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Lai Fung Holdings Limited (HK:1125)
:1125
Hong Kong Market
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Lai Fung Holdings (1125) AI Stock Analysis

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HK:1125

Lai Fung Holdings

(1125)

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Neutral 48 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:48Neutral
Price Target:
HK$0.85
▼(-10.42% Downside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:03/19/26
The score is held down primarily by weak financial performance, including revenue decline, ongoing losses, and free cash flow pressure. Technicals are somewhat supportive with price above key moving averages and a positive MACD, but muted momentum (RSI ~36) limits the uplift. Valuation is difficult to justify positively due to a negative P/E and no dividend yield data.
Positive Factors
Recurring rental income
Lai Fung's revenue mix includes property investment with recurring rental income from commercial/retail assets and property-related operations across Hong Kong and Mainland China. Recurring rents provide stable cash flow that moderates development cyclicality and supports liquidity and asset valuation over the medium term.
Negative Factors
Revenue decline
A near-term revenue decline of -11.99% suggests weaker sales or fewer project completions, reducing scale and the pipeline of realizable cash flows. Continued top-line contraction limits reinvestment capacity, undermines fixed-cost absorption and pressures development throughput and rental conversion over the coming months.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Recurring rental income
Lai Fung's revenue mix includes property investment with recurring rental income from commercial/retail assets and property-related operations across Hong Kong and Mainland China. Recurring rents provide stable cash flow that moderates development cyclicality and supports liquidity and asset valuation over the medium term.
Read all positive factors

Lai Fung Holdings (1125) vs. iShares MSCI Hong Kong ETF (EWH)

Lai Fung Holdings Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Lai Fung Holdings Limited, an investment holding company, engages in the property development and investment businesses in Mainland China, Hong Kong, and internationally. It operates through four segments: The Property Development, The Property In...
How the Company Makes Money
Revenue is primarily generated from (1) property development, where the company sells developed properties and recognizes income from property sales (typically upon completion and delivery/recognition under applicable accounting standards), and (2...

Lai Fung Holdings Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Weak fundamentals driven by declining revenue (-11.99% in 2025), negative profitability (negative net margin and ROE), and pressured free cash flow. The balance sheet is relatively steadier with moderate leverage, but cash flow deterioration elevates risk.
Income Statement
45
Neutral
Balance Sheet
55
Neutral
Cash Flow
40
Negative
BreakdownTTMJul 2025Jul 2024Jul 2023Jul 2022Jul 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue1.67B1.29B2.19B1.80B2.52B3.20B
Gross Profit293.74M525.17M889.99M901.99M1.30B719.12M
EBITDA88.91M280.61M918.86M235.54M868.46M390.87M
Net Income-639.40M-419.42M-267.66M-584.70M-283.88M-675.57M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets28.87B28.59B28.47B30.12B33.78B35.14B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments1.80B1.04B1.01B1.65B2.11B2.82B
Total Debt10.43B10.26B9.81B10.57B11.89B11.54B
Total Liabilities16.32B16.24B15.76B17.61B19.32B19.69B
Stockholders Equity12.13B12.03B12.32B12.78B14.61B15.43B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-132.46M292.17M342.64M553.26M238.23M1.38B
Operating Cash Flow-120.90M320.90M394.71M626.41M407.38M1.65B
Investing Cash Flow194.65M-22.07M-261.62M798.02M-907.80M-1.19B
Financing Cash Flow162.24M-281.25M-749.85M-1.77B-118.37M1.09B

Lai Fung Holdings Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price0.95
Price Trends
50DMA
0.97
Negative
100DMA
0.96
Negative
200DMA
0.98
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.03
Negative
RSI
41.19
Neutral
STOCH
19.72
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For HK:1125, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 0.95 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 0.90, below the 50-day MA of 0.97, and below the 200-day MA of 0.98, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.03 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 41.19 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 19.72 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for HK:1125.

Lai Fung Holdings Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
65
Neutral
$2.17B12.193.79%4.94%3.15%1.96%
54
Neutral
HK$330.82M-0.37-10.26%48.60%-441.98%
48
Neutral
HK$317.79M-0.21-3.45%9.53%-148.68%
41
Neutral
HK$157.67M0.01-73.76%99.36%
39
Underperform
HK$74.25M>-0.0177.11%-70.62%-155.99%
39
Underperform
HK$376.54M-0.11-21.15%26.59%57.31%
39
Underperform
HK$183.49M>-0.0155.65%-75.81%16.54%
* Real Estate Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
HK:1125
Lai Fung Holdings
0.96
-0.17
-15.04%
HK:1233
Times China Holdings
0.05
-0.17
-76.00%
HK:6158
Zhenro Properties Group Limited
0.02
-0.03
-59.52%
HK:0124
Guangdong Land Holdings Limited
0.22
>-0.01
-1.77%
HK:0216
Chinney Investments, Limited
0.60
0.01
1.69%
HK:3301
Ronshine China Holdings Ltd.
0.11
-0.13
-54.55%

Lai Fung Holdings Corporate Events

Lai Fung Warns on Low Public Float Despite Normal Operations
Apr 2, 2026
Lai Fung Holdings reported that its business operations have remained normal since the resumption of trading in its shares in November 2022. However, the company’s current public float stands at 14.76%, which is below the 25% minimum level r...
Lai Fung Widens Loss Despite Turnover Surge on Hengqin Tower Sales
Mar 24, 2026
Lai Fung Holdings reported a 43.1% rise in turnover to HK$927.3 million for the six months ended 31 January 2026, driven by a 224.2% surge in property sales following the contracted sale of two accommodation towers in Hengqin Novotown Phase II. Re...
Lai Fung Flags Sharply Wider Interim Loss on Novotown Write-Down and Asset Sale
Mar 13, 2026
Lai Fung Holdings has warned that its unaudited consolidated loss attributable to shareholders for the six months ended 31 January 2026 will be at least double the HK$164 million loss recorded a year earlier. The company attributed the deeper inte...
Lai Fung Sets March Board Meeting to Review Interim Results and Potential Dividend
Mar 12, 2026
Lai Fung Holdings has scheduled a board meeting for 24 March 2026 to review and approve the unaudited interim results for the six months ended 31 January 2026. The board will also consider whether to declare an interim dividend, a decision that co...
Lai Fung Keeps Operations Steady as It Works to Restore Public Float Compliance
Mar 4, 2026
Lai Fung Holdings said its operations have remained normal since the resumption of trading in its shares in November 2022, but its public float currently stands at about 14.76%, below the 25% level required under Hong Kong listing rules. The compa...
Lai Fung Struggles to Restore Public Float After Stake Build-Up by Connected Investors
Feb 2, 2026
Lai Fung Holdings has provided an update on its ongoing failure to meet the Hong Kong Stock Exchange’s minimum public float requirement after two individual investors, Mr. Yu Cheuk Yi and Ms. Yu Siu Yuk, accumulated more than 10% of its shar...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Mar 19, 2026