ConsensusN/A
Number of Analyst Covering0
EPS Forecast (FY)N/A
Revenue Forecast (FY)N/A
Expert Systems Holdings Ltd. Business Overview & Revenue Model
Company Description
Expert Systems Holdings Limited, an investment holding company, provides information technology (IT) infrastructure solutions services to enterprises and institutions in Hong Kong, China, Macau, and internationally. It offers infrastructure and cl...
Expert Systems Holdings Ltd. Financial Statement Overview
Summary
Income Statement
56
Neutral
Balance Sheet
63
Positive
Cash Flow
70
Positive
| Breakdown | TTM | Mar 2024 | Mar 2023 | Mar 2022 | Mar 2021 | Mar 2020 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Income Statement | ||||||
| Total Revenue | 1.17B | 900.70M | 990.96M | 886.54M | 682.19M | 533.94M |
| Gross Profit | 196.23M | 150.74M | 152.67M | 139.34M | 104.95M | 72.01M |
| EBITDA | 31.24M | 38.64M | 41.25M | 46.04M | 31.39M | 27.64M |
| Net Income | 16.07M | 13.96M | 15.37M | 19.65M | 15.22M | 21.72M |
Balance Sheet | ||||||
| Total Assets | 585.88M | 573.39M | 506.25M | 495.20M | 539.76M | 257.98M |
| Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments | 184.33M | 245.14M | 219.13M | 197.40M | 201.36M | 154.13M |
| Total Debt | 92.13M | 81.22M | 72.79M | 74.80M | 66.93M | 5.85M |
| Total Liabilities | 386.86M | 375.59M | 314.14M | 309.85M | 368.88M | 135.98M |
| Stockholders Equity | 177.11M | 176.70M | 169.68M | 163.96M | 151.88M | 122.00M |
Cash Flow | ||||||
| Free Cash Flow | 24.33M | 36.51M | 35.39M | 56.30M | 24.53M | 63.38M |
| Operating Cash Flow | 28.11M | 36.92M | 36.69M | 58.99M | 25.89M | 63.59M |
| Investing Cash Flow | -7.66M | 7.90M | 3.89M | -3.76M | -9.28M | -1.72M |
| Financing Cash Flow | -21.32M | -18.31M | -16.78M | -14.93M | -11.65M | -5.16M |
Expert Systems Holdings Ltd. Technical Analysis
Negative
0.12
Price Trends
0.13
Negative
0.12
Negative
0.12
Positive
Market Momentum
>-0.01
Positive
12.70
Positive
28.52
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For HK:8319, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 0.12 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 0.12, below the 50-day MA of 0.13, and above the 200-day MA of 0.12, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of >-0.01 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 12.70 is Positive, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 28.52 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for HK:8319.
Expert Systems Holdings Ltd. Peers Comparison
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Name | Overall Rating | Market Cap | P/E Ratio | ROE | Dividend Yield | Revenue Growth | EPS Growth |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
67 Neutral | HK$196.02M | 1.83 | 2.15% | ― | 4.19% | -52.73% | |
66 Neutral | HK$78.86M | 7.11 | 6.73% | 7.87% | -1.57% | -18.62% | |
63 Neutral | HK$93.98M | 4.48 | 9.09% | 6.41% | 3.21% | -12.00% | |
61 Neutral | $37.18B | 12.37 | -10.20% | 1.83% | 8.50% | -7.62% | |
55 Neutral | HK$208.54M | -3.11 | -33.88% | ― | -18.19% | 4.52% | |
52 Neutral | HK$89.64M | 28.26 | 0.64% | ― | 5.01% | 82.54% | |
46 Neutral | HK$151.68M | -1.10 | -102.18% | ― | -78.41% | -3530.77% |
* Technology Sector Average
HK:8319
Expert Systems Holdings Ltd.
0.12
0.02
21.88%
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0.79
0.44
125.71%
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0.68
0.38
126.67%
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0.67
0.39
139.29%
HK:8033
Vodatel Networks Holdings Limited
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0.03
31.96%
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0.06
-0.09
-58.67%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Disclaimer
This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.