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Country Garden Holdings
(2007)
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Rating:41Neutral
Price Target:
HK$0.18
▼(-67.45% Downside)
Action:Upgraded
Date:07/04/26
The score is driven primarily by weak financial performance—especially negative equity, heavy debt, and unstable profitability—followed by bearish technicals with the stock trading below major moving averages and negative MACD. Valuation contributes little support given the negative P/E and lack of dividend yield data.
Positive Factors
Large-scale residential developer business model
The company’s core business of developing large-scale residential master-planned communities is a durable, asset-backed model serving mass-market and upgrader demand. Scale enables recurring land acquisition, centralized construction know-how, and repeatable presale cash generation across cycles over months.
Negative Factors
Negative shareholders' equity
Negative equity is a structural solvency concern: liabilities exceed capital, constraining borrowing capacity and limiting cushions for future losses. Over months this elevates refinancing and covenant risks, reducing strategic options and increasing the chance of forced deleveraging or asset sales.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Large-scale residential developer business model
The company’s core business of developing large-scale residential master-planned communities is a durable, asset-backed model serving mass-market and upgrader demand. Scale enables recurring land acquisition, centralized construction know-how, and repeatable presale cash generation across cycles over months.
Read all positive factors
Country Garden Holdings (2007) vs. iShares MSCI Hong Kong ETF (EWH)
Market Cap
HK$8.87B
Dividend YieldN/A
Average Volume (3M)137.04M
Price to Earnings (P/E)―
Beta (1Y)0.49
Revenue Growth-38.67%
EPS GrowthN/A
CountryHK
Employees14,069
SectorReal Estate
Sector Strength53
IndustryReal Estate - Development
Share Statistics
EPS (TTM)0.12
Shares Outstanding46,365,383,000
10 Day Avg. Volume144,670,886
30 Day Avg. Volume137,035,999
Financial Highlights & Ratios
PEG Ratio-0.03
Price to Book (P/B)-12.00
Price to Sales (P/S)0.07
P/FCF Ratio6.72
Enterprise Value/Market CapN/A
Enterprise Value/RevenueN/A
Enterprise Value/Gross ProfitN/A
Enterprise Value/EbitdaN/A
Forecast
1Y Price Target
HK$0.25Price Target Upside-54.55% Downside
Rating ConsensusModerate Sell
Number of Analyst Covering1
EPS Forecast (FY)-0.81
Revenue Forecast (FY)HK$77.90B
Country Garden Holdings Business Overview & Revenue Model
Company Description
Country Garden Holdings Company Limited operates as an investment group, primarily focused on real estate development, investment, and construction projects across mainland China. Its operations are organized into two key divisions: Property Devel...
How the Company Makes Money
Country Garden primarily makes money by developing real estate projects and selling completed (or pre-sold) residential properties. Its main revenue stream is recognized from the sale of properties (e.g., apartments and villas) within its developm...
Country Garden Holdings Financial Statement Overview
Summary
Income Statement
22
Negative
Balance Sheet
12
Very Negative
Cash Flow
28
Negative
| Breakdown | Dec 2025 | Dec 2024 | Jun 2024 | Dec 2022 | Dec 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Income Statement | |||||
| Total Revenue | 154.89B | 252.76B | 401.01B | 430.37B | 523.06B |
| Gross Profit | -43.12B | -1.69B | -93.61B | 32.88B | 92.78B |
| EBITDA | 20.30B | -15.90B | -159.67B | 7.63B | 63.74B |
| Net Income | 3.26B | -32.84B | -178.40B | -6.05B | 26.80B |
Balance Sheet | |||||
| Total Assets | 812.12B | 1.04T | 1.29T | 1.74T | 1.95T |
| Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments | 12.19B | 15.06B | 18.82B | 139.69B | 161.16B |
| Total Debt | 150.64B | 256.00B | 251.65B | 271.72B | 318.61B |
| Total Liabilities | 767.86B | 984.59B | 1.20T | 1.43T | 1.65T |
| Stockholders Equity | -859.00M | -7.18B | 25.95B | 203.62B | 198.74B |
Cash Flow | |||||
| Free Cash Flow | 1.53B | -3.32B | -77.06B | 33.68B | 7.26B |
| Operating Cash Flow | 1.53B | -3.28B | -76.13B | 35.62B | 10.86B |
| Investing Cash Flow | 1.65B | 6.05B | 9.54B | 4.41B | -18.04B |
| Financing Cash Flow | -3.73B | -3.53B | -54.44B | -58.69B | -12.90B |
Country Garden Holdings Technical Analysis
Neutral
0.55
Price Trends
0.22
Negative
0.26
Negative
0.38
Negative
Market Momentum
-0.01
Negative
45.59
Neutral
72.36
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For HK:2007, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 0.55 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 0.19, above the 50-day MA of 0.22, and above the 200-day MA of 0.38, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.01 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 45.59 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 72.36 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for HK:2007.
Country Garden Holdings Peers Comparison
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)
HK:2007
Country Garden Holdings
0.19
-0.23
-54.82%
GTWCF
Greentown China Holdings
1.07
-0.22
-17.25%
DE:16H0
Guangdong - Hong Kong Greater Bay Area Holdings Ltd.
1.26
0.89
240.54%
DE:HVP0
Hopson Development Holdings Limited
0.29
-0.10
-26.67%
HK:9993
Radiance Holdings (Group) Company Limited
1.13
-1.89
-62.58%
HK:0817
China Jinmao Holdings Group Limited
1.29
-0.06
-4.44%
Country Garden Holdings Corporate Events
Country Garden Posts RMB 2.45 Billion in Preliminary June Contracted Sales
Jul 2, 2026
Country Garden reported unaudited operating figures for June 2026, with contracted sales attributable to shareholders of about RMB 2.45 billion and contracted sales gross floor area of roughly 0.30 million square meters. The company emphasized tha...
Country Garden Mirrors Mainland Bond Disclosures in Hong Kong Filing
Jul 2, 2026
Country Garden Holdings has issued an overseas regulatory announcement in Hong Kong to mirror disclosures made on the Shanghai and Shenzhen stock exchanges regarding major corporate matters tied to several onshore bond issues. The filing highlight...
Country Garden Advances Onshore Bond Restructuring to Address Auditor’s Disclaimer
Jun 30, 2026
Country Garden Holdings has outlined progress on a comprehensive restructuring of nine onshore corporate bonds as part of efforts to address a disclaimer of opinion issued by its auditor over going concern concerns. The measures follow recent annu...
Country Garden Finalises Holding Period in Offshore Debt Restructuring
Jun 29, 2026
Country Garden Holdings has confirmed the expiry of the holding period for its offshore debt restructuring scheme, with the distribution of trust assets to eligible unadmitted scheme creditors completed on 29 June 2026. The move marks a key proced...
Country Garden Posts RMB 2.63 Billion in May Contracted Sales, Warns Figures Are Preliminary
Jun 3, 2026
Country Garden Holdings reported that its group, including joint ventures and associates, recorded contracted sales attributable to shareholders of about RMB 2.63 billion in May 2026, representing approximately 0.33 million square meters of gross ...
Country Garden flags major onshore bond matters in cross-border disclosure move
May 29, 2026
Country Garden Holdings has issued an overseas regulatory announcement in Hong Kong drawing investors’ attention to major corporate matters disclosed on the Shanghai Stock Exchange concerning one of its onshore bonds. The filing underscores ...
Country Garden shareholders back all resolutions at 2026 AGM
May 28, 2026
Country Garden Holdings reported that all resolutions put to its 28 May 2026 annual general meeting were approved by shareholders via poll. The meeting covered adoption of the 2025 audited financial statements, re-election of key directors, and co...
Country Garden Posts RMB 2.5 Billion in April Contracted Sales, Cautions on Preliminary Data
May 7, 2026
Country Garden Holdings reported that its group, including joint ventures and associates, achieved contracted sales attributable to shareholders of about RMB 2.50 billion in April 2026, corresponding to roughly 0.34 million square meters of contra...
Country Garden Aligns Mainland Bond Disclosures With Hong Kong Listing Rules
Apr 30, 2026
Country Garden Holdings has released an overseas regulatory announcement in Hong Kong to mirror major corporate disclosures made on mainland Chinese exchanges. The filing references announcements by the parent company and its key subsidiaries, Cou...
Country Garden Scraps Work Fee Share Issuance, Pays CoCom in Cash
Apr 27, 2026
Country Garden Holdings has decided to terminate its previously planned issuance of 36,000,000 additional CoCom Work Fee Shares under a general mandate related to its proposed restructuring. Instead, the company settled the corresponding CoCom wor...
Country Garden Sets 2026 Virtual AGM With Mandate to Issue New Shares
Apr 27, 2026
Country Garden Holdings has called its next annual general meeting for 28 May 2026, to be held virtually via an online e-voting platform, reflecting the company’s continued use of digital channels for shareholder participation. Shareholders ...
Country Garden settles creditor fees with new share issue, modestly diluting shareholders
Apr 14, 2026
Country Garden Holdings has completed the issuance of 219,375,000 AHG Work Fee Shares to members of an ad hoc group of creditors at HKD0.32 per share, settling existing loans and fees through equity rather than cash. The move marginally dilutes ex...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Disclaimer
This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.