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Li Bao Ge Group Ltd. (HK:1869)
:1869
Hong Kong Market

Li Bao Ge Group Ltd. (1869) AI Stock Analysis

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HK

Li Bao Ge Group Ltd.

(1869)

Rating:46Neutral
Price Target:
Li Bao Ge Group Ltd. has a low overall stock score due to significant financial challenges, including declining revenues and high leverage, which pose major risks. The technical analysis also suggests a bearish outlook with potential overbought conditions. The negative P/E ratio and lack of dividend yield further affect the stock's valuation, making it less attractive to investors.

Li Bao Ge Group Ltd. (1869) vs. iShares MSCI Hong Kong ETF (EWH)

Li Bao Ge Group Ltd. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionLi Bao Ge Group Limited, an investment holding company, operates and manages a chain of Chinese restaurants under the Star of Canton, Sun Kau Kee, Star of Canton Tea House, and La Maison D' Elephant brands in the People's Republic of China. As of December 31, 2021, it operated three full-service Chinese restaurants; one Thai cuisine restaurant; and twenty-food counters in the PRC under the Sun Kau Kee brand name. The company was founded in 1998 and is headquartered in Kwai Chung, Hong Kong.
How the Company Makes MoneyLi Bao Ge Group Ltd. generates revenue primarily through the operation of its Chinese restaurant chains across various locations. The company's key revenue streams include dine-in services, takeout orders, and catering services for events. Additionally, the company may earn from partnerships with local suppliers and collaborations with food delivery platforms to expand its customer reach. Revenue is further supplemented by hosting private functions and special events in their dining facilities, which attract higher spending per customer. The company focuses on maintaining high food quality and service standards to encourage repeat visits and positive word-of-mouth, driving steady income.

Li Bao Ge Group Ltd. Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Li Bao Ge Group Ltd. faces significant financial challenges, with declining revenues and profitability, high leverage, and negative equity. The company's cash flow management issues further exacerbate financial risks. Strategic improvements in revenue generation, cost management, and capital structure are necessary to enhance financial stability and performance.
Income Statement
46
Neutral
Li Bao Ge Group Ltd. has experienced declining revenue over the years, with a significant drop in net income, resulting in negative profitability margins. The gross profit margin is relatively low, indicating cost management challenges. The EBITDA turned negative in the latest year, showing operational difficulties. Revenue growth has been volatile, contributing to financial instability.
Balance Sheet
30
Negative
The company has a negative stockholders' equity, indicating more liabilities than assets, which is a significant financial risk. High debt levels relative to equity suggest financial leverage and potential solvency issues. The equity ratio is negative, reflecting financial instability and potential risks in the company's capital structure.
Cash Flow
35
Negative
The cash flow statement shows a concerning trend, with zero free cash flow in the latest year and negative operating cash flow. The inability to generate positive free cash flow impacts the company's flexibility to invest in growth or manage debt. Historical free cash flow growth has been inconsistent, highlighting cash management challenges.
BreakdownDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue139.62M178.52M135.55M274.57M236.40M
Gross Profit20.29M38.95M33.02M89.93M71.13M
EBITDA-17.04M39.79M3.40M-29.65M34.29M
Net Income-48.68M7.99M-43.09M-100.16M-40.78M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets87.62M108.01M141.92M206.51M330.70M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments10.57M16.88M24.29M26.82M28.95M
Total Debt55.10M73.99M121.60M165.89M191.05M
Total Liabilities152.04M165.74M208.59M245.51M270.65M
Stockholders Equity-59.64M-52.79M-61.60M-35.32M55.95M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow0.0029.07M6.90M37.87M17.14M
Operating Cash Flow4.43M34.52M10.27M42.01M28.25M
Investing Cash Flow0.00-4.34M-1.71M-3.82M-33.39M
Financing Cash Flow0.00-37.09M-9.37M-42.15M-38.72M

Li Bao Ge Group Ltd. Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price0.08
Price Trends
50DMA
0.09
Negative
100DMA
0.11
Negative
200DMA
0.13
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
>-0.01
Negative
RSI
51.00
Neutral
STOCH
48.72
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For HK:1869, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 0.08 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 0.07, below the 50-day MA of 0.09, and below the 200-day MA of 0.13, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of >-0.01 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 51.00 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 48.72 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for HK:1869.

Li Bao Ge Group Ltd. Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (62)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
73
Outperform
HK$738.93M7.7137.72%48.55%23.80%6.14%
62
Neutral
$16.85B11.50-7.38%2.96%1.59%-23.36%
58
Neutral
HK$201.22M53.14-8.51%5.35%-10.93%-143.61%
58
Neutral
HK$81.90M10.67-41.01%4.76%1.74%-46.43%
46
Neutral
HK$107.18M
-21.79%-613.89%
42
Neutral
HK$80.60M-110.09%-12.18%-267.74%
HK$85.50M
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
HK:1869
Li Bao Ge Group Ltd.
0.08
-0.11
-57.89%
HK:1181
Tang Palace (China) Holdings Limited
0.19
-0.18
-48.65%
HK:1443
Fulum Group Holdings Ltd.
0.06
-0.08
-57.14%
HK:8371
Taste Gourmet Group Ltd.
1.90
0.56
41.79%
HK:8519
Jia Group Holdings Ltd.
0.14
-0.34
-70.83%
HK:8527
JLogo Holdings Limited
0.17
-0.05
-22.73%

Li Bao Ge Group Ltd. Corporate Events

Kafelaku Coffee Approves Construction Contract at EGM
Apr 25, 2025

Kafelaku Coffee Holding Limited, a company incorporated in the Cayman Islands, announced that all proposed resolutions were passed at its extraordinary general meeting held on April 25, 2025. The resolutions included a construction contract with Jiangsu Xuncai Construction Engineering Co., Ltd. for a new production base in Dongtai City, Jiangsu Province, China. The approval of these resolutions signifies a strategic expansion for the company, potentially enhancing its production capabilities and market presence.

Kafelaku Coffee Holding Limited Announces 2025 AGM and Key Resolutions
Apr 24, 2025

Kafelaku Coffee Holding Limited has announced its upcoming Annual General Meeting (AGM) to be held on June 11, 2025, in Hong Kong. The AGM will address several key resolutions, including the adoption of the company’s audited financial statements for the year ended December 31, 2024, the re-appointment of CL Partners CPA Limited as the independent auditor, and the re-election of several directors. Additionally, the meeting will consider authorizing the board to issue new shares and handle related securities matters, which could potentially impact the company’s capital structure and shareholder value.

Kafelaku Coffee Reports Revenue Decline and Loss for 2024
Mar 31, 2025

Kafelaku Coffee Holding Limited reported a significant decline in its financial performance for the year ended December 31, 2024. The company’s revenue decreased by approximately 21.8% to HK$139.6 million, and it recorded a loss of HK$48.7 million compared to a profit of HK$8.0 million in the previous year. This downturn in financial results may impact the company’s operations and market positioning, raising concerns among stakeholders.

Kafelaku Coffee Faces Compliance Oversight in Loan Disclosure
Mar 31, 2025

Kafelaku Coffee Holding Limited, through its wholly-owned subsidiary Jiangsu Kafelaku, entered into a loan agreement with Guangzhou Kafelaku for RMB12.85 million. This transaction, discovered during the annual audit, involves a connected person due to the significant ownership by Mr. Liang, an executive director and controlling shareholder. The loan’s percentage ratio necessitated disclosure under Hong Kong’s Listing Rules, but compliance was delayed due to an oversight. The company has requested repayment, and the loan is expected to be settled soon.

Kafelaku Coffee Announces EGM for New Construction Project
Mar 31, 2025

Kafelaku Coffee Holding Limited has announced an extraordinary general meeting (EGM) to be held on April 25, 2025, in Guangzhou, China. The meeting will address resolutions related to a construction contract with Jiangsu Xuncai Construction Engineering Co., Ltd. for building a production base in Dongtai City, Jiangsu Province. This development is expected to enhance the company’s operational capabilities and potentially strengthen its market position.

Kafelaku Coffee Postpones Board Meeting to Finalize Financial Results
Mar 26, 2025

Kafelaku Coffee Holding Limited has announced the postponement of its board meeting initially scheduled for March 26, 2025, to March 31, 2025. The delay is due to the need for additional time to finalize the company’s audited consolidated financial results for the year ending December 31, 2024, and to consider the recommendation of a final dividend payment. This postponement may impact the company’s financial reporting timeline and dividend decisions, which are significant for shareholders and stakeholders.

Kafelaku Coffee Schedules Board Meeting for Financial Results and Dividend Decision
Mar 14, 2025

Kafelaku Coffee Holding Limited, a company incorporated in the Cayman Islands, has announced that its board of directors will meet on March 26, 2025. The meeting will focus on approving the audited consolidated financial results for the year ending December 31, 2024, and considering a recommendation for a final dividend payment.

Kafelaku Coffee Issues Profit Warning for 2024
Mar 13, 2025

Kafelaku Coffee Holding Limited has issued a profit warning, indicating an expected loss of not less than HK$40 million for the year ending December 31, 2024, compared to a profit of approximately HK$8.0 million in the previous year. The anticipated loss is attributed to a decline in revenue due to weakened economies in China, a one-off gain from the previous year, and share-based compensation expenses. This announcement serves as a preliminary assessment and advises caution for shareholders and potential investors.

Kafelaku Coffee Faces Further Delay in Circular Dispatch
Feb 17, 2025

Kafelaku Coffee Holding Limited has announced a further delay in the dispatch of a circular related to a construction contract due to the need for additional time to finalize certain information. This postponement, now expected to be around March 24, 2025, may impact stakeholders by postponing any related decisions or actions dependent on the information within the circular.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Apr 30, 2025