Li Bao Ge Group Ltd. (HK:1869)
:1869
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Li Bao Ge Group Ltd.
(1869)
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Rating:47Neutral
Price Target:
HK$0.09
▼(-21.67% Downside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:05/01/26
The score is held down primarily by weak financial performance (contracting revenue, ongoing losses, negative equity, and negative 2025 cash flow). Technical indicators are broadly neutral and provide limited offset, while valuation is constrained by the negative P/E and lack of dividend data.
Positive Factors
Significant debt reduction
Material deleveraging improves financing flexibility and reduces near-term refinancing risk. With gross debt reduced sharply over four years, the company has lower fixed financing costs and greater capacity to fund operations or restructure the business, a durable improvement to capital structure.
Negative Factors
Sharp and persistent revenue decline
A sustained top-line contraction undermines fixed-cost absorption and scale economics in restaurants. Continued revenue loss over multiple years makes it harder to restore margins, erodes unit economics, and raises execution risk for any turnaround plan absent clear demand recovery.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Significant debt reduction
Material deleveraging improves financing flexibility and reduces near-term refinancing risk. With gross debt reduced sharply over four years, the company has lower fixed financing costs and greater capacity to fund operations or restructure the business, a durable improvement to capital structure.
Read all positive factors
Li Bao Ge Group Ltd. (1869) vs. iShares MSCI Hong Kong ETF (EWH)
Market Cap
HK$133.97M
Dividend YieldN/A
Average Volume (3M)445.17K
Price to Earnings (P/E)6.5
Beta (1Y)-0.07
Revenue Growth-23.98%
EPS Growth91.08%
CountryHK
Employees378
SectorConsumer Cyclical
Sector Strength84
IndustryRestaurants
Share Statistics
EPS (TTM)<0.01
Shares Outstanding1,410,250,000
10 Day Avg. Volume432,500
30 Day Avg. Volume445,166
Financial Highlights & Ratios
PEG Ratio0.42
Price to Book (P/B)-2.94
Price to Sales (P/S)1.69
P/FCF Ratio-29.26
Enterprise Value/Market CapN/A
Enterprise Value/RevenueN/A
Enterprise Value/Gross ProfitN/A
Enterprise Value/EbitdaN/A
Forecast
1Y Price TargetN/A
Price Target UpsideN/A
Rating ConsensusN/A
Number of Analyst Covering0
EPS Forecast (FY)N/A
Revenue Forecast (FY)N/A
Li Bao Ge Group Ltd. Business Overview & Revenue Model
Company Description
Li Bao Ge Group Limited, an investment holding company, operates and manages a chain of Chinese restaurants under the Star of Canton, Sun Kau Kee, Star of Canton Tea House, and La Maison D' Elephant brands in the People's Republic of China. As of ...
How the Company Makes Money
The company primarily makes money by selling food and beverages to customers at its self-operated restaurants. Revenue is generated per customer transaction (dine-in and, where offered, takeaway/delivery) and is influenced by guest traffic, averag...
Li Bao Ge Group Ltd. Financial Statement Overview
Summary
Income Statement
28
Negative
Balance Sheet
22
Negative
Cash Flow
31
Negative
| Breakdown | Dec 2025 | Dec 2024 | Dec 2023 | Dec 2022 | Dec 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Income Statement | |||||
| Total Revenue | 106.14M | 139.62M | 178.52M | 135.55M | 274.57M |
| Gross Profit | -216.00K | 20.29M | 38.95M | 33.02M | 89.93M |
| EBITDA | -8.76M | -17.04M | 39.79M | 3.40M | -29.65M |
| Net Income | -4.68M | -48.68M | 7.99M | -41.35M | -92.43M |
Balance Sheet | |||||
| Total Assets | 62.27M | 87.62M | 108.01M | 141.92M | 206.51M |
| Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments | 3.94M | 10.57M | 16.88M | 24.29M | 26.82M |
| Total Debt | 24.14M | 55.10M | 73.99M | 121.60M | 165.89M |
| Total Liabilities | 128.19M | 152.04M | 165.74M | 208.59M | 245.51M |
| Stockholders Equity | -60.95M | -59.64M | -52.79M | -61.60M | -35.32M |
Cash Flow | |||||
| Free Cash Flow | -6.12M | 1.07M | 29.07M | 6.90M | 37.87M |
| Operating Cash Flow | -6.12M | 9.79M | 34.52M | 10.27M | 42.01M |
| Investing Cash Flow | 11.33M | -20.25M | -4.34M | -1.71M | -3.82M |
| Financing Cash Flow | -12.24M | 4.56M | -37.09M | -9.37M | -42.15M |
Li Bao Ge Group Ltd. Technical Analysis
Negative
0.12
Price Trends
0.11
Negative
0.11
Negative
0.11
Negative
Market Momentum
>-0.01
Positive
35.89
Neutral
37.13
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For HK:1869, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 0.12 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 0.11, above the 50-day MA of 0.11, and above the 200-day MA of 0.11, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of >-0.01 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 35.89 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 37.13 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for HK:1869.
Li Bao Ge Group Ltd. Peers Comparison
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Name | Overall Rating | Market Cap | P/E Ratio | ROE | Dividend Yield | Revenue Growth | EPS Growth |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
66 Neutral | HK$1.06B | 51.19 | 0.99% | 7.11% | 6.74% | ― | |
66 Neutral | HK$1.15B | 3.97 | 12.32% | 5.56% | 7.49% | 78.21% | |
61 Neutral | $18.38B | 12.79 | -2.54% | 3.03% | 1.52% | -15.83% | |
55 Neutral | HK$2.28B | 19.78 | 5.05% | 6.90% | -3.45% | -50.11% | |
51 Neutral | HK$2.17B | 40.19 | 1.82% | 1.12% | -13.86% | 6.94% | |
50 Neutral | HK$206.79M | 12.23 | 2.32% | 21.88% | 1.02% | -71.48% | |
47 Neutral | HK$133.97M | 6.48 | 34.64% | ― | -23.98% | 91.08% |
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
HK:1869
Li Bao Ge Group Ltd.
0.10
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Li Bao Ge Group Ltd. Corporate Events
Kafelaku Coffee calls 2026 AGM to renew audit, board and share issue mandate
Apr 27, 2026
Kafelaku Coffee Holding Limited has called its annual general meeting for 24 June 2026 in Hong Kong, where shareholders will review and adopt the audited financial statements for the year ended 31 December 2025 and reappoint Rongcheng (Hong Kong) ...
Kafelaku Coffee Sets Audit Committee Mandate to Bolster Financial Oversight
Apr 8, 2026
Kafelaku Coffee Holding Limited has formally established an audit committee of its board of directors, composed mainly of independent non-executive directors, to enhance oversight of its financial reporting, risk management, and internal control s...
Kafelaku Coffee Narrows Annual Loss Despite 24% Revenue Decline
Mar 30, 2026
Kafelaku Coffee Holding Limited reported audited consolidated revenue of HK$106.1 million for the year ended 31 December 2025, a 24% decline from 2024, reflecting weaker sales across its coffee-related operations. The company remains focused on it...
Kafelaku Coffee Sets Board Meeting to Approve 2025 Results and Mull Dividend
Mar 18, 2026
Kafelaku Coffee Holding Limited has scheduled a board meeting for March 30, 2026 to review and approve the audited consolidated financial results for the year ended December 31, 2025. The board will also consider whether to recommend a final divid...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Disclaimer
This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.