Country Garden Holdings Co. Ltd. (HK:2007)
:2007
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Country Garden Holdings
(2007)
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Rating:43Neutral
Price Target:
HK$0.22
â–¼(-59.64% Downside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:05/22/26
The score is held down primarily by very weak financial performance, especially the distressed balance sheet (negative equity) alongside contracting revenue and unstable profitability. Technicals also remain bearish with price below all key moving averages and negative MACD, despite oversold conditions. Valuation appears optically cheap on P/E, but that support is limited given the elevated solvency and cash-flow consistency risks.
Positive Factors
Scale & market position
Country Garden’s core business of master-planned, large-scale residential projects gives it structural scale and distribution across urban and peri-urban markets. Scale supports procurement, project execution and brand recognition, which can sustain long-term market share if liquidity and execution normalize.
Negative Factors
Negative shareholders' equity
Negative equity is a structural solvency signal that liabilities exceed assets, eroding creditor and investor buffers. This condition elevates refinancing risk, limits access to capital markets, and can force value-destructive asset sales or heavy covenant concessions, impairing long-term financial flexibility.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Scale & market position
Country Garden’s core business of master-planned, large-scale residential projects gives it structural scale and distribution across urban and peri-urban markets. Scale supports procurement, project execution and brand recognition, which can sustain long-term market share if liquidity and execution normalize.
Read all positive factors
Country Garden Holdings (2007) vs. iShares MSCI Hong Kong ETF (EWH)
Market Cap
HK$11.51B
Dividend YieldN/A
Average Volume (3M)137.04M
Price to Earnings (P/E)0.1
Beta (1Y)0.32
Revenue Growth-38.67%
EPS GrowthN/A
CountryHK
Employees22,794
SectorReal Estate
Sector Strength53
IndustryReal Estate - Development
Share Statistics
EPS (TTM)0.12
Shares Outstanding46,256,234,000
10 Day Avg. Volume144,670,886
30 Day Avg. Volume137,035,999
Financial Highlights & Ratios
PEG Ratio-0.03
Price to Book (P/B)-12.00
Price to Sales (P/S)0.07
P/FCF Ratio6.72
Enterprise Value/Market CapN/A
Enterprise Value/RevenueN/A
Enterprise Value/Gross ProfitN/A
Enterprise Value/EbitdaN/A
Forecast
1Y Price Target
HK$0.25Price Target Upside-54.55% Downside
Rating ConsensusModerate Sell
Number of Analyst Covering1
EPS Forecast (FY)-0.92
Revenue Forecast (FY)HK$94.71B
Country Garden Holdings Business Overview & Revenue Model
Company Description
Country Garden Holdings Co., Ltd. is a leading property development company based in China, primarily engaged in residential real estate development. Founded in 1992, the company operates in various sectors, including property development, constru...
How the Company Makes Money
Country Garden primarily makes money by developing real estate projects and selling completed (or pre-sold) residential properties. Its main revenue stream is recognized from the sale of properties (e.g., apartments and villas) within its developm...
Country Garden Holdings Financial Statement Overview
Summary
Income Statement
22
Negative
Balance Sheet
12
Very Negative
Cash Flow
28
Negative
| Breakdown | Dec 2025 | Dec 2024 | Jun 2024 | Dec 2022 | Dec 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Income Statement | |||||
| Total Revenue | 154.89B | 252.76B | 401.01B | 430.37B | 523.06B |
| Gross Profit | -43.12B | -1.69B | -93.61B | 32.88B | 92.78B |
| EBITDA | 18.42B | -15.90B | -159.67B | 7.63B | 63.74B |
| Net Income | 3.26B | -32.84B | -178.40B | -6.05B | 26.80B |
Balance Sheet | |||||
| Total Assets | 812.12B | 1.04T | 1.29T | 1.74T | 1.95T |
| Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments | 12.19B | 15.06B | 18.82B | 139.69B | 161.16B |
| Total Debt | 150.64B | 256.00B | 251.65B | 271.72B | 318.61B |
| Total Liabilities | 767.86B | 984.59B | 1.20T | 1.43T | 1.65T |
| Stockholders Equity | -859.00M | -7.18B | 25.95B | 203.62B | 198.74B |
Cash Flow | |||||
| Free Cash Flow | 1.53B | -3.32B | -77.06B | 33.68B | 7.26B |
| Operating Cash Flow | 1.53B | -3.28B | -76.13B | 35.62B | 10.86B |
| Investing Cash Flow | 1.65B | 6.05B | 9.54B | 4.41B | -18.04B |
| Financing Cash Flow | -3.73B | -3.53B | -54.44B | -58.69B | -12.90B |
Country Garden Holdings Technical Analysis
Negative
0.55
Price Trends
0.29
Negative
0.32
Negative
0.42
Negative
Market Momentum
-0.01
Positive
34.02
Neutral
5.56
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For HK:2007, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 0.55 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 0.27, above the 50-day MA of 0.29, and above the 200-day MA of 0.42, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.01 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 34.02 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 5.56 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for HK:2007.
Country Garden Holdings Peers Comparison
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)
HK:2007
Country Garden Holdings
0.23
-0.16
-41.03%
GTWCF
Greentown China Holdings
1.22
0.19
18.33%
DE:16H0
Guangdong - Hong Kong Greater Bay Area Holdings Ltd.
1.76
1.52
633.33%
DE:HVP0
Hopson Development Holdings Limited
0.29
>-0.01
-0.69%
HK:9993
Radiance Holdings (Group) Company Limited
2.25
-0.42
-15.73%
HK:0817
China Jinmao Holdings Group Limited
1.70
0.68
66.67%
Country Garden Holdings Corporate Events
Country Garden Posts RMB 2.5 Billion in April Contracted Sales, Cautions on Preliminary Data
May 7, 2026
Country Garden Holdings reported that its group, including joint ventures and associates, achieved contracted sales attributable to shareholders of about RMB 2.50 billion in April 2026, corresponding to roughly 0.34 million square meters of contra...
Country Garden Aligns Mainland Bond Disclosures With Hong Kong Listing Rules
Apr 30, 2026
Country Garden Holdings has released an overseas regulatory announcement in Hong Kong to mirror major corporate disclosures made on mainland Chinese exchanges. The filing references announcements by the parent company and its key subsidiaries, Cou...
Country Garden Scraps Work Fee Share Issuance, Pays CoCom in Cash
Apr 27, 2026
Country Garden Holdings has decided to terminate its previously planned issuance of 36,000,000 additional CoCom Work Fee Shares under a general mandate related to its proposed restructuring. Instead, the company settled the corresponding CoCom wor...
Country Garden Sets 2026 Virtual AGM With Mandate to Issue New Shares
Apr 27, 2026
Country Garden Holdings has called its next annual general meeting for 28 May 2026, to be held virtually via an online e-voting platform, reflecting the company’s continued use of digital channels for shareholder participation. Shareholders ...
Country Garden settles creditor fees with new share issue, modestly diluting shareholders
Apr 14, 2026
Country Garden Holdings has completed the issuance of 219,375,000 AHG Work Fee Shares to members of an ad hoc group of creditors at HKD0.32 per share, settling existing loans and fees through equity rather than cash. The move marginally dilutes ex...
Country Garden Posts RMB 2.23 Billion in Contracted Sales for March 2026
Apr 2, 2026
Country Garden reported unaudited contracted sales attributable to shareholders of about RMB 2.23 billion for March 2026, corresponding to approximately 0.29 million square meters of gross floor area. The company emphasized that these preliminary ...
Country Garden Issues New Shares to Settle US$9 Million AHG Work Fees
Mar 31, 2026
Country Garden Holdings has approved the issuance of 219,375,000 new shares under its general mandate at HKD0.32 per share to settle US$9 million in work fees owed to the Ad Hoc Group of creditors (AHG). The share-based payment, equivalent to HKD7...
Country Garden Advances Onshore Bond Restructuring to Address Audit Disclaimer
Mar 31, 2026
Country Garden has outlined further steps to address a disclaimer of opinion issued by its auditor on the group’s 2024 and 2025 consolidated financial statements, which stemmed from uncertainties over the company’s ability to continue ...
Country Garden Marks Profit Amid Revenue Slump as China Property Sector Resets
Mar 30, 2026
Country Garden reported 2025 revenue of about RMB154.89 billion, down 38.7% year-on-year, while achieving contracted sales attributable to shareholders of RMB33.01 billion and delivering roughly 170,000 housing units across 204 cities. Net profit ...
Country Garden Overhauls Articles and Reshapes Hong Kong Governance Roles
Mar 30, 2026
Country Garden Holdings plans to replace its existing Articles of Association with a new set that will, among other changes, allow the holding of treasury shares, facilitate paperless listing and electronic shareholder communications, and align wi...
Country Garden Aligns Mainland and Hong Kong Disclosures on Major Bond Matters
Mar 29, 2026
Country Garden Holdings has issued an overseas regulatory announcement in Hong Kong to mirror major corporate matter disclosures made on the Shanghai and Shenzhen stock exchanges. The notice covers bond-related announcements by the parent company ...
Country Garden Signals 2025 Profit on Debt Restructuring Gain Despite Underlying Loss
Mar 23, 2026
Country Garden Holdings has issued a profit alert indicating it expects to swing from a substantial loss of about RMB35.1 billion in 2024 to a reported profit of between RMB1.0 billion and RMB2.2 billion for 2025. The turnaround is largely driven ...
Country Garden Sets March 2026 Board Meeting to Approve 2025 Annual Results
Mar 18, 2026
Country Garden Holdings has scheduled a board meeting for 30 March 2026 to review and approve the annual results for the year ended 31 December 2025, ahead of publishing its full-year financial performance. The announcement confirms the company...
Country Garden Issues More Shares to Settle Restructuring Work Fees
Mar 9, 2026
Country Garden has issued additional shares under its existing general mandate as part of its ongoing restructuring arrangements with its coordinating committee of creditors. The move follows earlier issuances of “work fee” shares whos...
Country Garden Posts RMB 2.23 Billion in Contracted Sales for February 2026
Mar 3, 2026
Country Garden reported that in February 2026 it recorded contracted sales attributable to shareholders of about RMB 2.23 billion, with related gross floor area of roughly 0.29 million square meters. The figures, drawn from internal management dat...
Country Garden Mirrors Mainland Bond Disclosures in Hong Kong for Regulatory Transparency
Feb 27, 2026
Country Garden Holdings has issued an overseas regulatory announcement in Hong Kong to mirror major corporate disclosures made on mainland Chinese exchanges. The move covers bond-related announcements by the parent company and its key subsidiaries...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Disclaimer
This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.