Jia Yao Holdings Limited (HK:1626)
:1626
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Jia Yao Holdings Limited
(1626)
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Rating:45Neutral
Price Target:
HK$8.00
▲(191.97% Upside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:05/01/26
The score is held down primarily by weak financial performance (margin collapse and negative free cash flow) and very stretched valuation (P/E ~852). Technicals are a partial offset due to a strong uptrend, but overbought momentum signals raise near-term downside risk.
Positive Factors
Manageable leverage
A moderate debt-to-equity (~0.49) provides financial flexibility for a packaging manufacturer. Sustained moderate leverage supports funding of working capital and capex without extreme refinancing risk, helping the company withstand cyclical demand swings over the next several months.
Negative Factors
Margin collapse
A dramatic decline in net margin to near breakeven indicates operating cost pressure or material one-off charges, undermining earnings quality. Persistent margin erosion would weaken cash generation and make profitable growth difficult without structural cost or pricing fixes.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Manageable leverage
A moderate debt-to-equity (~0.49) provides financial flexibility for a packaging manufacturer. Sustained moderate leverage supports funding of working capital and capex without extreme refinancing risk, helping the company withstand cyclical demand swings over the next several months.
Read all positive factors
Jia Yao Holdings Limited (1626) vs. iShares MSCI Hong Kong ETF (EWH)
Market Cap
HK$4.96B
Dividend YieldN/A
Average Volume (3M)609.07K
Price to Earnings (P/E)852.5
Beta (1Y)0.49
Revenue Growth-16.08%
EPS Growth-89.84%
CountryHK
Employees825
SectorConsumer Cyclical
Sector Strength84
IndustryPackaging & Containers
Share Statistics
EPS (TTM)0.03
Shares Outstanding600,000,000
10 Day Avg. Volume588,500
30 Day Avg. Volume609,066
Financial Highlights & Ratios
PEG Ratio-9.31
Price to Book (P/B)5.38
Price to Sales (P/S)2.42
P/FCF Ratio-187.46
Enterprise Value/Market CapN/A
Enterprise Value/RevenueN/A
Enterprise Value/Gross ProfitN/A
Enterprise Value/EbitdaN/A
Forecast
1Y Price TargetN/A
Price Target UpsideN/A
Rating ConsensusN/A
Number of Analyst Covering0
EPS Forecast (FY)N/A
Revenue Forecast (FY)N/A
Jia Yao Holdings Limited Business Overview & Revenue Model
Company Description
Jia Yao Holdings Limited, an investment holding company, designs, manufactures, prints, and sells paper cigarette and social product paper packages in the People's Republic of China. The company operates through: Paper Cigarette Packages, Social P...
Jia Yao Holdings Limited Financial Statement Overview
Summary
Income Statement
38
Negative
Balance Sheet
58
Neutral
Cash Flow
32
Negative
| Breakdown | TTM | Dec 2025 | Dec 2024 | Dec 2023 | Dec 2022 | Dec 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Income Statement | ||||||
| Total Revenue | 288.17M | 628.25M | 770.48M | 1.46B | 968.36M | 688.94M |
| Gross Profit | 112.98M | 149.27M | 208.75M | 387.46M | 137.86M | 65.02M |
| EBITDA | -12.49M | 34.12M | 45.23M | 197.34M | 31.38M | -12.05M |
| Net Income | 19.05M | 1.78M | 50.61M | 99.28M | 5.50M | -26.22M |
Balance Sheet | ||||||
| Total Assets | 605.46M | 713.90M | 866.44M | 1.47B | 1.07B | 755.98M |
| Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments | 114.56M | 136.88M | 262.91M | 384.54M | 298.70M | 75.60M |
| Total Debt | 130.82M | 137.67M | 133.20M | 92.78M | 76.00M | 103.52M |
| Total Liabilities | 300.08M | 384.35M | 374.14M | 925.22M | 690.38M | 549.64M |
| Stockholders Equity | 266.02M | 282.47M | 450.43M | 402.96M | 327.77M | 160.41M |
Cash Flow | ||||||
| Free Cash Flow | -60.14M | -8.11M | -48.35M | 23.80M | 65.59M | 3.52M |
| Operating Cash Flow | -53.61M | 8.47M | -22.19M | 68.50M | 80.54M | 34.22M |
| Investing Cash Flow | 84.81M | 46.68M | -51.63M | -35.13M | -7.82M | -27.17M |
| Financing Cash Flow | -211.37M | -220.03M | 37.80M | 12.67M | 127.14M | -11.72M |
Jia Yao Holdings Limited Technical Analysis
Positive
2.74
Price Trends
3.75
Positive
3.12
Positive
2.94
Positive
Market Momentum
0.55
Negative
67.18
Neutral
88.24
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For HK:1626, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 2.74 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 4.74, below the 50-day MA of 3.75, and below the 200-day MA of 2.94, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.55 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 67.18 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 88.24 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for HK:1626.
Jia Yao Holdings Limited Peers Comparison
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Name | Overall Rating | Market Cap | P/E Ratio | ROE | Dividend Yield | Revenue Growth | EPS Growth |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
61 Neutral | $18.38B | 12.79 | -2.54% | 3.03% | 1.52% | -15.83% | |
50 Neutral | HK$77.10M | -0.81 | -10.45% | 16.13% | -7.65% | -456.37% | |
50 Neutral | HK$594.75M | 36.55 | 9.89% | 0.59% | 2.27% | 1.52% | |
46 Neutral | HK$763.61M | -15.70 | -5.51% | 3.20% | -1.82% | -127.61% | |
46 Neutral | HK$14.93M | 3.59 | -4.29% | ― | -16.84% | ― | |
45 Neutral | HK$4.96B | 852.53 | 0.55% | ― | -16.08% | -89.84% | |
45 Neutral | HK$56.42M | -0.77 | -12.11% | ― | -37.85% | 5.75% |
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
HK:1626
Jia Yao Holdings Limited
8.27
4.94
148.35%
HK:0403
Starlite Holdings Limited
0.15
-0.04
-19.37%
HK:1820
Pacific Millennium Packaging Group Corp.
2.54
-1.38
-35.20%
HK:2320
Hop Fung Group Holdings Limited
0.07
-0.02
-23.33%
HK:6898
China Aluminum Cans Holdings Ltd.
0.63
0.10
18.87%
HK:8291
Wan Cheng Metal Packaging Company Limited
0.28
0.07
31.46%
Jia Yao Holdings Limited Corporate Events
Jia Yao Holdings Sets June 2026 AGM to Renew Mandates and Board Seats
Apr 24, 2026
Jia Yao Holdings Limited has called its annual general meeting for 18 June 2026 in Shenzhen, where shareholders will review the audited consolidated accounts for the year ended 31 December 2025 and vote on the re-appointment of SHINEWING (HK) CPA ...
Jia Yao Moves Into CBD Exports With Regulatory Approvals and Early Sales
Apr 21, 2026
Jia Yao Holdings Limited has officially entered the cannabidiol business, beginning in April 2026 with the procurement and export of CBD from China to corporate customers in Europe and North America. The group has formed a dedicated operations tea...
Jia Yao Holdings’ 2025 Profit Nearly Wiped Out as Revenue and Margins Slide
Mar 27, 2026
Jia Yao Holdings Limited reported a sharp deterioration in earnings for the year ended 31 December 2025, with revenue down 16.3% year on year to RMB644.9 million and gross profit falling 26.6% to RMB153.2 million as cost pressures compressed margi...
Jia Yao Sets March 27 Board Meeting to Approve 2025 Annual Results
Mar 17, 2026
Jia Yao Holdings Limited has scheduled a board meeting for 27 March 2026 to review and, if appropriate, approve the annual results for the financial year ended 31 December 2025 for the company and its subsidiaries. The board will also consider the...
Jia Yao Warns of Sharp Profit Decline on E‑Cigarette Regulation Turmoil
Mar 10, 2026
Jia Yao Holdings Limited has warned that its net profit after tax for the year ended 31 December 2025 is expected to fall sharply to about RMB3.0 million to RMB5.0 million, compared with approximately RMB48.0 million a year earlier. The decline is...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Disclaimer
This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.